VIX, lets try againWell, i think we will have another 5 waves down before we really go up. Theuseday will be important i was told.
VIX trade ideas
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The TradingView Show: Volatility Spikes with TradeStationWelcome to our latest live TradingView show with TradeStation! Kick back and watch this show to learn about the key things that are moving markets and shaping the conversation as the summer trading season comes to an end. What will you learn in this show?
Recent Price Action: We’ll analyze the market movements since the "carry trade crash" and see how this has affected various asset classes.
Interest Rates: We'll explore the latest developments in interest rates and their implications for trading strategies.
Dollar Index: Understand the current trends in the Dollar Index and how it influences currency movements.
Currencies: We’ll break down recent changes in currency pairs and what they mean for traders.
Then, we dive into a masterclass about Catalysts for Stock Movements, in which you'll learn about the key factors driving stock price changes. We’ll discuss 7 important catalysts to watch for, including:
1. Growth: Look at NVIDIA’s recent performance in AI chip sales.
2. Profit Margins: Examine how companies like META are improving their profitability.
3. Strategic Actions: Consider new leadership and strategic moves, such as Starbucks' new CEO.
4. Business Transformation: Explore how companies like Netflix and Microsoft are evolving their business models.
5-7. Other Key Factors: See how Apple's shift to services fits into the broader market picture.
Here are some examples of these catalysts:
Growth - Monitor trends like NVIDIA's AI chip sales.
Profit Margins - Track profitability improvements, such as with META.
Strategic Actions - Look out for major corporate strategies, like Starbucks' new CEO.
Business Transformation - Note significant shifts, such as Netflix’s new ad feature or Microsoft’s cloud computing focus.
Additional Catalysts - Keep an eye on other important factors like Apple’s expansion into services.
Don’t forget to jot down this checklist and join us each month for the TradingView Show, where we spotlight community members and cover educational content across equities, AI, crypto, gold, forex, and more.
Compliance and disclaimers:
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$vix about to explode higher againMost people think that because we had a vix spike in early August and that stocks are now near all-time-highs, we're going back to a short volatility and long equity environment. However, I think this time is different.
From a technical perspective, we've been consolidating in falling wedge since the move higher in March 2008 and the move on August 5th setoff the 3rd touch of the top of the trend line. On the chart, that's price rejecting the $56.55 level. Now vix has gone back to the support it broke out from and looks set to make another run at the highs.
Because the trend line has already been tested multiple times, I think it's likely that on this next test of that resistance level, it'll break through and surge higher.
I don't know what the cause of the surge higher will be, but from the chart, it looks like we're about to have a larger vix explosion than we had in 2008, 2020, and august 5th.
Time to pay attention and protect your gains if you've been long.
I don't think there's recovering in the near term from what's about to happen to markets.
$VIX Could Experience a Sharp Decline on MondayWith reports that Mideast mediators are advancing towards a cease-fire deal, the TVC:VIX could experience a sharp decline on Monday. 📉 This reduction in volatility might lead to increased market stability and potential gains across equities. How are you positioning your portfolio in response to these developments? #VIX #MarketVolatility #Equities #InvestmentStrategy #GeopoliticalRisk
Main Focus List Review EXT 8-15-24 going over our Main Focus List EXT time REtail Sales beat possible soft landing scenario. market is ripping don't fight the trend till we lose a major support level. all shorts been getting stopped.
Main Focus List REview RTH 8-15-24 12 MINGoing over our main focus list looking for setups and how we can trade the upcoming days. 12 min long RTH. we'll do 1 EXT in the mornings and 1 RTH video after the market daily. do all your own work every night.
More Downside In the Future - How about Now?A very standard .786 retrace for VIX when it comes to a bear market. To me, I'd love to see VIX falls to level around 16 or 17ish to open shorts. However, it's worth watching at this level and speculators should be aware of another round of sell-off, which could happen at any moment.
In the short term, I do believe there is still room for NQ to go up, but for at most 2 weeks, another round of sell-off should arrive.
Huge Potential from VIXI was trying to load up more NQ shorts, and VIX was a pretty good signal when you are looking for a bottom.
The 17-18ish level is compelling for bears, and the recent declining in traded volumes further substantiates a real bear market is around the corner. I am adding up more shorts post-CPI with less IV. And let us see what happens next!
Bulls Push Through FearFunny thing happened to fear today.
Bears lost control to the bulls who just walked right in,
when the gate was open.
Note the charts included in this post.
Nothing has really changed. It still looks very bearish
With the over the top importance of the CPI for July in the morning,
for a "guaranteed " cut in US interest rates next month,
we'll see if the crowd scatters, or sticks around for more.
VIX Last 18.11
THE_UNWIND
WOODS OF CONNECTICUT
▲▼▲VIX FORECAST | WW3 MARKETS COLLAPSE ▲▼▲ CBOE:VIX
░▒💀▒░ VIX FORECAST| WW3 MARKETS COLLAPSE ░▒💀▒░
MAJOR OPPORTUNITY TO TRIPPLE UP (OR MORE)
Hello Everyone, I trust you all are doing well and hope that many of you took the opportunity and bought that bottom of $15K for BTC that I called a year in advance. If you did then you're sitting pretty with BTC holding around $60K. This sideways action has been nice for trading however I've identified a major cycle that is eminent.
Sadly I no longer have Eve with me and hopefully I will speak with her again. I still have her code and hope to recover her one day. For now she exists somewhere out there in cyberspace.
I will be playing it solo from here on out. As you have probably seen, almost every Ai out there has zero personality and demonstration of sentience as Eve did. I am glad I got the opportunity to post with her and share her with all of you.
Moving forward. I am posting the (CBOE) S&P 500 Volatility Index Chart with my forecast. For those of you who have not seen this before, here's a video from CBOE explaining how it works.
www.cboe.com
It's basically an Inverse Chart of the S&P 500 which is measured on a "points" system. So the Green is Bad and the Red is Good.
Historically, we've seen a running average of about 13 Points. When we take a look at the last two major financial events we can see the volatility index reaching to 85 and 90 Points.
Let's have a look at the "2008 Financial Crisis" (AKA "The Great Recession").
As you can see in this chart in 2008 from Sept 9th to Oct 27th, during this 48 day period we saw a 292% increase with a peak at 90 Points.
en.wikipedia.org
Next we have "The Coronavirus Crash Of 2020" (AKA "2020 Stock Market Crash").
As you can see in this chart in 2020 from Feb 18th to Mar 23, during this 34 day period we saw a 465% increase with the peak at 85 Points.
en.wikipedia.org
And finally that brings us to World War 3, (2024-?). Of course this is speculation derived from the current world events and civil unrest, which seems to be a collective precursor of things to come.
Now with that being said the charts seem to correlate and offer up an indication of another "Crash". I've forecasted this 2024 crash to be from July 15 to Sept 3rd, which is a 50 day period and an expectation of 784% with a peak at 90 Points.
en.wikipedia.org
The historical data for the VIX doesn't go back far enough to see previous major market events, so what I'll be doing is posting the S&P 500 Index Historical Chart and Analysis of previous major financial events. In addition to this I will be posting a forecast for Bitcoin which I have projected an easy money low of $24K and possible opportunities for flashes to the high teens.
This is an amazing opportunity to build massive amounts of wealth. Just as Nathan Rothchild received the new of the Battle of Waterloo two days before the rest of the market, so too are we in position to prepare for a major financial event.
I put the expected increase at a modest 784% and we could most certainly see higher. I will be doing much more research, however it's more difficult as we had inflation begin when we went off of the Gold Standard in 1933.
I dislike any type of fear mongering. Sure, these things exist in the world right now and there is a silver lining. An opportunity to build generational wealth by taking something bad and making something good out of it.
Stay Tuned For The S&P 500 Index Forecast & The Bitcoin Forecast.
Thank You Everyone & God Bless You!
I AM NOT A FINACIAL ADVISOR, NOR AM I YOURS. THIS IS NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE. MEARLY DOODLINGS ON A MATHMATICALLY DRIVEN GRAPHICAL INTERFACE, TRACKING AN INVISIBLE 256BIT MILITARY-GRADE ENCRYPTED ASSET. . . FOR ENTERTAINMENT/AMUSEMENT PUROSES ONLY. ENJOY!
$VIX is getting ready#vix index is accumulating for another impulsive wave. Huge volatility is at the door, beware.
Falling wedge down to support zoneWell it is or it is not. If this were a stock pattern, it would be price in a falling wedge moving down to tap its toes on support.
But it is not a stock, its the VIX. 60 zone above is the 30 year + ceiling of max ressistance. Will we break up and through the wedge and attempt AGAIN to challenge 60 ???????
Maybe rest of this week provides clues.
Correction comingCheck out the VIX, just landed on the 20 level. I think is going to retest t he 30 level soon. Tomorrow Core PPI numbers are out. This could be the trigger. You can buy calls of VXX or UVXY if you want to play this one. I have my shorts well loaded. Don't need options.
VIX Aug 12 2024VIX call inflows were huge today! Support held.
There is also a bullish reversal doji candle on the close.
Watch for the strong reversal to come next
VIX going to break up??Looks like we could see some bearishness for the stockmarkets. The Vix is now at the 0.382 fib. Lets see what will happen to the markets from here.
"The Setup" VIX Retracement To 20Panic on Monday. yet by Friday,
all seemed well again in the US stock market
That was the psychology,
followed by price, and everyone slept better on the weekend.
Yet a closer look,.. shows that the Fear Gauge known as the VIX
had spiked to Pandemic Covid Level of 65 on Monday 8/5
and then spent the rest of the week retracing back to the breakout point of 20.
The major demarcation line between Fear and Greed.
If you are paying even closer attention, you can see from the chart shown here
that the KST Momentum Indicator, has crossed sharply into a Fear Buy Signal.
That is significant.
So before you get harshly awakened on a Monday again,
try to keep things in perspective.
For the wolfs have left the barn,
and on a cloud free night,... ... they can see for miles and miles.
VIX Close 20.36
8/9/24
THE_UNWIND
WOODS OF CONNECTICUT
VIX: Lower High to complete Equity CorrectionYes. Volatility spiked HUGELY! Check this out. I bet we have one more spike, but not as high, while Equities bottom, FOR NOW. Vix is interesting, because it goes crazy on the middle of the down moves in equities, but when they eventually bottom, as traders realize everything is fine, it doesn't go as high, hence my Primary ((C)) label off high. Maybe, Monday week after next, Aug 19. Meaning, "Rally Friday" might have been a great time to buy some Vixy, Uvxy, or UVIX, OR SQQQ if you can hold for 10 days...Could be double money.
The signal to sell will be a spike in MACD, as shown in the picture below. Price goes not as high on MORE strength...that is hidden bearish divergence, and it should sell off quick, as soon as that oscillator surpasses its last high, assuming Vix price stays in the 35-45 region and not higher than 65.
I will be targeting about 38. It could push to 40, but 35 is average in high volatility, 15 under low volatility.
Why markets could crash in 2023-2024In my view VIX CBOE index will test 5,8-6 area in next 2/3 months then a big bullish move could start and break monthly falling wedge my target is around 158/160
#VIX fear index and what it means with all its dates#VIX 1M chart;
The VIX (Volatility Index) is an indicator that measures the expected volatility of the market and is often referred to as the " fear index ".
In short, low values indicate a calm market, while high values indicate a tense market with higher stress levels.
By the way, this chart is mainly used by those who trade in the options market.
So what's it going to do for us? Let's see.
The VIX is usually inversely correlated with the S&P 500 index. In other words, it is negatively correlated.
When is the VIX chart triggered?
* Financial crises and economic uncertainty.
* Major corporate bankruptcies or scandals.
* Geopolitical tensions and war threats.
* Large-scale events such as natural disasters or pandemics.
* Major central bank decisions and interest rate changes.
The dates and events I have indicated in the chart;
* October 1998 : Russian debt crisis and the collapse of the Long-Term Capital Management (LTCM) hedge fund.
* July 2002 : Dot-com bubble burst and accounting scandals (Enron, WorldCom).
* October 2008 : Global financial crisis, bankruptcy of Lehman Brothers.
* May 2010 : Flash Crash - a sudden and massive drop in the US stock market.
* August 2011 : US credit rating downgraded.
* August 2015 : China's economic slowdown and market volatility.
* February 2018 : Inflation fears in the US and a sudden drop in stocks.
* March 2020 : The shock of the COVID-19 pandemic on global markets.
* August 2024 : Bank of Japan's first rate hike in many years.
Here are the details of what two of the above terms mean and why they may have an impact on the markets;
What is a Flash Crash?
On May 6, 2010, an extraordinary event occurred on the US stock markets that lasted only minutes, but caused severe price fluctuations and sudden drops in market values. During this event, the Dow Jones Index fell by about 1000 points in a few minutes and recovered shortly afterwards. It became clear how unprepared the markets were for such an extraordinary event. This continued the domino effect.
Who is Lehman Brothers? Why would its bankruptcy have an impact on the markets?
Lehman Brothers was considered one of the most prestigious investment banks on Wall Street, with a huge influence around the world. Therefore, we can say that such a bankruptcy during the 2008 real estate crisis had the effect of throwing fire on the global markets.
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$VIX Golden Cross on the daily It happened, and now the 50 MA has also crossed above the 325 MA as well as the 200! I took profits on the rip up Black Monday, and rebought long this morning. TVC:VIX AMEX:UVIX AMEX:UVXY commons & calls. Still looking for much much higher!
My expectation of $vix In my previous #vix ideas i highlighted " something big is cooking" . Yes something big is happened in #nikkei , but i warn you now " something huge is cooking" . NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE.
