F trade ideas
RSISto Indicator script//@version=4
study(title="Stochastic", shorttitle="RSISto", format=format.price, precision=2, resolution="")
length1 = input(21, minval=1), smoothK1 = input(3, minval=1), smoothD1 = input(3, minval=1)
length2 = input(5, minval=1), smoothK2 = input(1, minval=1), smoothD2 = input(1, minval=1)
k1 = sma(stoch(close, high, low, length1), smoothK1)
d1 = sma(k1, smoothD1)
plot(k1, color=#C0C0C0)
plot(d1, color=#C0C0C0)
k2 = sma(stoch(close, high, low, length2), smoothK2)
d2 = sma(k2, smoothD2)
plot(k2, color=#C0C0C0)
plot(d2, color=#C0C0C0)
h0 = hline(80)
h1 = hline(20)
h2 = hline(95)
h3 = hline(5)
h4 = hline(50)
src = close, len = input(14, minval=1, title="Length")
avgLen = input(7, minval=1, title="Avg. Length")
up = rma(max(change(src), 0), len)
down = rma(-min(change(src), 0), len)
rsi = down == 0 ? 100 : up == 0 ? 0 : 100 - (100 / (1 + up / down))
plot(sma(rsi+100, avgLen), color=#C0C0C0)
plot(rsi+100, color=#C0C0C0)
band1 = hline(170)
band0 = hline(130)
fill(band1, band0, color=#C0C0C0, transp=90)
FORD is ready??The price action is going to the Fibonacci area, and then to enter in an accumulation zone at the price of $9-9.40 USD, then maybe the action will be entering un bullmode.
FORD WATCHING FOR $14 BREAK OUT!We have made new highs recently.
Worth watching for breakout above $14
F Ford 24 hr potterboxes.This is where we are at with ford right now. you can see the history of the stock and find the patterns that line up and trade accordingly. it will break out. just when is the question.
F WEEK 11/18/24F WEEK 11/18/24
Trying to keep this as simple as possible.
Once price breaks outside of the Blue range, watch for possible retest of broken level and be ready to long or short into the YELLOW ranges.
Price may exceed YELLOW range targets, but it’s at least a strong help to make profit 🎯🫡.
*LEVELS ARE NOT RANDOM OR BASED OFF EMOTION OR PERSONAL BIAS. BACKTESTED WITH THOROUGH RESEARCH WITH OVER 90% ACCURACY....HENCE WHY MOVE WILL MOST LIKELY BE GREATER THAN ESTIMATED.*
F Ford 24 hr potterbox.F Ford 24 hr potterbox. I think if ford opens up above the 50 percent line. The red line. it could stay there. Then again it could come down to the 50 percent line. its broke thru the line but couldn't hold it for very long. as you can see in the chart. I am using the august 5 low as my lowest candle. It might hold. I use the history of the chart . the laws of three, the Wykoff trading method. and the box to help me trade. you can trade this pattern from about $10.33 to the upside or the same to the downside. we will just have to wait and see.
F WEEK 11/11/24F WEEK 11/11/24
Trying to keep this as simple as possible.
Once price breaks outside of the Blue range, watch for possible retest of broken level and be ready to long or short into the YELLOW ranges.
Price may exceed YELLOW range targets, but it’s at least a strong help to make profit 🎯🫡.
*LEVELS ARE NOT RANDOM OR BASED OFF EMOTION OR PERSONAL BIAS. BACKTESTED WITH THOROUGH RESEARCH WITH OVER 90% ACCURACY....HENCE WHY MOVE WILL MOST LIKELY BE GREATER THAN ESTIMATED.*
F Ford 30min with 2 potterboxes.I went down to a lower chart to see where ford is actually trading, this is what i found using this strategy. Around $11.15 using the 30 min chart. In-between boxes as i right this. bouncing off of the top of the bottom box. Key level. lets see where it goes from here. Have fun.
F Ford 1week potterbox.F Ford with my version of a weekly potterbox. ford is at the 50 percent mark of the bigger box this is a key level. if it opens above the 50 percent line it will be interesting.
F Ford has broken out of the boxF Ford has broken out of the box. it closed at $11.23 today. I would guess to say its going higher due to the election being settled and over with. From july 18 to aug 6 thats how long it took ford to drop. I would say that its going back up and will fill all of the empty space i marked on the chart with blue arrows. Im not sure when this will take place but it will be soon i suspect. well we shall see if this holds. Trade accordingly
F Ford didnt make past the $11.27 mark Ford did not make it above the $11.27 top of the box. it is still building a base and it will make it back up to the 14 dollar range. I will keep a eye on it. Thanks for the comments i really appreciate it. positive or negative. I just want to make a little spending money. lol
F Ford looking good for a breakout.F Ford is looking good .it needs to break and hold $11.28 then it will be in empty space and run up until $11.93 if that doesnt hold it will go up to $13.62 and then possibly $14.00.
Ford Motor Company (NYSE: F) - November 2024 StockOverview
Ford Motor Company, headquartered in Dearborn, Michigan, is a global automotive and mobility company known for its Ford+ plan, which focuses on combining its strengths in traditional vehicles with new capabilities in electric vehicles (EVs) and digital customer experiences. Ford operates through three main segments:
Ford Blue: Developing iconic gas-powered and hybrid vehicles.
Ford Model e: Focusing on innovative EVs and embedded software for enhanced digital experiences.
Ford Pro: Serving commercial customers with vehicles and services tailored to their needs.
Ford employs approximately 175,000 people worldwide and also offers financial services through Ford Motor Credit Company.
Recent Developments
Stock Performance:
Ford's stock recently traded at $10.22, shedding 0.68% in a recent session, underperforming some of its competitors, such as Tesla.
Trading volume was lower than the 50-day average, suggesting reduced investor activity or interest at this price level.
Dividend Update:
Ford announced a $0.15 dividend per share to be paid on December 2, offering a 7.6% yield, which is considered attractive for income-focused investors.
The projected earnings growth and a conservative payout ratio of around 37% suggest the sustainability of this dividend.
Q3 2024 Financial Results:
Ford reported $46.196 billion in revenue, marking an increase from the previous year's $43.801 billion.
Net income, however, declined to $892 million from $1.199 billion in the same quarter last year, highlighting some profitability challenges.
Key elements of the Ford+ strategy were discussed during the Q3 earnings call, emphasizing a focus on growth in EV and connected vehicle services.
Strategic Initiatives:
Ford+ Plan: Continues to drive the company's transformation towards sustainable growth and value creation through innovation in EVs, cost improvements, and expansion in the Ford Pro segment.
Cost Optimization: Ford is actively working on cost improvements and restructuring efforts to boost profitability.
Manager Incentives: Ford is linking manager bonuses to performance metrics, reflecting a push for accountability and strategic alignment within the company.
SWOT Analysis Highlights:
Strengths: Strong legacy in automotive manufacturing, established brand value, and a growing EV presence.
Weaknesses: Declining profitability, competition from EV-focused companies like Tesla.
Opportunities: Expansion in EV offerings, digital transformation, and cost improvements.
Threats: Intense competition in the EV market, potential macroeconomic challenges affecting demand.
Outlook
Ford’s future outlook appears to be a mix of cautious optimism and strategic challenges:
Bullish Factors:
A sustainable dividend policy, offering a high yield.
The Ford+ plan positions the company for growth in the EV and digital service market segments.
Revenue growth in recent quarters indicates potential resilience in core business areas.
Bearish Factors:
Declining net income in recent quarters points to profitability challenges.
Underperformance compared to peers in the stock market raises concerns about investor sentiment.
High competition in the EV market may pressure Ford's ability to capture significant market share.
Conclusion
On balance, Ford Motor Company presents a stable dividend-paying stock with strategic initiatives aimed at long-term transformation through its Ford+ strategy. While profitability issues and competition in the EV space are notable risks, Ford’s efforts in cost management and EV expansion offer some upside potential.
Ford Trading in a channel.potterboxfollow the channel and trade accordingly. Use the box as buying and selling opportunity. Have fun
Ford (F): Eyeing Earnings for Potential Resistance FlipFord is set to release its earnings report in a few hours, and analysts generally anticipate that results will meet or slightly exceed consensus expectations. Currently, Ford is trading around a significant resistance level, and a breakout above this level could mark an important shift, opening the door for further gains. Our outlook remains bullish, with expectations that Ford will fill the large gap visible on the chart in the coming months.
Recent analyst targets align with our view, with ratings from Barclays, Goldman Sachs, and Morgan Stanley averaging around $13 for Ford stock. This target range corresponds well with our technical analysis, reinforcing our approach to Ford.
However, we’re holding off on any immediate action until after the earnings report to avoid an unpredictable reaction. We’ll be monitoring the market’s response closely, avoiding impulsive moves, as the true direction often becomes clearer after the initial post-earnings volatility.
Until then, patience remains crucial—trade the plan, stay disciplined, and seize the opportunity when it aligns with our setup.
Ford Earnings Idea Ford is inside on the 3 month time frame. On the monthly time frame we can go 2UP once we clear above $11.31
Looking to go 2 UP on the weekly time frame when we clear $11.20
On the daily we ended with a e candle we took out the highs and lows from thur
On the 4 hour we are inside as well
TAKING PUTS OF THE WEEKLY BELOW $10.86 TAKING $11.00 11/1
TAKING CALLS BASE OFF THE 4 HOUR TIME FRAME TAKING CALLS ABOVE $11.12 TAKING $11 CALLS 11/1
Possible BreakoutLooking at Ford closely. Earnings could push this higher and breakout. At this price, I am bullish for the long-term hold.
FORDit makes correction ABC it is making wave B in elliot triangle now in wave E
will be complete the enter with penetration green traingle to targets
T1 12.13$
T2 12.60$
T3 13.40$
T4 14$
Ford also has a Gap to Fill?Observations on the Wave Count:
Primary Impulse Waves:
The count of 1-5 for an impulse seems to be accurate. You have a clearly labeled 5-wave structure moving upwards. This is likely a larger degree move, possibly at the "Primary" or "Cycle" level.
Wave 5 appears to have extended further compared to the prior impulse waves, which is common. Elliott Wave Theory suggests that either Wave 3 or Wave 5 can extend, and this seems to show that Wave 5 is the extended one.
Corrective Wave (A-B-C):
After the 5th wave, there is what looks like an A-B-C corrective structure. It's possible that this is a Zig-Zag correction based on the sharp drop after Wave 5 and the bounce that follows.
This seems to be followed by a potential expanded or running flat, where wave C fails to exceed the end of Wave A.
Recent Wave Count:
Your latest count appears to be unfolding into a smaller degree (minute or micro) corrective structure, likely a W-X-Y or some form of complex correction. The zigzag shown in the most recent wave count (image 3) suggests you're nearing the end of a corrective phase.
Wave 4 seems to have formed a triangle or complex correction, a common occurrence for 4th waves, which typically form either triangles or complex structures.
You seem to be working towards completing a fifth wave of a larger degree correction or starting a new impulse down.
Feedback on the Current Count:
Wave 4 Triangle or Flat:
If this is a triangle in the 4th wave, you're likely correct that the next move could be the start of a larger degree wave down (Wave 5) or an extension. Triangles generally precede the final move in the current direction.
If the count you've labeled shows a flat correction, make sure Wave C is equal to or longer than Wave A to confirm this pattern, especially if it's an expanded flat.
Price Levels & Key Resistance Zones:
The key resistance level at $12.05-$12.15 is important to watch for in confirming the start of a new trend, especially if the price breaks above or gets rejected strongly.
The gap shown on the chart may also influence the price action as gaps tend to act as strong support or resistance, and it's likely that the price will revisit this zone soon.
Divergences:
The oscillators at the bottom seem to show that momentum is waning. Divergences between price action and oscillators (like MACD or RSI) can help confirm the completion of wave structures, especially if the corrective structure is nearing an end.
Summery generated by my custom Elliot Wave GPT.
It seems we are seeing a rotation into domestic value with a eye towards Heavy industry?
Large Daily FVG between ~12-13.6Good chance this will get filled considering how large it is, and considering that most daily fair value gaps on Ford have been filled in recent history.
A long play into $12.5-13 seems reasonable here.
Not trading this one myself, just noticing it and saving the idea to see how it plays out, I primarily trade spot, not options.
Example of prior gaps getting filled on the daily below:
$F probability and pattern This then that
✅clear targets
✅great multi expiration play
✅tight stop loss
✅built in confirmation
(The entry is built in as retest
Probably Pattern:
Weekly candle dip below $10.25
Then, weekly close above $10.50
8 of 9 times over 30 years reaches
$13.50+ within a few months
9 of 9 times it reaches $12.50 plus
