Brief Analysis——UNIWhen BTC does not give back its gains quickly after rising, Altcoins will experience a pump. Yesterday BTC exceeded 35000, and many DEX tokens experienced pumps. Among these, UNI gained 15% yesterday.
As a DEX emission token, it has been under huge selling pressure for a lot of time. DEX users have obtained a large number of tokens through staking or providing liquidity. When the market is not bullish, tokens are often swapped in exchange for stablecoins. Except for UNI, emission tokens such as CAKE and JOE maintain a decline with fluctuation most of the time.
Uniswap is the pioneer and leader of DEX. But it has also run into some trouble recently. The first is that the front-end platform will charge a 0.15% fee for some specific pair. A total of US$630,000 in fees has been collected so far, and this part of the income has nothing to do with UNI holders, which has hit the holders. On the other hand is the UniV4 feature. Although the new Hook function improves customization, it remains unclear whether it is truly decentralized. These will all affect holders’ enthusiasm for Uni tokens.
Returning to the analysis, we can see that although BTC has experienced an increase of more than 200% in 2023, UNI has maintained a decline with fluctuation. It entered a bearish trend again starting in late August. Although there was a bottom-buying sentiment on the MBF indicator in mid-October, nothing changed in the subsequent movements. The ME indicator still maintains the yellow bearish trend. Judging from the WTA indicator, after the bottom-buying sentiment appeared (in the first green area), the bulls strengthened, and the blue column representing the whale began to appear. After that, UNI began to experience a correction. At this stage, as we mentioned above, Uniswap began to charge service fees, but they were not used to incentivize Uni holders. Whales participated in the trade as the price declined, eager to close long positions. Now it have been pumping again and we are seeing the whales return.
If on a subsequent move the whale decreases again and a destructive candle appears (long red candle or with long upward pin-bar), then the bullish trend may be terminated for the emission token UNI.
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