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AUDCAD Descending Triangle: Key Support Levels to WatchAUDCAD moved up from 0.9060 to reach 0.9375, and now forming a descending triangle pattern. This pattern usually appears when the price is making lower highs, meaning sellers are pushing it down, but there’s still a solid support level holding it steady, around 0.9165. Currently, AUDCAD is trading at 0.9175, and it seems likely to keep dropping. The first level to watch is 0.9110, if the price breaks below this, it could continue down to 0.9060, where the previous rally began. If sellers keep control, we might see more downward movement. But if support holds, there’s a chance for a bounce.
Short
by FXTradingAnalysis
13
Dow Jones Futures Bullish Move Into Resistance 450 Ticks 10 to 1I will be looking for a Long entry with a limit order at the price of 42,420 which is the High price of the September FOMC. I will use a 50 tick stop and target the resistance level of 42,975. I believe this week will be bullish as the down move from earlier was counter trend. I closed my short position on Friday with the expectation that price will bounce off of September's FOMC High. Sunday, price opened up with a fat bullish bar and gapped up 0.30% right out of the gate. This tells me that they are going for shorts back up to grab stops and retrace. The space between resistance is a huge clue for me that this is where they are targeting. The 42,975 price was used as support multiple times but not as resistance. The three pushes into the September's FOMC High indicates the down move may be the end and the move opposite is in way. Since the high was made during the September FOMC release, it has not been used as a solid support level. It was only used as a mean reversion level that price has been mean reverting around.
CBOT_MINI:YM1!Long
by Dow_Jones_Maestro
11
Bitcoin Prints the First Golden Cross in Almost Exactly One YearWe'll have to see if it sticks but BTC has just printed a golden cross. The crazy thing is, the last golden cross occurred on October 29th 2023! This golden cross was 2 days short of exactly hitting the 1 year mark. We all know what happened after the last golden cross, over the next 4.5 months the price increased by over 116%. If you take the time to study Bitcoin's price history, it is very clear that Bitcoin has been running in 4-year market cycles. This is especially true for the last two market cycles. From bear market bottom to the next bear market bottom, the 2015 to 2018 market cycle was 1432 days in length, and the length of the 2018 to 2022 market cycle was 1438 days. Even the elapsed times between events (bottom to halving, halving to peak, and peak to bottom) during each of these cycles is very consistent. Obviously, this market cycle trend doesn't have to continue, but I believe that it will, at least for this cycle. If that is the case then I wouldn't expect the post halving bull market to begin until late October or November of this year. Looking back at the previous two cycles, the 2016 bull market started 259 days after the halving, and the 2020 bull market started 149 days after the halving. We are now 192 days past the halving that occurred on April 19th. There is always a chance that I am totally wrong and the peak in March was the peak for this market cycle and it will be all down hill from here. But, I believe the probability of that is very low. But this is just how I am approaching this market cycle, every investor needs to do their own research and make their own decisions. I also make my decisions based on my long-term view and long time horizon.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Bigsky_Crypto
9
Crude Oil Smoked Again. Will the downtrend continue?Hey, guys. Noticed this evening Crude Oil is down yet again. In this video, taking a look at the technicals and whether this downtrend will continue or not. Oil is in a little bit of a confusing spot, but there is certainly good reason to think the weakness will continue. Hope this video will give you a closer look at the Oil chart and provide helpful information as you develop your thesis around this asset. Will the downtrend continue? Will we get a counter trend move? It will be interesting to watch this develop to be sure! NYMEX:CL1! Hope you enjoy the video, and best of luck out there!
NYMEX:CL1!Short
by redykhouse
4
Short-term EURUSD ideaAfter yesterday's better than expected flash PMIs from Germany, we saw EURUSD finding some buying interest. Let's see if we can get a larger correction to the upside. EASYMARKETS:EURUSD Disclaimer: easyMarkets Account on TradingView allows you to combine easyMarkets industry leading conditions, regulated trading and tight fixed spreads with TradingView's powerful social network for traders, advanced charting and analytics. Access no slippage on limit orders, tight fixed spreads, negative balance protection, no hidden fees or commission, and seamless integration. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. easyMarkets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
by easyMarkets
1
Apple Calls Be careful!!!News: Apple will be reporting earnings on Thursday October 31. Apple has a high of 237.49 that was created on Tuesday October 15, 2024. This high created has topped the previous high 237.23 created on Monday July 15, 24. Pattern we are trading is is a ascending triangle tu the up side on the daily and 4hr time frame. Every pull back has created a Higher Low (HL) which continues bullish momentum. In the ascending triangle pattern, i have created two trendlines indicating support. The dash line being the weak and the solid line being the strongest.
NASDAQ:AAPLLong
by HelloUs
2
Gold Price Outlook: Key Insights for Next Weeks Trading DecisionAs we head into the new week, gold prices remain resilient, fueled by heightened Middle East tensions and U.S. election uncertainty that keeps investors seeking safe-haven assets. Despite dollar strength and recent rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, gold has surged over 32% this year, reflecting sustained demand in the face of global instability. In this analysis, we cover critical areas for buyers and sellers alike, focusing on structural patterns, market psychology, and potential trade opportunities you won’t want to miss. Whether you're watching the price action or setting up entry points, these insights will equip you with a clear roadmap for the week ahead. Will gold continue its strong performance, or could a new catalyst shift the trend? 📌 Stay tuned as we navigate the next big moves in the Gold market! #goldprice #goldtrading #investing #commodities #marketanalysis #tradingstrategy #goldforecast #geopolitics #election2024 #safehaven #financialmarkets #forex #daytrading #swingtrading #middleeast #usdollar #economicuncertainty📺🔔💼 Disclaimer Notice: Trading in the foreign exchange market and other instruments carries a high risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The content provided here is for educational purposes only. Evaluate your financial situation and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD
by darcsherry
4
NUBUSDT Looks BullishLooking at NUBUSDT , let's do a top-down analysis starting from the Weekly down to the 4Hourly timeframe to see where price is headed. Weekly Timeframe For the first time since the listing of NUBUSDT on Gate.io exchange, we're starting to see what looks like a break out of the down trend which lasted for about 24 weeks since its ATH (All Time High) in April 22nd 2024. The current corrective move on the weekly timeframe, which runs counter to the prevailing trend, is both healthy and expected as it aligns with the natural wave structure of the market, where movements typically follow an impulse-corrective-impulse pattern. After each impulsive move, a corrective phase is expected, followed by another impulse originating from the correction to confirm the trend. In this case, we should be expecting price to break the previous Weekly LH (Lower High) to establish the trend. Anything short of this means, price is not yet ready for any up trend. Daily Timeframe One interesting thing about the Daily timeframe price action on this coin is that since September 5th 2024, we've been having series of HH (Higher Highs) and HL (Higher Lows). These are the type of structures I look out for when looking to take a buy position. The daily price action is also in confluence with the weekly were we saw a 24 Weeks break of trend line, all hinting a possible start of an uptrend in the long term. The price level we are currently is an interesting one as price seems to have broken the daily trend line. The question now is, would this trend line hold or break? The truth is, not even the coin creators can answer that question. The only thing we can do at this point is check what the price is doing so we know what to expect and what to do if our expectation comes to fruition. Let's look at this level critically. Though price seems to have broken the daily trendline, it did not close below it. This is very important as it shows rejection, indicating buyers are willing to defend that area. Another observation would be the inverted hammer daily candle at the trendline. This candle pattern usually signifies price reversal especially when it appears at an area of interest like this one. This type of area is where I would be looking for an entry, but first I'll need to see a break of structure from the current corrective wave to take any buy position, so let's see what the 4 Hourly timeframe would say in the next section. I will only be bearish on this coin if price breaks and stays below the Daily HL (Higher Low) at 0.00978 price. As long as we're above that price line, I'll be dreaming Lambo. 4 Hourly Timeframe Now on the 4 Hourly, we can see falling wedge which is a reversal pattern. It's interesting because of where this falling wedge is forming. Looking at the price structure of the 4 Hourly timeframe we're in a downtrend market. So for me to take a position I would love to see a break of the 4 Hourly Lower High (LH) and a correction after that. It's in the corrective phase of the 4 Hourly that I would look for my entry signal. That said, if the 4 Hourly price action is not able to break the current 4 Hourly LH at 0.02188 then I'll not be interested in any buy position Note: I do not own NUB coin, and not planning to own it either. This here is just for education and learning purpose. My trading rule is simple, don't take position based on what you anticipate price will do, take position only when price does what you anticipate and presents you a point of entry.
Long
by youngbossy
5
Catalyst of the Bull Rally: "Retail"Understanding the Past When we examine the number of retail Bitcoin investors, we see that it stood at 43 million in January 2023. From that point onward, the number of individual investors increased steadily over 12 months, rising by 22% to reach 52.4 million, prior to the acceptance of Spot ETFs. Following the approval of Spot ETFs, this figure saw a slight decline, reaching 51.6 million by the end of February 2024. However, the "ETF Bull" rally, led by the momentum of Spot ETFs, pushed the retail investor count upward, peaking in June 2024 at 54.14 million. After this peak, a downward trend in retail investor numbers began. The Impact of Retail Investors on Price Historical data reveals a close relationship between the growth in the number of retail investors and Bitcoin’s price movement. Returning to January 2023, we observe that as the retail investor count rose significantly, Bitcoin’s price surged by over 300% in the same period. However, after reaching its peak in June 2024, the retail investor count plateaued, and Bitcoin’s price also struggled to reach new highs thereafter. Conclusion The rise in the number of retail investors remains a crucial catalyst for Bitcoin bulls. If this trend sees a strong resurgence, with retail investor interest growing substantially once again, Bitcoin's price could be poised to test new highs. Just as in the past, retail interest could provide the needed tailwind for Bitcoin; hence, renewed growth in the retail investor base may offer a vital opportunity for the next bull rally. Thanks for reading.
BLong
by Bullfighterr
10
Tracking Economy with this Ratio – Copper vs Gold RatioThe Fed is using the Copper / Gold ratio in tracking economy and its growth. Currently, the copper / gold ratio is still trending downward, which indicates that the economy may not be recovering that soon. Copper Oil Futures & Options Ticker: HG Minimum fluctuation: 0.0005 per pound = $12.50 Disclaimer: • What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker. • Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises. CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups in real-time and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com
COMEX:HG1!Long
by konhow
8
$SOUN :Is Sound Hound AI the next small cap to SURGE?! 98% move!NASDAQ:SOUN Is Sound Hound AI the next small cap to SURGE?! I believe this stock is gearing up for a 98% move higher! So, let's dive into my video below, which talks about the NASDAQ:SOUN stock charting setup for a SURGE to the upside and how it meets my 5/5 trading setup! (My personal trading strategy) Not financial advice. Like ❤️ Follow🤳 Share 🔂 Comment what stock you want to see charting analysis on below.
NASDAQ:SOUNLong
by RonnieV29
24
DXY Descending Triangle predicts Bitcoin RallyIntroduction The simplest and most powerful long term relationship or indicator we have for the price of bitcoin is the DXY (the dollar index against a basket of other main currencies comprised of US trade partners). Therefore long term chart formations in the DXY can help crypto traders or investors make very profitable long term moves. Those that ignore this inverse relationship do so at their peril. Current analysis A pain view of the top chart shows two fat pairs of arrows that show when bitcoin went down and DXY went up. It also has two skinny arrows that show when DXY falls Bitcoin rises. Clear and irrefutable. What is up for debate right now is if the descending triangle I note is valid. There are several good DXY ideas out there right now but none seem to have taken this wider view: www.tradingview.com DXY Zoom In Everything is basically on the daily chart. DXY is actually at its 4th lower high and this current high is stalling right at the previous support of the double top of April to June, 2024. The indicators show clear hidden bearish divergence. For those that need a review, here is the simple divergence primer: Normal Divergence (Trend Reversal) Bearish: Higher highs on price action but lower highs on the indicator Bullish: Lower lows on price action but higher lows on the indicator Hidden (Trend Continuation) Bearish: Lower high on the price action and higher highs on the indicator Bullish: Higher low on the price action and a lower low on the indicator Hidden bearish divergence suggests the downtrend will continue and DXY will continue to fall. Weekly DXY Guess what? The weekly DXY looks like hell as well. This rising trend line was previously acting as support and is now acting as resistance. Conclusion I see no reason why the powerful and clear inverse relationship between dxy and bitcoin should not continue. Basically everything in the “anti-fiat” or “weak dollar” categories should act predictably while this descending triangle plays itself out. This trade or posture doesn’t require fancy indicators or complex theory. Just basic charting supported by some minimalistic indicators to add a bit of richness to the technical analysis and fundamental relationship between Bitcoin and the DXY. I am long crypto in one form or another. I have a coupe of rotations planed out for the next year. Wish me luck. Please see linked ideas for some other ideas that inform my current thinking.
BITFINEX:BTCUSDLong
by This_Guhy
31
The TradingView Show: Charting Big Moves with TradeStationJoin us for our recurring series as we breakdown in great detail the latest market movements, emerging trends, and critical financial news with @TradeStation. This monthly show is meticulously crafted to keep traders informed about the developments that truly impact the markets. Explore our comprehensive video library on our profile—just scroll back to catch up on past episodes. And remember to follow our @TradingView account to ensure you never miss a show. For our new traders, this episode will provide actionable insights, educational resources on charting, and a robust introduction to market dynamics. In this episode, we’ll cover the following topics: - Top-down analysis for informed decision-making - Essential crude oil charts and their implications for energy stocks - Insights into small-cap trends - A deep dive into semiconductor stocks like ASML and NVDA - The recent breakout in the banking sector - An analysis of ratio charts for strategic positioning - And much more! Our show goes live each month, welcoming traders and investors of all levels to join the discussion, ask questions, and gain insights into what’s moving the markets. We encourage you to engage—leave comments, share your thoughts, and spread the word with your friends. This show is sponsored by TradeStation. TradeStation pursues a singular vision to offer the ultimate online trading platform and services for self-directed traders and investors across the equities, equity index options, futures, and futures options markets. Equities, equities options, and commodity futures products and services are offered by TradeStation Securities Inc., member NYSE, FINRA, CME, and SIPC. See below: www.tradestation.com www.tradestation.com Thank you for tuning in!
NASDAQ:AAPL
by TradingView
Bitcoin Update: The Last Level Before...Over the weekend Bitcoin INDEX:BTCUSD topped out at a level which has multiple confluences. In this post I will break them down one by one and talk about what happens next... Perhaps the most common level noted by commentators is the Trend Line/Expanding Wedge/Inverted Triangle. I personally do not put much faith in these lines or patterns. The reason I do not is because they are often arbitrary. They can be drawn from any of the different highs and lows to support a person's narrative. As a trader I want clearly defined and objective levels. That being said... everyone draws this line and so it can become a self fulfilling prophesy. The additional levels give it more validity: The elephant on the chart holding down price is (and has for a long time been) the prior All Time High from 2021. This important level has been haunting Bitcoin's much hoped for RIP for years and it continues to do so. Price has hit it again this weekend and stalled. Lastly, the more nuanced but important level is the final Volume Profile zone. Again, price hit and stalled at it this weekend. There are no more true significant levels of prior price and volume between this level and the All Time High. So what happens now? It is quite Boolean by my experience... a Yes/No with high probability. If THIS level (being discussed in this article) is broken then there is a very high probability that price will rocket from 69k to 74k as there are no more levels of resistance within that small range and the momentum should carry it up to the next level with certainty. Then, at the All Time High, price will certainly respond with another hold or a break. There is very good bullish trading of this small range. After the All Time High there will need to be a solid, confirmed breakout. To me this means a Weekly closing candle well above it. At that point... sky is the limit for Bitcoin. Otherwise, price holds here and the long and expanding consolidation continues as well as falls back to the ETF launch level of 43k. This is what I am betting on. Money where my mouth is: I am talking my book. I still remain long term short bitcoin using AMEX:BITI (the inverse ETF). I have been watching these developments closely to determine if my position is still valid. It has been on the cusp of being invalid but still remains my thesis. Sunday night I entered additional futures contracts short at the level. Trade wisely!
INDEX:BTCUSDShort
by norok
46
S&P 500 Is Higher Than Ever. Can Earnings Support the Growth?Tech giants are in the waiting room, prepping their financial updates while investors drool over prospects of AI-fueled revenues. The season kicked off with Wall Street banks posting some convincing numbers for the September quarter, painting an optimistic outlook for Corporate America’s biggest and brightest players. The S&P 500 is hot, hot, hot. Investors just can’t get enough of the 500-strong index and last Friday they pushed it to its 47th record closing high of the year. And they did it with finesse — on the eve of the 37th anniversary of the “Black Monday” market crash. (On Oct. 19, 1987, the S&P 500 wiped out a record 20% and the Nasdaq shed 12%.) Broadly, US indexes are having a bumper year, with most of them up double digits or more. With no time to waste, markets are shifting their attention to the looming slate of big tech earnings reports . Here’s what’s going to be turning heads this week: 📌 On Wednesday , EV maker Tesla TSLA will be the main character in the world of corporate updates. Wall Street is eyeballing earnings north of $25.4 billion, up from $23.4 billion in the year-ago quarter. Besides Elon Musk’s EV giant, Wednesday will bring earnings from Coca Cola KO , Boeing BA , IBM IBM and telecoms mainstays T-Mobile TMUS and AT&T T . 📌 On Thursday , the earnings roll keeps rolling in with e-commerce and cloud computing juggernaut Amazon AMZN reporting after the closing bell. But all that earnings action looks fairly light — wait till you see what’s cooking for next week. *drumroll please* … 🥁 The Magnificent Seven club of tech highflyers will be represented by four of its members. (Tesla and Amazon report the prior week and Nvidia NVDA reports in about a month from now.) 📌 On October 29 , Google parent Alphabet GOOGL is scheduled to report earnings figures. Shares of the tech heavyweight are up about 18% on the year but got stuck recently after the Department of Justice filed a range of possible changes aimed at reducing Google’s search dominance. 📌 On October 30 , Facebook parent Meta META and Microsoft MSFT will reveal how they fared in the three months through September. Mark Zuckerberg’s Meta flaunts a massive 65% year-to-date increase (and some new glow-up for its loose-shirt-wearing tech bro founder.) Microsoft, on the other hand, is up by a more modest clip of 12%. 📌 On October 31 , Apple AAPL will release its highly-anticipated earnings data that will include a glimpse into how well the new iPhone 16 is selling . Shares of Apple are up roughly 27% for the year. These seven mega-cap corporate giants are expected to show an 18% rise in third-quarter profits, according to Bloomberg Intelligence. If materialized, that would be substantially slower than the 36% seen in the second quarter. The sheer size of the pack accounts for about 30% of the total market cap of the S&P 500 (which not long ago celebrated its $50 trillion milestone .) Nvidia and Apple alone are worth more than $7 trillion combined. What’s on your radar for this earnings season? Are you waiting for a tech giant to dip or maybe you're after a bank stock or a car conglomerate? Share your comments below!
SP:SPX
by TradingView
13
The Payment Card Titan: Comparing Visa, Mastercard, and Amex◉ Abstract The global credit card market is projected to grow from USD 559.18 billion in 2023 to USD 1,146.62 billion by 2033, driven by advancements in digital payment technologies, e-commerce growth, increased financial literacy, and urbanization, especially in Asia-Pacific. Visa leads the market with a 38.73% share, followed by Mastercard and American Express. Visa and Mastercard operate primarily as payment networks, while American Express both issues cards and offers unique rewards. Financially, all three companies show strong revenue growth, with American Express yielding the highest ROI but also carrying significant debt. Despite this debt, American Express appears undervalued based on financial ratios. Overall, while American Express presents an attractive investment opportunity, Visa and Mastercard also demonstrate solid fundamentals and growth potential for investors in the expanding credit card market. Read the full analysis here . . . ◉ Introduction The Global Credit Card Market Size was Valued at USD 559.18 Billion in 2023 and the Worldwide Credit Card Market Size is Expected to Reach USD 1146.62 Billion by 2033, ◉ Key Growth Drivers ● Digitalization and Technology: Advancements in payment technologies, including mobile wallets and contactless payments, enhance convenience and security. ● E-Commerce Growth: The rise of online shopping increases demand for credit card payments, as consumers prefer their ease and safety. ● Financial Literacy: Improved understanding of financial products encourages more consumers, especially in developing regions, to adopt credit cards. ● Urbanization: Growing urban populations, particularly in Asia-Pacific, lead to greater access to banking services and credit facilities. ● Emerging Markets: Rising disposable incomes in developing countries drive new credit card accounts as financial institutions expand their offerings. ● Consumer Convenience: The preference for quick and easy payment methods boosts credit card usage over cash transactions. ● Rewards Programs: Attractive loyalty programs incentivize consumers to use credit cards for everyday purchases. ● Regulatory Support: Government initiatives promoting cashless transactions foster a favourable environment for credit card adoption. ◉ Market Overview As of 2022, the global credit card market was primarily led by Visa, which held a 38.73% share of the worldwide payment volume. Mastercard followed with a 24% market share, while American Express (Amex) accounted for 4.61%. Notably, China UnionPay is also a major player in this space, surpassing Amex in terms of purchase volume ◉ Key Players in the Payment Card Industry 1. Visa NYSE:V ● Market Cap: $552 B ● Market Share: 38.73% ● Business Model: Payment network facilitating transactions between consumers, businesses, banks, and governments globally. ● Card Issuance: Does not issue cards itself. ● Global Reach: Extensive acceptance network across more than 200 countries. 2. Mastercard NYSE:MA ● Market Cap: $474 B ● Market Share: 24% ● Business Model: Payment processor and network partnering with banks to offer various card products. ● Card Issuance: Does not issue cards itself. ● Global Reach: Broad acceptance worldwide with diverse products catering to different consumer needs. 3. American Express NYSE:AXP ● Market Cap: $203 B ● Market Share: 4.61% ● Business Model: Card issuer and payment network offering unique benefits and rewards directly to cardholders. ● Card Issuance: Issues its own cards. ● Global Reach: High acceptance rate in the US (99% of merchants), lower in Europe and Asia due to higher transaction fees. ◉ Technical Aspects ● From a technical perspective, there's a notable similarity among the three stocks: each is exhibiting strong bullish momentum, consistently achieving higher highs and higher lows. ● All three stocks have formed a Rounding Bottom pattern, and after breaking out, their prices have climbed to new heights. ● While Mastercard and American Express are currently trading at their all-time highs, Visa is positioned just below its peak. ◉ Relative Strength The chart vividly demonstrates that American Express has excelled remarkably, achieving a return of nearly 85%, whereas Mastercard and Visa have delivered returns of 28% and 20%, respectively. ◉ Revenue & Profit Analysis 1. Visa ● Year-over-Year ➖ In FY23, Visa achieved a remarkable revenue increase of 11.4%, reaching $32.7 billion, up from $29.3 billion in FY22. ➖ The EBITDA for FY23 also saw a significant rise, totalling $22.9 billion compared to $20.6 billion in FY22. ● Quarter-over-Quarter ➖ In the latest June quarter, Visa's revenue rose to $8.9 billion, slightly surpassing the $8.8 billion reported in March 2024. This reflects a year-over-year growth of nearly 9.5% from $8.1 billion in the same quarter last year. ➖ The EBITDA for the most recent June quarter reached $6.2 billion, indicating an almost 9% increase from $5.7 billion in the same quarter last year. ➖ In June, the diluted EPS saw a modest rise, climbing to $9.35 (LTM) from $8.94 (LTM) in March 2024, which represents a notable year-over-year increase of 18.6% from $30.3 (LTM). 2. Mastercard ● Year-over-Year ➖ Mastercard's revenue for FY23 experienced a robust growth of 12.9%, reaching $25.1 billion, up from $22.2 billion in FY22. ➖ The EBITDA for FY23 also increased, reporting $22.9 billion, up from $20.6 billion in FY22. ● Quarter-over-Quarter ➖ In the recent June quarter, Mastercard's revenue climbed to $7.0 billion, compared to $6.3 billion in March 2024. Year-over-year, this marks an increase of nearly 11% from $6.3 billion in the same quarter last year. ➖ The EBITDA for the latest June quarter was $4.4 billion, reflecting an almost 9% rise from $3.9 billion in March 2024. ➖ In June, the diluted EPS saw a slight increase, rising to $13.08 (LTM) from $12.59 (LTM) in March 2024, which is a significant year-over-year increase of 23% from $10.67 (LTM). 3. American Express ● Year-over-Year ➖ For the fiscal year 2023, the company experienced a remarkable revenue growth of 9.7%, reaching an impressive $55.6 billion, compared to $50.7 billion in fiscal year 2022. ➖ Additionally, operating income showed a positive trajectory, with fiscal year 2023 reporting $10.8 billion, an increase from $10 billion in the previous fiscal year. ● Quarter-over-Quarter ➖ In the latest June quarter, revenue continued its upward trend, totalling $15.1 billion, up from $14.5 billion in March 2024. This represents a significant year-over-year growth of nearly 8.7% from $13.9 billion in the June quarter of the previous year. ➖ Furthermore, operating income for the June quarter reached $3.2 billion, marking a substantial increase of almost 19% from $2.7 billion in the same quarter last year. ➖ The diluted earnings per share (EPS) also saw a remarkable rise in June, climbing to $13.39 (LTM) from $12.14 (LTM) in March 2024, which is a significant jump of 36% compared to $9.83 (LTM) in the same quarter last year. ◉ Valuation ● P/E Ratio ➖ Visa stands at a P/E ratio of 29.1x. ➖ Mastercard is at a P/E ratio of 38.7x. ➖ American Express shows a P/E ratio of 20.6x. ➖ When we analyze these figures, it becomes clear that American Express appears significantly undervalued compared to its peers. ● P/B Ratio ➖ Visa has a P/B ratio of 14.3x. ➖ Mastercard's P/B ratio is a staggering 64x. ➖ American Express, however, has a P/B ratio of just 6.8x. This further reinforces the notion that American Express is currently undervalued in the market. ● PEG Ratio ➖ Visa's PEG ratio is 1.56. ➖ Mastercard's PEG stands at 1.71. ➖ American Express shines with a PEG ratio of just 0.56. ➖ This metric also highlights American Express's superior value proposition compared to its peers. ◉ Cash Flow Analysis ➖ Visa's operating cash flow for the fiscal year 2023 has risen to $20.8 billion, marking a notable increase from $18.8 billion in fiscal year 2022. ➖ Similarly, Mastercard has experienced growth in its operating cash flow, which has reached $12 billion in fiscal year 2023, up from $11.2 billion in the previous year. ➖ In contrast, American Express has reported a significant decline in its operating cash flow, decreasing from $21.1 billion in fiscal year 2022 to $18.6 billion in fiscal year 2023. ◉ Debt Analysis 1. Visa ● Debt to Equity Ratio: Approximately 0.52 as of June 2024, indicating a stable financial structure with moderate leverage. ● Total Debt: About $20.6 billion. ● Total Shareholder Equity: $39.7 billion. ● Analysis: Visa's ratio reflects a cautious debt approach, balancing equity and debt financing, with net debt well-supported by operating cash flow, enhancing financial stability. 2. Mastercard ● Debt to Equity Ratio: Approximately 2.10, indicating a higher reliance on debt compared to Visa 5. ● Total Debt: $15.6 billion. ● Total Shareholder Equity: $7.5 billion. ● Analysis: Mastercard’s higher ratio suggests it is more aggressive in leveraging debt for growth initiatives compared to Visa. This strategy may lead to greater volatility in earnings due to interest obligations. 3. American Express ● Debt to Equity Ratio: Approximately 1.80, indicating a significant level of debt relative to equity 5. ● Total Debt: $53.2 billion. ● Total Shareholder Equity: $29.54 billion. ● Analysis: American Express’s ratio shows a strong reliance on debt financing, which can enhance growth but also introduces risks related to interest payments and market conditions. ◉ Top Shareholders 1. Visa ● The Vanguard Group has notably boosted its investment in Visa, now commanding a remarkable 7.52% share, reflecting a 0.62% increase since the close of the March quarter. ● In contrast, Blackrock maintains a stake of approximately 6.7% in the firm. 2. Mastercard ● When it comes to Mastercard, Vanguard has also made strides, raising its ownership to an impressive 8.27%, which is a 1.02% uptick since the end of March. ● Blackrock, on the other hand, has a substantial 7.56% stake, showing a 1.17% growth from the same period. 3. American Express ● As for American Express, Warren Buffet’s Berkshire Hathaway boasts a significant 21.3% stake in the company. ● Meanwhile, Vanguard holds a 6.36% interest, while Blackrock has a 5.89% share. ◉ Conclusion After a thorough analysis of both technical and financial indicators, we find that American Express offers a compelling valuation opportunity that is likely to attract investors. Nonetheless, it is important to recognize the significant debt load the company carries, a concern that also extends to Mastercard. ● From a technical standpoint, the chart for American Express seems to be stretched thin. Investors might want to hold off for a corrective dip to secure a more advantageous entry point. ● Mastercard's financial results reflect solid performance, though it carries a high level of debt. The technical chart indicates a slight overvaluation. Savvy investors might look to build their positions during times of price stabilization. ● Visa presents a well-rounded synergy between its technical and fundamental metrics. Its chart reveals a remarkable rebound, approaching previous all-time highs after a notable decline. The company's valuation and growth potential make it a compelling investment choice.
NYSE:VLong
by NaranjCapital
7
Update to Dow Jones Industrials Time At Mode Back in 2015 I had published a chart with annual data for the Dow Jones Industrials. I will provide a link at the bottom. The research for this patterning is something I did myself by hand using pencil and paper back in the 1980's. These patterns show up in all time frames. There is plenty of room to enhance the research on this technique and a group of us gather in the chat rooms here at TradingView to discuss new trades that set up and point out when trades expire. Notice how these two grey boxes (which are both 50% drops in price) that expand wider in time from the 1960's to the 1980's and the 2000-2010's had a multi-year trend, followed by a monster crash (1987 was 40% and 2000 was 37%) and then just two+ years later there was a secondary bear market of 20% in 1990 and 22% in 2022. Keep in mind this is just for the DJ:DJI and not the Nasdaq Composite or S&P500 which were greater corrections. The 11-year time frame of the 1999-2011 pattern allows for an 11-year rally from 2012 (which was year 1 of the 11-year rally) shows that time expired. As you can see from the 1943-1962 trend, a smaller 5-year mode formed at the end of the 20 year trend and then the market peaked in 1972-1973 when time expired for the second, smaller mode. I had to reconstruct this chart after the data for the previous chart changed symbol. See the link below to see the original. I look forward to your additional research onto this pattern and its implications to the idea that we are in a similar period to 1993-1994 with rally years of 1996, 1997, 1998, 1999 and 2000 ahead of us. All the best, Tim October 19, 2024 3:31PM EST
TVC:DJI
by timwest
14
Tracking Inflation with this Ratio - Crude Oil vs Gold RatioThe Fed is using this Crude Oil vs Gold ratio in tracking inflation. The one in white is the inflation and the one in yellow is the Crude Oil vs Gold ratio. We saw that when inflation peaked at 9% in June 2022, so did this ratio. Although we recently saw a cut in interest rates, the yields are now moving higher, and gold has maintained its high point. This makes us wonder: will inflation move toward the 2% target, or is it still at risk of rising further? Micro WTI Crude Oil Futures & Options Ticker: MCL Minimum fluctuation: 0.01 per barrel = $1.00 Disclaimer: • What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker. • Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises. CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups in real-time and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com
NYMEX:CL1!Long
by konhow
6
Bitcoin Breakout or Pullback Zone Before Heading Higher? In this video we examine the current Bitcoin chart at resistance. Most likely, we retrace here for a bit and then push higher into the next resistance zone of around $70k and possibly to retest the previous ATH zone @72k - 74k. Lots of sell pressure at the previous ATH which can also be seen on the Total Market Cap, using our Order Block Detector. Not much happening now and until we can find the money flow and volume to push up. Many people likely waiting for the election on Nov 5th, which coincides with the market cycle low according to our Market Cycle models (based on Hurst's research). Let me know your thoughts below, and please like the video. - Brett
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by BrettFogle
34
SUI needs small correction to continue again...Currently, SUI is moving near the Resistance lines and the Potential Reversal Zone; as you see in 4h channel. SUI has been increase about 360% in two months. It seems that according to the good news that has come for the Sui project, the increase of the SUI token may continue, but it will experience a correction to increase again. I expect SUI correction can be 20% - 30%. Follow the chart. Enter: 2.25 TP1: 2.15 TP2: 2.0 TP3: 1.95 SL: 2.40 ** Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Short
by meh_shad
33
Traders could veer towards the yen with risk events loomingIt is no coincidence that VIX futures have been creeping higher in recent weeks despite Wall Street hitting record highs, as traders are presumably hedging downside risk as we approach the US election. And that means it may not take much to spook traders out of bullish bets with markets at frothy levels, and that could see the yen strengthen as a safety play. Matt Simpson takes a technical look at yen pairs of interest.
Short
by CityIndex
5