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U.S. Dollar / Brazilian Real

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USDBRL trade ideas

Can the Brazilian Real Survive its Perfect Economic Storm?In the intricate world of global finance, few narratives are as compelling as Brazil's current economic crucible. The Brazilian real stands at a precipice, buffeted by a confluence of domestic policy missteps and international economic pressures that challenge the very foundations of its monetary stability. President Lula's administration finds itself wrestling with a complex challenge: balancing ambitious social spending with the cold, hard realities of fiscal discipline. The currency's dramatic decline—losing nearly 20% of its value in recent months—represents more than a mere statistical fluctuation. It is a profound referendum on investor confidence, reflecting deep-seated concerns about Brazil's economic management. The potential depreciation to 7 reals per dollar looms like a specter, threatening to unleash inflationary pressures that could destabilize the entire economic ecosystem, from local markets to international trade relationships. What emerges is a high-stakes economic drama with global implications. The Brazilian real's struggle is not just a national issue, but a microcosm of the broader challenges facing emerging economies in an increasingly unpredictable global financial landscape. As central bank governors, international investors, and policymakers watch with bated breath, Brazil stands at a critical juncture—its choices will not only determine its economic trajectory but potentially reshape perceptions of emerging market resilience in the face of unprecedented economic volatility.
Long
by signalmastermind
USDBRL might be building its 3rd impulsive wave.Not a financial advice. To support Biden's plan "Invest in America", FED will need to keep raising interest rates to contain #inflation, and make it attractive for international investors. Meanwhile, Brazilian economy is shrinking, with President looking to lower interest rates which it is what was done in 2003. but this time is indeed different, since the USA isn't willing to see its money plowing into emerging markets. TVC:DXY is also building a nice comeback. this is momentarily about to change in my POV.
Long
by thepixel
7
USDBRL_1W_Buyhello Analysis of the Brazilian real in the medium and long term Elliott wave analysis style The market is in an upward trend and in the medium term we are in wave 3, which wave 3 includes 5 waves. The target of wave 3 is 6.5500 and again we can have a correction as wave 4 to 5.8800 and continue to climb for the big wave 5 towards 7.4400 Sincerely, I am a dear Brazilian and the country is extremely beautiful and the entire continent of America ends in the great country of Brazil. I traveled around the continent of America in 2024 and I have not seen a country like Brazil, especially Sao Paulo. I wish all the best for Brazil
Long
by Elliottwaveofficial
4
U.S DOLLAR vs BRAZILIAN REALHowdy fellas, I am Brazilian by origin so this matters to me. It's a chart that I always check, as I every now and then exchange these currencies (as well as the euro related to Brazilian real). Now we all know at some point the dollar index needs to take a step back and retrace. It could continue to push higher against other world currencies, but that wouldn't be very good. So unless we're headed for a new world depression, I believe the Gods will allow it do drop. With that being said, a very decent retrace is the 30% mark that brings it down to the $4 bucks. But if it repeats the 60% retrace as it did back in 2008 we're looking a much lower numbers. Take a look at the chart my friends and let me know what you think. Trade thirsty!
by mr_willmedina
2
Send this down to 1 and its over for USDBRICS composite basket index vs USD BRICS currently accounts for 40%+ of the global population and 25%+ of global trade. Lessening reliance on USD will benefit their economies greatly regards cross border trade amongst members. Current additional applications to join the bloc have been received from Saudi Arabia, Nigeria, Algeria, Venezuela, Kazakhstan (all major energy markets) amongst others. All empires rise and fall, both economic and geographic... some more destructive than others. One to keep an eye on over next century.
Short
by LordEido
2
Dollar performance since 2022This is to demistify some ideas regarding the dollar: 1 - The yuan will replace the dollar as the universal legal tender. It's true that the US government "printed" a lot of money during the Covid pandemic and since the beginning of the Russian invasion of Ukraine. Thus the dollar was weakened by inflation and the US national debt. But while that is true it has appreciated over the yuan and the ruble. 2 - The recent drop in USD/BRL is a long term trend. The currency of non-aligned (regarding the war in Ukraine) countries slighted benefited from the recent comparative weakness of the dollar. What is special about Brazil is the high interest rate which puts the country ahed of the World in controlling inflation and makes the country super attractive to bond investors. But the Brazilian economy is plagued by internal issues and not growing as much as the rest of the World. So eventually the Central Bank of Brazil will reduce the interest rate because the inflation is getting under control and the dollar will recoup value due to the investments outflow.
Long
by wolfiebr
4
Real vs Dollar = Infinite rise for the Dollar!-Comparing the Brazilian real with the US dollar means wasting time, as we know that the final result will always be an infinite increase in the US currency against the Brazilian currency. -Below I leave the beautiful pattern "CUP And Handle" formed and consolidated. -As Charles Dow said: "Prices discount everything". -Things usually take time to materialize, but they will never stop happening at a given future moment. -Also read the graphic analysis below! -Do your analysis and good business. -Be Aware, If You Buy, Use Stop! -See below for other graphic reviews!
by MacD_Bollinger
2