LET GO for short this Loveley chart i think market up in a uptrend and after that we have a big move for dumping and i predict and ready for this setup if verfyed i enter in trade
US30 trade ideas
US30 Bearish King of Pips strategy and a bearish forecast for US30:
Strategy Overview
The King of Pips strategy is a technical analysis-based trading approach focusing on identifying trend reversals and continuations. This strategy combines multiple indicators and chart patterns to gauge market sentiment and predict price movements.
Key Components
Entry and Exit Points : Utilize candlestick patterns (e.g., hammer, shooting star) and indicator divergences.
Risk Management : Set stop-loss orders and position sizing.
Bearish Forecast for US30
Based on the King of Pips strategy, we anticipate a bearish outlook for US30:
Trading Plan
1. *Entry*: Short US30 at $42,588.
2. *Stop-Loss*: $42,767.
3. *Take-Profit 1*: $42,506.
4. *Take-Profit 2*: $42,425
4. *Position Sizing*: 2% of account balance.
Please note that this forecast and strategy are hypothetical and not investment advice. Trading carries risks, and you should consult your financial advisor before making decisions.
The Party Is EndingAnother year, another pumped and manipulated charade.
Some observers called a melt up move for 2024, instead, we got a rally of around 10%...too much weed being smoked.
The 18th of Dec witnessed a 1500 point decline, that was your big guns spitting the dummy. The first wave one down and subsequent wave two ABC up either finished or another small move up to position more shorts.
Now we sell the rallies, confidence will grow as the the December lows are smashed, the Fed is NOT in control of rates, cheap debt is not coming back.
The Fed's numbers are lies, inflation and the economy is way worse than the fudged data...now the chickens are coming home to roost.
The odds of a market crash on any given day is approximately 1000/1...basically a nothing. The true odds of a market crash or collapse in the next few months is around 65%, almost two thirds. A market condition named "Hindenburg Omen" has had multiple instances the past few weeks and months...warning of much higher than random probability of dangerous conditions in a grossly overvalued markets.
Such multiple signals occur rarely, this party is coming to the end.
Gold and silver are trading sideways, the coming upside breakout will be huge once this triangle completes.
Appreciate a thumbs up, God Bless you all and good trading!
DJI Hits Weekly Support: What's Next? - Market Breadth AnalysisThe DJI has recently declined as previously predicted and has now completed a CHoCH (Change of Character), signaling a bearish trend. The index has reached a significant weekly support zone around the 42,500 level (🟩 marked by the green box).
So, what’s next? 🤔
Looking at the H1 chart, we notice some interesting market breadth outlook:
- US30 Market Breadth EMA20 Indicator:
The EMA histogram has shifted from 🟩 green to 🟨 yellow, indicating an increasing number of stocks with strong bullish momentum.
However, the height of the histogram (yellow) bars 📉 is decreasing, suggesting that the overall number of stocks with strong bullish momentum is also diminishing.
- Market Breadth MACD Indicator:
The 🔴 red line (representing strongly bearish stocks) is clearly declining, showing a reduction in the number of stocks with strong downward momentum.
Meanwhile, the 🔵 blue line is increasing significantly, suggesting that many stocks are reversing upward even within a bearish momentum.
The 🟢 green line, which represents strongly bullish stocks, is climbing but still lacks the strength to signal a decisive shift. A significant breakout would require the green line to rise further, confirming a stronger bullish momentum across a larger number of stocks.
- Market Breadth EMA Alignment:
The 🔴 red line crossed above the 🟢 green line quite some time ago and continues to widen. This suggests that a bullish crossover (green crossing above red) is unlikely in the near term. A confirmed bullish signal would require the green line to overtake the red line again.
- Summary:
While there are early signs of potential reversal, the bullish momentum is not yet strong enough to suggest a significant upward breakout. It’s crucial to monitor whether the 🟢 green line in the MACD and US30 Market Breadth EMA20 indicators can rise substantially, indicating a larger number of stocks gaining solid bullish momentum.
⚠️ Until then, the uptrend remains weak, and caution is warranted. While DJI might retest previous highs, breaking past those highs to form new all-time highs seems challenging at this point.
Strategy: Given the current conditions, it might be more advantageous to look for shorting opportunities. 📉
uptrendThe uptrend is expected to continue to the specified resistance levels. Then, considering the behavior of the index in the resistance range, possible scenarios have been identified
Urgent Dji correction incoming We will see some pain very soon
We are going to see a ABC correction on the s/p 500 as well.
US30 Technical Analysis: Key Levels and Trend ScenariosTechnical Analysis
The price currently shows bearish momentum toward 42900 and 42770, after which it is expected to consolidate between 42900 and 43170 until a breakout occurs.
However, as long as the price trades below 43200 and 43350, the downward trend remains intact. To enter a bullish zone, the price must break above this range by closing a 4-hour candle above 43350.
Key Levels:
Pivot Point: 43060
Resistance Levels: 43160, 43350, 43650
Support Levels: 42770, 42580, 42390
Trend Outlook:
Bullish Momentum: Stabilized above 43350
Bearish Momentum: Stability below 42900
Consolidation: Between 42900 and 43160
Dow to drop into bear market but first bounce at 36k H&S patternBearish case
Dow to drop 20% from ATH to be into a bear market
20% from ATH = weekly 200 EMA so banks will try and hold the price at 36k
I think it bounces here and then eventually fails and we get a big equity bear market
We have two H&S patterns that together take us below 36k if their targets are met
be a nice trade if it bounces at 36k off the 200 EMA to get in and out and add to short again without being slapped in the face. At which max bounce point off the (36k) look for the rest of the equities to go short on of stocks that have broken their key levels of support. Or look for dow stocks that are leading the way down because they already broke their weekly 200 EMA and are the weaker members of the pack.
trend dji#dji
Will the Dow Jones reach its previous ceiling?
Support range 43200 and 42300
43700 and 44450 resistance ranges
With the high stabilization of the resistance of 43700, we can hope for the rise of the price ceiling.
uptrendIt is expected that the continuation of the upward trend will form until the specified resistance levels. Then there is a possibility of a trend change
DOW JONES LONGDow Jones
MTF Analysis
Dow JonesYearly Demand Breakout 37778
Dow Jones 6 Month Demand Breakout 40077
Dow JonesQtrly Demand 40077
Dow JonesMonthly Demand 40077
Dow JonesWeekly Demand 42505
Dow JonesDaily Demand DMIP 42130
ENTRY -1 Long 42505
SL 41650
RISK 855
Target as per Entry 44562
RR 2
Positional Target 49211
Target Points 2057
Recent High 45000
Last Swing Reversal 41647
Is another big crash coming ?This chart displays the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) monthly candlestick data alongside its 200-month simple moving average (SMA), highlighting significant historical declines and their characteristics. Here's the analysis:
Key Observations:
1. Bearish Phases (Highlighted in Blue Boxes):
Major drawdowns over the years are shown, with the percentage drop, the number of bars (months), and the trading volume involved. These events align with historical financial crises or economic downturns:
2000-2003 (-36.94%): Reflects the Dot-Com bubble burst.
2007-2009 (-52.12%): Represents the Global Financial Crisis.
2020 (-37.58%): Associated with the COVID-19 pandemic shock.
2. Recovery Time:
The recovery periods vary significantly:
Dot-Com Bubble: Took 37 bars (1,127 days).
Financial Crisis: Longer with 18 bars (548 days) of drawdown and prolonged recovery beyond the charted downturn.
COVID-19 Crash: Shortest at 2 bars (58 days) due to rapid monetary intervention.
3. Trends and Momentum:
The 200 SMA provides a clear indicator of long-term trend stability:
Downturns saw temporary breakdowns below the SMA, followed by robust recoveries.
Overall, the index reflects an upward trend over the decades.
RSI (14) Indicator: RSI peaks correlate to market highs; lows often match oversold conditions in major bear markets.
4. Market Volatility and Volume:
A noticeable spike in volumes coincides with large bearish moves (e.g., 2007-2009 and 2020 crises), signifying panic-driven trading activity.
Recent periods (2020 onwards) show high volatility, accompanied by strong rebounds.
---
Conclusions:
Historically, even severe bear markets have seen the DJIA recover and continue its long-term uptrend, which aligns with the principle of compounding returns and economic growth.
The market tends to break its long-term SMA during extreme crises but eventually recovers.
Current RSI values suggest the market may not yet be overheated, but caution is advisable given previous patterns.
Would you like a deeper technical analysis or possible forecasting based on this data?
My expectation for Dow at H1 (Range for at least two weeks)Hello, Happy New Year in advance
The yellow trend line and probably the "A" point are the price target for the coming days, to reach this point after days of downtrend, the price needs a long range, so the emotional and sharp price movements in the middle or above and below the range are magnet to those levels and are not necessarily a valid breakout, be careful, good luck
Note:
My ideas are exclusive to myself only and is not regarded as an advice for traders or investors and are not more than personal thoughts which I just wanted to share with you all and I do hope they could help.
I am not selling any signals and I do not take money favour any trades recommendations. They are free of charge all lifelong but I keep the copy rights of them though to not be copied or shared or sold.
DOW JOENS 1469 Points Secured on Risological BUY SELL IndicatorDow Jones Industrial (DJI) on a 15-minute timeframe captured significant profitable movements using the " Risological BUY SELL Indicator ". The tool effectively identified both bullish and bearish entries, allowing traders to secure impressive gains.
Highlights of Captured Trades:
584 Points captured in a downward move.
244 Points secured in a bullish retracement.
331 Points caught during a short trade.
310 Points profited in the final bullish rally.
The Risological BUY SELL Indicator demonstrated precision in marking key entry and exit points for high-confidence trading decisions.
Comment " FREE Trial " to get 7 days unlimited FREE trial of this indicator.
Bullish possibility YM may likely break the green trendline with the motive to go towards the top. However, failure to break the trendline to the upwards may mean bearish continuation.
US30 SELL to trend line idea *I am in no way a financial advisor and you should always do your own due diligence before placing any trade. Do not trade what you are not comfortable with losing. No trade is guaranteed.
Quick Rally For 3030 Has Fallen to a High volume trading area reaching the point of control that could act as a strong support, added There's also a strong Hidden Bullish Divergence on the RSI that gives great indication that we could see a rally up from this daily support lvl (42,300) back to the "trend line" break & previous structure low,(Filling the sell side imbalance -FVG)
Confluences on This Trade
- Rejecting Daily support lvl 42,266
- Rejecting Demand zone
- @ 38.2 Fib Retracement
- Hidden Bullish Divergence (RSI)
- Buy Side imbalance fill
- Daily Volume Support
Lock in with your LTF Bullish Entry Signal,
WAIT FOR YOUR CONFIRMATION AND
**RISK ACCORDINGLY
Intro to the next possible move:
After this bullish move - price could reject the Trend line and previous structure low, then continue down.
**This bullish to bearish move would give price action a "Head and shoulders ish" Pattern on a HTF.
Caution on the Bearish Sell- we have high volume right below the 41,000 bank lvl that could act as a support.
with all of that being said the one thing that gives me great hesitation on the 2nd part of this move The "Bearish Sell" is the fact that this current pull back only brought price down to the 38.2 Fib lvl, so this could just be a minor pull back for a big Bullish continuation move.
Technical Analysis of the Dow Jones Industrial Average
The Dow Jones Industrial Average, as one of the most important benchmarks in the US stock market, is currently approaching a sensitive area in the range of 41363-41191 units. A review of the chart shows that this area acts as a strong support level and there is a possibility of a positive price reaction to this level. A full analysis of this situation will be provided below.
1. Price Structure Analysis
The Dow Jones Industrial Average has recently exited the ascending channel it had maintained in the past months and entered a corrective phase. This correction has led the index towards the aforementioned support area, which is considered a key and valid level given the history of price performance.
Level 41363-41191 units:
This support area is obtained from the collision of several technical tools, including Fibonacci ratios (100% and 113% retracement) and the dynamic support of the lower trend line of the channel. Also, the price being near the lower band of the Bollinger Bands indicator also indicates the possibility of slowing down the decline and starting an upward rebound.
2. Bullish scenario
If the index can maintain the support area of 41363-41191 units, a positive reaction and price increase can be expected.
Short-term bullish targets:
The price returns to the resistance level of 43749 units, which coincides with the 38.2% Fibonacci line. This level is considered the initial target for the rise if the price is supported successfully.
Breaking through this resistance can pave the way for reaching higher levels in the medium term, including the psychological resistance of 45000 units.
3. Bearish scenario
If the index fails to maintain the support area and stabilizes below the level of 41191 units, there is a possibility of continuing the downward trend.
Bearish targets:
The next support level is around 40800 units, and if it is broken, the possibility of further decline towards 39500 units will be strengthened.
This decline could push the index into a deeper correction phase and increase selling pressure in the market.
Dow Jones Potential UpsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring US30 for a buying opportunity around 43300 zone, Dow Jones is trading in an uptrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 43300 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
US30 trade idea, Crystal clean entryWhat are the market makers thinking? That we wouldn't see this??...lol we did and we gon eat!
DM me for signals and mentorship.
Leggo!!!
#us30signals
Mastering the trading on US 30! it is more than just an idea!Hi, I hope you all are doing well
* The chart time frame on chart is 4H but all time frames were used on my analysis!
* We hit together in this bearish wave ,which I spoke about before it happens, three TPs (have a look on my last two ideas which I attached their links down for you to see) and now it is more complex than before and we need to mind something I will speak about it now.
* The overall big wave for US 30 is bullish and what we see in this bearish wave is just a big correction wave because the index is searching currently for its HL to settle on and return back to do another ATH and so on. That is the easy talk because the tough question now is what the index bias now and where could be that HL?!
* To answer this question you need to see that chart again now quickly and read what will come below and always keep looking step by step. I do want only to tell you targets! I want you to understand too.
* The index retraces from its ATH by the top yellow line, correct and lost 44735 already and I spoke a lot about the importance of that price as all that bearish wave happened because of that!
* Then index kept breaking supports levels on the way down and did not care except to the target which the whalers want to send the index too to gain the power again. All the candles at the free fall were on the left side of the purple downtrend line and could not break it so far because if it will be broken, will be the end of the bearish wave but obviously the index till now did not reach to its target!
* My TP2 on my last idea was at 43800 and I chose that price carefully and wisely and not further down as I expect a bullish retrace to happen from here at around 43800 or 43780 but to where it could go up to?!
* Do you see now the yellow square which I wrote next to it not a safe zone? because the top and the bottom lines of that square are acting as support and resistance zone from 43780 till 43970 this area is so beloved by the market whalers to give a feeling it will go down or up then it could work out with only by luck! because the correct decision to take is to refrain or avoid to set your entry in this area at all and to be patient UNTILL the price break through above or down than that yellow square!
* By going down, will send the index directly to 43435 which I said many times before that is the second most important price after 44735! and I said both those levels are game changer by all the means! losing them means further down moves like what happened with 44735 and settling and bounce up from will give the index the needed buy power back! 43435 is at the blue flag on the chart! where will be the TP of that idea ONLY if the index will continue to go down and close under by minimum 1h candle's body and not with a wick as it could retrace back before the closure of the candle then you would lose the trade!
* Now have a look on the three blue curved lines and see now where they are heading to?!
the first is at the 2HH which acts now as a strong support for index, the second and the third were the points where great bullish momentum started from. Now your your eyes started to see what I see ))
* Now then, have a look too on the red line I drew for you to understand that this line is acting as support or resistance, again it is not by luck that it is located at 43435 which is at the TP level!
* Then now have a look please on the bottom yellow line of the big rising channel where there is a very big chance still that index could go and touch that line too, but I am not sure yet about it. That is why the HL point will be when the index reaches the red pr the below yellow line ))
* Before that last but it is EXTREME important! For US 30 to continue the big overall bullish wave, the 4 HL CAN NOT BE at less level that 3HH but higher or at same level is also acceptable!
* Last thing! Guess what also, Do you think still that my Fib level of 38.20% will meet the index in the same point of when the index reaching to the yellow line is luck! nothing is by luck, that is the trading guys! and the beauty of it!!
* I did not put a second TP because I do not want to confuse you but you already know where that will be now ;)
I sat the idea on neutral not short or long! do not forget the yellow square, above it so will be bullish but down from it would be bearish and if it is meant to be bearish then you know the targets!
I think now your minds are telling you 100% bearish then because the puzzle is solved now)) and all make sense! Wait, nothing in the trading is called 100% but say to yourselves, that there is a condition if it happen so I will know what I will do and I will be patient for it because nothing is called 100% and no one is perfect!
Note!! My ideas are exclusive to myself only and is not regarded as an advice for traders or investors and are not more than personal thoughts which I just wanted to share with you all and I do hope they could help.
I am not selling any signals and I do not take money favour any trades recommendations. They are free of charge all lifelong but I keep the copy rights of them though to not be copied or shared or sold.
