$TLT 15 year channelHere's another perfect long term channel. It is a log chart of $TLT. I am long $TMF (3x leveraged ETF ). No price target yet as I want to see how this whole thing plays out.
TLT trade ideas
BUY TLTI've been right about most things
But wrong about bonds so far
If it doesn't respect the white fork, it has the previous swing low (marked) and the fib as protection
THIS is the buy
NOT TRADING ADVICE
TLT - 2 Hour PThe 20 Year ETF Bond has declined significantly in 2022.
Longer-term I anticipate 6% as the Primary PO for the 10 Year
Note.
TLT will head well below 100 into October 2023, breaking 92s
will provide an immediate break - an immense break.
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Sub 50 is an absolute on Mid Curve to 6%.
Declining from 173.69 to 112.62 is simply the 1st in a Series of
lower lows ahead.
I do, however, anticipate a counter-trend to 2.12 to 2.26.
TLT remains the JUNK ETF, chased by the inexperienced traders
seeking safety.
Hopefully, this herd is beginning to see the Cliff ahead as the
Bond Buffalo will be run up the plains mesa to their ultimate
deaths.
132 should limit the Upside ST.
Long swing in Treasuries - yields will dropWe have seen a historically dramatic selloff, and RSI and stochastic show a great entry to buy TLT. This is a good buy for an investment account.
TLT A Bullish Case For Bonds Multi year trend line support being tested here while indicators are oversold suggesting this ABC pattern may be completing this week
$spy $tlt $lqd Time to get long Bonds? I think soWe have a bullish engulfing pattern and a diverging RSI signal. Recession is coming time to be long bonds I think. Contrarian signal as well. Nobody wants bonds
TLT - Target Hit !!! 🥳🎈🎈I first called this back in September that TLT would hit $113 (then $114) and now in May my target is hit.
This was another call where I received comments that the chart doesn't matter because XYZ but really the chart does matter as this was just a 1:1 zig zag correction.
So what next?
Well... I dont know currently because a fibonacci projection is just a landmark for a potential reversal. It doesn't itself prove a reversal though there will probably be a lot of short covering in this area.
Also just below @ 111.9 there is a low from 2018 and there will be short covering there also which could potentially be a bottoming area.
However, from a charting perspective this can still go lower. There has been nothing noteworthy for the bullish case as yet.
And I had a charting comment on a previous page that questioned how indicators could be so oversold but not produce a bounce. And well the reason for that is because this could be a new trend unfolding.
It is worth noting though that the RSI here is slightly lower than previous low and there could be a reversal.
But all this depends on what type of wave this is currently. The potential C wave has been much steeper than than the A and that could mean it will form a 1:1.618 which would see it hit $95.
Or if there is a shakeout reversal at the lows here than that may prove to be a good buy signal. I'll wait and see.
Not advice.
Monthly chart of TLT. Next target 107 then maybe 100This monthly chart of TLT look pretty scary. 107 seems to be the next target then 100!
TLT's Death DomeVery bullish if you turn the chart upside down. It has clearly made a major top. Due for a bounce soon but it will only be a temporary reprieve before much higher long term interest rates are seen.
TLT MegphoneWe established a lear thesis for Bonds Back in July of 2021.
It is tracking and trading in Trend.
The trend is clear concise and direct.
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3.6 Interemdiate to 6%.
3.265 os the pivot.
Overbought?
Oversold?
No such thing in 40 year Trend reversals.
A complete collapse of the Equity Complex, might drive rates to 2%...
Lovely.
TLT heading down to long-term pitchfork lineLooking for a reaction off the lower medium line on this long-term pitchfork. Patience
you down with TLT? Yeah you know me!TLT should find support at 110-108 level. ABC Correction almost finished on the monthly chart. 250 + in the coming years, once pension and hedge funds start looking for long term safety.
TLT - The Vesper
"Three measures of Gordon's, one of Vodka, half a measure of Kina Lillet."
Best not to drink and drive, ya may just run into supthin...
OR...
FSD could end up taking you for a Ride.
Sh_t happens.
Hubris and the inability to compromise... lead to lots of Blood and Broken Glass.
TLT - watch for strong bullish reversal soon after 116 or 114Bearish toward 116 / 114
(Light blue) If TLT bounces strongly at 116 (Fib 1 Elliott zigzag from earlier highs weekly chart) expect it to move toward 128 and pause for a correction.
(Dark blue) If TLT passes through 116 to 114 (Fib 8), expect a strong bounce then climbing up the Fibonacci ladder toward 122 for a corrective move higher.
Waterfall into disaster zoneSurprisingly, I drew most of the lines and boxes in this chart about two years ago and it played out almost to the teeth. Now comes the most important part though as it may waterfall through that disaster zone and and as a result: all asset classes go POP... SWOOSH... SPLASH... or... KLUNK.
But after that, should be able to buy everything at a reasonable price including bonds.
NOTE: The FED may also get bowled over by the waterfall this time. It's meant to be pure water that cleanses out this dirty system.
TLT: Bonds ready for a big bounce?TLT (20+ Years Treasury Bond ETF)
Huge drop since January 2022.
If you connect all the big lows since 2013 and draw a line you will notice that TLT is now sitting on a huge support and has starting to bounce off the 119 level (Green line).
RSI weekly and daily oversold.
Let's see if we can get a decent bounce.
I'm long April 29 call. We can target 125, then maybe 130.
Stop loss at 119.
Trade safe
We're in a Historic Bond Market CrashWith 2 year treasury rates targeting 9%+, bond prices will continue collapsing until de facto Yield Curve Control is implemented by the FED. Fed balance sheet will expand to over 40T over the next 5 years.
Update On Rates 22.4.27The current trend of mortgage interest rates, and the potential direction of where they are headed. Also see the link below for the dates of the next FOMC meeting that will have a large impact on interest rates.
www.fxstreet.com
www.federalreserve.gov
TLT starting to look like a buy TLT is finally starting to look like a buy. With a significant pullback it looks to be at the lower trend and price volume profile.
TLT Weekly Testing long-term support on the weekly chart. EMA 200 crossed EMA 50 (EMA death cross?) Good chance it fails to lower support as yields rise.
Let me know what you think.
TLT 2HR TFBreak of support Below @120.10. IF the BUYERS can Hold this KL , a retest to this BFVG zone and the top of TL resistance, could we breakout and FILL the Gap?
