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WTI Oil H1 | Bullish uptrend to extend further?WTI oil (USOIL) is falling towards a pullback support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher. Buy entry is at 71.38 which is a pullback support that aligns with a confluence of Fibonacci levels i.e. the 23.6% and 38.2% Fibonacci retracement levels. Stop loss is at 70.55 which is a level that lies underneath a swing-low support and the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level. Take profit is at 72.65 which is a swing-high resistance. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 64% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
FX:USOILLong
by FXCM
1
USOIL / TRADING IN SENSITIVE AREA / 4HUSOIL / 4H TIME FRAME HELLO TRADERS Current Price Context: • The price is currently trading within a supply zone defined by the levels of 72.30 and 71.47. This suggests that there is significant selling pressure in this range. Scenario Analysis: • First Scenario (Bullish): If the price breaks above the supply zone (specifically, if a 4-hour candle opens above this range), it is expected to rise towards a higher supply zone between 75.37 and 76.16. This indicates a bullish outlook if the resistance level is overcome. • Second Scenario (Bearish): If the price breaks below the supply zone, it suggests a decline towards a demand line around 69.66, with potential further drops to levels at 68.12 and 66.78. This indicates a bearish outlook if the support level is broken. General Market Condition: • The overall sentiment is described as being under “upward pressure,” suggesting that, despite the current resistance, there is a prevailing bullish trend or sentiment in the market.
TVC:USOILLong
by ArinaKarayi
WTI Crude Oil Outlook: Eyeing Potential Demand Zone RecoveryWTI crude oil is currently trading around $68.25 as of this Tuesday, following a significant gap-down opening to start the week. The move lower was largely influenced by easing tensions in the Middle East, as recent developments suggested a more contained military approach, which alleviated fears of a broader conflict that could disrupt oil supply. Upcoming U.S. Economic Data: GDP and Nonfarm Payrolls in Focus The U.S. economic calendar this week includes key data releases, beginning with the flash Gross Domestic Product (GDP) report for Q3 on Wednesday, projected to show an annualized growth rate of around 3%. A stronger-than-expected GDP figure could bolster the USD, adding pressure to USD-denominated assets like crude oil, as a stronger dollar makes oil more expensive for holders of other currencies. Following the GDP report, Friday’s Nonfarm Payrolls will provide additional insight into U.S. labor market conditions, which could further influence dollar strength and, subsequently, WTI prices. Technical Analysis: WTI Trading in Demand Zone From a technical perspective, WTI crude is currently positioned within a demand zone, where buyers could be eyeing a recovery of Monday's gap-down. This demand zone represents a critical area where traders are observing whether buying interest will drive prices higher to close the gap. A recovery attempt here, with a tight stop loss, could offer a favorable risk-to-reward setup, particularly if data later in the week doesn’t significantly strengthen the USD. Conclusion The WTI crude oil market remains vulnerable to geopolitical developments and U.S. economic data this week, with a stronger USD potentially capping any recovery attempts. However, should the upcoming data align with current estimates or underperform, there may be room for WTI to rally from its demand zone, attempting to reclaim some of the lost ground from the recent gap-down. Traders may want to monitor these key levels and events closely, as they could provide both direction and confirmation for near-term price movement in WTI crude oil. ✅ Please share your thoughts about WTI in the comments section below and HIT LIKE if you appreciate my analysis. Don't forget to FOLLOW ME; you will help us a lot with this small contribution.
BLACKBULL:WTILong
by FOREXN1
6
WTI Dips as Israel Avoids Targeting Iran’s Oil: What’s Next?The West Texas Intermediate (WTI), the US crude oil benchmark, is trading around $70.60 during Thursday's London session. The price edged lower following reports that Israel has assured the United States it will not target Iran’s nuclear or oil facilities in its planned retaliatory attacks. This news, as reported by senior Biden administration officials and the Wall Street Journal, came after the US sought to prevent further escalation in the Middle East to avoid a potential surge in oil prices. Geopolitical Tensions in the Middle East and Oil Prices Oil markets have been on edge due to geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, particularly following the conflict between Israel and Hamas. Any potential retaliation involving Iran has been closely watched, given Iran’s role as a major oil producer in the region. Had Israel planned to target Iran’s oil infrastructure, it could have led to significant supply disruptions, pushing oil prices higher. For now, traders are breathing a sigh of relief with the promise from Israel to avoid targeting these facilities, but geopolitical tensions still remain a key factor that could influence WTI in the near future. Should tensions escalate further, WTI prices could quickly rebound on supply concerns. OPEC and IEA Cut Global Oil Demand Forecasts This week also brought another major development for oil markets as both the Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and the International Energy Agency (IEA) lowered their forecasts for global oil demand growth in 2024. The IEA now estimates global oil demand will grow by 1.2 million barrels per day (bpd), bringing total demand to 104.3 million bpd next year, which is 300,000 bpd below previous estimates. These cuts are being driven by several factors, including the weakening global economic outlook and persistent challenges in key oil-consuming regions. In particular, China’s economic stimulus measures have failed to provide a meaningful boost to oil demand, further weighing on oil prices. This downward revision in demand growth expectations has created additional headwinds for crude oil prices, contributing to the recent decline in WTI. Technical Outlook: Bearish Sentiment But Potential Long Retracement From a technical standpoint, WTI is currently trading within a key demand area, suggesting that some buyers may step in to support prices. While the forecast based on seasonality points toward a bearish trend in the near term, there are some indications that a deeper long retracement could occur. The Commitment of Traders (COT) report shows that institutional investors, also known as "smart money," are maintaining long positions, indicating potential underlying support for oil prices. This dynamic suggests that while prices may experience further pressure in the short term, a retracement to the upside could occur if demand for oil begins to pick up or if geopolitical tensions resurface with greater intensity. Conclusion: WTI Traders Remain Cautious Amid Mixed Signals For now, WTI remains in a delicate position, influenced by a mix of geopolitical risks, lower global demand forecasts, and technical factors. The assurance from Israel that its retaliatory strikes will avoid targeting Iran’s oil infrastructure has alleviated some immediate concerns about a spike in oil prices. However, the ongoing geopolitical situation remains fluid, and any sudden escalation could quickly reverse the current price trajectory. At the same time, the reduced demand growth outlook from both OPEC and the IEA creates a bearish overhang for crude prices. With China’s stimulus measures failing to spark a meaningful recovery in demand, traders will be closely watching for any new developments that could shift the balance of supply and demand in the oil market. In summary, WTI may continue to face downward pressure in the short term, but a potential long retracement remains on the table, especially if market conditions or geopolitical tensions shift in the coming days. For now, traders are likely to stay cautious, awaiting clearer signals before taking decisive positions. ✅ Please share your thoughts about WTI in the comments section below and HIT LIKE if you appreciate my analysis. Don't forget to FOLLOW ME; you will help us a lot with this small contribution.
BLACKBULL:WTILong
by FOREXN1
1
WTI is targeting growth again. H4 05.11.2024🛢 WTI is targeting growth again 📈 Oil is looking at a possible pattern for a segment overlap to the upside in which we will again target a major upside. Price is now approaching the control margin at 73 and from there a local correction may be made and then growth will continue. Major volumes have stayed down and have been buybacks. Also OPEC+ have postponed the increase in oil production which will further support it. BLACKBULL:WTI
BLACKBULL:WTILong
by KovachTrader
Could the price reverse from here?WTI oil (XTI/USD) is rising towards the pivot which has been identified as an overlap resistance and could reverse to the 38.2% Fibonacci support. Pivot: 72.44 1st Support: 70.26 1st Resistance: 75.15 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
ICMARKETS:XTIUSDShort
by ICmarkets
WTI, back at major order block support -- BOUNCE expectedWTI is currently sitting at below 0.5 FIB level on a weekly data -- a key area where most buyers converge. $65-70 area has been quite a solid order block support. It has been tested many times and oil keeps bouncing up from this range. A bounce is expected from current price range. Accumulation has notably started increasing at the present levels. Spotted at 69.0 TAYOR. Safeguard capital always. -------- RELATED NEWS: Reuters Oil prices settle more than 3% higher after China rate cut By Stephanie Kelly NEW YORK, June 13 (Reuters) - Oil prices climbed over 3% on Tuesday on hopes for growing fuel demand after China's central bank lowered a short-term lending rate for the first time in 10 months, boosting crude prices after steep losses the previous session. The rate cut is aimed at adding momentum to a hesitant post-pandemic recovery in the world's second-largest economy and biggest crude importer. Brent crude futures settled up $2.45, or 3.4%, to $74.29 a barrel. U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude gained $2.30, or 3.4%, at $69.42 a barrel.
BLACKBULL:WTILong
by JSAL
25
WTI Wave Analysis 4 November 2024 - WTI reversed from long-term support level 66.75 - Likely to rise to resistance level 75.00 WTI crude oil recently reversed up from the long-term support level 66.75 (which has been reversing the price from the end of 2021), standing near the lower weekly Bollinger Band. The upward reversal from the support level 66.75 continues the weekly upward impulse wave (3), which also started from the same support level in September. Given the strength of the support level 66.75, WTI crude oil can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 75.00 (former strong resistance from October).
THINKMARKETS:WTILong
by FxProGlobal
Another chance to buy $USOIL near the bottom of the rangeOn September 9th with oil dropping down to $68 from $84 back in July I pointed out that there was support down in that zone from what I call the "SPR REFILL LEVEL". A month later in early October the price of crude oil had rebounded to $76-$78 and the highest daily low reached $74.51 and the highest high was $78.43. Pretty volatile price action in one of the worlds top commodities that impacts global GDP substantially. By late October, oil had fallen once again back to the "SPR REFILL LEVEL" at the $67 level and once again has been rebounding since and today sits at $71.40 here. The BIGGEST point to remember is that the current political environment has had a massive impact on the price of oil as you can see from the red triangle in the top-left of the chart where back a year ago the strategic petroleum reserve was raided and liquidated significantly into the open market and drove the price of oil down. The market rebounded from the initial waves are revisited that important liquidation level turned prices away this April at $86-$87, right to the DAY's price level from the SPR liquidation level. The market has memory, but we need to mark this info on our charts so we remember too. Clearly you can see this powerful impact on the market and with patience and risk management, you can take advantage of setups like these to make profits or avoid losses. With the Presidential Election ongoing and tomorrow being the last day to vote, the market will begin to discount if Trump with will and encourage new supply of oil to help drive down the price further or will the shorts in oil turn and cover because the market doesn't break down fast enough? There are always risks in trading and hopefully by pointing out the "KEY NEWS LEVELS" we can avoid getting blind-sided by our emotions of fear and greed. There is a weekly uptrend in place from the low in September and if prices hold above $70, I expect continuation to the upside over the next 7 weeks. If prices fall and hold under $70, I will stand aside and look to buy lower in the SPR refill level range near $65-$64 (vs $71.53 last). I'll be in the Key Hidden Levels chat room discussing these charts and more every day. Cheers, Tim 3:21PM EST 11/4/2024
FX:USOILLong
by timwest
1
WTI CRUDE OIL: Strong rebound on the 18 month Support.WTI Crude Oil is neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 53.224, MACD = -0.080, ADX = 22.753) as it rebounded again on the S1 Zone and already reached the 1D MA50. Even though another test of the S1 Zone is possible according to the multiple tests of the May-June 2023 pattern, the upside is more likely to happen eventually through a test of the 1D MA200. Our target is limited however below the LH trendline (TP = 77.50) as we don't yet have valid grounds to extend buying above it. ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
TVC:USOILLong
by InvestingScope
OIL at this level to $72MODs have suggested that I provide more detail about the picks I make. Sorry. I'm not as verbose as y'all, and I don't like things to be complicated. My trading plan is very simple. I buy or sell at top & bottom of parallel channels. I confirm when price hits Fibonacci levels. Bonus if a TTM Squeeze in in play. I hold until target is reached or end of year, when I can book a loss. So... Here's why I'm picking this symbol to do the thing. Price near bottom of channels (period 100 52 39 & 26) Stochastic Momentum Index (SMI) at oversold level VBSM is negative Price at near Fibonacci level Will enter small position at $67, again at $66ish and all in at $65 Target is $72 or channel top Stop loss is $64
TVC:USOILLong
by chancethepug
1