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Clear Secure, Inc.Clear Secure, Inc.Clear Secure, Inc.

Clear Secure, Inc.

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YOU trade ideas

5/16/24 - $you - top pick and size in my book, without question5/16/24 - vrockstar - NYSE:YOU - has become my largest single name (almost a 15% position for me, from 0% into EPS). i like it anywhere under $20. the math here is simple - at $17.5 today, you're basically buying $2.5 bn of market cap and get net cash of $500 of net cash (don't use the trading view numbers, they don't include marketable securities - i.e. "cash equivalents"). that's a $2 bn company - mgmt is 1) beating estimates as of the last several Q's 2) raising estimates and 3) affirming 260 mm of FCF generation which puts yield in the low teens. you can't find a software-margin, digital identity (future narrative co) trading at anywhere near 2.5x sales and growing 25% throwing off this much cash. mgmt is right to be buying stock at $19 and you better believe w/ their cash balance they're coming for a lot more. there's simply no better place they could invest it so quickly. this ticker seems to behave a bit erratically, so there's merit to building a position. i could take it to 20-25%, but i'm not planning that unless we go sub $15. i'm content owning at this px for now. the options chain will also all you to rent nice income once we breach that $20 level, IV is healthy. i'd sense this name is just not on many people's radars. there are Q's around losing contracts, regulation etc. but given the beats, guide, competent mgmt - it should minimally be on your radar for consideration. compounder. - V
NYSE:YOULong
by VROCKSTAR
5/8/24 - $you - solid eps, floor in, buying pre mkt for MT swing5/8/24 - vrockstar - really a tough one to own b/c there are good cases to stay away (contract questions, issues in Cali) but they continue to beat, the conf call right now reflects great mgmt vision to grow the addressable pie, upgrading ARPUs (as lower contract sales in past roll over), mgn expansion, FCF growth +30% yoy. if you take the 1Q result and annualize it - you're at $75*4 = $300 which is in the teens. realistically that's conservative too. high short interest. i'm playing a reluctant pre market buy w/ stock already up 5%, but believe 1) these customers are more macro inelastic 2) fcf and net cash is KEY in this tape and 3) can extrapolate great '25 #s b/c '24 looks solid w/ growth + mgns.
NYSE:YOULong
by VROCKSTAR
YOU : POSITION TRADEClear Secure: Talk About A Bullish Economic Moat • Clear Secure is capturing strong demand for its identity verification platform as a service to save time at security checkpoints. • Partnerships with airports, airlines and even the Transportation Security Administration highlight competitive advantages to drive growth. • An outlook for accelerating earnings can send the stock higher. • Looking for a helping hand in the market? Members of Conviction Dossier get exclusive ideas and guidance to navigate any climate. Clear Secure, Inc. (NYSE:YOU) offers a secure identity verification platform. If you've recently traveled through one of 46 major airports, you'll likely have seen the "Clear" checkpoints as a separate lane in the security process. Clear Pass focuses on the ID verification side of the airport screening process. The other step is the actual security area where travelers and carry-on luggage are checked for contraband. With the company's history going back more than a decade, the game changer now is a belief that the operation has finally reached a critical mass with enough locations where the service can make sense to a wide range of travelers. This concept is related to the network effect where the value of the service grows as its user base expands. Furthermore, the platform is being utilized in other applications where security screening is a requirement and there is room to capture efficiencies in the process. Members of Clear Plus also have the option to use the features at entertainment venues and stadiums where a security line often forms. Clear also offers a Health Pass which gained prominence during the pandemic with validation of COVID testing results and digitization of vaccine status that many types of business in certain areas embrace. Notably, this feature now integrates with Apple Inc.'s (AAPL) "Health App". YOU Key Metrics YOU released its Q3 earnings in mid-November with EPS of $0.05, which beat estimates by $0.05 as consensus was looking for a flat result. Revenue of $116 million climbed by 72% year-over-year, with the strength largely driven by the recovery of the airline industry compared to pandemic disruptions at the start of 2021. Management notes success with in-airport and various partner channels driving memberships captured in a climbing number of bookings along with retention of customers. On the financial side, keep in mind that there was a GAAP loss of -$65.6 million although this mostly reflected share-based compensation and the timing of the vesting from previously issued warrants. More favorably, the underlying shift towards profitability is evidenced by the adjusted EBITDA measure which reached $11.9 million compared to negative -$14.5 million in the period last year. The company also reported a positive free cash flow of $5.3 million. The expectation is that earnings will maintain this more positive momentum going forward. For Q4, management is guiding for revenue of around $124 million, implying a growth rate of 54% compared to Q4 2021, and up 7% on a quarter-over-quarter basis. Finally, we can mention Clear Secure maintains a solid balance sheet, ending the quarter with $700 million in cash and cash equivalents against effectively zero long-term financial debt. The position is strong enough that the Board of Directors declared a special $0.25 dividend which was paid in December. Are There Risks? The key for the company will be to maintain the pace of signups for new members while finding success in international markets. Longer-term, Clear Secure will need to become the global standard for secure identity verification not just in travel, but also leisure, and other industries with a visible presence in more and more countries as part of the bullish case. The other side to the discussion would be the risk that growth simply begins to disappoint while the expected earnings fail to materialize. One concern is that the company may have already captured the "low-hanging fruit" of hard-core heavy business travelers where the Clear Pass makes the most sense, at least from the U.S. market. By this measure, doubling the number of cumulative platform users from here will be more difficult. There is also an argument that if "everyone" is using Clear/TSA PreCheck, it begins to defeat the purpose of a priority security lane membership. It's not there yet but could become a problem at certain airports if the platform is too successful. Going further, a skeptic would also point to the regulatory risks where the service no longer becomes viable based on changing laws in the future or even in a scenario of a headline-making failure in the system that would undermine confidence in the company's security protocol. Read more on : seekingalpha.com Dan Victor, CFA, Seeking Alpha, Jan. 05, 2023 3:19 PM ET
NYSE:YOULong
by TradingMavericks
long $YOUWeekly candle looks like it's hitting an important level of support. I'm expecting a turnaround. Potential area's of resistance that will hopefully turn to support are: 50-day MA @ $43.37 .236 Fib @ $44.03 VWAP from ATH @ $46.11 I could easily see it back at $44 in the next two weeks. Maybe even by the end of the week. With global travel expected to be fully back by 2022, Clear Secure ( YOU ) is a solid 6 month to 1 year hold depending on how things shake out in 2022.
NYSE:YOULong
by EBITDAtiger
long YOU as global travel returnsYOU with a bullish 20-day MA crossing through 50-day MA. Already filled the gap up so it's ready to continue on its upward trend which seems to be forming a channel that it will trade between. RSI at 50 used to be resistance, now it seems to be support. Global travel coming back fast. Should be in full swing by the end of the month, the travel ban was lifted on Nov 8th. YOU provides a very useful service to airports/airlines where they make it extremely easy to verify who you are using biometrics.
NYSE:YOULong
by EBITDAtiger
$YOU - Inverse head and shoulder bottom reversalThe stock has bottomed with inverse head and shoulder and has broken out above the the neck line $46.20. It could retest the neck line $46.20 before moving towards $54 level. Target 1 - $54 Target 2 - $62.51 Risk - Retest of neck line $46.20 and neckline support failure. ——————————————————— How to read my charts? - Matching color trend lines shows the pattern. Sometimes a chart can have multiple patterns. Each pattern will have matching color trend lines. - The yellow horizontal lines shows support and resistance areas. - Fib lines also shows support and resistance areas. - The dotted white lines shows price projection for breakout or breakdown target. Disclaimer: Do your own DD. Not an investment advice.
NYSE:YOULong
by PaperBozz
$YOU is giving a GREAT IPO LONG opportunity todayIPO intraday trading strategy idea Clear Secure provides preferred access security services to venues and transportation in the United States. It uses biometric technology to validate identity. The share price is rising and gonna continue this trend today. The demand for shares of the company still looks higher than the supply. These and other conditions can cause a rise in the share price today. So I opened a long position from $42.5; stop-loss — $38.26; take-profit — $55.22/MOC price. Do not view this idea as a recommendation for trading or investing. It is published only to introduce my own vision. Always do your own analysis before making deals. When you use any materials, do not rely on blind trust. You should remember that isolated deals do not give systematic profit, so trade/invest using a developed strategy. If you like my content, you can subscribe to the news and receive my fresh ideas.
NYSE:YOULong
by KozakHlib
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