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US100: Correction Complete, Downtrend ResumesIn US100, it seems we have completed a correction in the form of an upward Zigzag. This was followed by a five-wave structure to the downside, signaling a shift back to bearish momentum. I anticipate a brief corrective move upward, likely forming a three-wave structure, before the market continues its decline. This setup aligns with the broader downtrend, and traders should remain cautious, watching for the correction to complete before considering positions in line with the bearish outlook.
SKILLING:US100Short
by The_Traders_Memoirs
Nasdaq 100 Index - outlook for Q1 2025Since the beginning of 2024, the Nasdaq 100 Index jumped 28.83%, leaving the broader market, like the S&P 500, in the dust. In the long term, the chart screams bullish, with the one-month view suggesting a strong buy. Yet, the recent trading sessions have seen some cooling off, a typical holiday lull as traders and investors take a break. The Nasdaq peaked at 22,174 on December 16, 2024, and since then, making higher highs has been a struggle. This hesitation can be chalked up to uncertainty around the U.S. interest rate policy for 2025. At the same time, there was a flurry of buying activity when the Nasdaq hovered near its 50-day moving average, around the 21,000 mark. This suggests that investors see this level as a sweet spot for picking up shares, possibly viewing it as a solid support line amidst all the market noise. Currently, I see no clarity in the Index's direction for the near term. If we hear hawkish news from the Fed and Trump's policy in January, the stock market could deepen. At the same time, earnings reports from the MAG7 and their guidance for the year 2025 will play a pivotal role in the Index's direction.
NASDAQ:NDX
by IrinaTK
$NQ Potential Moves Next WeekSEED_ALEXDRAYM_SHORTINTEREST2:NQ Potential Moves Next Week The chart shows a possible bullish recovery scenario heading into the new week. Watch key levels like the weekly close (blue), bear day zones (red), and bullish week targets (dotted). Yellow path highlights: 📈 Initial consolidation → Break above key resistance. 📉 Retest near support → Continued bullish swing. Keep an eye on market conditions and adjust accordingly! 🚀 #Trading #Futures #NQ100 #NASDAQ #DayTrading
CAPITALCOM:US100
by peteramner
nas100 update Key Observations: 1. Trade Progress: • The price has moved significantly in your favor, reaching Target 1 at 21,582.04 and continuing upward toward the higher target at 21,939.56. • The current price is at 21,825.54, showing strong bullish momentum. 2. Updated Elements: • Profit Metrics: The trade has generated 445.38 USD in profit (based on the updated lot size and risk percentage shown in the position calculator). • The 4-hour bearish order block (OB) has been respected so far, with no major reversals threatening the trade. 3. Risk Management: • The note on the chart (“Narrow stop for any added positions”) suggests you’re managing risk effectively for scaling into the trade while locking in profits on the original position. 4. Key Levels: • Entry Zone: 21,235.54 remains valid. • Stop-Loss: Still set at 21,186.05, providing protection. • Fibonacci 50% Retracement: The bounce from this level was accurate, reinforcing your initial analysis. 5. Trading Psychology: (“Patience, react, don’t predict. If it isn’t in the press, it’s in the price”) reflects a disciplined trading mindset. Scaling In on a Retracement: 1. Retracement Zones: • Set pending buy orders at 21,700 and 21,582.04, where price may retrace. 2. Smaller Lot Size: • Use 50% of the initial lot size for added trades to minimize overall risk. 3. Entry Confirmation: • Look for bullish engulfing candles, wicks rejecting support levels, or price respecting the Fibonacci retracement (50% or 61.8%). 4. Stop-Loss Placement: • For the added position, place your SL just below the retracement zone: • If entry is 21,700, SL can be at 21,582.04. • If entry is 21,582.04, SL can be at 21,186.05. 5. Profit Targets for Added Positions: • First target: 21,939.56. • Final target: 22,130.78.
FX:NAS100Long
by Saint876
Below is a quick, high-level read on what the chart suggests for1. Recent Downward Momentum Price has clearly dropped from a swing high (around the mid‑21,400s to 21,480 area) and is now trading in the low 21,300s. The series of lower highs on the way down suggests near-term bearish pressure or at least a corrective pullback. 2. Key Support Zones There’s a notable support band around 21,280 – 21,250 (green boxes/lines on your chart). This area appears to have propped the market up once already. Below that, the next region of interest is near 21,200 – 21,180, which may act as a secondary support if the first zone fails. 3. Overhead Resistance Near-term resistance looks to be the 21,360 – 21,400 zone. The market rejected in that region not long ago. A break and hold above 21,400 could indicate buyers are regaining control, potentially setting up a run toward prior swing levels in the 21,450–21,480 range. 4. Volume Profile Observations There’s heavier volume around the mid-21,200s and again in the upper 21,300s/21,400 region. These are likely to remain “hot spots” where price may stall or pivot due to heavier trading activity. The 21,250–21,280 band also shows a fair amount of transactional volume, reinforcing that support zone. 5. Short-Term Bias As long as price stays below the 21,360–21,400 ceiling, the immediate tilt is mildly bearish or consolidative, leaning negative. If bulls manage a strong push above 21,400, it would suggest short-term buyers are stepping in; failing that, watch for a retest of the 21,250 zone or potentially the 21,200 handle. Bottom Line Short-Term Bearish Bias: Lower highs and a clear downward swing off recent highs. Immediate Supports: 21,280 → then 21,250 → deeper support near 21,200. Immediate Resistances: 21,360 → 21,400 → beyond that, 21,450+. Keep an eye on how price reacts at those volume-rich zones—if momentum breaks above 21,400, that could quickly shift sentiment more bullish in the immediate term. If support near 21,280/21,250 fails, expect a further leg down.
CAPITALCOM:US100
by peteramner
US Nas 100 . 4H4-Hour Timeframe Analysis for NAS 100U In the 4-hour timeframe, we have observed a confirmed bullish trend. The price has reached a short-term peak and established this level, allowing for a pullback that can facilitate liquidity accumulation. If this pullback holds, we anticipate upward movement toward our identified target. However, we must remain cautious. If the Order Block Decisional fails, we will revise our selling strategy accordingly. In addition, should the Order Block Extreme be confirmed in the specified area, we may reconsider re-entering a buy position. It is essential to keep trades open until we hit our Fibonacci-based take-profit targets.
OANDA:NAS100USDLong
by fereydoon1199
US Nas 100Hello everyone, dear traders! I am Fereydoon Bahrami, a trader and market analyst focused on Forex. Today, we will conduct an in-depth analysis of the NAS 100U chart and review our insights NAS 100U Chart Analysis Greetings and best wishes to you all. Based on our analysis today, we have received confirmation of a bullish trend in the 4-hour timeframe. In this analysis, the price has reached and established a short-term peak within the 4-hour chart. Following a pullback to accumulate liquidity, we can anticipate a potential price increase towards the specified target on the chart. This represents our first entry point, which I have indicated on the chart. However, should the **Order Block Decisional** prove ineffective, I will revise the selling strategy and share it with you. Additionally, I have identified another **Order Block Extreme**. If this Order Block fails and we implement the selling strategy, once we receive confirmation in this zone, we will re-enter a buying position. Furthermore, the price targets (Take Profit levels) have been established using Fibonacci retracement levels; it is essential that if we enter a trade, we maintain it until we achieve the designated target. Fundamental Analysis for the Week (December 16 to December 22, 2024) To enhance the accuracy of our analysis, let’s highlight the fundamental factors that have impacted the market over the past week: 1. **Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) Report**: On Friday, December 20, 2024, the NFP report was released, indicating a drop in the unemployment rate to 4% along with an increase in the number of new jobs created, exceeding expectations. This positive data serves as a potential macroeconomic indicator of growth in the U.S. economy, which could bolster NAS 100U. 2. **Inflation Data**: On December 18, data regarding the Consumer Price Index (CPI) was released, showing a 0.3% increase from the previous month. This has raised concerns regarding a potential interest rate hike by the Federal Reserve. If this trend persists, it could exert pressure on the markets. 3. **Federal Reserve Signals**: Recent comments from Federal Reserve officials hinted at the possibility of an interest rate increase in the upcoming meeting, which may positively influence financial markets. Such developments can lead to increased volatility and prompt investors to closely analyze the status of NAS 100U and other indices. 4. **Global Economic Influences**: In the past week, global markets have been affected by geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and trade disputes with China. The economic and political decisions made by major world powers have had a significant impact on NAS 100U and other U.S. indices, leading to market fluctuations. Scenarios Now, we can summarize our three scenarios as follows: 1. **Bullish Scenario**: With the price stabilization at the short-term peak and a pullback for liquidity accumulation, we expect the price to rise toward the target identified on the chart. This represents our first entry point. 2. **Selling Scenario**: If **Order Block Decisional** fails, we will update our selling entry strategy and will enter a trade upon confirmation. 3. **Re-buy Scenario**: If **Order Block Extreme** is validated in a specific region, we can re-enter a buying position. It is crucial to emphasize maintaining the trade until we reach the targets outlined by Fibonacci levels. By considering these analyses alongside the fundamental news, we aim to assist you in making informed trading decisions. Join us as we embark on this pathway to mutual success. Thank you! Fereydoon Bahrami "A retail trader in the Wall Street trading Center (Forex)."
OANDA:NAS100USDLong
by fereydoon1199
TEMPORARY SELLS ON NASDAQGood day traders, today we have beautiful market structure on Nasdaq as you can see on the 15m timeframe the market gave us a bearish market structure shift after reaching the FVG on the right, we are in the london killzone i am looking for this market to trade down to the level @21098.7 so that I can execute my buys(long term positions) so do not worry if you missed the perfect entry on this one, there will be more during the day.currently we are selling to buy ENTRY:21538.1 SL:21616.8 TP:21098.7
OANDA:NAS100USDShort
by Mokgethoa_MK
NAS100 - Nasdaq, waiting for the final days of Santa Rally?!The index is located between EMA200 and EMA50 in the four-hour time frame and is trading in its ascending channel. If the index corrects towards the supply zone, you can look for the next Nasdaq sell positions with the appropriate risk reward. Nasdaq being in the demand zone will provide us with the conditions to buy it. The Federal Reserve, in its latest meeting, reduced the interest rate by 25 basis points, bringing it to a range of 4.25%–4.50%. However, FOMC members now forecast the 2025 interest rate to hover around 3.9%, higher than their September projection of 3.4%. Markets were largely surprised by the Fed’s hawkish stance, especially following Donald Trump’s victory in the U.S. presidential election. Jerome Powell, the Fed Chair, indirectly emphasized during the post-meeting press conference that policymakers are currently assessing the impact of Trump’s economic policies on inflation and growth. This shift has unsettled investors, dampening the optimistic market sentiment that typically precedes the Christmas holiday. Concerns are rising that if the Trump administration follows through on its campaign promises regarding taxes, tariffs, and immigration, the Fed may have to reverse its rate-cutting trajectory and adopt rate hikes instead. The outlook for 2025 has also seen adjustments. The Federal Reserve now expects only two rate cuts in 2025, compared to four cuts forecasted in September. This adjustment reflects the persistent inflation that remains above the central bank’s target range. Following the Fed’s announcement, the S&P 500 experienced its steepest decline in 27 months, falling over 3.5%. The last time the U.S. stock index saw such a significant drop was in September 2022, during peak inflation and amid aggressive monetary tightening. Similarly, the Nasdaq dropped by 3.6%, marking its worst decline in five months. Morgan Stanley also revised its outlook for the Fed, predicting two 25-basis-point rate cuts in 2025, instead of the previously anticipated three cuts. On the economic front, the Conference Board Consumer Confidence Index, scheduled for release today, is likely to draw market attention. This index has risen steadily over the past two months, while one of its components—the sub-index measuring “job finding difficulty”—has declined during the same period. Given its strong correlation with the official unemployment rate, a further drop in December could signal job growth and a stronger dollar. On Tuesday, November data for durable goods orders and new home sales will be released. Durable goods orders, which grew by 0.3% in October, are expected to decline by 0.4% month-over-month. However, investors often focus on the more specific “non-defense capital goods orders (excluding aircraft),” which tends to exhibit less volatility and is a key input for GDP calculations. Overall, if market volatility persists during the holiday season, equities and bonds are likely to be impacted. The Fed’s hawkish tone is unfavorable for stocks, suggesting continued selling pressure as Treasury yields rise. The U.S. Treasury plans to auction two-year, five-year, and seven-year notes this week. If demand falls short of expectations, bond yields could face additional upward pressure. Deutsche Bank, in a recent note, highlighted a significant shift in the Fed’s tone. Although the Fed reduced the interest rate by 25 basis points to a range of 4.25%–4.50%, analysts noted a more hawkish stance than expected. One key indicator of this shift is the upward revision of the 2025 median inflation forecast to 2.5%, which Deutsche Bank described as “notable.” According to this report, the Fed does not anticipate inflation returning to its 2% target until 2027. Furthermore, the Fed’s updated forward guidance lacked any clear indications of future rate cuts. Jerome Powell described the December rate cut as a “difficult decision,” which faced opposition from Loretta Mester, President of the Cleveland Fed. Deutsche Bank analysts believe the Fed is unlikely to take any action during its January meeting, and the current pause could extend into a prolonged hold throughout 2025. Forecasts suggest that interest rates will remain above 4% next year, with no additional cuts anticipated.
CAPITALCOM:US100Short
by Ali_PSND