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DAX Outlook: Gains Driven by Siemens, Infineon, and Fed Rate My Trade: A long trade at 18,730 on the DAX 30 is a bullish bet, signaling an expectation that the index will continue its upward momentum. Here’s the reasoning behind this setup: Technical Indicators: The DAX remains above key moving averages, including the 50-day and 200-day EMAs, which are traditionally seen as bullish indicators. A breakout from the 18,750 level would affirm this momentum, supporting a potential rise towards the first target of 18,780, and further to 18,870 . Market Sentiment: With market optimism building around potential rate cuts from both the ECB and the Fed, rate-sensitive stocks have seen upward pressure. This environment could push the DAX higher as lower borrowing costs benefit corporate earnings and stock prices. Support Levels: The stop-loss at 18,680 is set just below recent support, minimizing downside risk in case the market turns. This level should act as a cushion against significant drops if bullish momentum wanes . Targeting 18,780 (TP1) allows for a short-term profit with minimal risk, while 18,870 (TP2) represents a more aggressive target, aligning with potential upward momentum toward all-time highs. INFO The German DAX 30 index rebounded on September 17, advancing by 0.50% to close at 18,726, recovering from the previous day's losses. Gains in major stocks like Siemens and Infineon, alongside positive market sentiment driven by hopes for a Fed rate cut, helped lift the index. This was complemented by easing fears of a U.S. recession, supported by stronger-than-expected U.S. retail sales data. Key Market Drivers Tech & Energy Sector Gains: Siemens Energy surged 4.26%, and Infineon rose by 3.24%, driven by expectations of both ECB and Fed rate cuts, which would benefit rate-sensitive stocks. Auto stocks like Volkswagen (+1.36%) and Porsche (+1.18%) also added to the positive momentum. Retail Stocks Surge: Zalando SE led the charge with a 7.33% gain, fueled by Kingfisher raising the lower end of its profit forecast, boosting demand for retail stocks. Economic Indicators The German ZEW Economic Sentiment Index dropped from 19.2 in August to 3.6 in September, signaling a challenging outlook for Germany’s economy. Eurozone inflation data, with the final August figures expected, could trigger further ECB rate cut bets, potentially lowering borrowing costs for businesses and boosting stock prices. DAX Technical Outlook The DAX remains above its 50-day and 200-day EMAs, signaling continued bullish momentum. A break above 18,750 could drive the index toward the all-time high of 18,991, with a possible push to 19,200 if the Fed cuts rates by 50 basis points. Conversely, failure to hold key support levels could see a pullback toward 18,000. The U.S. retail sales figures and Eurozone inflation data will be crucial for determining short-term market direction, with a focus on the Fed's upcoming rate decision. 🌐 Sources fxempire.com - Dax Index News: Economic Data and Fed Rate Cut Bets to ... euronews.com - Germany's economic sentiment takes a dramatic fall as ... fxempire.com - Fed Rate Cut Bets Support DAX Amid Weak Eurozone ...
FX:GER30Long
by VidaDeTraderPT
1
GER40 swing trade(UPDATE)Last week we were looking for a sell from 18500 with many technical confluences. We also had a 11 day straight bull run without any meaningful retracements. This is a continuation to the previous idea, as the price did not react from our level of interest and kept pushing higher. Currently waiting for 18800, which is the Weekly 0.786 fib level drawn from the all time high. We target 18500-18450 for our TP1. Will update next week. As always, trade safe and wait for confirmations before entering a trade. Fractals Trading Community, Mei
PEPPERSTONE:GER40Short
by martinmei
Weekly Technical AnalysisStart your week by identifying the key price levels and trends. The SpreadEx Research team has analysed the most popular markets, including stocks, indices, commodities & forex. NOTE: These charts use the ‘Pro Trading Tools’ available on the SpreadEx trading platform. To use them, log in to your SpreadEx Financials Account and click ‘Technical’ from the menu on any chart. *KEY Trend is set by the slope of the VWAP over 50 periods Phase is determined by the current price relative to the VWAP (20) level (above or below) Support & Resistance are set by the StdDev #2 Lower and Upper respectively. Momentum is determined by the RSI level (70 as overbought and under 30 as oversold). ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Analysis Germany 40 remains in a bullish trend, now in an impulsive phase. The price is at 18,639, slightly above the VWAP of 18,630. Support and resistance levels are at 18,193 and 19,001, respectively. The RSI is at 54, indicating stronger bullish momentum. UK 100 is neutral, continuing its consolidation phase. The price is at 8,272, close to the VWAP of 8,275. Support is at 8,139, and resistance is at 8,416. The RSI at 50 suggests stable momentum. Wall Street remains in a bullish trend, now in an impulsive phase. The price is 41,441, above the VWAP of 40,962. Support is at 40,238, with resistance at 41,686. The RSI of 61 indicates strong bullish momentum. Brent Crude continues its bearish trend, now in an impulsive phase. The price is 71.77, below the VWAP of 74.47. Support is at 67.72, with resistance at 81.21. The RSI is 38, indicating bearish momentum but with some signs of slowing. Gold remains bullish, currently in a corrective phase. The price is 2,586, slightly above the VWAP of 2,518. Support is at 2,458, with resistance at 2,576. The RSI is at 71, showing strong bullish momentum. EUR/USD stays in a bullish trend, now in an impulsive phase. The price is 1.1120, slightly above the VWAP of 1.1091. Support and resistance levels stand at 1.0991 and 1.1190, respectively. The RSI is at 59, suggesting ongoing bullish momentum. GBP/USD remains in a bullish trend, currently in a corrective phase. The price is 1.3180, slightly above the VWAP of 1.3147. Support is at 1.3048, with resistance at 1.3246. The RSI at 61 suggests continued bullish momentum. USD/JPY continues in a bearish trend, currently in an impulsive phase. The price is 139.83, below the VWAP of 143.54. Support is at 139.80, and resistance is at 147.39. The RSI at 27 reflects strong bearish momentum.
SPREADEX:GDAXI
by Spreadex
European Shares Gain as DAX Holds Bullish Momentum Ahead of CPIEuropean Shares Rise, Led by Tech and Resources Sectors European shares opened higher on Wednesday, with gains driven by the tech and basic resources sectors, as investors await a key U.S. inflation report for insights into the Federal Reserve’s upcoming interest rate decision. The DAX remains in a bullish momentum zone as long as it trades above 18,180, with potential targets at 18,520 and, beyond that, 18,645. The trend is expected to remain bullish ahead of the inflation data, and if the data aligns with expectations, this momentum is likely to strengthen. However, a break below 18,180 could signal a downturn, with the price potentially falling towards 17,960. Key Levels: Pivot Point: 18300 Resistance Levels: 18520, 18640, 18780 Support Levels: 18180, 17970, 17740 Expected Range: 18180 - 18780 Trend: Bullish as long as the price stays above 18,290 and 18,180.
PEPPERSTONE:GER40Long
by SroshMayi
#202438 - priceactiontds - weekly update - daxGood Evening and I hope you are well. tl;dr dax: Neutral. Won’t be running into any more traps again. Both sides have reasonable arguments but bulls closed last week at the highs, so bulls are slightly favored. Best pattern currently is probably the big bull wedge we are in. Bulls want a retest of the ath 18990 and bears below 18000. Bullish above 18750 and bearish below 18200, neutral in between. Quote from last week: comment: Selling is already too strong for a pullback in a bull trend. We are in a big trading range and on our way to test the lower range somewhere between 17000 - 17500. Do we get there in a straight line like we went up in August? Highly unlikely but so was the climactic selling and the insane reversal over the past 5 weeks. comment : Disappointment bar on Monday, bears tried again on Tuesday and Wednesday but market held above 18200 and bears then quickly gave up. My bearishness last week was a bit too strong but slightly profitable until the reversal on Wednesday. So, not much harm done. Market formed a bull wedge and if bulls can close the bear gap to 18750 on Monday, we will very likely see 18990 or 19000 over the next days. Bears have nothing until they can get below 18200 or we reach 19000. I don’t think that many traders will be interested in buying above 19000 but let’s see next week. current market cycle: big trading range key levels: 17000 - 19000 bull case: Bulls did not do much on Monday and Tuesday but enough to make many bears take profits early and stall the market and bears were not having that, so they gave up. Bulls are favored if they get above 18750 but I think it’s very close to 50/50 if we make a new ath. Market is undecided to the max and we see many traps on any time frame. We are above the daily ema and the bull trend line from the wedge, so bulls are slightly favored. Invalidation is below 18200. bear case: Bears gave up on Thursday and do they want to fight it at 18700? I don’t think so. Thu + Fr was strong enough that we can expect a retest of the ath next week and there I expect stronger selling to happen again. Since we did not print 19000 so far, it’s an obvious magnet and market’s rarely touch those big round numbers and reverse from there. We will likely overshoot some before big bears come around. Make no mistake, this buying here is purely absolutely atrocious from any reasonable valuation level given many German macro indicators but that stuff will only destroy your account so let’s not go there. Market is overvalued and we will likely see 17000 again this year. Invalidation is above 18750. outlook last week: short term: Bearish but only on momentum again. Any pullback has to stay below 18700. Next targets for bears are 18000 and below that is 17500. Fun times ahead. → Last Sunday we traded 18301 and now we are at 18699. Bears fumbled it on Wednesday and then quickly gave up. Bearish momentum was there on Tuesday but they barely made a new low. Anyhow, bad outlook. short term: Neutral. Bullish above 18750 for 18900+, bearish below 18200 and neutral in between. medium-long term - Update from 2024-09-01: 4 Months left in 2024 and I do think the market is in a trading range where the upper area is around 19000 and the lower area is probably 17000 or 16000 if something bigger comes up. Since we are at the very top, I expect the market to go some sideways before trying to go down again. Next 2000 Points will be made to the downside but it’s too early to short this. current swing trade: Cut those shorts on Thursday and will try again around 19000 if bears come around. chart update: Added a bull wedge again and made the bear gap smaller.
XETR:DAX
by priceactiontds
15.9.24With a huge week to commence this week with Feds on Wedensday looking to slash interest rates with large players leaning twoards a 25 bps rate cut, markets may start off slow in the begning of the week before then. There will also be Core reatil sales data to be released on Tuesday which my influence the decision of the rate cuts. US30: Price this week traded past remaining SSL from previous weeks and seemed to taken lows from previous week before moving back up on Wednesday. Price is beginning to trade higher so I will like to see price trade into previous week high and towards 41604.04 once more Ger40: After taking previous weeks lows in Tuedays session , Wednesday began the mid week reversal trading towards BSL from September. Id also like to see price trade past previous weeks highs but it has a way to go if it was to reach 18998.6 or previous month highs at 18972.2. I will ike to see how prace does at 18757.6
PEPPERSTONE:GER40Long
by S0202Trades
DE40 | Chart & Forecast SummaryKey Indicators on Trade Set Up in General 1. Push Set Up 2. Range Set up 3. Break & Retest Set Up Active Sessions on Relevant Range & Elemented Probabilities; * Asian(Ranging) - London(Upwards) - NYC(Downwards) * Weekend Crypto Session # Trend | Time Frame Conductive | Weekly Time Frame - General Trend - Measurement on Session * Support & Resistance * Trade Area | Focus & Motion Ahead # Position & Risk Reward | Daily Time Frame - Measurement on Session * Retracement | 0.5 & 0.618 * Extension | 0.786 & 1 Conclusion | Trade Plan Execution & Risk Management on Demand; Overall Consensus | Buy
CAPITALCOM:DE40Long
by TradePolitics
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PEPPERSTONE:GER40Long
by Thief_Trader
DAX 40 Reacts Positively to ECB's Rate Cut DecisionDAX 40 Reacts Positively to ECB's Rate Cut Decision Yesterday, the European Central Bank’s Governing Council cut the refinancing rate, as expected, from 4.25% to 3.65%. The ECB also stated that monetary policy would remain sufficiently restrictive "for as long as necessary" to ensure inflation returns to its medium-term target of 2%. Financial markets responded with: → A strengthening of the euro. EUR/USD rose by more than 0.5% after the rate cut announcement. → A rise in European stock market indices. For example, Germany's DAX 40 index (Germany 40 mini on FXOpen) received a bullish boost, which supports more optimistic conclusions in today's technical analysis: → Price movement fits within the ascending channel shown in blue. → The thickened line highlights that the median of the channel repeatedly acted as support before early August. As indicated by the arrow, it regained this role after the sharp decline on 5 August. → The linear regression channel (shown in purple) points to upward momentum. Investors may feel optimistic, expecting that this autumn demand forces could lift the DAX 40 (Germany 40 mini on FXOpen) towards the upper boundary of the channel. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
FXOPEN:GDAXIM
by FXOpen
2