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U.S. Dollar / Russian Ruble

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USDRUB trade ideas

- and here is the cooldown The writing was on the wall for this one - >>rising wedge, >>longest MACD green swing in this pairs history >>lots of new analyses recently on this currency pair, which is usually dead, all of them bullish. However, though a pullback was long overdue, I'd say fundamentally nothing has changed. At a glance, DXY is down a bit, albeit on strong support, US banking sector is under some stress, and interest rates/inflation continue to be a problem. However, obviously Russia is doing far worse. My guess is, maybe 67-72 if it even comes to that and doesn't simply spring back up into the 80's.
Short
by AspiringPro
💾 U.S. Dollar Bullish Against The Russian RubleWe are looking at a monthly chart, this is an extremely bullish setup. USDRUB about to go up strong. What we see here after the May-June 2022 crash is a recovery phase. This recovery phase is completed December 2022 when USDRUB closes above EMA100, EMA10, EMA50 and EMA21 in the same month. At this point the bullish bias is confirmed. January 2023 was a month of consolidation, the session closed above the moving averages. In February 2023 the bullish trend starts following the recovery. In March 2023 we get bullish confirmation/continuation and in April the bullish bias intensifies. After 4 months of slow but steady growth, the accumulation phase is reaching its end and we should see a reverse of the move that happened between May and June 2022. As it crashed fast and strong, it will rise with force. This analysis is supported by additional signals. The MACD has gone bullish as it trades monthly above 0. A very strong bullish cross took place and the histogram is full green. It is also trading above Fib. resistance (now support). Plenty of room available for additional growth. The RSI can only be consider super strong when trading above 50 monthly, a great reading... Here is the chart: Invalidation point For this analysis to become invalid we would need to see a close monthly at least below EMA100 or $63. Technically speaking, the bullish bias still remains valid even with such a drop. Prices would need to close below HKEX:50 for the current structure to breakdown. Everything is pointing up. I am sharing this update because many people showed interest in my previous analysis "USDRUB_TOM" from Dec. 2022, shared in the "Related Ideas". Thanks a lot for your time and support. Namaste.
Long
by AlanSantana
5
The ruble - cylinder in a cylinder in which a rabbitGood evening ladies and gentlemen for a long time I could not comprehend the schedule, pondered for weeks, days and nights on the full moon closer to Easter Sunday I realized: USD\RUB is a livermore cylinder more precisely, I would say a cylinder in a cylinder in which a rabbit Nabiullina, of course, is still a magician, but the rabbit is real, and tricks are tricks. I also have one in stock: if the forecast does not come true, I will say that this dog ran over the keyboard and posted a post Yes, exactly - not funny at all - but tricks - it's not jokes. I told you, tricks are tricks. Okay, the magic starts to end I’ll go as soon as possible, the ficus is drying up, I need to water it. Bye
by rivatrick
USDRUB updateUR has reached strong fibo level. It seems like it will continue to rise(big bullish candle). But I wouldn't be surprise if it start to revers now. Why? Firstly it has touched strong resistance level that was holding price almost for 6 years. So its a strong level even though it was broken in February 2022. Secondly. If you look at dollar index (green line) which represents strength of a dollar you will see that it's strongly bearish. As you can see from correlation UR and DI has positive correlation (if dollar falls ruble falls also) but with some delays. For example DI started to rise in May 2021 when UR had made big pish up only in November 2021. I still see UR in sell zone. But April will be deciding month for Russian ruble (and most currencies). If price will continue to rise next key levels are 87-89 and 90 rubles per 1 dollar. First target as I have mentioned in my previous analysis is 50 rub/dollar and max target is 30 rubles per dollar. Let see how it'll go. Good luck:)
Short
by margarita_morozova
4
Ascending triangle on the USD/RUB pair. What to expect next?Hello. On the USD/RUB pair, a technical analysis pattern of an ascending triangle is forming. We have two potential scenarios. The first scenario is that if the ascending trend line is broken and the price consolidates below it we can expect further price decline to the Fibonacci level of 0.618 or 66 RUB/USD. On the chart it is noticeable how the support levels correlate with Fibonacci levels. The second scenario is that the price breaks through the resistance zone around 78 RUB/USD and continues to move upward to 86 RUB/USD. This price range is a global resistance level. If you go back on the chart you can see how the asset approached this level back in 2015 and then underwent a correction. This is not financial advice. Everything you do is at your own risk.
by neverovv
USDRUB long-term view and Fibonacci levelsSince 2014, we have had four impulses that have led to the weakening of the Russian ruble. Setting the Fibonacci level shows that the USDRUB pair makes a pullback to 61.8-78.6% of the Fibonacci level after the bullish pulse. We had resistance around the 80,000 level in the previous eight years, which was broken in February this year. The last bullish impulse was to reduce the value of the Russian ruble by 98% (154,100) on March 7 from the value from the beginning of the year 74,000. The current pullback lowered the pair USDRUB to 97,500 in the zone between 61.8-78.6% Fibonacci levels. We should now see consolidation in this zone or a new bullish impulse according to this pattern. If we set up big Fibonacci with a minimum from 2014 and a maximum current in 2022, the potential support zone is between 60,000 and 80,000 levels.
by Aleksin_Aleksandar