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U.S. Dollar Index

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WEEKLY FOREX FORECAST: USD Still Bullish? YES! Buy It!This forecast is for the week of Dec. 16th - 20th. The USD INDEX is indicating strength, continuing from last week going into this week. The economic calendar has red folders for every day this week. THe xxxUSD pairs are looking bearish, while the USDxxx pairs are looking bullish. The USD Index closed last week very bearish, trading through the previous week's low. A pullback makes sense for this week, at least for the beginning of it. With NFP coming on Friday, trading up until Wed may be the safest way to go. Check the comments section below for updates regarding this analysis throughout the week. Enjoy! May profits be upon you. Leave any questions or comments in the comment section. I appreciate any feedback from my viewers! Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis. Thank you so much! Disclaimer: I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor. All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies. I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here. Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise. Transcript
TVC:DXYLong
by RT_Money
DXY ANALYSISWe are focusing on the 4-hour time frame chart to analyze the potential moves and changes in DXY's price. Based on my bias, I am expecting a sell in the market today. Let's see what kind of opportunity the market provides. It is very important to get confirmation before taking a trade, so always wait for confirmation. Always use stoploss for your trade. Always use proper money management and proper risk to reward ratio. This is just my analysis or prediction. #DXY 4H Technical Analyze Expected Move.
TVC:DXYShort
by TradeTacticsreal
DXY SELL US Dollar rises after Fed's cut and hawkish outlook DXY trades rose above 107.80, reacting to the Fed’s anticipated rate cut. Markets parse new rate projections for 2025 and 2026. Traders assess Powell’s cautious yet hawkish remarksThe US Dollar Index (USDX) is an index (or measure) of the value of the United States dollar relative to a basket of foreign currencies. These currencies are the Euro (constituting 57.6% of the weighting), Japanese Yen (13.6%), British Pound (11.9%), Canadian Dollar (9.1%), Swedish Krona (4.2%) and Swiss Franc (3.6%). The index started in 1973 -with the absolution of Bretton Woods- with a base of 100.000, and values since then are relative to this base. For example, if the current reading says 99.800, this means that the dollar has fallen 0.2% since the start of the index (99.800 - 100.000). US Dollar Index on Wikipedia Being the Dollar Index a geometrically weighted index and not a trade-weighted one, it is too concentrated in Europe and does not include two of the U.S. top four trading partners Mexico and China. It does not appear to be used by corporates or many asset managers, like mutual funds, insurance companies, and endowments. It is primarily a speculative vehicle. It's also important to acknowledge that a geometric mean artificially lowers the value of the USD over time. More about the basics of the Dollar index! ORGANIZATIONS, PEOPLE AND ECONOMIC DATA THAT INFLUENCE US DOLLAR INDEX The US Dollar Index news can be seriously affected by the decisions taken by these organizations and people: Fed, the Federal Reserve of the United States whose president is Jerome Powell. The Fed controls the monetary policy, through active duties such as managing interest rates, setting the reserve requirement, and acting as a lender of last resort to the banking sector during times of bank insolvency or financial crisis. The US Government: events as administration statements, budget, new laws and regulations or fiscal policy can increase or decrease the value of the Dollar Index. The US Treasury Dept that defines its role as “the steward of U.S. economic and financial systems, and as an influential participant in the world economy.” US GDP (Gross Domestic Product), the total market value of all final goods and services produced in the United States of America. It is a gross measure of market activity because it indicates the pace at which a country's economy is growing or decreasing. Generally speaking, a high reading or a better than expected number is seen as positive for the Dollar Index, while a low reading is negative. WANT TO LEARN MORE ON US DOLLAR INDEX? The US Dollar Index Steve Misic Steve Misic Online Trading Academy When I write the Online Trading Academy Forex newsletter, I give my opinion about what I believe is happening to the currencies of the world based on the news I hear, the experts I follow, and my personal experiences of the economic cycles I have seen in the past. This fundamental information helps me understand what reports and indicators the economists of the world believe will shape future events. The Dollar Index – It Makes Sense Until it Closes Don Dawson Don Dawson Online Trading Academy Have you watched the US Dollar Index (USDX) Futures contract trade during the day? Do you notice that with each price change the intervals are always a minimum tick of .005? And then at the end of the day when you look at your daily candle of the USDX you see a closing price like 97.197. A Look at the US Dollar Index Sam Evans Sam Evans Online Trading Academy Over the last few months especially, there’s been a lot of focus in the world of Currency Trading upon the state of the US Dollar. No matter what your opinion is of the Greenback, it is still, without question, regarded as the world’s primary reserve currency and holds its weight of recognition across the board. Being the Dollar Index a geometrically weighted index and not a trade-weighted one, it is too concentrated in Europe and does not include two of the U.S. top four trading partners Mexico and China. It does not appear to be used by corporates or many asset managers, like mutual funds, insurance companies, and endowments. It is primarily a speculative vehicle. It's also important to acknowledge that a geometric mean artificially lowers the value of the USD over
TVC:DXYShort
by KingForex078
DXY Technical Analysis: Quasimodo Pattern Alert!The DXY (US Dollar Index) chart reveals a significant Quasimodo Pattern, a classic trend reversal signal indicating potential downside momentum. The key resistance level at 107.14 stands strong. If this level isn’t broken, we may see the price sliding down to the 104.13 support zone. 💡 What does this mean for the markets? 1️⃣ Forex: A weaker DXY could drive EUR/USD and GBP/USD higher, while USD/JPY might head lower. 2️⃣ Gold: A declining dollar often supports gold prices, pushing them upward. 3️⃣ Crypto: A DXY drop may provide a bullish push for risk assets like BTC and ETH. 4️⃣ Stock Market: A weaker dollar could benefit US exporters, potentially boosting equity markets. 🔍 Key focus now: Will the 107.14 resistance hold, or will we see a reversal from here? Stay tuned—big moves could be ahead! 📉📈
TVC:DXYShort
by alemicihan
DXY- Will it continue up into year's end?December is usually a bearish month for the USD. However, this time, the situation could be different. The USD seems well-supported by fundamentals, and the technicals are looking bullish. Looking at the 4-hour chart, we can see that after the local high at 108, the index started to fall and broke below the support from the April-May highs (old resistance). However, after hitting a low at the 105.50 zone, the USD Index reversed, breaking above the falling trendline of the corrective falling wedge and also reclaiming the 106.40 resistance. At this moment, there is a high chance of upward continuation, and as long as the 106–106.40 zone remains intact, the outlook remains valid.
TVC:DXYLong
by Mihai_Iacob
Silver gold oil dxy12.20.24 this is a tough day for me. I had a hard time finding the words and I'm sure that added to some confusion... and it was very stressful for me. I decided to post the video since it took a good amount of time and the content was acceptable even if the presentation was awkward. I was trying to find the word for hyperinflation and I was trying to find the word for Reserve currency a sense the US dollar is a lot more bullish than I would expect. and while a lot of the markets in the index markets have gone lower the S&P is still quite strong which surprises me and so I am wondering if Trump's strategy to save the United States and the US currency might be a positive sign despite the horrible debt that that has occurred because of corrupt, component politicians on both sides. the whole world is corrupt says almost all the major countries have terrible debt even if it's less debt than the United States. personally I evaluate markets through patterns and... not the experts because I don't believe what they say not smart enough to know if it's because they're stupid where they're dishonest.... so I read the price bars on the chart.
TVC:DXY
by ScottBogatin
What Is Quantitative Tightening and How Does It Work?What Is Quantitative Tightening and How Does It Work in Financial Markets? Quantitative tightening (QT) is a critical tool central banks use to control inflation by reducing the money supply. In this article, we’ll break down how QT works, its impact on financial markets, and how it influences the broader economy. Read on to learn more about the effects of QT and how it shapes markets. What Is Quantitative Tightening? Quantitative tightening (QT) is a type of tightening monetary policy that central banks use to reduce the amount of money circulating in the economy. When central banks like the USA’s Federal Reserve or European Central Bank engage in QT, they aim to tighten liquidity by reducing their balance sheets, typically by allowing bonds or other financial assets to mature without reinvestment or selling them outright. QT is a practice often used alongside hiking central bank interest rates, though not always. The main goal of QT is to manage inflation by increasing borrowing costs and reducing demand for goods and services. By letting bonds mature or selling them, central banks effectively pull money out of circulation. This leads to fewer funds available for lending, which raises interest rates. Higher rates make borrowing more expensive, encouraging businesses and consumers to cut back on spending, which can help cool down inflation. An example of this mechanism in action is the Fed’s QT program that began in 2022 to tackle high inflation by reducing the size of its balance sheet after years of quantitative easing. QT is essentially the opposite of quantitative easing (QE), which is aimed at stimulating economic growth. What Is Quantitative Easing? QT and QE are both used to correct the economy’s course. However, while QT refers to the tightening of monetary policy, QE loosens it. During QE, central banks buy large quantities of government bonds and other assets to inject liquidity into the economy. This increases the money supply, lowers interest rates, and is intended to stimulate economic activity, particularly during downturns or recessions. QE was used extensively following the 2008 financial crisis and during the COVID-19 pandemic as a way to support economic recovery.​ How Does Quantitative Tightening Work? Quantitative tightening works by pulling liquidity out of the financial system, reducing the amount of money available for borrowing and investment. Central banks use a couple of specific methods to achieve this, which have a ripple effect on markets and the broader economy. 1. Reducing Asset Holdings One of the most common ways central banks implement QT is by allowing bonds and other financial assets on their balance sheets to mature without reinvesting the proceeds. For example, the Federal Reserve might hold trillions in government bonds. When those bonds mature, instead of using the proceeds to buy new bonds, the Fed simply lets the money flow out of circulation. This reduces the central bank’s balance sheet and shrinks the money supply, contributing to higher borrowing costs. 2. Selling Bonds Another method central banks use is the outright sale of government bonds or other securities. By selling assets, central banks increase the supply of bonds in the market. This can push bond prices down and drive yields higher, which makes borrowing more expensive for companies, governments, and individuals alike. Rising bond yields often lead to higher interest rates across the board, from mortgages to business loans—when there’s less money available for lending, banks raise the rates they charge for loans. Effects of Quantitative Tightening on the Broader Economy Quantitative tightening has significant ripple effects across the broader economy. As central banks reduce liquidity, it impacts everything from borrowing costs to consumer spending and business investment. 1. Higher Borrowing Costs One of the most immediate effects of QT is the rise in interest rates. As central banks shrink their balance sheets, bond prices fall, pushing yields higher. This, in turn, raises the cost of borrowing for businesses and consumers. There may also be interest rate hikes alongside QT, further tightening lending conditions. Mortgages, personal loans, and corporate debt all become more expensive, discouraging borrowing. For businesses, higher financing costs can limit expansion plans, reducing investment in growth or innovation. Households, meanwhile, face elevated mortgage rates, leading to reduced demand in housing markets and potentially lower home prices​. 2. Reduced Consumer Spending As the cost of borrowing rises, consumers have less disposable income. Higher interest rates on loans and credit cards mean households spend more on servicing debt and less on goods and services. This can slow down retail sales and reduce overall consumer demand, which is a critical driver of economic growth. Lower consumer spending typically affects sectors like retail, real estate, and manufacturing, which depend on a high volume of transactions​. 3. Slower Business Growth QT also impacts businesses by making it more expensive to access credit. Companies that rely on borrowing to finance operations, new projects, or expansions find it harder to justify taking on debt. With higher interest payments eating into profits, many businesses may delay or scale back investment plans. In addition, small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) that depend on bank loans for cash flow are often the hardest hit​. 4. Inflation Control While QT can slow economic activity, its primary goal is to rein in inflation. By reducing the money supply and making credit more expensive, it cools down demand. Lower consumer and business spending can reduce price pressures, helping to stabilise inflation. This was a key objective when the Federal Reserve resumed QT in 2022 to counter post-pandemic inflation​. 5. Potential Economic Slowdown However, if QT is too aggressive, it risks triggering an economic slowdown or even a recession. Tightening financial conditions leads to reduced economic growth, as seen in 2018 when markets reacted negatively to the Federal Reserve’s balance sheet reductions​. How Does Quantitative Tightening Affect Financial Markets? Quantitative tightening can have significant effects across different financial markets. By reducing liquidity, it influences the behaviour of key assets, from bonds to equities, and can reshape market conditions in profound ways. 1. Bond Market QT often leads to higher bond yields. When central banks like the Federal Reserve reduce their bond holdings or stop reinvesting in new ones, the supply of bonds in the market increases. As bond prices drop, yields rise to attract new buyers. This rise in yields means governments and corporations face higher borrowing costs. For instance, during the Federal Reserve’s quantitative tightening efforts in 2018, US Treasury yields rose significantly as more bonds became available in the market​. 2. Stock Market Equity markets often react negatively to QT. As liquidity tightens, the cost of borrowing rises for businesses, which can squeeze corporate profits and reduce their ability to invest or expand. Investors also tend to move away from riskier assets like stocks when bonds offer higher yields, as bonds become more attractive for their safety and improved returns. In 2018, US stocks experienced heightened volatility when the Fed’s quantitative tightening efforts combined with rate hikes led to market corrections​. 3. Foreign Exchange Market QT can also impact currency values. As central banks tighten monetary conditions and raise interest rates, their currencies often strengthen relative to others. This is because higher yields and interest rates attract foreign investment, increasing demand for the currency. For example, when the Fed began QT in 2022, the US dollar strengthened as investors sought better returns on US assets like Treasury bonds​. See how the US dollar strengthening occurred for yourself in FXOpen’s free TickTrader trading platform. 4. Credit Market QT reduces the availability of credit as banks and financial institutions face higher borrowing costs themselves. As liquidity is drained from the system, lenders tighten their credit conditions, making loans more expensive and harder to get. This can slow economic growth as businesses and consumers find it more costly to finance investments or purchases. In effect, QT creates a tighter financial environment by reducing liquidity, pushing up borrowing costs, and shifting investor behaviour across various markets. Each asset class feels the impact in different ways, but the overall effect is a more cautious, less liquid financial system. The Bottom Line Quantitative tightening is a powerful tool central banks use to manage inflation by reducing liquidity and increasing interest rates. While it helps control rising prices, QT can impact borrowing costs, investment, and market stability. Understanding how these mechanisms work is crucial for informed trading. Ready to take advantage of different market conditions? Open an FXOpen account today and start navigating more than 700 financial markets with low-cost, high-speed trading conditions, and four advanced trading platforms. FAQ What Is Quantitative Tightening? The quantitative tightening definition refers to a monetary policy used by central banks to reduce liquidity in the economy. This involves decreasing the central bank’s balance sheet by selling bonds or allowing them to mature without reinvestment. QT is typically aimed at curbing inflation by raising borrowing costs and slowing economic activity​. How Does Quantitative Tightening Work? QT works by reducing the supply of money in the financial system. Central banks achieve this by selling government bonds or letting them mature. As the bonds leave the market, interest rates rise, making borrowing more expensive for businesses and consumers​. How Does Quantitative Tightening Affect the Stock Market? QT can negatively impact stock markets. As interest rates rise and liquidity tightens, borrowing costs for companies increase, which can hurt corporate profits. Investors may shift towards so-called safer assets like bonds, reducing demand for stocks and contributing to market volatility​. What Is the Difference Between QT and QE? Quantitative easing (QE) increases the money supply by buying bonds, while quantitative tightening (QT) reduces liquidity by selling bonds or letting them mature. The main difference between quantitative easing vs tightening is that QE stimulates economic growth, while QT aims to control inflation​. What Does It Mean When the Fed Is Tightening? When the Federal Reserve tightens, it implements policies to reduce money supply and raise interest rates. This helps control inflation by making borrowing more expensive and slowing economic activity​. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
FXOPEN:DXYEducation
by FXOpen
1
U.S. Dollar IndexHello dear traders, In the past week, we witnessed the release of numerous economic news that had significant impacts on the market. These reports, especially concerning the U.S. economy, greatly influenced the price trends of the U.S. dollar (DXY) and other currencies. Analysis of Economic News from Last Week Various reputable economic organizations published reports including employment data, unemployment rates, and changes in Gross Domestic Product (GDP). Notably, the non-farm payroll (NFP) report, which was expected to indicate an increase in new jobs, turned out to be below expectations. This created heightened concerns about the strength and stability of the U.S. economy, which in turn pressured the dollar. Additionally, the announcement of high inflation rates and interest rates had compounded effects on market trends. While an increase in interest rates was anticipated, the negative news regarding economic growth raised concerns that future Federal Reserve meetings might be affected. Consequently, these combined factors led traders to adopt a cautious outlook on the market, resulting in price declines in the currency markets. Technical Impacts on the Market From a technical perspective, the U.S. dollar (DXY) chart has been showing bearish signals, and as previously mentioned, we expect a downward correction in the coming weeks. Price trends in the DXY align well with the recent economic news, as the breakdown of key support levels, such as 107.243 , and the formation of bearish patterns indicate weakness in this currency against others. Given the technical analysis, we can point out that if the downward trend in DXY continues, the charts of the euro (EUR), British pound (GBP), Australian dollar (AUD), and New Zealand dollar (NZD) will offer suitable buying opportunities. Particularly if corrections in DXY persist, we can expect further appreciation in these currencies. Conclusion Considering the detailed analysis of economic news and the technical conditions, it is recommended to keep in mind that rapid and significant changes in the market may occur following new announcements. With careful attention and appropriate risk management, you can take advantage of the upcoming opportunities. Thank you for your support and trust, and I hope the insights provided are beneficial for you. Fereydoon Bahrami "A retail trader in the Wall Street trading center (Forex)." Wishing you success!
TVC:DXYShort
by fereydoon1199
DXY Bullish trend continue**Monthly Chart** The Sept 24 candle formed an inside candle after it swept the liquidity from the previous candle low and tested the low of the July 2023 monthly candle at the midpoint of April 22 Fair Bullish Value Gap (IPA). The Oct 24 candle closed as a bullish engulfing candle, suggesting a strong bullish move for DXY in the next few months. This month's candle (which is still active) continued the strong bullish move for the DXY and took the liquidity above 106.49 and 107.34. I am still expecting DXY to at least move to test 110.00 before looking for any bearish structure. **Weekly Chart** Last week's candle closed bullish after swept liquidity above 107.348 level. Since DXY already took the liquidity. For Now, for DXY to continue the upward trend, it needs to form a bullish structure on smaller time frames for one more bush higher at least to test the low of 24 Oct 2022 weekly candle at 109.535 level. **Daily Chart** I would like to see DXY retrace lower at least to test 0.50 or 0.618 Fibs levels and FVG on the daily chart and form bullish confirmation for another push higher this week. This means a bearish continuation for opposite pairs to USD. Such as GBPUSD, EURUSD, AUDUSD..etc. Note: I don’t trade DXY but I use it as an indication when analyzing other currency pairs linked to USD.
TVC:DXYLong
by PropSignals
USDX "Dollar Index" Bullish Heist PlanHello! My Dear Robbers / Money Makers & Losers, 🤑 💰 This is our master plan to Heist USDX "Dollar Index" Market based on Thief Trading style Technical Analysis.. kindly please follow the plan I have mentioned in the chart focus on Long entry. Our target is Red Zone that is High risk Dangerous level, market is overbought / Consolidation / Trend Reversal / Trap at the level Bearish Robbers / Traders gain the strength. Be safe and be careful and Be rich. Entry 📈 : Can be taken Anywhere, What I suggest you to Place Buy Limit Orders in 15mins Timeframe Recent / Nearest Low Point take entry should be in pullback. Stop Loss 🛑 : Recent Swing Low using 4H timeframe Target 🎯 : 107.500 Attention for Scalpers : Focus to scalp only on Long side, If you've got a lot of money you can get out right away otherwise you can join with a swing trade robbers and continue the heist plan, Use Trailing SL to protect our money 💰. Warning : Fundamental Analysis news 📰 🗞️ comes against our robbery plan. our plan will be ruined smash the Stop Loss 🚫🚏. Don't Enter the market at the news update. Loot and escape on the target 🎯 Swing Traders Plz Book the partial sum of money and wait for next breakout of dynamic level / Order block, Once it is cleared we can continue our heist plan to next new target. 💖Support our Robbery plan we can easily make money & take money 💰💵 Follow, Like & Share with your friends and Lovers. Make our Robbery Team Very Strong Join Ur hands with US. Loot Everything in this market everyday make money easily with Thief Trading Style. Stay tuned with me and see you again with another Heist Plan..... 🫂
PEPPERSTONE:USDXLong
by Thief_Trader