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German 40 Index

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GER40 trade ideas

Elliott Wave View: DAX Pullback Should Find BuyersElliott Wave view in DAX suggests that Index shows an incomplete bullish sequence from December 27, 2018 low favoring more upside. On the 1 hour chart below, we can see the rally to 13374.27 ended wave 3 and the pullback to 12890.56 on December 10, 2019 low ended wave 4. The Index has resumed higher in wave 5 with internal subdivision as a 5 waves Elliott wave impulsive structure. Up from 12/10/2019 low, wave (i) ended at 13219.03 and wave (ii) pullback ended at 13124.24. Index then extended higher in wave (iii) towards 13423.41 and wave (iv) pullback ended at 13255.55. The final leg wave (v) is proposed complete at 13407.66 and this ends wave ((i)) of 5 in larger degree. Expect Index to pullback in wave ((ii)) to correct the cycle from December 10, 2019 low before the rally resumes. We don’t like selling the pullback. As far as pivot at 12890.56 low stays intact, dips should continue to find support in the sequence of 3, 7, or 11 swing. Potential target higher is 100% – 123.6% Fibonacci extension from December 27, 2018 low which comes at 13640 – 14204 area.
XETR:DAX
by Elliottwave-Forecast
DAX H4 | Falling to overlap supportDAX (GER30) is falling towards an overlap support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher. Buy entry is at 19,678.29 which is an overlap support that aligns with the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement level. Stop loss is at 19,446.00 which is a level that lies underneath a pullback support and the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level. Take profit is at 20,002.09 which is an overlap resistance that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 64% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
FX:GER30Long
by FXCM
DAX // minor long trendThe correction of the daily short impulse on H4 forms the minor long that that is valid. The main H4 breakdowns (aqua) and the daily breakdown zone (orange) are the targets of this long trend, but it is a minor one, so it can turn south any time, and if the H4 impulse base is crossed down significantly, the next targets become valid in the short countertrend. ——— Orange lines represent impulse bases on major timeframes, signaling the direction and validity of the prevailing trend by acting as key levels where significant momentum originated. ——— We may not know what will happen, but we can prepare ourselves to respond effectively to whatever unfolds. Stay grounded, stay present. 🏄🏼‍♂️ Your comments and support are appreciated! 👊🏼
PEPPERSTONE:GER40
by TheMarketFlow
DAX // The last one of 2024Dear Traders, This is the last one this year. I want to have a break and detach from the charts for some time now. This is the time of love, family&friends. But this chart actually shows the market phases I define quite well!😀 Thanks for you support in the past couple of weeks, since I became actve here! @TradingView asks us wishes recently... My wish for you is: patience discipline balance focus & confidence And vast amount of pips in the piggy bank!💰 Merry Christmas, Happy Holidays!🎄 Peter from The Market Flow 🏄🏼‍♂️ P.S. you may want to check out some of my ideas to get familiar with the terminology I use. ——— We may not know what will happen, but we can prepare ourselves to respond effectively to whatever unfolds. Stay grounded, stay present. 🏄🏼‍♂️ Your comments and support are appreciated! 👊🏼
PEPPERSTONE:GER40
by TheMarketFlow
DAX // correction of the correction - neutralThe market turned south on H4 from the all-time highs and the H1 target fibo 138.2. As long as this short H4 countertrend is valid (the market is below the H4 impulse base), I'm waiting for a bearish H1 countertrend break to target again the correction fibo 23.6 The daily impulse base is in the way, so the trade has to be managed there - it may be a target or a scale-in opportunity. Of course, I'l try to publish how I pull my trigger line as the H1 countertrend develops. For me, long only above the highest clear breakdown (green). ——— Trading is just waiting "sometimes", but opportunities are endless, so why not wait for the right moment!🏄🏼‍♂️ We may not know what will happen, but we can prepare ourselves to respond effectively to whatever unfolds. Stay grounded, stay present. 🏄🏼‍♂️ Your comments and support are appreciated! 👊🏼
PEPPERSTONE:GER40
by TheMarketFlow
Weekly Technical AnalysisStart your week by identifying the key price levels and trends. The SpreadEx Research team has analysed the most popular markets, including stocks, indices, commodities & forex. *KEY Trend is set by the slope of the VWAP over 50 periods Phase is determined by the current price relative to the VWAP (20) level (above or below) Support & Resistance are set by the StdDev #2 Lower and Upper respectively. Momentum is determined by the RSI level (70 as overbought and under 30 as oversold). Analysis --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Germany 40 maintains its bullish momentum in an impulsive phase, currently trading at 20,324, slightly down from the highs but significantly above the VWAP (20) of 19,936. Support is positioned at 19,046, with resistance nearby at 20,825. The RSI at 66 indicates strong momentum, suggesting the uptrend could continue. UK 100 index remains neutral within a consolidation phase, trading at 8,272, slightly below the VWAP (20) of 8,303. Support is at 8,249, and resistance is at 8,357. With an RSI of 50, the momentum is balanced, reflecting a lack of directional bias. Wall Street has entered a correction phase within its bullish trend, trading at 43,850, below the VWAP (20) of 44,572. Support is at 43,800, with resistance ahead at 45,394. The RSI at 43 shows weakening momentum, suggesting caution as the uptrend may reverse in the short term. Brent Crude continues in a neutral consolidation phase, which now looks like a clear triangle pattern, currently priced at 7,376, slightly above the VWAP (20) of 7,270. Support is positioned at 7,063, while resistance is at 7,478. The RSI at 54 indicates moderate momentum, consistent with range-bound trading. Gold remains neutral in a consolidation phase with little change over the past week, trading at 2,658, near the VWAP (20) of 2,650. Support is set at 2,598, with resistance at 2,713. The RSI at 50 reflects balanced momentum, signaling indecisiveness in the market. EUR/USD continues in a bearish correction phase, trading at 1.0502, slightly below the VWAP (20) of 1.0520. Support is at 1.0444, and resistance is at 1.0601. The RSI at 42 indicates bearish momentum, hinting at continued downside pressure. GBP/USD is in a bearish correction phase, trading at 1.2653, back below the VWAP (20) of 1.2670 but inside horizontal VWAP bands. Support is at 1.2543, and resistance is at 1.2817. The RSI at 43 suggests mild bearish momentum, with potential for further downside. USD/JPY is bullish in a correction phase, trading at 153.83, now back above the VWAP (20) of 151.61 in what could be a sign the uptrend is resuming. Support is at 148.22, and resistance is at 154.99. The RSI at 60 reflects strong upward momentum, suggesting further gains are likely.
SPREADEX:GDAXI
by Spreadex
#202450 - priceactiontds - weekly update - daxtl;dr dax xetra: Market has printed the most shallow two-legged pullback imaginable and this is as bullish as it gets. Are bulls getting stopped by at least 2 upper trend lines which could continue to be resistance? I highly doubt it. If we get above 20600, there is no reason to not just go to 21000 or higher. I have two potential measured moves above 21000 but until we have a daily close above 20800, there is no reason to look for targets that high. Bears can only begin to dream again with a daily close below 20000. Quote from last week: comment: Late bull breakout during the week like the week before that. Another clear buying signal going into next week. There is not much to add from my tl;dr. Both of my upper bull trend lines run through 20k and I have multiple measured move targets there. More than enough reasons to be bullish and look for longs. Bears can do almost nothing to change my mind, unless we see on giant bear bar closing below 19100 on Monday. comment: Since the market did not go down even the slightest, we can not hold any other thoughts than bullish ones. I won’t do anything other than small scalps on this though. On my chart I have marked the most extreme cases to either direction for the next 3 weeks. I give the bearish one a chance of at max 30% while the bulls are heavily favored to either move higher or at least sideways only. I can’t really imagine reaching 21500+ but that’s the biggest measured move I have calculated. I do think 21k and then sideways is the most reasonable outlook. current market cycle: Bull trend - parabolic rally which is the very end. key levels: 20000 - 21000 bull case: Bulls send a strong message, closing Opex above 20000, so they remain in full control and 21000 has become a possibility for the next 3 weeks. We are still trading near at least 2 upper bull trend lines but since market is not showing big reactions to the downside, we can only expect higher prices. A daily close above 20500 brings 21000 in play. Invalidation is below 19100. bear case: The pullback did not manifest at all and even if bears get this down to 20000 next week, I think we find way more buyers then sellers at that price. Bears really have no arguments at all on their side, besides the upper trend lines which are above us but at this point, I doubt they will be much resistance going into the next 3 weeks. Only thing that would make me more neutral would be a really strong bear bar closing below 20000 tomorrow. If bears somehow manage to do that, we could test down to my C target from last week, which is the breakout price around 19670. For now, I won’t look for shorts unless we see a huge volume increase on strong follow through-selling. Invalidation is above 20500. outlook last week: short term: No more bullish outlooks. I want to see big juicy red bars and people posting on x about “buying opportunity of a lifetime” while they double down all the way back to 19000. Neutral until bears come around. No interest in buying anything above 20100 as of now. 20k might be a decent long scalp for a quick bounce. → Last Sunday we traded 20384 and now we are at 20405. Perfect outlook, given I was neutral until bears would come around. They did not and market went nowhere on the week. short term: Given that we are in the most bullish season of the year and bears could not even get the market to drop into Opex, I can not hold any bearish wishful thought anymore and I will only look for small long scalps over the next 3 weeks. Daily close below 20000 would make me reevaluate. medium-long term - Update from 2024-12-15: Will write a new outlook for 2025 next week. current swing trade : None chart update: Added potential measured move higher.
XETR:DAXLong
by priceactiontds
24-12-13 DAX 20405 EUR - Crash worlwide ahead!Maybe DAX will reach 21000 in the next 2 months, even SPX could rise up to 6400 USD, but one is for sure. Such a great disbalance in 40 years is incredible. Rising US Treasury yields up from o% to 4.5% and CPI by 2.7% with riskless 1,7% is wonderfull, but normaly not for the stock market. Every time, Fed rose the yields more than 2% within 12 months, stock market struggled. But here a now, yields up from 0% to 4.5% within a year… and what does the stock market ?
XETR:DAXShort
by Flyerdan
3
My new target for DAX!Hello guys, Dax is planning still to go up and broke the downtrend line and my target is on the chart! My ideas are exclusive to myself only and is not regarded as an advice for traders or investors and are not more than personal thoughts which I just wanted to share with you all and I do hope they could help. I am not selling any signals and I do not take money favour any trades recommendations. They are free of charge all lifelong but I keep the copy rights of them though to not be copied or shared or sold.
PEPPERSTONE:GER40Long
by moustafa_marei
Fri 2024 12 13 Long||| Stats ||| Stats Week: ** Mid Month Turn, ** US CPI: 14:30, - as expected, ** Thu EU GC 14:15:, - reduced as expected, ** Mon Morning rule, - yes, ** Tue return to W1 trend and not a W1 trend change, - yes Stats Month: ** Christmas Rally - start Mid Nov. - yes bottom ** Christmas Rally - US election year, start Dec. - yes Stats Year: ** US Election, ||| Trade Taken ||| Trade Taken: ** Time frame: * H3 ** Time: * 03pm, Set-Up: ** Trigger for trade: * Momentum Long, * Mon Morning rule, * Tue return to W1 trend - UP, * Senti, - P16, ** Mom Width: * 6 candles - med/strong, ** Mom Type: * 3rd directional - risk at last Mom turn, Risk Reward: ** Risk: * last Mom Turn, ** Target: * R 1:1 as at ATH,
CAPITALCOM:DE40Long
by ErPat
Moving Averages in Action In a past post, we looked at how you can possibly use Bollinger bands within your trading. So, if you haven’t already read it and would like to, please look at our past posts for details. Today, we want to cover moving averages, which is another trending indicator. Trending indicators are important because they allow us to confirm activity currently being seen in price action. This can provide extra confidence in the trending condition of an asset. So, let’s look at simple moving averages. These are used to confirm the current trend of a market. They smooth out price action and can be calculated over various time periods. For example, a simple 5 day moving average is calculated by adding up the previous 5 closing levels for an instrument, and the total is divided by 5. This is recalculated the next day using the latest 5 closing levels and the new total is again divided by 5. The resulting line is plotted on a price chart. As prices move higher, the moving average will move higher following below price activity. As prices decline, the moving average will fall above price. This effectively shows us the 5 day price trend of any instrument. Using this type of calculation means the longer the timeframe, the slower a moving average reacts to price activity, be it up or down. For instance, a 5 day moving average will follow price action more quickly and closely than a 50 day moving average. You can have as many moving averages on a chart as you wish, but be aware, the more you have, the more confusing reading the chart can become. As such, we are going to be looking at examples below, using just 2 simple moving averages, because the relationship between the 2 averages throws up some potentially interesting signals. Combining 2 Moving Averages on a Pepperstone Price Chart: As already said above, if a 5 day simple moving average is rising, it reflects the 5 day trend is up. If we expand on that, we could say, if we are using 2 moving averages, like for example, the 5 and 10 day averages, if both are rising or falling at the same time, it potentially offers a stronger indication of the trending condition of an instrument. Using this combination of 5 and 10 day averages, let’s look at a daily chart of the Germany 40 index on the Pepperstone system. In this chart of the Germany 40 index, with what we already know about moving averages we can say, if both the 5 and 10 day averages are rising, the Germany 40 index is trading within an uptrend. If they are both falling, the price of the Germany 40 index is in a downtrend. As such, simple moving averages can offer a way to assess the trending condition of an asset. However, it doesn’t stop there. Look at the times marked by the chart above, where the rising 5 day average, crosses above the rising 10 day average. These signals are marked by green arrows and can materialise during the early stages of a new upside move. When a cross is seen where both the 5 and 10 day averages are rising, it is called a Golden Cross, which may see further price strength. Now look at this chart. Look at the crosses in the averages where the falling 5 day average crossed below the falling 10 day average, marked by red arrows. These may be seen before the early stages of a new downside move. When a cross is seen where both averages are falling, it’s known as a Dead Cross, which could see price weakness. To Stress, the Averages Must be Moving in the Same Direction When They Cross. If they cross but are moving in opposite directions, this can be a neutral signal and tends to suggest sideways/consolidation activity in price. When this is seen, its important to wait for confirmation of the trend. This would be indicated by price breaking higher for an uptrend or lower for a downtrend, followed by both averages then starting to move in the same direction again. At this point, we should say because of their calculation, moving averages do give lagging signals. In other words, ‘Price has to move to move a moving average’ So, you will see in both the Golden and Dead cross examples on the charts above, they come after either price strength or weakness has already developed. However, while lagging in nature, moving averages give confirmation of a trend. This can highlight the potential of a move in price, in the direction of the moving average cross. Being aware of the Golden and Dead crosses can be useful in highlighting possible trending conditions and when you may want to trade with the trend. This can provide you with more confidence that you could be active within a trending market, although this would depend on future price action. Another Use of a Moving Average is to Highlight a Support and Resistance Level Within a Trend. Let’s take a look at the daily chart of the Germany 40 index, but this time just using the 5 day moving average. Notice, that when a correction is seen and prices sell-off but are still within the uptrend, it’s the rising 5 day average that can mark a support level, marked by the green arrows. This may in turn see upside moves resume to continue the uptrend, with prices possibly breaking the previous high or resistance level to extend the uptrend. Within a downtrend, the opposite is true. A rally within a downtrend may find resistance at the declining 5 day moving average, from which price weakness is resumed to potentially extend the on-going downtrend, marked by the red arrows on the chart above. So, this approach can be used in several ways to assist us when trading. For instance, if we are positive of an instrument, within what may be suggested is an uptrend, but don’t yet have a position, we could view corrections back to the rising 5 day average as a move back to support. Or, if we’re negative, but don’t yet have a position within a downtrend, a rally back to a declining 5 day moving average, may offer an opportunity at a higher level, as it could act as a resistance level, although this is not guaranteed. Stop losses on long positions could also be placed just under a 5 day moving average, while stop losses on short positions could be placed just above a 5 day moving average. As moving average breaks may see a more extended move in the direction of that break. This may provide protection against possible adverse price movement. A big advantage of this method of stop placement, is the stop loss moves or trails behind a rising average in an uptrend, or a declining average within a downtrend. This means when long in an uptrend, the stop follows prices higher. Or if short in a downtrend, the stop loss follows prices lower. Observing Moving Averages in Real Time: The Germany 40 index is likely to be in focus today with the ECB Interest rate decision released at 1315 GMT and then the ECB Press conference starting at 1345. Market expectations are for the ECB to cut rates by 25bps (0.25%), so anything else is likely to be a big surprise. However, could they cut by 50bps (0.5%) to try and give a major boost to the Eurozone economy? After the announcement of the rate decision, Madame Lagarde’s comments in the press conference will also be important for the direction of the Germany 40. Will she confirm more interest rate cuts are a real possibility during the first quarter of 2025, or will she be more guarded, emphasising concerns about a potential resurgence of inflation? Whatever the outcome of these events, the Germany 40 may be more volatile than usual, so you can observe how these moving averages perform in real time. The material provided here has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Whilst it is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research we will not seek to take any advantage before providing it to our clients. Pepperstone doesn’t represent that the material provided here is accurate, current or complete, and therefore shouldn’t be relied upon as such. The information, whether from a third party or not, isn’t to be considered as a recommendation; or an offer to buy or sell; or the solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any security, financial product or instrument; or to participate in any particular trading strategy. It does not take into account readers’ financial situation or investment objectives. We advise any readers of this content to seek their own advice. Without the approval of Pepperstone, reproduction or redistribution of this information isn’t permitted.
PEPPERSTONE:GER40Education
by Pepperstone
3
DAX Fake-Out Long Term 25 YearsThe DAX index recently broke above a long-term resistance over the last 25 years. This breakout might be a **fakeout**, meaning it could reverse soon. **No strong macroeconomic reasons** seem to support this breakout. Long-term channels are usually hard to break without solid fundamentals. Market rallies like this often **retrace back into the channel**. Watch for a possible **reversal or consolidation** in the near term. What are your thoughts on this? Do you think this breakout is sustainable?
XETR:DAXShort
by Trade_Safari
My expectations for DAX!!hello guys, ** I wrote yesterday on minds of Dax because I did not have time to set an idea. sorry! ** But I did not want you to miss even that bullish wave which happened few minutes ago! ** Anyway, the targets are here on chart for TP1 and TP2 (safer is TP1) ** The purple line which the arrow is heading on, is so important line! and the index will face a noticed retrace once it come closer or touch it ** Time frame used for analysis is 4H My ideas are exclusive to myself only and is not regarded as an advice for traders or investors and are not more than personal thoughts which I just wanted to share with you all and I do hope they could help. I am not selling any signals and I do not take money favour any trades recommendations. They are free of charge all lifelong but I keep the copy rights of them though to not be copied or shared or sold.
PEPPERSTONE:GER40Long
by moustafa_marei