Overview
Ideas
UK10YBGBP trade ideas
UK 10-yr Gilt – Weekly 5-MA could be put to testGilt’s daily close above 127.23 (23.6% Fibo retracement) on Monday if followed by a move back above resistance at 127.63 could yield a rally to weekly 5-MA level of 128.03 – 128.22 (38.2% Fibo).
On the lower side, failure to hold above 127.23 followed by a break below 126.42 (Oct 20 low) would open doors for a re-test of 125.63 (Oct 17 low).
UK 10-yr Gilt – Stuck at 23.6% FiboRebound from the low of 125.627 on the back of a bullish price RSI divergence and a bullish MACD crossover has run into resistance at 127.23, which is 23.6% Fibo resistance of the sell-off from 132.424-125.627.
Given the bullish divergence on the 4-hr and bullish pin bar on the daily chart the odds of a break above 127.23 and a rise to 128.00 are high.
Only a failure at 127.23 followed by a break below 126.37 would signal loss of bullish momentum.
UK 10-yr Gilts – Short-term bottom in placeBullish price RSI divergence on 4-hr chart followed by a rise to 127.00 levels suggests a retreat from Sep 27 high of 131.94 may have run out of steam and prices could rally further if the hurdle at 127.39 (Falling trend line + 23.6% Fibo) is breached.
On the lower side, only a break below 125.84 would signal fresh sell-off.
UK 10Y Govt. BenchmarkPossible positive divergence at lower parallel. If it breaks through, expect a retest.
