Simple charts and methods can make money!It's a late summer Saturday afternoon and I am writing this so you don't have to! Lot's of people don't have time to watch the market all day and night. Here is a bare bones daily chart that you can easily construct from default configured Trading View community indicators and even more easily discern the correct market position. ONLY BE IN THE MARKET WHEN THE PRICE IS ABOVE OR BELOW BOTH INDICATORS. Configure TV Alerts from the SPX price cross of the indicators and be on your way. I position in pre and post SPX ETF markets off this chart Happy Trades! And now I'm going fishing. DAP
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NIFTY50: Comparative study of all major Indices.f we consider 27th Oct 2023 as BASE LINE (i.e from where the Current Rally Starts)
Here are the comparison of major indices as now (Base line treat as 0%)
CAC (French Index): +35.07%
NASDAQ (US Tech Index): +32.02%
NIFTY50 (NSE India INDEX): +31.29%
SP500 (US large 500 Company index LIKE in NSE NIFTY500): +31.03%
DAX (GERMANY Index) : +24.61%
DJI (Dow Jones Industrial Avg USA Index) +24.46%
NIKKEI (Index of JAPAN): +15.19%
UK100 (Index from United Kingdom Previously Known as FTSE): +12.27%
HANSSENG (Index of HONGKONG): +0.26%
SSE (Shanghi Composite China): -8.35%
INDIAAN RUPEE Vs US Doller: +0.87%
INDIAAN RUPEE Vs EURO: +6.09% (Good for TCS Like Stocks)
US Doller Vs EURO (Currency of EUROPIAN Uniom): +4.69%
Conclution: 1. Indian Indices is farely valued compare to NASDAQ & S&P500
2. Moderate OVERSTRETCHED CCompare to DAX & DOW Jones.
Trade what you see, not what you think or hope!There’s no better time to post this educational article than right now. Despite constantly reminding myself to "trade what you see, not what you think or hope," two days ago I did the exact opposite. I ignored a clear double Pin Bar formation at a support level, which resulted in me taking a stop loss.
Ironically, I knew better.
But, as the saying goes, "Do as the preacher says, not as the preacher does."
Let’s dive deeper into this vital concept—how emotions and our tendency to predict or hope for the market’s next move can lead us astray, and why sticking to what the charts show is crucial for long-term trading success.
Trade What You See, Not What You Think or Hope
In trading, the temptation to predict the market’s movement based on gut feeling, emotions, or even hope is always present. Whether you’re new to trading or experienced, this temptation can lead you to stray from your strategy, often with disastrous results.
Successful traders have mastered the discipline of relying on objective data—what they see on the charts—and they minimize the influence of personal bias or emotional decision-making. In this section, we will cover why trading what you see is essential, the pitfalls of emotional trading, and strategies to remain focused.
1. The Pitfall of Predicting the Market
One of the biggest mistakes traders make is attempting to outsmart the market by predicting its next move based on feelings or speculation. It's a lot like gambling. For instance, after a loss, traders may try to "get back" at the market by forcing trades or doubling down, just as a gambler would after a bad hand. This reactive behavior is the opposite of trading based on logic and a structured plan.
In fact, reacting emotionally after a loss or even after a win (due to overconfidence) creates patterns of erratic trading. Instead, traders should stick to price action setups and predefined trading strategies.
2. Objectivity Over Emotion
Trading involves acknowledging that the market doesn’t care about your emotional state. It’s not personal. And yet, so many traders get emotionally attached to their trades, thinking they can make the market to move in their favor. Instead, your goal should be to detach emotionally from individual trades and focus on the larger picture: is the setup you are seeing aligned with your strategy?
No matter how perfect a setup looks, you should never become overly confident or emotionally invested in a trade. Always maintain your risk management, even if you are sure this trade is a “winner.”
3. Emotions Can Be Deceptive
Your mind can play tricks on you, especially when you're hoping for a specific outcome. Often, traders get caught up in their ideas of where they "want" the price to go, or what they "think" the market "should" do. This can cloud judgment and lead to chasing trades, forcing setups where none exist.
Price action on the chart is objective. It doesn’t care about your opinions. By focusing on clean price action patterns and setups, you will avoid being misled by your own expectations.
4. Stick to Your Trading Plan
One of the most effective ways to ensure you're trading based on what you see is to stick to your trading plan. Every trade should be in line with the rules you’ve set in advance, whether that’s for entering, exiting, or managing risk. Deviating from your plan because of a gut feeling can quickly turn a good strategy into a string of bad decisions.
Ask yourself:
Is there a clear setup here, or am I just trying to make one up?
Does this trade align with my strategy and risk management rules?
5. Trust What the Charts Show You
The key takeaway is that no matter how tempting it is to speculate or act on emotions, the price action is your guide. Trust what the charts show you, even if it contradicts what you “feel” should happen. For instance, ignoring a perfect Pin Bar setup because you “hope” for a retracement can result in missed opportunities or losses.
Ultimately, price action trading boils down to looking at what the chart is telling you and not what you want it to say.
Have a nice weekend!
Mihai Iacob
Learn 7 Types of Liquidity Zones in Trading
In the today's article, we will discuss 7 main types of liquidity zones every trader must know.
Just a quick reminder that a liquidity zone is a specific area on a price chart where a huge amount of trading orders concentrate.
Read carefully, because your ability to recognize and distinguish them is essential for profitable trading.
1. Fibonacci Zones
The zones based on Fibonacci levels can concentrate the market liquidity.
Classic Fibonacci retracement levels: 0,382; 0,5; 0,618; 0.786
and Fibonacci Extension levels: 1,272; 1,414; 1,618 attract market participants and the liquidity.
Above, you can see an example of a liquidity zone based on 0,618 retracement level.
The reaction of the price to that Fib.level clearly indicate the concentration of liquidity around that.
Also, there are specific areas on a price chart where Fibonacci levels of different impulse legs will match.
Such zones will be called Fibonacci confluence zones.
Fibonacci confluence zones will be more significant Fibonacci based liquidity zones.
Above, is the example of a confluence zone that is based on 0,618 and 0,5 retracement levels of 2 impulses.
The underlined area is a perfect example of a significant liquidity zone that serves as the magnet for the price.
2. Psychological Zones
Psychological zones, based on psychological price levels and round numbers , quite often concentrate the market liquidity.
Look at a psychological level on WTI Crude Oil. 80.0 level composes a significant liquidity zones that proved its significance by multiple tests and strong bullish and bearish reactions to that.
3. Volume Based Zones
The analysis of market volumes with different technical indicators can show the liquidity zones where high trading volumes concentrate.
One of such indicators is Volume Profile.
On the right side, Volume Profile indicate the concentration of trading volumes on different price levels.
Volume spikes will show us the liquidity zones.
4. Historic Zones
Historic liquidity zones will be the areas on a price chart based on historically significant price levels.
Market participants pay close attention to the price levels that were respected by the market in the past. For that reason, such levels attract the market liquidity.
Above, you can see a historically significant price level on Silver.
It will compose an important liquidity zone.
5. Trend Lined Based Zones
Quite often, historically significant falling or rising trend lines can compose the liquidity zones.
Above is the example of an important rising trend line on GBPJPY pair.
Because of its historical significance, it will attract the market liquidity.
Trend lined based liquidity zone will be also called a floating liquidity area because it moves with time.
6. Technical Indicators Based Zones
Popular technical indicators may attract the market liquidity.
For example, universally applied Moving Average can concentrate huge trading volumes.
In the example above, a floating area around a commonly applied Simple Moving Average with 50 length, acts as a significant liquidity zone on EURJPY.
7. Confluence Zones
Confluence zones are the liquidity zones based on a confluence of liquidity zones of different types.
For example, a match between historic zones, Fibonacci zones and volume based zones.
Such liquidity zones are considered to be the most significant.
Look at the underlined liquidity zone on US100 index.
It is based on a historical price action, psychological level 17000, significant volume concentration indicated by volume indicator and 618 Fibonacci retracement.
Always remember a simple rule: the more different liquidity zone types match within a single area, the more significant is the confluence zone.
Your ability to recognize the significant liquidity zones is essential for predicting the market movements and recognition of important reversal areas.
Liquidity zones are the integral element of various trading strategies. Its identification and recognition is a core stone of technical analysis.
Study that with care and learn by heart all the liquidity types that we discussed today.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
Major earnings are times to hedge or BTDAs far more eloquent and technical writers have covered (spotgamma, etc) - it's very clear that the markets in general are driven by single name options on the largest market cap companies.
And to help visualize just how much volatility can happen around earnings on these single names, I wanted to be able to visualize those earnings dates and impacts against some of the major benchmark ETFs like SPY or QQQ.
So far, I hadn't seen a place that gives this a more clear presentation so here is my first attempt at visualizing just how large the ripples are from the "megacaps" (AAPL, MSFT, NVDA, TSLA, etc) in a very "glanceable" way.
Introducing this indicator here first!
Earnings Date Highlighter - from0_to_1
Easily see the earnings dates from top market movers or the top holdings of your favorite ETF!
GOLDEN ZONE TRADINGFibonacci retracements and extensions are technical analysis tools that use the Fibonacci sequence to identify potential support and resistance levels in financial markets. They are based on the mathematical concept that the ratio between any two consecutive numbers in the Fibonacci sequence approaches the golden ratio (approximately 1.618) as the numbers get larger.
Fibonacci Retracements:
Calculate levels: Fibonacci retracements are calculated by dividing the price difference between a high and a low by the Fibonacci ratios (0.000%, 23.6%, 38.2%, 50.0%, 61.8%, 100.0%).
Identify support and resistance: The resulting levels are plotted on the chart to identify potential support and resistance areas.
Trading strategy: Traders can use Fibonacci retracements to enter trades at support levels and exit trades at resistance levels.
Fibonacci Extensions:
Calculate levels: Fibonacci extensions are calculated by extending the price movement beyond a high or low by the Fibonacci ratios (1.618, 2.618, 4.236).
Identify potential targets: The resulting levels are plotted on the chart to identify potential price targets for a move.
Trading strategy: Traders can use Fibonacci extensions to set profit targets for their trades.
Golden Zone Trading:
The term "golden zone" is often used in conjunction with Fibonacci retracements and extensions. It refers to the area between the 38.2% and 61.8% retracement levels, which is considered to be a high-probability zone for price reversals or continuations.
Trading Strategies:
Buy at 38.2% retracement: If the price retraces to the 38.2% level and shows signs of bullish reversal (e.g., a higher low), traders can consider buying with a target at the 61.8% extension level.
Sell at 61.8% retracement: If the price retraces to the 61.8% level and shows signs of bearish reversal (e.g., a lower high), traders can consider selling with a target at the 61.8% extension level on the downside.
Use in combination with other indicators: Fibonacci retracements and extensions can be used in combination with other technical indicators (e.g., moving averages, RSI) to improve the accuracy of trading signals.
Important Considerations:
Subjectivity: Fibonacci analysis is a subjective tool, and the exact levels used may vary among traders.
Market conditions: The effectiveness of Fibonacci tools can vary depending on market conditions and the specific asset being traded.
Risk management: As with any trading strategy, it is important to use proper risk management techniques to protect your capital.
Additional Tips:
Practice: The best way to learn how to use Fibonacci tools effectively is to practice on historical data.
Combine with other analysis: Consider using Fibonacci tools in combination with other forms of technical analysis, such as chart patterns or support and resistance levels.
Be patient: Trading using Fibonacci tools often requires patience, as it may take time for price to reach the desired levels.
Remember: While Fibonacci retracements and extensions can be a valuable tool for traders, they are not infallible. It is important to use them in conjunction with other forms of analysis and to always practice good risk management.
Two Roads to Profit. A Comparison of ICT/SMC and Advanced VSAHello traders and investors!
When we start engaging in trading and investing, we get acquainted with various methods of forecasting price movements. Gradually, if we have enough persistence, strength, and patience, we choose our own path to profitable trades. Among the most popular approaches, we can highlight the use of various oscillators and channels, Dow Theory, Elliott Waves, Fibonacci levels, supply and demand, Volume Spread Analysis (VSA), market auction theory, and the Inner Circle Trader/Smart Money Concept (ICT/SMC). Many traders combine elements from different approaches into their trading system.
I personally prefer a concept I call Advanced VSA. It’s a comprehensive set of tools that combines ideas from VSA, Dow Theory, and Supply and Demand analysis. The name "Advanced VSA" perfectly captures the essence of the method, as it is fundamentally based on analyzing volume and price spread.
Recently, the ICT/SMC concept has been gaining more and more popularity. Today, I want to explore the similarities and differences between ICT/SMC and Advanced VSA. If there are any inaccuracies in my explanation of ICT/SMC basics, feel free to correct me in the comments. Perhaps after reading this article, you’ll be able to decide which approach resonates more with you and which one you believe will help you in your trading. I hope this will be helpful. Let’s dive in!
Basic Differences
Before diving into the technical details, let's first clarify the key differences between these concepts.
Who Controls Price Movements
The ICT/SMC concept assumes that price movements are controlled by large players, such as market makers, who direct prices in the desired direction. This is similar to a model where one "center of power" determines the market's direction.
In contrast, Advanced VSA is based on the idea that two forces influence price — the Buyer and the Seller. All analysis revolves around the interaction between these two sides, creating a more balanced model where both forces are equally important.
Traded Volume
The ICT/SMC concept does not use traded volume as a part of its analysis.
In Advanced VSA, volume is an important factor. It is considered an integral part of the data that helps to understand market processes and the actions of participants.
Now let’s move on to a detailed comparison of the elements of these concepts.
What They Have in Common
Both concepts teach traders to identify price ranges on the chart where a large player (Market Maker in ICT/SMC) or a Buyer (in Advanced VSA) shows interest in buying, and ranges where the Market Maker or Seller is interested in selling. When the price returns to these ranges, traders can execute buys or sells. We can call these price ranges contextual areas for buying and selling.
Neither concept relies on technical indicators. Instead, they focus on the following key terms for identifying the trade direction and the trade entry point:
Trend
Trend break/half-trend
Trend confirmation
Accumulation/Distribution/Sideways movement/Flat
Contextual areas for buying and selling
The first four terms help determine the direction of the trade, while the fifth helps identify the entry point and the likely target of the trade.
Both methods suggest using higher timeframes to find contextual areas and lower timeframes to find entry points within those areas.
What Are the Differences
The differences between the concepts lie in the interpretation of key terms. For the first four terms (trend, trend break, trend confirmation, accumulation/distribution/Sideways movement), the distinctions are minor and relate mostly to specific interpretations. However, the main differences arise in the rules for identifying contextual areas of interest (buyer, seller, or market maker). Let's look at these differences in more detail.
Difference 1: Use of Volume
In ICT/SMC, contextual areas of interest are determined solely based on price action and candlestick patterns, without taking traded volume into account.
In contrast, Advanced VSA sees volume as an integral part of the analysis. contextual areas of interest are identified by both traded volume and price behavior (candlestick patterns). If there was interest from a buyer, seller in a specific price range, leading to a price change, it's logical to assume that the volume traded in that range should be higher than in previous periods over a similar timeframe.
To illustrate the importance of using all available data for analysis, consider an analogy with choosing the best time for a seaside vacation. If the decision is based only on water and air temperature, while ignoring factors like wind or rainfall, the choice may be misguided. For example, choosing April for its comfortable temperature might result in encountering constant rain and high waves.
Thus, in Advanced VSA, volume plays a crucial role, whereas it is absent in ICT/SMC.
Difference 2: Types of Contextual Areas of Interest
In ICT/SMC, the following types of contextual areas of interest are used: order block, breaker, mitigation block, and rejection block. All of these areas are formed by a specific arrangement of candles on the chart.
In contrast, Advanced VSA operates with a different set of contextual areas of interest: effort, zone, and range (sideways movement). Effort refers to a single candle or bar that indicates significant market activity. Zone is formed by a sequence of candles or bars, taking into account their traded volumes. Range (sideways movement) is defined by a series of consecutive candles/bars where price fluctuates within a limited range, interacting alternately with the upper and lower boundaries of the range. It's only possible to identify which party (buyer, seller, or market maker) controls the range after the price breaks out and confirms the move.
If the volumes align with Advanced VSA's criteria, order blocks and mitigation blocks in ICT/SMC can be considered as zones in Advanced VSA. So, not all order blocks and mitigation blocks will be considered zones in Advanced VSA. The breaker will be discussed separately, and there is no equivalent to the rejection block in Advanced VSA.
Difference 3. Price Attraction Points
In ICT/SMC, concepts such as fair value gap, liquidity void, and liquidity are used to describe price attraction points.
In Advanced VSA, the terms fair value gap and liquidity void are not utilized. Most of the time, these ICT/SMC elements correspond to price interest points in Advanced VSA, such as effort. The term liquidity has the same meaning.
Difference 4. Importance of Levels
In Advanced VSA, levels play an important role in identifying trade opportunities. To understand the significance of levels, let’s first recall the concepts of trend and range (sideways movement). In both ICT/SMC and Advanced VSA, a trend is broken down into components, often referred to as impulses or expansion moves. A range, on the other hand, is characterized by its boundaries and the vectors of price movement between those boundaries.
In Advanced VSA, important trading signals include the defense of a broken level or a price retracement to a level followed by its defense.
In Advanced VSA, the defense of a broken level or the cancellation of a breakout (where the price returns back behind the broken level) followed by a defense of that level is considered a signal for identifying trades. This method helps traders spot potential entry points where either buyers or sellers to protect a key price level, giving more confidence in the direction of the market. The most important levels include the base of the last impulse, the boundaries of a range, and the test level of a zone.
In ICT/SMC, there are no direct equivalents of these elements when it comes to searching for trades. However, breakers and sometimes mitigation blocks serve similar purposes to the levels in Advanced VSA, but the approaches differ. In ICT/SMC, trades are typically executed within the breaker or mitigation block, whereas in Advanced VSA, trades are found when a level is defended: buy trades above the level (supported by buyers), and sell trades below the level (supported by sellers).
Additionally, Advanced VSA allows for trading within ranges, moving from one boundary to the other, as long as the boundaries are defended.
Summary
Despite the shared terms and similar approaches, there are significant differences between the two concepts:
Number of forces influencing price movement: In ICT/SMC, it is believed that price is controlled by a single force, the Market Maker (MM). In contrast, Advanced VSA considers the interaction of two forces—buyers and sellers—as driving price movements.
Use of volume in analysis: ICT/SMC does not take traded volume into account during analysis, while in Advanced VSA, volume is a crucial element for identifying market forces and areas of interest.
Use of levels for trade entries: In ICT/SMC, levels do not play an important role, whereas in Advanced VSA, levels one of the possible places for identifying potential trade setups.
Good luck with your trading and investing!
The Art of Candlestick Trading: How to Spot Market Turns EarlyBuckle up, TradingViewers! It's time to unravel the ancient secrets of candlestick patterns. Originating from an 18th-century Japanese rice trader, these patterns aren't simply red and green elements on your trading charts—they are the Rosetta Stone of market sentiment, offering insights into the highs and lows and the middle ground of buyers and sellers’ dealmaking.
If you’re ready to crack the code of the market from a technical standpoint and go inside the minds of bulls and bears, let’s light this candle!
Understanding the Basics: The Candlestick Construction
First things first, let’s get the basics hammered out. A candlestick (or Candle in your TradingView Supercharts panel) displays four key pieces of information: the open, close, high, and low prices for a particular trading period. It might be 1 minute, 4 hours, a day or a week — candlesticks are available on every time frame. Here’s the breakdown:
The Body : This is the chunky part of the candle. If the close is above the open, the body is usually colored in white or green, representing a bullish session. If the close is below the open, the color is usually black or red, indicating a bearish session.
The Wicks (or Shadows) : These are the thin lines poking out of the body, showing the high and low prices during the session. They tell tales of price extremes and rejections.
Understanding the interplay between the body and the wicks will give you insight into market dynamics. It’s like watching a mini-drama play out over the trading day.
Key Candlestick Patterns and What They Mean
Now onto the fun part — candlestick formations and patterns may help you spot market turns (or continuations) early in the cycle.
The Doji : This little guy is like the market’s way of throwing up its hands and declaring a truce between buyers and sellers. The open and close are virtually the same, painting a cross or plus sign shape. It signals indecision, which could mean a reversal or a continuation, depending on the context. See a Doji after a long uptrend? Might be time to brace for a downturn.
The Hammer and the Hanging Man : These candles have small bodies, little to no upper wick, and long lower wicks. A Hammer usually forms during a downtrend, suggesting a potential reversal to the upside. The Hanging Man, its evil twin, appears during an uptrend and warns of a potential drop.
Bullish and Bearish Engulfing: These are the bullies of candlestick patterns. A Bullish Engulfing pattern happens when a small bearish candle is followed by a large bullish candle that completely engulfs the prior candle's body — suggesting a strong turn to the bulls. Bearish Engulfing is the opposite, with a small bullish candle followed by a big bearish one, hinting that bears might be taking control of the wheel.
The Morning Star and the Evening Star : These are three-candle patterns signaling major shifts. The Morning Star — a bullish reversal pattern — consists of a bearish candle, a small-bodied middle candle, and a long bullish candle. Think the dawn of new bullish momentum. The Evening Star, the bearish counterpart, indicates the onset of bearish momentum, as if the sun is setting on bullish prices.
The Shooting Star and the Inverted Hammer : Last but not least, these candles indicate rejection of higher prices (Shooting Star) or lower prices (Inverted Hammer). Both feature small bodies, long upper wicks, and little to no lower wick. They flag price exhaustion and potential reversals.
Trading Candlestick Patterns: Tips for Profitable Entries
Context is King : Always interpret candlestick patterns within the larger market context. A Bullish Engulfing pattern at a key support level is more likely to pan out than one in no-man’s-land.
Volume Validates : A candlestick pattern with high trading volume gives a stronger signal. It’s like the market shouting, “Hey, I really mean this move!”
Confirm with Other Indicators : Don’t rely solely on candlesticks, though. Use them in conjunction with other technical tools like RSI, MACD, or moving averages to confirm signals.
Wrapping It Up
Candlestick patterns give you a sense for the market’s pulse and offer insights into its moment-to-moment sentiment — is it overreacting or staying too tight-lipped. Mastering candlesticks can elevate your trading by helping you spot trend reversals and continuations. These patterns aren’t foolproof — they are powerful tools in your trading toolkit but require additional work, knowledge and context to give them a higher probability of confirmation.
It’s time to light up those charts and let the candlesticks illuminate your trading path to some good profits!
The BEST Shortcut to Consistent Trades: Multi-Timeframe Magic!Here’s a **top-down analysis** of the **XAUUSD (Gold Spot)** based on the charts and liquidity zones (LQZ) , starting from the **higher timeframes** to the **lower timeframes**. This approach helps to align trade decisions with the broader market context.
1. Weekly Timeframe:
- Weekly Flag Trendline: The price is testing the upper boundary of a long-term flag pattern. This flag could be seen as a **continuation pattern** in a larger bullish market structure.
- Scenario: A breakout above this weekly flag would suggest the resumption of the broader **uptrend**, targeting significant levels around **$2,600 and higher**.
- Bearish Risk: A strong rejection from this trendline could signal a larger pullback, potentially targeting support around **$2,470** (Daily LQZ) or lower.
2. Daily Timeframe:
- Trend: The daily structure shows price building towards testing resistance at the **4-hour LQZ** of **$2,532.144**. If momentum continues, a breakout could confirm a larger bullish push.
- Daily LQZ: Located at **$2,470.804**, this is a critical support level. A break below it would signal a change in the market structure towards more bearish conditions.
3. 4-Hour Timeframe:
- **4-Hour LQZ**: Key resistance at **$2,532.144**. If this is breached, it confirms a breakout of the flag on higher timeframes, leading to a stronger bullish move. A failure to break this level could trigger a reversal back to lower support zones.
- Pattern: The current price action is consolidating near the top of the wedge, indicating indecision but with potential to resolve upwards if the breakout sustains.
4. 1-Hour Timeframe:
- Support: **1-hour LQZ** at **$2,513.704** acts as immediate support. It’s vital to monitor how price reacts around this area. A hold above this level suggests bulls remain in control.
- Entry Considerations: Watch for a clean breakout above the **weekly flag trendline** with price closing above the **4-hour LQZ** and respecting the **1-hour LQZ** during pullbacks. A break of this support may invalidate the bullish scenario, leading to downside risks.
Key Scenarios:
1. Bullish (Preferred):
- A breakout above the weekly flag pattern, supported by a breakout of the **4-hour LQZ** at **$2,532.144**, would signal a continuation of the bullish trend.
- Target higher levels around **$2,560** initially, with potential further upside towards **$2,600** if momentum remains strong.
2. Bearish (Risk Scenario):
- A failure to break the **4-hour LQZ** or a rejection at the weekly flag trendline, coupled with a break below the **1-hour LQZ** at **$2,513.704**, could lead to a move lower.
- Targets for shorts would include the **Daily LQZ** at **$2,470.804**, with further downside to **$2,420** and **$2,402** if bearish momentum builds.
Confluence Factors:
- The alignment between the **weekly flag breakout** and price respecting **lower timeframe LQZ** levels will be crucial for confirming a sustained trend.
- Conversely, any rejection and failure to hold these levels could shift bias towards downside risks.
Conclusion:
This **top-down analysis** favors a **bullish breakout**, but careful monitoring is required at critical resistance levels. Risk should be managed tightly around the **1-hour and 4-hour LQZs** to confirm trend direction.
Understanding Order Block Trading StrategyOrder block trading is a technical analysis strategy that identifies potential support or resistance levels based on the accumulation or distribution of orders within a specific price range. These areas are often referred to as "order blocks."
Key Concepts:
Order Block: A price range where a significant number of buy or sell orders have been placed.
Support: A price level where demand is strong enough to prevent the price from falling further.
Resistance: A price level where supply is strong enough to prevent the price from rising further.
Identifying Order Blocks:
Price Action: Look for areas where the price has consolidated or paused for a significant period, indicating a potential accumulation or distribution of orders.
Volume: Analyze the volume profile to confirm the presence of an order block. High volume during consolidation can indicate a larger accumulation or distribution.
Structure: Consider the overall market structure and trend direction. Order blocks are more likely to be effective in a trending market.
Trading Strategies:
Buying at Support: If the price approaches a confirmed support level (an order block where accumulation has occurred), consider buying with the expectation that the price will bounce off the support.
Selling at Resistance: If the price approaches a confirmed resistance level (an order block where distribution has occurred), consider selling with the expectation that the price will reverse downward.
Using Order Blocks as Targets: Once a trade is initiated, use the order block as a potential profit target. If the price reaches the order block level, consider taking profits.
Stop-Loss Placement: Place a stop-loss below the support level for long positions and above the resistance level for short positions to manage risk.
Example:
In this example, the shaded area represents an order block where a significant number of buy orders were likely placed. If the price approaches this level from below, traders might consider buying with the expectation that the price will bounce off the support.
Note: Order block trading is not a foolproof strategy and requires practice and experience to master. It's essential to combine this technique with other forms of technical analysis and risk management strategies.
Forex Trader or Forex Gambler: Which One Are You?In Forex trading, it’s crucial to distinguish between a professional approach and a gambling mindset. Often, new traders unintentionally approach the market like gamblers, driven by emotion or the desire for fast profits. However, success in Forex is about being methodical and disciplined, rather than relying on chance.
Let’s explore the key differences between a Forex trader and a Forex gambler:
1. Mindset: Strategy vs. Chance
The Trader: A Forex trader works with a clear strategy, rooted in research and planning. They know that short-term market fluctuations are unpredictable, but over time, a sound strategy can generate positive results. Their approach is logical and systematic, focusing on probability and risk management.
The Gambler: A Forex gambler, by contrast, takes trades impulsively, without a clear plan. They rely on luck or gut feelings, hoping for quick profits. Their actions are often driven by emotion rather than analysis, leading to inconsistent and risky trades.
2. Risk Management: Controlled vs. Reckless
The Trader: Proper risk management is a defining trait of a successful trader. They always know how much they are willing to risk on a trade and use tools like stop-loss orders to limit their downside. They never gamble their entire capital on a single trade, aiming for sustainable, long-term growth.
The Gambler: A gambler often overexposes themselves to risk, betting large portions of their account on a single trade in hopes of a big win. They may also chase losses by increasing their trade sizes, which can result in large losses and a wiped-out account.
3. Emotion: Discipline vs. Impulsiveness
The Trader: Emotional discipline is key to a trader’s success. They stick to their plan and don’t let emotions like fear or greed dictate their actions. They understand that not every trade will be a winner and accept losses as part of the process.
The Gambler: A gambler is highly emotional, letting wins and losses affect their judgment. When they lose, they may become desperate and make rash decisions in an attempt to recover. When they win, they might get overconfident, taking riskier trades. This emotional rollercoaster leads to poor decision-making.
4. Time Horizon: Long-Term Growth vs. Quick Wins
The Trader: Traders focus on the long-term growth of their capital, understanding that consistent profits come with time. They aim for steady returns and have the patience to wait for the right trade setups.
The Gambler: A gambler is in it for quick wins. They’re often driven by the desire to get rich quickly, taking high-risk trades with no regard for long-term consequences. They don’t think about sustainability, and when things go wrong, they often face big losses.
5. Preparation: Research vs. Guesswork
The Trader: Traders spend significant time studying the market, using both technical and fundamental analysis. They understand the factors driving price movements and enter trades based on sound research.
The Gambler: A gambler doesn’t bother with in-depth research. Instead, they rely on guesswork, tips, or simply hope that the market will move in their favor. They don’t consider economic data or market trends, which leaves them exposed to high risks.
6. Patience: Waiting for Setups vs. Overtrading
The Trader: Successful traders know that not every market condition is ideal for trading. They wait for their strategy to signal a high-probability setup and don’t feel the need to be in the market at all times.
The Gambler: Gamblers tend to overtrade, feeling the need to always have an open position. They frequently chase market movements without a clear plan, leading to erratic and impulsive trades. Overtrading increases transaction costs and can erode their capital over time.
Moving Beyond the Gambler's Mentality
Now that you understand the key differences between a trader and a gambler, how can you ensure you’re approaching the Forex market as a trader?
1. Develop a Clear Strategy
A trader follows a well-defined plan based on technical or fundamental analysis. If you’re trading without a system, take the time to develop a strategy that suits your trading style. Your plan should include entry and exit points, risk management, and a clear set of rules to follow.
2. Embrace Risk Management
Risk management is not optional; it’s the foundation of long-term success. Always know how much you’re willing to risk on a trade and use stop-loss orders to protect your capital. As a rule of thumb, never risk more than 1-2% of your account on a single trade.
3. Keep Your Emotions in Check
One of the most challenging aspects of trading is controlling your emotions. Avoid emotional decision-making by sticking to your plan. If you find yourself making impulsive trades out of fear or greed, take a step back and reevaluate.
4. Focus on Long-Term Success
It’s easy to get caught up in the excitement of short-term wins, but remember, successful trading is a marathon, not a sprint. Focus on consistent, incremental gains over time rather than chasing quick profits.
5. Educate Yourself Continuously
The markets are always changing, and as a trader, you should be committed to continuous learning. Read books, follow market news, and study other successful traders. The more you know, the better equipped you’ll be to navigate the markets with confidence.
Conclusion: Which One Are You?
The main difference between a Forex trader and a gambler lies in discipline, preparation, and mindset. While a trader uses strategy, patience, and risk management to grow their capital sustainably, a gambler relies on luck, emotion, and impulsiveness, which leads to inconsistent and often damaging results.
If you find yourself trading on gut feelings, overtrading, or taking on too much risk, it might be time to reassess your approach and shift your mindset toward that of a disciplined trader.
Drop Base Drop Pattern: A Technical Analysis PerspectiveDefinition:
The Drop Base Drop pattern is a technical chart pattern that indicates a potential continuation of a downtrend. It consists of a sharp decline in price, followed by a period of consolidation or sideways movement (the base), and then a resumption of the downtrend.
Formation:
First Drop: A significant price decline.
Base Formation: A period of consolidation or sideways movement, often below the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level of the previous decline.
Second Drop: A continuation of the downtrend, breaking below the base's low.
Trading Implications:
Sell Signal: If the Drop Base Drop forms below the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level in a downtrend, it suggests a potential continuation of the bearish trend.
Risk Management: Employ stop-loss orders to mitigate potential losses.
Confirmation: Seek additional technical indicators or chart patterns to reinforce the bearish signal.
Key Considerations:
False Breakouts: Be cautious of false breakouts, where the price temporarily breaks below the base's low but then reverses.
Market Conditions: The effectiveness of the pattern may vary depending on overall market conditions and the specific characteristics of the underlying asset.
Individual Stocks: The pattern's reliability can differ between stocks. Analyze multiple timeframes and technical indicators for a more comprehensive assessment.
Conclusion:
The Drop Base Drop pattern can be a valuable tool for identifying potential downtrend continuations. However, it's essential to use it in conjunction with other technical analysis techniques and risk management strategies.
The SAFEST Entry Technique - 18 Period Moving Average MethodA great deal of viewers have contacted me asking how I "time" the market. In other words, once I've identified a market as "set up" (via COT strategy or Valuation Strategy), how do I get into a trade.
This video is the first in a series that will outline the entry techniques that I use.
18 PERIOD MOVING AVERAGE ENTRY METHOD:
By far, this method is the safest change of trend confirmation that you will find. There are other entry techniques that will get you into the market sooner, sure. But those other entry techniques come with greater risk, and could be called "bottom picking" to some degree.
The 18 Period MA Entry Method is simple.
STEP 1: Plot the 18 period SMA on your chart based on the closing price.
STEP 2: For LONGS , you need to see two full range candles form ABOVE the MA. From there, mark out the highest high of those 2 candles. When price trades up into that high, the trend has officially changed to bullish. For SHORTS , you need to see to full range candles form BELOW the MA. From there, mark out the lowest low of those 2 candles. When price trades down into that low, the trend has officially changed to bearish.
CAVEAT: We do not count inside bars (bars that form within the range of the previous candle). If you see inside bars, skip them and continue your 2 bar count.
STEP 3: Enter at market when high/low is breached. Risk management is something I will review in another video, but generally, I add/subtract 120%-150% of the 3 bar ATR.
CLARIFICATION: To be clear, this entry technique should not be traded blindly. You need to have a REASON to take the trade (for example, COT strategy suggests a market is setup for a trade, or the Valuation/Ducks in a Barrel setup suggests a market is setup for a trade).
CREDIT: I credit Larry Williams, Tom DeMark, Brian Schad & Jake Bernstein for their influence in these ideas.
If you have any questions about this entry technique, feel free to shoot me a message.
Good Luck & Good Trading.
Trading EURUSD | Judas Swing Strategy 05/09/2024At 08:25 EST, we were at our trading desk, eager for opportunities the trading session might offer. We began our session by marking out our trading zones.
After an hour and a half, we observed a sweep of liquidity at the high of the zone, signaling potential selling opportunities in this trading session. Shortly after the liquidity sweep, there was a structural break to the downside, bolstering our confidence in the emerging setup. The next step was to wait for a retracement into the freshly formed Fair Value Gap (FVG).
We have finally seen price trade back into the Fair Value Gap (FVG). After the closure of the candle that retraced into the FVG, we can execute our trade since all the criteria on our checklist for trade entry have been fulfilled.
This trade experienced a drawdown for just five minutes before price began to move favorably in our anticipated direction. Patience is key as we await the trade's result. Whether it results in a win or a loss, we are prepared for either outcome since we have risked only 1% of our account, targeting a 2% return.
Upon reviewing the position, we found it had returned to our entry point. At such a juncture, traders who have risked more than they can afford may panic. However, our comprehensive backtesting data on this strategy reinforces our confidence in the strategy, risk management approach and the importance of trusting the process.
We were unlucky this time as the trade hit our stop loss and we lost 1% on this trade. The Judas Swing strategy is a simple strategy any trader can add to their arsenal. A trader simply needs to be present between 08:30 and 11:00 EST to look for trading setups. While not the "holy grail", this strategy boasts a win rate of approximately 50% and a risk-reward ratio of 1:2
Emerging markets (EEM) - Bear Flag targets $18Back in 2021, I posted about Emerging markets with a title "EEM. Emerging markets could drop within the last leg down"
The plan plays out well so far and I found another educational pattern for you on it today.
The Bear Flag appears in the chart as I spotted it on time. The price is still within the Flag
and breakdown below the downside of the pattern would trigger the continuation of the downtrend after this consolidation.
The target is located at the distance of the Pole subtracted from the downside of the Flag.
$18 is the bottom of the large range and the aim for the Bear Flag.
This is the beauty of the patterns as they match with other type of analysis.
Forex: Money Management MattersForex: Money Management Matters
Forex trading management is of paramount importance. Currency trading is not a game of chance, so a trader can and should control risk, monitor cash flow, and regularly review their strategies. In forex trading, where prices change rapidly, money management becomes the most useful tool. This FXOpen article discusses some popular forex money management strategies you need to know about.
What Is Money Management in Forex?
Forex money management refers to a set of principles, strategies, and techniques used by traders to effectively manage capital when working on the foreign exchange market. Money management in trading is interconnected with risk management.
Money management for traders is not just about preserving your capital; it’s about the possibility to maximise your returns and minimise risks. It’s the framework that separates successful traders from the rest.
Money Management in Trading
Without money and risk management, a trader is like a sailor navigating dangerous waters without a compass. To help you find a way to preserve capital, below there’s a list of the most widely used strategies.
Calculating Position Sizes
One of the most popular forex money management strategies is determining position sizes. This involves sizing each trade according to your trading capital and risk tolerance. It helps ensure that a single losing trade does not significantly drain your trading account. Let’s take a look at the most common methods.
Fixed lot sizes. With this approach, you trade a set number of lots or units for every position. This provides consistency, as each trade carries the same position size. Fixed lot sizes also allow for precise control over the monetary risk. However, this model may not adapt well to changes in market conditions and your capital.
Percentage-based position sizing. This approach allows you to adjust your position size depending on the size of your trading account or the amount you are willing to risk on each trade. The position size can grow with the account and shrink during drawdowns. This helps you maintain a constant level of risk in different trades. However, the calculations require more mathematical effort than with fixed lot sizes.
Volatility-based position sizing. Here, the size of positions is adjusted depending on the level of volatility in the market. If volatility is high, a trader might trade smaller positions, and if it is low, a trader might trade larger positions. This model aims to limit risk during times of elevated market uncertainty. However, the approach is complex and requires the monitoring and analysis of market changes.
Risk-based position sizing models. Such models are designed to match the position size to your defined risk tolerance. You specify the maximum amount you are willing to risk on a trade, and the model calculates the position size accordingly. This approach prevents trades from having a disproportionate impact on the overall account balance. However, in risk-based models, the position size may not adapt to different levels of market volatility.
Setting Stop-Loss Orders
A stop-loss order is a predefined price level at which you decide to exit a trade. It helps you maintain discipline and avoid emotionally driven decisions. By setting a stop-loss order, you protect your trading capital — it acts as a safety net, ensuring that you don’t incur losses beyond the predetermined level.
Placing stop-loss orders at the right levels is a skill that can significantly impact trading results. Here are some techniques:
1. You can use technical analysis tools , such as support and resistance levels, trend lines, and chart patterns, to identify logical places for stop-loss orders.
2. You can adjust your stop-loss levels based on the volatility of the currency pair you’re trading. In highly volatile markets, wider stops help to account for price fluctuations, while in calmer markets, tighter stops may be appropriate.
3. You can analyse multiple time frames to gain a comprehensive view of the market. This helps identify both short-term and long-term support and resistance levels for placing stop-loss orders.
4. You can consider using trailing stop-loss orders , which automatically adjust as the trade moves in your favour. They allow you to lock in profits while letting a winning trade run, reducing the risk of prematurely exiting a profitable trade.
Thanks to technical advancement, there are now many online tools that can help you in trading. For example, using a forex true money management calculator, traders can accurately determine their position sizes and risk levels and enhance their trading strategies.
Diversifying Assets
In forex, diversification is a key money management strategy that involves spreading your investments across different currency pairs. The goal is to reduce the impact of a poor-performing asset on your overall portfolio and increase the chances of achieving consistent returns.
Traders combine major, minor, and exotic currency pairs to spread risk. Majors are known for their liquidity and stability, while minors and exotics often offer unique opportunities. You can also explore other asset classes, for instance, stocks, indices, cryptocurrencies*, or commodities and trade their CFDs at FXOpen.
Analysing Correlation
Understanding how different assets are correlated with one another is crucial for effective diversification. Asset correlations indicate how two or more assets move against each other. There are positive and negative correlations.
- A positive correlation is when two assets move in the same direction. For example, if EUR/USD and GBP/USD have a positive correlation, they tend to move up and down together.
- A negative correlation is when two assets move in opposite directions. If USD/JPY and AUD/CAD have a negative correlation, when USD/JPY rises, AUD/CAD tends to fall, and vice versa.
Correlation coefficients range from -1 to 1, indicating the strength and direction of correlation. It’s a good idea to use historical data and statistical tools to measure correlations between currency pairs and other assets. On the TickTrader platform, you can find useful charts with historical currency pair quotes.
Final Thoughts
Your performance in the forex market is not only determined by forecasting price movements. It largely depends on the ability to manage money, reduce risks, and preserve capital. By applying the strategies and principles discussed above, you will be able to confidently and competently navigate the forex market. You can open an FXOpen account to test these strategies and techniques.
*At FXOpen UK and FXOpen AU, Cryptocurrency CFDs are only available for trading by those clients categorised as Professional clients under FCA Rules and Professional clients under ASIC Rules, respectively. They are not available for trading by Retail clients.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
What makes a good business plan for your trading?Some insights into my experience building a solid business plan for my FX/Indices/Commodities trading portfolio:
1️⃣ Define clear objectives: I set specific, measurable, achievable, relevant, and time-bound (SMART) goals for my forex trading. Having a clear vision helps me stay focused and track progress.
2️⃣ Risk management is paramount: I prioritize risk management above all. I define my risk tolerance, mark circuit breaker protection levels, drawdown thresholds, set damage control levels, and use proper position sizing to protect my capital. Preserving my trading capital is key to longevity.
3️⃣ Choose a trading style: I identify a trading style that suits my personality, schedule, and risk appetite. Whether it's day trading, swing trading, or scalping, consistency in execution is vital but I usually end up with a mix.
4️⃣ Strategy & analysis: I develop a robust trading and portfolio balance strategy based on technical analysis, fundamental factors, sentiment or a combination. Regularly reviewing and fine-tuning my approach ensures adaptability to changing market conditions.
5️⃣ Monitor & review performance: I keep a detailed trading journal to track trades, analyze patterns, and identify strengths and weaknesses. Reviewing my performance on a bi-annual basis helps me make data-driven improvements.
6️⃣ Stay disciplined & patient: Emotions can sway decisions. I cultivate discipline and patience to stick to my plan, avoid impulsive moves, and always apply my edge consistently regardless of emotional state.
7️⃣ Continuous learning: Forex markets evolve, and so do I. I invest time in learning and reading market insights. Staying informed is crucial for staying ahead.
My trading business plan is not rigid but adapts as I grow and gain experience. It keeps me focused, accountable, and resilient amidst the market's uncertainties. 🚀📈
Head & Shoulders pattern: 10 year yield could drop to 2.87%The series of tops shaped notorious Head & Shoulders pattern
on 10-Year Treasury yield (TNX).
The tallest peak is the Head and Shoulders are on both sides.
The Neckline is the support that is built through valleys of the Head.
The price has breached the Neckline this summer triggering the pattern bullish scenario.
The target is calculated by subtracting the height of the Head (from top to Neckline) from
breakdown point on the Neckline. It is located around 2.87%.
Almost 1% down from the current level
ADX — Or The 1-Minute Hack For Better Trading ResultsEvery trader dreams about that magic trick that delivers better trading results—this one little thing that miraculously turns their strategy into a bullet-proof winner, striking a 100% success rate.
Unfortunately, this article doesn't provide that magic trick. If you are looking for it, you must continue searching (but remember to hit me up if you find it).
However, this article provides a simple trick to improve your trading results. They won't hit a success rate of 100% but should definitely improve.
The best part is that it is a super easy trick to implement or utilize within minutes.
You may already expect what this trick is about: It's about a technical indicator. Drum-roll: Introducing the Average Directional Index (ADX).
What Is The ADX About?
I know it's boring, but let's do some theory first! It will help you understand the indicators and why using them will improve your trading results.
The Average Directional Index (ADX) is an indicator used to measure the trend strength.
The indicator was developed by J. Welles Wilder in 1978. Over the years, the ADX has become a reliable tool for traders looking to identify strong market trends.
Here's the part you should understand: The power of the ADX lies in its ability to filter out noise. Subsequently, it provides a clear view of whether a market is trending or ranging.
Here's How The ADX Helps To Achieve Better Trading Results
Here's what I experienced when using the ADX in my trading strategies.
1—The ADX Helped Me To Understand Trends (Easily)
The ADX has really simplified how I analyze trends by quantifying their strength. It's been a game changer for me, helping to gauge market momentum and enabling me to make more informed decisions.
2—Versatile Usage
Especially recently, I trade different timeframes. In this context, the ADX fits into my diverse trading strategies. It's versatile across various markets and timeframes.
3—Making More Confident Decisions
Incorporating the ADX into my trading approach has added a crucial layer of confirmation. This boost in confidence has significantly improved my decision-making process, making me feel more secure about the trades I place.
By integrating the ADX into your trading strategy (we will discuss how to do that in a second), you can filter out "false alerts." In other words, you filter out trade signals unsupported or driven by a trending market. Ultimately, the number of entry signals you get is lower; however, the quality will be significantly better.
How To Use The ADX?
Integrating the ADX into your trading strategy is easier than easy. Here's how I use it:
I always turn to the ADX for that extra assurance before making any trades.
Therefore, in my trading strategy, an ADX value above 30 is my green light for a strong trend. Even reading around 25 catches my eye, signaling a trend building up and potentially worth my investment.
Whenever the ADX is below 25, it's my cue to hit the brakes. It usually means the trend is weak or the market's just moving sideways. I've learned patience pays off here, waiting for clearer signs of a solid trend before jumping back in.
Putting The 1-Minute Hack To Test
Here's what you can do: Integrate the ADX into your trading strategy for at least a month. This period allows you enough time to see how the ADX can change your approach to identifying trade opportunities and avoiding potential pitfalls.
Alternatively, you can backtest your strategies after including the ADX to check how they would have performed.
Wrapping It Up
The ADX is a powerful yet straightforward tool that can clarify trend strength, helping you make more confident trading decisions.
By incorporating it into your trading strategy, you're not just adding another indicator but adopting a strategy for more precise, more informed trading. Give it a go, and you may find that the ADX becomes an indispensable part of your trading arsenal.
Why WAITING on XAU Will pay BIG TIME The charts cover different timeframes of the XAU/USD (Gold/US Dollar) pair, and they reveal several key technical structures and patterns that are useful for trading analysis.
1. Flag Pattern and Breakout (5-Minute and 15-Minute Charts)
- On the 5-minute and 15-minute charts, there is a visible **flag pattern** following a strong upward move (bullish flag). This pattern typically indicates a continuation of the prevailing trend after a consolidation phase.
- The flag's lower trendline (support) and upper trendline (resistance) are marked in yellow. The price consolidated between these lines, and the breakout occurred upwards, confirming the bullish continuation. This breakout could be a potential entry point for a long position, with the stop loss below the flag's lower trendline and a target based on the flagpole's length (the initial strong upward move preceding the flag).
2. Descending Channel and Potential Reversal (1-Hour and 4-Hour Charts)
- The 1-hour and 4-hour charts display a **descending channel** (marked with yellow trendlines). The price recently touched the lower trendline and bounced back, showing signs of a potential reversal.
- If the price continues to break above the upper trendline of the descending channel, it could signal a bullish reversal, providing a possible entry for a long trade. The risk management strategy should include placing a stop loss below the recent low (or the channel's lower trendline) and targeting previous resistance levels or the channel's upper boundary.
3. Broadening Wedge Formation (4-Hour Chart)
- The broader view on the 4-hour chart shows a **broadening wedge pattern**, where the price has been making higher highs and lower lows. This pattern is generally considered a sign of increasing volatility and potential trend reversal.
- If the price breaks above the broadening wedge's upper trendline, this could further confirm a bullish reversal. Conversely, a break below the lower trendline would suggest further downside potential.
4. Support and Resistance Zones (Highlighted on All Charts)
- Several horizontal lines mark significant **support and resistance levels** around $2,507 and $2,532.144, respectively. These levels could serve as potential entry or exit points based on how the price reacts when approaching them.
- Observing how the price interacts with these levels can provide clues for future price action. For example, a sustained move above $2,507 could confirm a bullish sentiment, whereas a rejection or false breakout might suggest the continuation of the bearish trend.
Trading Strategy Recommendations:
1. Flag Pattern (Short-Term Bullish) If looking for short-term trades, consider entering a long position on a confirmed breakout of the flag pattern, with a stop loss below the flag's lower trendline. Target a move equal to the height of the flagpole added to the breakout point.
2. Descending Channel (Potential Reversal):If trading based on the descending channel, a break above the upper trendline could signal a reversal and a potential buying opportunity. In contrast, if the price rejects the upper trendline, consider shorting with a stop above the recent highs and target the lower boundary.
3. Broadening Wedge (Cautious Approach): For traders cautious about volatility, wait for a confirmed breakout from the broadening wedge to determine the trend direction. Enter long if it breaks upwards and short if it breaks downwards, setting stop losses just beyond the breakout points.
4. Support and Resistance Levels (Decision Zones): Use the marked support and resistance zones as decision points. Enter trades based on confirmation signals near these levels, and manage risk by adjusting stop-loss orders accordingly.
By combining these observations with confluence factors such as higher time frame trends, candlestick patterns, and multi-touch confirmations, you can refine your entry and exit points and enhance your trading strategy.
What I Wish I Knew as a Beginner: Daily ATR + Daily Open PriceIn this video, I dive into the crucial lessons I wish I knew when I first started trading, focusing on the Daily ATR and daily open price. Many U.S. traders believe they're getting an early start by waking up at 4-6 AM, but in reality, the New York session is the final session in the Forex market. By the time we hit our screens, the market might already be 'gassed,' with the ATR nearly maxed out.
I explain why understanding this can save you from chasing trades that have already exhausted their potential. I'll also discuss the importance of the daily candle open, when the ATR value 'resets,' providing fresh opportunities for day traders. Learn how to time your entries better and avoid the common pitfalls that can trap even experienced traders
Minimal Complimentary Aesthetic No analysis but wanted to share this color scheme I have concocted. It's nice to look at a beautiful chart if you're going to be staring at it for hours on end.
I like to avoid very bright or jarring colors on my charts. I also avoid red as much as possible because it's not ideal for keeping a calm collected mind required for trading (IMO).
I went for a cool modern look with complimentary oranges and steel blues.
Here's the details:
Canvas:
Background Gradient
Top: 1d2c3a
Bottom: 29485b
Text: d1e6ff
--
Candles:
Up (color, opacity)
Body: b2b5be, 0
Border: b2b5be, 100
Wick: b2b5be, 100
Down (color, opacity)
Body: f9a26c, 100
Border: f26627, 100
Wick: f26627, 100
Vert/ Horizontal grid lines optional but if you decide to use them I personally like to use a very low opacity dark grey. And I use yellow for the price line but you can use whatever tbh.
Here are the indicators used:
Enjoy the theme and share any you have made you really like.