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US30USD trade ideas

Several factors suggest a potential downturn for the Dow Jones ISeveral factors suggest a potential downturn for the Dow Jones Industrial Average (US30) in the near term: Technical Indicators: • Overbought Conditions: The Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicates that US30 is approaching overbought levels, which often precedes a price correction. • Bearish Divergence: A rising wedge pattern coupled with bearish divergence signals a possible downward movement. Economic Data: • Manufacturing Slowdown: The ISM Manufacturing PMI rose to 48.4 in November but remains below the 50 threshold, indicating contraction in the manufacturing sector. • GDP Growth Concerns: Recent data shows the U.S. economy grew at its slowest pace in two years, with a 1.6% increase in GDP for the first quarter of 2024, missing forecasts. Federal Reserve Policies: • Cautious Approach to Rate Cuts: Federal Reserve officials have signaled a cautious approach to future interest rate cuts amid strong economic performance and cooling inflation, which may impact investor sentiment. Market Sentiment: • Strengthening U.S. Dollar: A rising U.S. dollar could pose challenges for stock-market bulls, potentially hindering further equity-market gains. • Technical Caution: Analysts warn of potential market corrections, with models indicating possible downturns during the holiday week. Considering these factors, there is a potential for US30 to experience a decline in the near future. However, market conditions can change rapidly, and it’s advisable to monitor real-time data and news updates for the most accurate information.
BLACKBULL:US30Short
by US30EMPIRE
October is Going to be a BloodbathDon’t Follow the Herd: A Rare Opportunity to Take Profits Don't believe the media or the herd when they tell you to buy NVDA and hold the stock market. This is a rare opportunity to take profits and possibly speculate short on the market. The current Elliott Wave count implies a crash in October, and NVDA, which topped out nearly 100 days ago, WILL lead the way down. Let's summarize some of the key reasons why you should be bearish: Elliott Wave Ending Diagonal: Signaling a Crash Current Elliott Wave analysis shows we are in an ending diagonal pattern. This formation is known for indicating the final stages of a trend, often leading to sharp reversals or crashes. The completion of this pattern suggests that a major decline may be imminent, with little room left for further upside. THERE DOES NOT NEED TO BE A CATALYST. In fact, with a probabilistic Elliott Wave count, we can predict the so-called "catalyst" before it even occurs. An ending diagonal suggests bank failures may be near. Yield Curve Uninversion: A Recession Signal Warren Buffett Watches Closely The yield curve uninversion is one of the most reliable recession indicators, and it’s no secret that Warren Buffett keeps an eye on it. I’m not a big fan of Buffett, but historically, his timing is incredible, and yield curve uninversion is one of his main timing tools. Historically, this signal has a near-perfect track record in predicting recessions. We’ve now officially entered uninverted territory, and this alone is cause for concern. FED Pivot: Following the Market Lower Looking at past crises, particularly 2007-2008 and 1929-1932, the Federal Reserve’s pivot is often a sign of the central bank following the market lower. From 1929 to 1932, the federal funds rate dropped from 6% to 2.5%, and yet the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) fell by 89%. Similarly, in 2007-2008, the federal funds rate went from 4.76% to 0.22%, and stocks fell by 54% (DJIA). We are seeing a similar scenario unfold today, suggesting further downside risk ahead. Extreme Sentiment: Higher Than 1929, 2007, and 2021 Sentiment is at extreme levels. Consumer predictions of higher equity prices in the next 12 months are at an all-time high, surpassing even the exuberance seen in 1929, 2007, and 2021. If you’re bullish, just remember—you’re moving with the herd. Momentum Divergence Signals a Major Top A 25-year-long momentum divergence is also flashing warning signs, agreeing with the view that a major market top is near. Take Advantage of Peak Sentiment If your goal as an investor is to buy low and sell high, statistics show us that investors are MOST bullish at the top and MOST bearish at the bottom. If you want to buy low and sell high, then you need to be selling into peak optimism and buying into peak pessimism. This is an opportunity to take profits, hedge, or if you are a experienced trader: speculate short. Good luck, Bardini Capital
TVC:DJIShort
by BardiniCapital
8
US30 - Bullish Momentum is under Control...Technical Analysis The price was about to record a new ATH around 45200 before any dropping. It now shows a bullish volume, with potential targets at 45200 and 44,520. Bullish Scenario: As long as the price trades above 44930 and 44750, the bullish trend will continue toward 45200 and 45500 Bearish Scenario: The price must stabilize under 44750, confirmed by a 4-hour candle close, to target 44400. Key Levels: Pivot Point: 44930 Resistance Levels: 45200, 45500, 45600 Support Levels: 44750, 44400, 44270 Trend Outlook: Uptrend while above 44750 and 44920
OANDA:US30USDLong
by SroshMayi
**US30 Index 2023-2026 Outlook** The US30 Index (Dow Jones Industrial Average) is poised for significant moves in the 2023-2025 cycle, with strong probabilities of reaching a new all-time high between **48,000-49,000**. This surge is driven by favorable macroeconomic conditions, corporate earnings strength, and renewed investor confidence. The rally could push the index to unprecedented levels by early to mid-2025, solidifying its dominance as a barometer of the U.S. stock market. However, by mid-2025, the index is expected to enter a **prolonged downtrend**. This correction would likely target a critical support level near the **37,125 mark**, which was the previous all-time high in January 2022. Importantly, the index is forecasted to **retest but not breach** this level, finding support between **37,500-38,000**. A successful defense of this zone would signal resilience in the market, hinting at investor willingness to re-engage at these levels. Such a scenario would set the stage for a **renewed bull cycle** starting from late 2025 and extending through the end of 2026. This period could be characterized by steady gains, driven by a combination of macroeconomic stabilization and improving market sentiment. Investors may interpret the refusal to break below 37,500 as a **clear sign of a long-term bottom**, prompting accumulation and positioning for the next upward leg. This cycle suggests a strategic opportunity for both short-term and long-term investors to capitalize on market movements.
FUSIONMARKETS:US30Long
by QuantumFusionWave
US30: Bullish Across All Time FramesUS30: Bullish Across All Time Frames On the Weekly, Daily, and 4-Hour charts, US30 is in a clear bullish trend. Throughout its upward movement, US30 has continuously developed bullish patterns, breaking out and creating new all-time highs. Currently, US30 is in a similar situation. The price has formed a bullish triangle pattern and appears ready to rise again. Once the price breaks through the pattern, US30 is expected to begin another impulsive wave, as shown in the chart. The price has to rise above 45082 in order to begin the bullish trend again. You may find more details in the chart! Thank you and Good Luck! ❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
CAPITALCOM:US30Long
by KlejdiCuni
1
DOW JONES High Channel Up symmetry points to 46000.Dow Jones (DJI) easily hit our 45000 Target as suggested on our November 20 idea (see chart below), and immediately turned sideways, consolidating basically for the past 6 days: This is not the first time that we've come across this consolidation within the 4-month Channel Up as the exact same sequence was last seen during September 20 - October 08. As with today's price action, the consolidation also took place above the 1.0 Fibonacci level and once completed, it gave one final push to the 1.5 Fibonacci extension before correcting back to the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line). As a result, we now set a new Target for the end of the year at 46000. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CAPITALCOM:US30Long
by TradingShot
US 30 heading into trouble?Hi guys, The Dow Jones US 30 is also grinding slowly higher and continually making all time highs. Currently price is heading towards an area where we may find some strong selling pressure. The highlighted box on the chart is taht area and it contains the 2.0 retracement of the bear market high to low. I think this level is more significant due to the fact that the previous level of 161.8 did not provide any resistance. The upper trendline also coincides with this area . Weekly RSI is showing massive divergence but thats been like that for a long time. Daily is showing divergence but not quite in overbought. 4 hour is showing divergence and clearly overbought. Lower time frame entry using candlestick chart patterns etc could lead to some nice risk to reward trades. Safe Trading all.
CAPITALCOM:US30
by elyask120
US30 Trade IdeaUS30 - Liquidity Grab Suggests Bullish Momentum The US30 (Dow Jones Index) has swept liquidity at a critical support zone, signaling a potential bullish continuation. This move indicates that the market has absorbed selling pressure and may be preparing for a rally. Key Observations: Liquidity Sweep: A significant dip below the support level captured stop-losses and trapped sellers, providing the smart money an opportunity to reverse the trend. Market Structure: Price is showing signs of recovery with bullish rejections from the liquidity zone. Confirmation: Break on specific level will add strength to the bullish bias. Trade Plan: Entry: Buy on specific level upon confirmation of bullish momentum. Stop Loss: Below the recent liquidity sweep for a calculated risk. Take Profit: Targeting resistance levels around . Risk Management: Ensure a favorable risk-reward ratio, and avoid over-leveraging. This trade aligns with a broader uptrend in US30, but patience and discipline remain key.
OANDA:US30USDLong
by Vusizwe_Capital
US30 Will Go Higher! Long! Take a look at our analysis for US30. Time Frame: 6h Current Trend: Bullish Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bullish The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 44,904.9. The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 45,324.9 level. P.S Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
FOREXCOM:US30Long
by SignalProvider
1
DOW JONES targeting 165000 in the next 8 years.Dow Jones / US30 is following very distinct and easily recognizable patterns over the years and decades and this chart gives you the complete picture since the 1930s and the Great Depression. We are currently well underway inside the Bull Cycle, which is the market's 3rd major these past 100 years. With the support of the 1M MA50, this Bull Cycle (via a Channel Up pattern) is expected to continues rising until the point it breaks aggressively over the pattern towards the last years of the Bubble in 2029-2033. From bottom to top, the previous two Bull Cycles rose by an incredible +2500%. This means that long term and patient investors can still buy now and enjot another 8 years of immense growth and returns, targeting 165000. Note that the RSI underneath the chart is on the 12M timeframe but achieves displaying the situatio more accurately than any. Clear Bear Cycle bottoms and breakouts over the MA when the Channel Up Bull Cycle started among all Cycles. Follow us, like the idea and leave a comment below!!
TVC:DJILong
by TheCryptagon
Review of Dow Jones Industrial Average Index ChartHere's a review report based on the chart you p 1. Current Price Action: The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) is trading at 44,645.88, reflecting a recent bearish sentiment following an earlier rally. The index has shown signs of retracement after failing to maintain higher levels around 46,500. 2. Marked Daily Zone (Green Area): A key demand zone is highlighted between 42,750 - 43,500. This zone represents a significant level where the price may find support based on historical buying activity. This zone coincides with the base of the prior bullish breakout, indicating a potential area for renewed buying interest. 3. Momentum and Trends: Recent candles indicate a loss of upward momentum with successive bearish candles. The price could revisit the marked Daily Zone as part of a corrective move before resuming its upward journey. 4. Market Sentiment and Potential Movement: A correction to the Daily Zone could attract institutional buyers, providing the necessary momentum for the next upward rally. A break below this zone may invalidate the bullish bias, pushing the index towards lower levels. Projection and Strategy: Bullish Scenario: If the price reacts positively within the Daily Zone, it may target 44,750 and subsequently retest 46,500. Bearish Scenario: Failure to hold the Daily Zone could see the index testing levels around 42,000 or lower. Conclusion: Traders should monitor price action near the Daily Zone for confirmation of reversal signals. It is a critical area for decision-making, aligning with strong technical support and past buying interest.
DJ:DJIShort
by Dhirenmillionare
3
US30 - Short SetupMy main trading principle is that the price always moves from swept liquidity levels to untouched liquidity levels. In particular case we clearly can see the following context: price swept 1D key liquidity level and left untouched level lower. But to take more statistically more probable trades we should wait for some time of lower timeframe confirmation. For me the best way to confirm higher timeframe context is structure. We can notice the break of market structure (sign of weakness) on key liquidity level, so there is a higher probability to see price lower at least on opposite level (marked lower). Your success is determined solely by your ability to consistently follow the same principles.
CAPITALCOM:US30Short
by Maks_Klimenko
Avoid Betting at the Peak? Here's How Market Breadth HelpWe are Investic Lab, a quant-focused lab dedicated to designing tools that provide clients with actionable insights from quantitative data on global markets. Our tools offer a unique perspective by analyzing market data based on facts—not speculative price predictions. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This post is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Key Takeaways: ✅ Quantitative Insights Over Predictions: Our tools explore the concept of "Peaks" using data-driven approaches, offering a distinct advantage compared to traditional predictive models. ✅ Why Market Breadth and DJIA (US30)? The Dow Jones Industrial Average (US30) serves as a leading indicator for our analysis. By examining market breadth, we aim to identify potential short-term bullish weaknesses. Market Breadth Analysis: Understanding the Red-to-Yellow Zone Transition 📊 Timeframe: Daily (TF Day) The transition from the Red Zone to the Yellow Zone signals a shift in market dynamics. This change represents 7 to 24 stocks moving above the 20-day EMA, indicating moderate market strength and the emergence of a positive trend. 🔍 Not Bearish, but Weakening Bullish Momentum: While this transition does not imply bearish conditions, it often reflects short-term bullish weakness. 🎯 Opportunity at or Near the Peak: We suggest adjusting your Risk/Reward (R/R) to 3:1 to take advantage of this phase, which may represent the peak or near-peak conditions for the short term. 📊 Timeframe: 15 Minutes (TF m15) For aggressive traders monitoring intraday price movements, we recommend incorporating Bollinger Bands into your strategy. Focus on the average line of the Bollinger Bands, which can serve as a reliable reference for trade setups. ✅ Use the Average Line for Entry Decisions: If you're experienced with Bollinger Bands, rely on the average line as your primary guide. Either, If you’re unsure about Bollinger Band parameters, substitute the 39-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) line for a clear trend-following signal. Risk Management Reminder: ⚠️ Trading Against the Trend: This strategy goes against the prevailing bullish market trend, which inherently carries more risk. If the price doesn’t move as expected, cut your losses and wait for the next trade setup. 💡 Opportunities Always Await: Missed trades are part of the process. Stay disciplined—there will always be new opportunities ahead!
BLACKBULL:US30Education
by Investic_analytics
2