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USDAUD trade ideas

Is this a bottom for AUDUSD?It's been a fantastic move lower, but is 0.6400 a spot for a reversal? Nothing fundamental is serving as a catalyst for moving the pair in any direction for the rest of the year. Trend: LSMA moving lower since 10/21/24 Momentum: Bearish Japanese Candles: Inverted Hammer (imperfect) printed last week. Is this the bottom? Chart Pattern: None Support and Resistance: 0.6400 is Support, 0.6750 is a Bullish Target, 0.6200 is a Bearish Target Fundamentals: No news this week or next Trade: None Stop: None
by positionforex
1
AUDUSD BUY | Idea Trading AnalysisAUDUSD is moving in an UP trend channel. The chart broke through the dynamic Resistance line, which now acts as support. We expect a decline in the channel after testing the current level which suggests that the price will continue to rise Hello Traders, here is the full analysis. I think we can soon see more fall from this range! GOOD LUCK! Great BUY opportunity GOLD I still did my best and this is the most likely count for me at the moment. ------------------- Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad
Long
by TheGrove
1
AUDUSD Trade SetupFor those looking to enter this trade, you can take an entry now with a tight and light stop-loss. For those who prefer a safer approach, wait for the break of wave 4, followed by a retest, and then enter. This method offers greater security. The triangle pattern has formed successfully. However, keep in mind that most chart patterns are often designed to manipulate traders by breaking and moving against their positions. As for me, I’m not concerned about such manipulations. I have a strict risk management plan in place, and I’ve identified two key entry zones as marked on the chart.
Long
by hakimbo989
2
Bearish Pennant on AUD/USD @ D1A bearish pennant similar to the one we currently see on the NZD/USD chart has also formed on the D1 chart of the AUD/USD pair. As is the case with bearish pennants, it can be used for a bearish breakout setup. The pennant and its pole are shown with the yellow lines. My potential stop-loss level is marked with the red line (0.62747), it is placed at the high of the pennant area. My potential take-profit level is marked with the green line (0.60961), it is placed at the pole's length below the stop-loss. I will wait for a significant close below the pennant's border to consider trading this breakout.
Short
by AndriyMoraru
AUD/USD lower ahead of RBA minutesThe Australian dollar has posted losses on Monday. Early in the North American session, AUD/USD is trading at 0.6227, down 0.31% at the time of writing. It's a very light calendar week, with the Christmas holiday just around the corner. The Reserve Bank of Australia releases the minutes of this month's meeting on Tuesday, which is the sole Australian event this week. At the December meeting, the RBA held the cash rate at 4.35% for the ninth straight time. Still, the rate statement held out hope for a near-term rate cut, based on some nuances in the language. Previous statements had signaled that rate hikes were on the table, with the board stating it was not "ruling anything in or out", but this phrase was omitted in the December statement. The RBA also sounded more optimistic about the inflation outlook, with the statement noting that the board was "gaining confidence that inflation is moving sustainably towards target". The market viewed this language as being dovish, although Governor Bullock reiterated after the meeting that the February rate decision would be based on the data. In the US, durable goods orders declined 1.1% m/m in November, after an upwardly revised 0.8% gain in October and well below the market estimate of -0.4%. The decline was largely driven by a decrease in new orders for transportation equipment. The Conference Board Consumer Confidence index fell sharply in December to 104.7, down from an upwardly revised 112.8 and well off the market estimate of 113. Consumers were less optimistic about the employment outlook and incomes. The Conference Board report found that consumers are concerned that the tariffs proposed by the incoming Trump administration will push prices higher in 2025. AUD/USD pushed below support at 0.6247 and tested support at 0.6219 earlier 0.6278 and 0.6306 are the next resistance lines
by OANDA
Trading AUDUSD and NZDUSD | Judas Swing Strategy 16/12/2024Last week was a slow period for trading with the Judas Swing strategy. We were presented with only two trading opportunities on GBPUSD and AUDUSD, resulting in a win and a loss respectively, yielding a 1% gain for the week. With that in mind, we are eager to explore the opportunities that may arise this week. For the Judas Swing strategy, we focus on identifying setups on the following trading pairs: AUDUSD, NZDUSD, GBPUSD and EURUSD. At 09:30 EST, the market swept liquidity on the sell side of AUDUSD, signalling potential buying opportunities for the session. Shortly after, a similar sweep occurred on the sell side for NZDUSD signalling potential buying opportunities for this currency pair as well. Now, all we need is a break of structure to the buy side. After patiently waiting, we identified similar setups on both AUDUSD and NZDUSD, which are closely correlated pairs, often moving in tandem due to their economic ties and similar market influences. Following the break of structure (BOS), price retraced into the Fair Value Gap (FVG). Once the candle closed, both pairs met the entry criteria outlined in our checklist, allowing us to execute our trades. The AUDUSD trade hit take profit (TP) with minimal drawdown, delivering a 2% return in just 55 minutes. Meanwhile, the NZDUSD trade on the other hand came close to hitting TP but experienced a slight retracement that temporarily delayed reaching the target We revisited the NZDUSD position, and once again, it edged closer to the TP only to retrace again, frustrating, isn’t it? That’s the nature of trading, it takes you on an emotional rollercoaster. This is why it’s crucial to only risk what you can afford to lose, ensuring you can manage these emotions effectively. After patiently waiting, our perseverance paid off as the NZDUSD trade finally hit TP after 8 hours and 25 minutes, rewarding us with a 2% return. Combined with the AUDUSD trade, we were up 4% on Monday an incredible way to kick off the week!
by CleoFinance
AUDUSD 3H ShortThe AUD/USD 3-hour chart shows a potential bearish continuation setup as price trades below the Kijun-sen (blue) and Tenkan-sen (red), while remaining well under the Ichimoku cloud (Kumo), indicating a strong bearish trend. The red Kumo ahead reinforces selling pressure, and price’s recent failure to hold above resistance signals further downside potential. A bearish continuation below the current support at 0.6317 could open a path towards the next key level at 0.6306, while a stop-loss above the Kijun-sen near 0.6346 helps manage risk, maintaining a favorable risk-to-reward ratio.
Short
by ALRDNMRSKY
AUDUSD InsightHello, subscribers! It's great to see you all. Please feel free to share your personal opinions in the comments. Don’t forget to like and subscribe! Key Points - U.S. retail sales for November, reported by the Department of Commerce, increased by 0.7%, surpassing market expectations. - Strong retail sales indicate that the momentum of the U.S. economy is strengthening. While a rate hold is widely expected at the December FOMC meeting, the prevailing view is that rates will also remain on hold in January. - With the Japanese yen weakening further against the dollar, some suggest that Japanese authorities might intervene in the currency markets. I- n the U.K., wages rose by 5.2% year-over-year from August to October, exceeding expectations and driving the pound higher. - In Canada, the November Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose by 1.9%, falling short of the market estimate of 2.0%, which weakened the Canadian dollar. Key Economic Indicators + December 18: U.K. November CPI, Eurozone November CPI, FOMC meeting results + December 19: Bank of Japan rate decision, Bank of England rate decision + December 20: U.S. November Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index AUD/USD Chart Analysis The AUD/USD pair has finally broken below the 0.63500 level. Based on the current chart, further declines toward the 0.62000 level seem likely. However, the direction could shift upward depending on the stance the Federal Reserve takes during this week’s FOMC meeting. If unexpected factors lead to an upward move, I’ll quickly revise the strategy accordingly.
Short
by shawntime_academy
AUDUSD - Simplified20SMA - Blue 200SMA - Pink Key Confluence Areas - Grey Lines Market Structure Support/Resistance - Green/Red Dashed Lines Dear Friends: (Away from charts) It will be prudent to give your mind, body and soul a good rest, to recharge for the new upcoming exciting year! How I see it: Pair remains severely bearish. Any TP can serve as a strong enough support for a reversal Firstly, a series of quality HL's is required A 1D break, and body close above confluence could be a good bull signal Keynote! The RBA will have to intervene in some shape or form against the new $ strength. I deeply appreciate you taking the time to study my analysis and point of view.
Short
by ANROC
AUDUSD Wave Analysis 16 December 2024 - AUDUSD reversed from support zone - Likely to rise to resistance level 0.6400 AUDUSD currency pair recently reversed up from the support area set between the strong support level 0.6350 (which has been reversing the price from 2023, lower border of the weekly sideways price range) and the lower weekly Bollinger Band. The upward reversal from the support zone stopped the previous impulse waves 3 and (3). Given the oversold weekly Stochastic and the strength of the support level 0.6350, AUDUSD currency pair can be expected to rise further to the next resistance level 0.6400.
Long
by FxProGlobal
CHART BREAKDOWN AUDUSD: Key Levels, Targets and Thoughts!Brief Description🖊️: The chart provides insights into critical market levels, emphasizing 1 essential supply zone: low-risk sell zone spanning from 0.64170 to 0.64210, respectively, is highlighted. Things I Have Seen👀: Important Supply Zone🟢: Identified between 0.64170 and 0.64210 serving as a low-risk sell. Bearish Targets📉: 0.63980 : Possible retracement area. 0.63850 : Possible retracement area. 0.63800 : Possible retracement area. 0.63600: Possible retracement area. 0.63650 : Significant supply zone. 0.63500 : Liquidity area. What's Important Now❗ Currently, the crucial approach is to wait and observe the price action at this level. We need to assess how the market reacts before considering any decisive moves. Stay observant and responsive to real-time developments in the market.
Short
by T4X_Trading
AUD/USD Testing Key Support ZoneChart Analysis: The Australian Dollar is testing a critical support area as it hovers near 0.6375 and 0.6285 (pink horizontal lines), levels that have held firm multiple times over the past year. 1️⃣ Support Retest: The price has approached this zone, which acted as support in November 2023 and March 2024. Traders often watch such levels for potential rebounds or breakdowns. 2️⃣ Moving Averages: 50-day SMA (blue): Trending downward, reflecting short-term bearish momentum. 200-day SMA (red): Flat-to-downward slope, signaling a weakening long-term trend. The price remains firmly below both SMAs, reinforcing bearish sentiment. 3️⃣ Momentum Indicators: RSI: Hovering near 36, indicating weak momentum but not yet oversold. Traders might monitor for any divergence signals. MACD: Bearish momentum persists with the signal line below zero and no clear crossover in sight. What to Watch: If the price decisively breaks below 0.6285, it could open the door for further downside. On the flip side, a rebound from this support zone might see a test of the 50-day SMA near 0.6550. Monitor RSI for any bullish divergence and price action around these key levels. The AUD/USD remains under pressure, with a critical support test underway. Traders may find clarity as price action unfolds near this zone. -MW
by FOREXcom
IS AUD/USD ON THE BRINK OF BREAKING STRONG SUPPORT? FUNDAMENTAL VIEW Later today, markets will focus on U.S. PMIs, with manufacturing PMI forecast at 49.4 and services PMI at 55.7. On Tuesday, at 5:30 PM GMT+4, key data releases include USD core retail sales and retail sales, expected at 0.4% and 0.6%, respectively. On Wednesday, December 18, the spotlight will be on the Fed funds rate decision, with markets pricing in a 25bps cut during the December policy meeting. On Thursday at 5:30 PM GMT+4, USD GDP q/q is expected at 2.8%, alongside weekly unemployment claims projected at 245k. The week concludes on Friday with the U.S. core PCE m/m release, forecasted at 0.2%. TECHNICAL VIEW On the daily time frame, price action is consolidating within a defined range, with the upper red rectangle serving as strong resistance and the lower green rectangle acting as firm support. The price is struggling to break and close below this support zone. The RSI is near the oversold level of 30, suggesting a potential reversal, reinforced by the historically strong support at this level. If bears succeed in closing the price below 0.63366, the pair could drop to the October 25, 2023, low of 0.62748, and potentially to 0.62001, almost a four-year low. This scenario could align with a strong dollar and political factors such as Trump's second term. Conversely, if bulls manage to push the price above 0.64742, the next target would be around 0.65488, signaling a possible bullish reversal. The coming days will provide clarity on the direction.
by CFI