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KEEP LONG ENTRIES FOR NEXT TOP AT 46500We will move our pivot point up from previous pivot, target price is 46500, timezone is marked between 2nd to 23rd December 2024 to align with the top. Price and time are growing out in well structured Phi models and we expect that if 46500 price is reached within the marked timezone then a strong market correction will follow. Although our actual projection for the major market top still remains at 27th October 2025 we expect that markets will begin to stall if price reaches the 46500 price level earlier. Trade safe
TVC:DJILong
by MENA-MARKETS-PRO
Election Year Cycle & Stock Market Returns - VisualisedIn this chart, we're analysing the open value of the week the US election took place and comparing it to the open of the following election, showing the gain (or loss) in value between each election cycle. Historically we can see prices in the Dow Jones Industrials Index tend to appreciate the week the election is held. Only twice has the return between the cycles produced a negative return. Buying stocks on election day, 8 out of 10 times has yielded a profitable return between the election cycles. 80% of the time in the past 40 years returning a profit, has so far been a good strategy to take. The typical cycle starts with the election results, an immediate positive movement and continued growth before finishing positive. The Outliers 2000-2004 was the only year which ended negative without prices going higher than the election day. 2004-2008 increased 41.84% before ending negative. 2008-2012 began the cycle falling 30.62% before finishing positive. The names of presidents who won their respective elections is to visualise who had the presidential term during that specific cycle.
TVC:DJIEducation
by Mt.BFX
NVIDIA joins the DowUS stock indices settled down a touch yesterday. The Dow ended unchanged. The mid-cap Russell 2000, which had soared on news of Trump’s win, pulled back a touch to close 0.4% lower. The S&P 500 added 0.7%, while the tech-heavy NASDAQ gained 1.5%. Volatility, as measured by the VIX, has fallen sharply, and is now back to levels last seen towards the end of August, not long after the yen carry-trade unwound. The majors were mixed in early trade this morning, but then turned lower. There is little in the way of significant economic data releases or earnings reports to influence market direction. It’s worth noting that NVIDIA is entering the Dow Jones Industrial Average, replacing Intel. This should give the index an extra jolt of volatility. Bear in mind that the Dow is a price-weighted index which means the higher the stock price, the greater the influence on the index. NVIDIA is trading at an all-time high just under $150. Intel trades around $26, having recently bounced off lows last seen in September 2010. NVIDIA will rank at the top of the bottom third of the index, while Intel was bottom. The inclusion of NVIDIA comes just ahead of its next earnings update on 20th November. Bond yields have softened, pulling back from highs last seen in July. Yesterday the Federal Reserve cut rates by 25 basis points, as expected. Fed Chair Powell said he was ‘feeling good’ about the economy, although he did warn that the US was on an unsustainable path as far as fiscal policy is concerned. He also made it clear that he would complete his term as Chairman which runs until 2026. The President has no power to sack him. Markets are still predicting one more 25 basis point rate cut in 2024, but the probabilities are swinging about a bit. As usual, the Fed will remain data-dependent when it comes to rate decisions, although Powell maintains that current monetary policy remains restrictive. No doubt he’s thinking of all those real estate loans that will reset next year.
TRADENATION:US30
by TradeNation
US30 Bearish Correction with Key Resistance at 43890Technical Analysis The price has risen approximately 210 pips, as mentioned yesterday. Today, as long as trades remain below 5989, a drop toward 5931 is expected, followed by consolidation between 5931 and 5989 until a breakout. Alternatively, if a 4-hour candle closes above 5989, it would signal bullish momentum with a potential move towards 6021. Key Levels: Pivot Point: 5989 Resistance Levels: 6002, 6021 Support Levels: 5950, 5931, 5891 Trend Outlook: Bearish Correction previous idea:
OANDA:US30USDShort
by SroshMayi
US30 - 15 min ( Sell Trade Target Range 500 : 1000 PIP ) 💎 US30 Time Frame : 15min Chart ------ 🔻 Type :intraday 🚨Bearish Break Out Done - expecting bearish Wave From Current level 43750 ——————————— ☑️Great opportunity now Please check the drawing carefully and all the reasons for entry and exit are shown in the analysis If the analysis does not agree with you, please do not take it This is a personal vision that reflects my practical way good luck for everybody And we strive to provide the best opportunities and develop your money Please apply good capital management
BLACKBULL:US30Short
by GoldenEngine
1
US30 Hits ATH: Bullish Continuation Amid Post-Election Momentum US30 Technical Analysis US30 futures soar to record high after Trump claims victory The price will continue the bullish trend to get 43890 as long as trades above 43350, also there is a retest possibility to43450 Bearish Scenario: A daily candle close below 43220 would signal a bearish move, targeting 42910 and 42770. Bullish Scenario: As long as the price trades above 43450, the bullish momentum is likely to continue toward 43890. Trading above 43350 confirms entry into a new bullish zone. Key Levels: Pivot Point: 43350 Resistance Levels: 43700, 43890, 44000 Support Levels: 43220, 42910, 42770 Trend Outlook: - Bullish by stability above 43350
OANDA:US30USDLong
by SroshMayi
US30 Is Bearish! Sell! Take a look at our analysis for US30. Time Frame: 1D Current Trend: Bearish Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bearish The market is approaching a significant resistance area 43,838.04. Due to the fact that we see a positive bearish reaction from the underlined area, I strongly believe that sellers will manage to push the price all the way down to 42,226.86 level. P.S Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
BLACKBULL:US30Short
by SignalProvider
1
DOW 41k, YOU'RE GONNA WANNA PAY ATTENTION TO THIS PRICE TARGET41k is a massive resistance price target meaning, it is likely to hit allowing exits at profit. If it hits there is potential to see it bounce around even as high as 54k in a short term, but ultimately, at some point it will need to retest the lower end price targets. If it were to do that sooner rather than later, it allows for a more natural growth in the price. Meaning, there is a lot of potential to see the price melt up from 41k and then keep going. OR more likely, there is a lot of potential to see a drop, possibly even a steep drop from 41k. Either way, the downside takes us around 20% and then as high as 40% down from 41k. I included 9k as a potential target, but I don't think we see baring a nuclear bomb being set off on the moon, but anything is possible. All in Mark Cuban, Sold stake in Mavs Jeff Bezos, Sold Amazon stock Warren Buffet, Sold Apple Ryan and Carl, Buying BBBY Multiple sports teams for sale, sold or being shopped Massive deals everywhere If you need any more signs that a top is near, with potential to crash hard allowing for a buy the dip scenario. Here is a small sample of it.
DJ:DJI
by nicktussing77
1
US30 - 15 min ( Great R : R Trade 1000 PIP Target ) After Braek💎 US30 Time Frame : 15min Chart ------ 🔻 Type :intraday 🚨Bearish After Break Out key level + High Volume / 43440 Area ——————————— ☑️Great opportunity now Please check the drawing carefully and all the reasons for entry and exit are shown in the analysis If the analysis does not agree with you, please do not take it This is a personal vision that reflects my practical way good luck for everybody And we strive to provide the best opportunities and develop your money Please apply good capital management
BLACKBULL:US30Short
by GoldenEngine
TRUMP is the 47th President! Is this bullish for the markets?Donald Trump is the new (47th) President of the United States, coming into office for his 2nd time. The practical question on the investor's mind is of course how will the stock markets react? Even though there is no definitive way to approach this, the fact that Trump will resume power for a 2nd term, gives us a historic data set to have grounds for comparison. Fundamentally anything can be discussed on policies and strategies etc but technically the picture is more objective. As you can see on this Dow Jones (DJI) chart displayed on the 1W time-frame, Trump's 1st Presidential win was on November 08 2016. At that time, the market was trading within a Channel Up that started after a 1W MA200 (orange trend-line) double test on January 19 and February 08 2016. Right before the Elections, the index experienced a natural 'Pre-election volatility' phase. The picture during the current election period isn't very different from 2016. As you can see, Dow started a Channel Up pattern after a 1W MA200 test and half-way through the year started to experience the usual 'Pre-election volatility' phase. During that time both in 2024 and 2016, the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) was supporting and stayed intact. Notice how even the 1W RSI sequences between the two fractals are similar from the time the Channel Up started until the elections. So naturally you are asking what does that mean for us moving forward? Well after the November 08 2016 elections and Trump's 1st win, Dow started to rise aggressively immediately and by March 2017 it almost reached the patterns top (Higher Highs trend-line) before the new medium-term relief pull-back. The post-election Bull Phase was concluded in January 2018, upon completing a +71% rise from the Channel's bottom and 7.0 Fibonacci extension from the volatility phase. So if symmetry acts its part, we may see 47000 by March 2025 and 55000 (+71% from the October 2023 bottom) by the end of 2025. Is this projection definitive? Of course not, nothing is 'absolute' in investing/ trading. But history has shown that the stock market has reacted more than positively after the U.S. elections, particularly in the case of a Trump win. What do you think? Will Trump's 2nd term be bullish? ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
TVC:DJILong
by TradingShot
1