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1 Rule to STOP a portfolio CRASH I guess my number one rule to prevent a portfolio going bust is my 20% Rule… The rule is simple. If my portfolio ever drops below 20%, due to a losing streak, I halt trading… Notice the word halt instead of STOP. When a portfolio is down 20%, this is where you’ll halt your trading but you’ll KEEP following your trading strategy. So, you’ll simply demo trade your system and continue journaling your entries and exits… And only once the equity curve (your portfolio) goes back to all-time highs (on paper of course) then you can resume trading live… Do you have a trading question? Ask in the comments and I'll fully answer it in one of these posts on TradingView... Trade well, live free Timon MATI Trader
JSE:J200Education
by Timonrosso
27 Ways to Save money to TradeSaving money to trade, or in general, can be a pain. Either it drops your quality of life, or you find that you just can’t save a cent at the end of the month. No matter what you’re earning, I’m going to show you exactly how to save money the easy way. Here are my 27 favourite money savings tips with a couple of personal notes… SAVINGS TIP #1: Stick to your shopping list Write your shopping list down on a piece of paper or on your phone, and stick to it to avoid overspending. When you are prepared for what you have to buy when it comes to your grocery shopping, this will more likely stop you from buying extra items you don’t need. SAVINGS TIP #2: Pay with hard cash Pay using real money instead of swiping your debit or credit cards. When you pay with a card, instead of cash, you’ll find that you’ll spend more money on unnecessary items than you should or with money you don’t even have. Personal note: While I’ve been living and trading in Greece, I find this is the best savings tip I’ve used so far. SAVINGS TIP #3: Pay yourself firstay yourself first As soon as you’re paid your salary, wage or income for the month – deposit a portion of that money straight into your trading or savings account. I like to use the 10% rule, but this all depends on what you can afford to deposit. This means, if you earn R60,000 per month deposit R6,000 into your trading account or savings account each month. SAVINGS TIP #4: Don’t shop when ‘hangry’ or emotional Avoid shopping when you’re feeling hungry, thirsty, angry or upset. You’ll find you’ll spend more money than you should. In a recent study: Hungry mall shoppers who were hungry spent on average 64% MORE than non-hungry shoppers. Make sure you have a nice meal and drink lots of water, before you go on your next shopping trip. SAVINGS TIP #5: The ‘cookie-jar’ approach When you empty your pockets, at the end of the day, drop them into a yearly cookie jar for your savings. You’ll be surprised how many thousands of rands you’ll be able to save, collect and be able to deposit into your trading account for the next year. SAVINGS TIP #6: Use the 24-Hour-Rule Before paying money for non-essential and expensive items on clothes, cosmetics, appliances or even tools, just wait 24 hours before buying it. You may find that you’ll lose that desire to buy them after 24 hours, which will save you tens of thousands of rands a year. Maybe when your parents said “sleep on it”, there was method behind their madness. SAVINGS TIP #7: Go generic Save a ton of money by buying the generic prescription medicines instead of paying a fortune for the name branded drugs. Ask your local pharmacist or physician if you can have the generic prescription drugs instead of the brand-name drugs. You’ll find that the generic products cost far less than the brand names, and will work equally well. SAVINGS TIP #8: A quick breakfast that lasts a week Breakfasts are not only the most important meal of the day, but can also be the quickest, easiest and most inexpensive meal for the day. When you eat a full and healthy breakfast, you’ll find it will keep you from going out to eat an expensive lunch… Personal note: For the last two years, I have had the same breakfast which I make once and it lasts an entire week. This has truly been life-changing as it makes my day start with one less decision to make before I get on with the rest of the day. It’s called “Overnight Oats”. If you’d like to see my personal recipe feel free to click here… SAVINGS TIP #9: Follow the 30-Day-Rule Before you buy something really expensive, give it 30 days and then decide if it’s worth it. I’m talking about items like jewellery, motorbikes, paintings, juice extractors and any other item that can cost over R3,000. SAVINGS TIP #10: Don’t be fooled by sales Avoid sales and don’t be duped by discounts, special offers, buy 1 get one free etc… Remember this for every time you see a sale for 50% at the next Black Friday’s Special. “You’re not saving 50% of your money, you’re spending 50% of your money that you weren’t planning to spend in the first place.” SAVINGS TIP #11: Skip the alcohol and bottled water! When you go out to a restaurant, avoid spending unnecessary money on alcohol and expensive water bottles. A standard restaurant can mark up their cost of alcohol by three to five times. Instead order just plain water or even a sugar free soda. Personal note: In Europe I have noticed that when you ask for tap water, they pour it from a bottle of expensive water (R30) anyway. This is due to the danger of drinking tap water in Europe. SAVINGS TIP #12: Own your doggy bag Ask your waiter to put the food that you didn’t finish in a doggy bag, so you can save money on lunch for the next day. People are far too embarrassed about everything nowadays which I think needs to stop. There should not be a stigma attached to taking leftover food home. Everybody easts, drinks and sleeps. And when it comes to the food you ordered at the restaurant, you paid for it so why waste it? This will also save you money, time and effort the next day for lunch, which will make your trip to the restaurant EVEN MORE WORTH IT. SAVINGS TIP #13: Put three items back after shopping When you’ve added extra items to your shopping that weren’t on the list, to avoid overspending, put back at least three items that you believe you can live without. It’s very easy to walk through the final naughty aisle grabbing a whole bunch of crisps, chocolates, biltong, dried fruit and even a bottle of juice. SAVINGS TIP #15: Cut down on smoking and drinking Try to cut down your smoking and drinking by half the number per day. This is really tricky to do but if you put your mind to it and challenge yourself, I know you can achieve this. Personal note: What I do with smoking is I’ve limited it to two in the morning, two in the afternoon and two at night. This tip has saved me hundreds of rands per week from buying more boxes and I will continue to try cut it down until I’ve quit completely. SAVINGS TIP #16: Fill up your milk with water As soon as the milk reaches, the half way mark – fill it up with water. YOU WON’T TASTE THE DIFFERENCE. As a parent or as a milk drinker, it can be extremely expensive to buy milk on a daily basis. SAVINGS TIP #17: Become a vegetarian (at least once a week) At least once a week, switch to meatless dishes which will help drop your grocery bill. Replace it with: Chickpeas, couscous, okra, rice, sauerkraut, quinoa, beans, nuts, pasta dishes etc… You’ll be surprised what you can find at your local supermarket. Personal note: Inspired by my cousin, she insisted I cut meat out just once a week. I call this day “Meatless Monday”. EXTRA MONEY SAVINGS TIPS #18: Grow your own vegetables #19: Sign up for loyalty cards #20: Track your spending on your finance budget app #21: Make meals that will last a week e.g. Lasagna, casserole, giouvetsi, gemista, soups, roasts, ratatouille etc… #22: Buy the generic foods rather than the expensive name branded foods #23: Pay careful attention to expiration dates #24: Check your eggs in their boxes and your vegetables in their packets #25: Freeze your foods in bulk #26: Eat a meal before going to a restaurant #27: Keep to Pay-As-You-Go with your cell phone account and use the Wi-Fi to call on WhatsAapp This will be fun! With these savings tips you can watch your money grow in your savings and trading account!
JSE:J200Education
by Timonrosso
Why you should LOVE your losses 5 REASONSWe are brought up in society to WIN, WIN, WIN! Throughout our upbringing we must either: Achieve top grades Drive the fanciest cars Wear and own the best brands In other words, we are raised to win with everything we do in life, until you get welcomed into the world of trading. Today I’m going to be the contrarian and share with you why you should love, embrace and own your losses in order to ensure you grow your portfolio on a consistent basis. Let’s start with: What happens after a winning streak? There will be a time during your trading career, where you’re going to endure a magical time where you end up taking sometimes 6, 8 to even 10 winning trades in a row. Your portfolio will be smiling at a new all-time-high and, you’ll feel invincible. You may think that you’ve cracked the holy-grail of trading where you can quit your job and just make a living with the markets. Research shows that individuals tend to invest and trade more actively when their most recent trading performance was successful. In fact, here are: 4 DANGEROUS Actions Traders Take During A Winning Streak: They take on more trades. They upper their trading positions. They start to go against their trading strategy. Their self-confidence and greed levels pick up. Winning streaks are normal and INEVITABLE, but eventually they’ll end and the losing streak will begin. No matter how good you believe you are as a trader or how perfect your trading execution skills are, there will be a time when the honey-moon phase for your trading strategy will be over and the markets will stop acting in your favour every time. The reason is that due to the conditions of supply and demand, the markets environment will eventually change. A market that was trending up or down, could enter into a 3-months sideways phase very easily. When this happens, you will enter into a drawdown (downside) phase. The problem is not the downside for the next three months. The problem is how you’ll treat your trading going forward, based on the DANGEROUS actions you would have taken during your winning streak. Let’s bring them back, to see what will happen to ‘invincible traders’ portfolios and minds with their unexpected losing streak… They start to take on more trades – THIS MEANS MORE LOSSES They upper their trading positions – THIS MEANS BIGGER LOSSES. They start to go against their trading strategy – THIS MEANS UNEXPECTED LOSSES. Their self-confidence and greed levels pick up – THIS MEANS DEPRESSION MAY KICK IN WHICH WILL LEAD TO QUITTING. Now going back to what we said in the beginning. When a winning streak ends, you should love, embrace and own your losses because of these five reasons. 5 Reasons To Love Your Trading Losses Reason #1: Losses are part of your trading success journey Once you have a winning and proven trading strategy, you’ll need to go back to your trading journal to remind you of the flow of winning streaks, losing streaks, average gain & loss per trade and other historical statistics. I’ve back, forward and real-tested the MATI Trader System strategy for over two decades and so I know exactly what kind of winning and losing streaks are to come and that I’ll end up profitable in the medium to long term. Reason #2: Losses help keep your emotions in check Knowing there are inevitable losses to come, this should curb the ego, greed and fear emotions. Reason #3: Losses should keep your risk low With a losing streak that is inevitable to enter your trading results, this alone should be a reason to keep your losses low. I personally never risk more than 2% or my portfolio in any one trade, no matter how many winning trades I take in a row. You can read more about the timeless money management rules in lesson three of the MATI Trader System programme. Reason #4: Losses stop the “Hot Hand Fallacy” Another reason that I love losses when trading is that it reminds me that the winning streak will come to an end. This keeps me humbled and grounded to know that there will be a time where I’ll need to give back to the market, when the trading environment is less conducive to the trading strategy. Reason #5: Losses don’t take me back to the drawing board After a winning streak ends, you’ll find new traders will then quit trading and look for another system to find that will work for them during the changing market environment. The thing is they don’t realise and accept that losses come with the trading territory and that one should never throw a profitable system away because a market enters into a drawdown phase. Let me know what you thought about today's trading tutorial. I'm just sharing information I've learnt over the last 20 years as a trader. Trade well, Live Free... Timon MATI Trader
JSE:J200Education
by Timonrosso
4
JSE Top 40 Index (J200)Short Term Outlook Chart Time Frame: 2 hrs Overhead resistance at 67081 Has made a second attempt at breaching the upper boundary of the channel with a balance between bulls (buyers) and bears (sellers) A downside breach of line A_B would see the index trend toward further the mid-point of the channel. Consider that the index could breach the overhead resistance however failure to maintain upside support following the breakout could see a bearish reversal ensue.
JSE:J200
by techpers
QA WHAT is a Margin Call? QA: What is a Margin Call? You don't want this. It's an automatic instruction to close out your trade/s when you have insufficient funds in your portfolio. This is a safety mechanism for both you and your broker. It's also where either your trading platform, your broker or an automatic message via email will tell you to either deposit more funds into your account, close your trades or will warn you that your positions will be automatically closed. *DO YOU HAVE ANY TRADING QUESTION? Comment below or LIKE this post if you found it helpful. I've been trading for the last 20 years and it's my hobby to help provide analyses and help traders get on the right foot. I'm happy to have a platform like TradingView to do it :) Trade well, live free. Timon MATI Trader
JSE:J200Education
by Timonrosso
5 Market entry Orders Easily ExplainedBack in the old days, to action a trade you only had two easy options. Buy or sell… Fast-forward into the present day, and today you get slapped with five different options to choose from when you get into a trade. Right now, I’m going to simplify these five trading entry orders in way that you’ll never forget. Entry Order #1: Market Order The first entry order is the easiest to understand. This is where you’ll buy or sell at the most current market price. When you choose a market order, it is the quickest, most effective and easiest way to enter into your ‘long’ or ‘short’ trade at the current bid (buy) or offer (sell). Entry Order #2: BUY Limit When you place a ‘Buy Limit Order’, you’ll place your long trade entry price BELOW where the current price is trading at. Once the market price drops on or below the Buy Limit Order price, you will be automatically entered into your ‘long’ trade. EXAMPLE: BUY Limit If BHP Billiton’s share price is currently trading at R305 per share and you would like to buy (go long) at R300 per share, you’ll choose the Buy Limit Order. You’ll then wait for the market price to drop to your chosen order price or below it where you’ll then be automatically entered into your ‘long’ trade. Entry Order #3: SELL Limit When you place a ‘Sell Limit Order’, you’ll place your short trade entry price ABOVE where the current price is trading at. Once the market price hits this entry point or above it, you will be automatically entered into your ‘short’ trade. EXAMPLE: SELL Limit If BHP Billiton’s share price is currently trading at R300 per share and you would like to sell (go short) at R305 per share, you’ll choose the Sell Limit Order. You’ll then wait for the market price to rise to or above your chosen order price, where you’ll then be automatically entered into your ‘short’ trade. Entry Order #4: BUY Stop When you place a ‘Buy Stop Order’, you’ll place your long trade entry price ABOVE where the current price is trading at. Once the market price hits this entry point or above it, you will be automatically entered into your ‘long’ trade. EXAMPLE: BUY Stop If BHP Billiton’s share price is currently trading at R300 per share and you would like to buy (go long) at R305 per share, you’ll choose the Buy Stop Order. You’ll then wait for the market price to rise to or above your chosen order price, where you’ll then be automatically entered into your ‘long’ trade. Entry Order #5: SELL Stop When you place a ‘Sell Stop Order’, you’ll place your short trade entry price BELOW where the current price is trading at. Once the market price drops on or below the Sell Stop Order price, you will be automatically entered into your ‘short’ trade. EXAMPLE: SELL Stop If BHP Billiton’s share price is currently trading at R305 per share and you would like to sell (go short) at R300 per share, you’ll choose the Sell Stop Order. You’ll then wait for the market price to drop to your chosen order price or below it where you’ll then be automatically entered into your ‘short’ trade. I hope this helps with knowing how to place an entry order for next time! Trade well, live free... Timon MATI Trader
JSE:J200Education
by Timonrosso
Why you should never HOLD a boring trade - Rule I followGet in and get out in the shortest time possible. This is the science of successful trading. But what happens when a trade turns out to be more like a non-performing investment? When you hold a long-term trade, there are a few issues that will follow including the: Opportunity cost You can find other higher probability trades, instead of having your money tied up aimlessly in a sluggish market. Unnecessary impatience You’ll eventually feel rather anxious and frustrated holding onto a long-term trade, when you are better off trading in a market that is moving. The fake-out With an ongoing trade, the breakout pattern may fizzle out into a low probability fake-out trade (a trade that turns against you). I created a rule to avoid this situation from ever occurring again. I call it a time stop loss... After 7 weeks of holding a trade, exit the trade and look for a better opportunity. Worst case you take a smaller loss than you thought. Best case you take a smaller profit than you expected. But you'll stop holding trades that aren't performing and stop paying daily costs with trading.... Sound good? Trade well, live free. Timon MATI Trader
JSE:J200Education
by Timonrosso
2
My Interview with US Successful Trader Peter L. BrandtThe Internet has truly made the world a smaller and a more accessible place. In 2013, I stumbled across world-renown trader, author and owner Peter L. Brandt, on Twitter and his blog. I sent him a request for him to join one of the most elite South African trader groups on Skype. We had some fantastic chats over the next couple of days. There are words of wisdom that are far too essential to let them slip by. I’ve collated some of the timeless lessons Peter L. Brandt shared with me. I hope you enjoy the interview and find it useful for your trading career. Timon: I’ve never met a trader who trades long time-frames on Forex and commodities, do you believe technical charts can be used to predict market movements? Peter: I absolutely positively do NOT believe I can predict the markets. I absolutely positively do NOT believe charts are predictive tools any more than a MACD, COT, Moving Averages or anything else. My win rate is historically around 38%, although I made some changes to the system in an attempt to boost that to 45%. Generally, 100% of my profits come from 10% of my trades. It is a matter of trying to keep the other 90% from being a net loss. Timon: I agree with no one being able to predict the market movements, however, I believe in probability predictions. If there is a breakout to the upside, there is a higher probability for the market to continue moving in the direction of the breakout. What is your take on when unfavourable markets bring about a 15% or more drawdown on your portfolio? Peter: Drawdowns come with the territory. The question to always ask for discretionary traders is, whether their trading rules are out of sync with the markets? If they are out of sync with their rules? or both? If I know the problem are my rules being out of sync with the markets, I will never stop trading because I cannot time my rules. I may cut back on the size during a losing period. Timon: As my trading mentor and dear friend Igor Marinkovic says, “Your biggest drawdown is still to come and so is your biggest winning streak.” What are your thoughts on risk management principles? Peter: As a general rule — very general rule — an excellent trader with a great grasp of money management should have an average annual ROR that is 1.5 to 2 times their worst drawdown, over the past three or five years. For me, this is mandatory Even daily patterns are made up of many hourly patterns that morphed, which are made up of many 15-minute patterns that morphed etc... — I call it ‘Chart Morphology’. The trick is to determine which patterns are real and which patterns are more likely to morph. Sometimes a market reveals itself by failing. It is because of morphology that I seek patterns that are 10 to 12 weeks or longer. I’m also not worried about markets changing so drastically that all conventional systems stop working. The reason is my belief that markets are and have always been driven by fear, greed and money flows. These things will always be the same. Timon: Yes, that’s why I don’t believe in Holy Grail systems. I believe in finding the system that suits your personality and risk profile. Along the way, one should not feel scared about making mistakes, but be sure to avoid them from being too costly. What would be your final feedback on trading in general? Peter: Sounds like you are well on your way to a long and profitable career trading. Mistakes are the tuition charged by the markets for learning. Unfortunately, the markets often decide the tuition rate, not us. Hence, I only risk 0.5% per trade. You have to develop your own style. I have never met another truly skilled trader who has copied his or her style from another trader. This is true from a tactical standpoint, but from a money management standpoint most skilled traders think very much alike.
JSE:J200Education
by Timonrosso
2
Forget about motivation and implement this insteadThere is an over-estimated word that people say. I’m talking about MOTIVATION. “I need motivation to keep to a healthy diet.” “I need motivation to go to gym six days a week.” “I need motivation to see my friends.” If I needed motivation to trade, I would have stopped trading over a decade ago. From today, I want you to remove the word motivation from your life and replace it with… INTEGRATION Integration is when an action becomes a habit without any effort and without any force. You make it a part of your daily life where you don’t need the motivation to do something. To integrate something is to naturally enforce great discipline, passion and determination into your life. I bet you already integrate certain aspects into your life such as, Getting dressed Brushing your teeth Cooking food Just like you’ve integrated a few of the above aspects into your life, so too have I done with trading. For well over a decade, I have the same morning trading routine I’ve incorporated into my life. I make coffee Open my trading and chart platform Look at the main index Analyse charts using my MATI System Place my trade orders Let the market do its thing That’s it. It’s what I do. I don’t need the motivation or discipline from friends, family and colleagues when I follow my morning routine. I’ve just integrated trading into my routine. It’s time you stop the motivation and start integrating certain aspects into your life with everything that you are passionate about. Trade well. Timon (MATI Trader)
JSE:J200Education
by Timonrosso
5 Laws of Trading Success - EXPLAINED E=MC² Everything you need to know about the Universe, can be condensed into this tiny equation. What if there was a formula that unlocked the laws of trading the markets? I believe, there is… I call them the 5 Laws To Trading Success… 1. Markets You’ll need to be able to find and trade the best markets, at anytime and anywhere in the world with CFDs or through Spread Trading. 2. Method You’ll need to create and adopt proven, mechanical and consistently profitable trading strategies with a few entry and exit rules. 3. Money You’ll need to learn how to use essential money management rules in order to boost your winners, cut your losses and never blow your trading account. 4. Mind You’ll need to be able to improve your self-confidence and develop a successful trading mindset, in order to trade effortlessly with little worry and with less stress. 5. Miscellaneous You’ll need to adopt extra tips and tricks in order to boost your win rate, cut your trading holding time and preserve your portfolio. Once you incorporate all five equally important elements – around your personality, lifestyle and risk appetite – you’ll be able to create a timeless and profitable trading plan for the rest of your trading career. Trade well live free. MATI Trader
JSE:J200Education
by Timonrosso
1
JSE Top40: Overbought on Daily TimeframeThe JSE Top40 daily chart is showing exhaustion, one can make a case for a confluence of resistance around current price level while RSI is turning from an overbought position. Today (16th Nov) price has confirmed a swing high which increases the confidence that we are heading down & price will have to go below the blue uptrend support before finding a low. The index itself is not ideal to short, however it gives a guide for picking those shares that offer higher reward & have a positive correlation to the index. For those who are long underlying shares, it affords the opportunity to open short hedging positions who profits can add to long to medium term holdings when the index turns upwards.
JSE:J200Short
by runyamhere
JSE ALSI 40 ready to rock to 73,300The JSE ALSI 40 is finally showing strong upside since April 2022... It's broken up and out of a box formation and is showing the first target to 73,300... This is based on following the recent America's rally with the inflation rate coming down finally and dropping below the expectations. GDP is picking up and jobs have added over 261,000 jobs. The leaders of the pack was Naspers, Anglo American, Sasol and Shoprite helping push up the JSE. Bullish Bias...
JSE:J200Long
by Timonrosso
1
JSE Top40: The Bearish CaseWhile expectation is for the US dollar to give respite to risky assets, there is a hidden possibility that the JSE Top 40 has resumed a downtrend after an attempt of a rally from 15 July to 16 August (Bear Market Rally). 1 September would have marked a cycle low but a higher high, the breach of this price means downtrend has resumed with possible bottom in late October to first week of November with the lower trendline supporting the price. If one is long, it would help to open short positions & close them when a swing low is formed at the end of October/beginning of November. The swing high from there would be an opportunity to open new short positions to hold into mid to end of December. An exit strategy from long positions would be to buy the swing low then exit at break-even.
JSE:J200Short
by runyamhere
The line of least resistance still facing to the floorIt seems the line of least resistance is still point downward. The strongest group of stocks (financials) seems to be also giving grown and losing their will to rise. As the US S&P500 failed to break its 50 day EMA reversing with a bearish engulfing candle and shooting right through the 50 day EMA. Seems the US has sneezed. We normally catch a flu. rates still going higher Fed adding another 75 points. The wedge is narrowing. and that's worries some.
JSE:J200Short
by VillageTraderZA