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NVDA trade ideas

NVDA Supply Concerns are Overrated Increased military activities by China around Taiwan raise concerns over potential disruptions to semiconductor supply chains, especially since Taiwan hosts TSMC, Nvidia's (NVDA) primary chip manufacturer. While no immediate direct impact on Nvidia's stock price or operations is reported today, the risk of supply chain interruptions could lead to stock volatility, investor caution, and potential long-term strategic adjustments by Nvidia regarding manufacturing diversification.
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by justin_p_mcfarland
Nvidia (NVDA) Stock Drops Amid Investigation in ChinaNvidia (NVDA) Stock Drops Amid Investigation in China On 21 November, our analysis of Nvidia (NVDA) stock price revealed: → The continuation of a long-term upward channel (illustrated in blue). → The significance of resistance at the psychological level of $150. Since then, NVDA’s stock price has failed to surpass the highlighted resistance level, despite stock indices reaching record highs, indicating Nvidia's relative underperformance compared to the broader market. It seems the AI-driven rally may be losing steam. Investor concerns were heightened yesterday by news that China has launched an antitrust investigation into Nvidia, suspecting the company of violating the country’s competition laws. In response, Nvidia stated that it complies with its obligations wherever it operates and is ready to cooperate with regulators. Following this announcement, NVDA’s stock price experienced a modest decline, further reinforcing a bearish outlook. Technical analysis of Nvidia (NVDA) stock chart indicates that if the price fluctuations since September are viewed as forming a channel with curved lines (drawn in black), it becomes evident (as marked by an arrow) that the lower line has shifted its role from support to resistance — a bearish signal. In this context, the situation appears balanced, with buyers and sellers consolidating NVDA's price within a range of $132 to $150. The eventual breakout from this range could result in a significant swing—but in which direction? According to TipRanks, analysts remain optimistic: → 37 out of 40 analysts recommend buying NVDA stock. → The average 12-month price target for NVDA is $176. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by FXOpen
2
Don't Miss the Second Wave of AI Opportunities!Are you still regretting missing out on NVIDIA's 10x growth? This time, you may not need to worry. The second wave of AI is forming, and this time, the opportunities are not limited to hardware, but are fully penetrating enterprise-level applications. For investors, this is an unparalleled new window of opportunity. A Look into the Future: The Development Patterns of AI Reviewing history, from the power revolution a century ago to the internet revolution in the 1990s, we see similar development patterns. Each revolutionary technology wave will go through three key stages. Let's take the internet revolution as an example: Infrastructure Construction Stage In the late 1980s and early 1990s, the internet was just emerging, and its applications were still very limited. The companies that benefited most were those in the foundation layer, such as Cisco and Intel. The first stage of AI development was similar, with chip giants like NVIDIA driving the construction of AI infrastructure. 2. B2B Application Rise Stage In the mid-1990s, the internet gradually entered the enterprise-level application field, with CRM and supply chain management software emerging, improving corporate production efficiency. AI is currently entering this stage, with companies optimizing operational processes using AI technology to achieve cost reduction and efficiency improvement. 3. C2C Consumer-Level Application Popularization Stage In the late 1990s, various C2C killer applications began to emerge, such as Amazon, PayPal, and Yahoo!, which became familiar companies. Now that the first wave has stabilized, the question is: when will the second wave arrive in B2B applications? Many ordinary people have a feeling that AI applications are limited to chatbots like ChatGPT, and that true killer applications have not yet arrived or will take a long time to develop. As a result, some people believe that AI investment is still too early, and that what's being blown up now is just a bubble. Indeed, we can see that C2C applications are still in development and will take a long time to mature. However, in B2B applications, AI has already been widely deployed and has shown significant effects in certain specific fields. It's just that ordinary people haven't yet felt it. As investors, we must be more sensitive than ordinary people because corporate changes will be critical to the second wave of AI. The Second Wave of AI: The Golden Era of Enterprise-Level Applications The following graph is a summary of the top-ranked industries in which AI-driven companies are most likely to benefit. As for software companies like ETFIGV, we can see from their financial reports that AI is driving significant improvements in corporate operating efficiency. The following graphs show the gross margin and EBITDA margin of three typical software companies: Shopify, Salesforce, and ServiceNow. Explaination: Gross margin reflects the main product profit of software companies, while EBITDA margin reflects the company's operating profit after deducting depreciation and interest. In other words, it represents a company's ability to generate profits from limited resources. We can see that these three companies have seen significant improvements in their EBITDA margins over the past two quarters while maintaining stable gross margins. Data does not lie; this may indicate that AI is already seeing effects in enterprise-level applications. • Shopify: By optimizing internal processes using AI, it maintained stable gross margins while improving EBITDA margins and directly driving stock price growth by 30% after reporting earnings. • Salesforce: It launched its "INS Instant" AI tool to automate 370,000 tasks, saving 50,000 hours of labor time and significantly improving employee efficiency. • ServiceNow: Its AI accelerated data extraction speed by 53%, work flow efficiency by 27 times, and RPO growth by 26%, providing more powerful workflow optimization services for enterprises. These data clearly show that AI is not just a buzzword but brings actual efficiency and profitability improvements to enterprises. Snowflake: A Breakthrough in Enterprise Data Analysis Snowflake's case is more representative. This data analysis platform focuses on providing intelligent operational support to enterprises using AI technology. This quarter's RPO increased from $52 billion to $57 billion, reflecting enterprise trust in its AI capabilities. CEO's "All-in-AI" strategy not only drives data mining efficiency but also drove its stock price up by 30% after reporting earnings. Insurance Industry Digital Transformation: AIFU and BGM's Strategic Cooperation The insurance industry is an important target area for AI transformation due to its information-intensive nature. It is at the forefront of digital transformation, especially with AI technology driving it forward. AIFU's smart future has already achieved insurance industry transformation through its core product "Duxiao" platform. "Duxiao" is an AI-driven insurance platform developed jointly by AIFU and Baidu. By combining big data and AI technology, it can provide personalized insurance solutions for customers. The platform analyzes customer health insurance needs, education planning, and wealth management needs in depth and generates highly customized insurance configuration plans. This has significantly improved agent productivity and accuracy while reducing operating costs. As of December 2023, AIFU's revenue reached $31.98 billion, with a year-on-year growth rate of 14.98%. Net profit was $2.89 billion with a year-on-year growth rate of 237.25%. AIFU's PE ratio (TTM) is only 3.5 times. In comparison to industry giants such as Prudential (PUK) and AXA (AXAHY), which have PE ratios above 12 times or even higher than AIFU. AIFU's strategic acquisition of two subsidiaries by BGM on Friday includes core technology assets such as "Duxiao" platform. BGM is a global pharmaceutical and chemical company that has actively promoted its AI strategy in recent years. By integrating AI with data analysis, BGM is reshaping its business model towards a more intelligent future. How to Seize Opportunities in the Second Wave of AI? What kind of companies will ultimately succeed? I can share with you my thoughts on what kind of companies need to possess these characteristics: Strong Competitive Moat: Companies that can continuously strengthen their competitive barriers through AI. Data Monopoly Advantage: Companies that build models using high-quality private data rather than public data. Flexible Business Model: SaaS platforms with pay-as-you-go pricing models have more scalability and profitability potential. Strong Execution Ability: Agile and decisive management teams that can quickly deploy technology. Conclusion: The future belongs to those who dare to layout!
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by xugina78
Top 5 Weekly Trade Ideas #1 - NVDA Inverse H&SNVDA had a bearish close last week and it got even worse this morning on China news, gapping down below $140. However, if it can quickly reclaim, which it is trying to do now, it could be a nice recovery. We also have an inverse H&S. This $140 level should provide good movement in either direction. Current bias is up due to market conditions and NVDA overall strength. First upside target is the gap fill above and then potentially trendline resistance after. If it can't reclaim $140, first downside target is back down to $131.50.
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by AdvancedPlays
1
Brace for the Hit in NVIDIAWe have experienced a nearly uncontested rise in the price of NVIDIA stock for over two years at the current movement(since October 2022), from which it has soared almost 15x what its price was at this bottom. Now the key question is, can I identify a clear wave pattern? The answer is yes. We have a very clear five waves up in an impulse waveform. The completion of a 5-wave sequence precedes a move in the opposite direction. This being the case we should not be very far of from starting of the next corrective phase in the cycle. Usually wave four records their travel within the range of the previous wave four of one lesser degree. Previous wave 4 recorded its low near the 88-dollar mark. Thus we can have this as an initial target to look for although we do need to wait for a confirmation of prices moving down. For that I would like to see the prices creep below 137.60, and subsequently after taking out that level also move below 131.50. Once these two price targets get taken out we can add confidence to the view of this asset moving down to at least the 100 dollar level. Which ever play you might be looking to take, either shorting the selloff or just biding your time for a buy at the end of this, exercise caution in your trading. If you do short always keep the highs as an absolute point of invalidation for the outlook.
NASDAQ:NVDAShort
by HydraFinance
2
NVDA Analysis: Momentum Play or Consolidation Phase?As of December 8, 2024, NVIDIA is trading at $141.92. Here’s a detailed analysis and trading strategy. 1. Fundamental Analysis: NVIDIA's Dominance in AI and GPUs * Forward P/E Ratio: Approximately 29.5, reflecting a premium valuation indicative of strong growth expectations in AI, gaming, and data center markets. * Expected EPS Growth: A projected 20% 5-year EPS growth, driven by rising AI adoption, autonomous vehicle technologies, and expanding cloud infrastructure. * Expected Revenue Growth: Robust 18% 5-year CAGR, supported by leadership in GPUs and data center technology. * Net Margins: 33.5%, demonstrating NVIDIA’s exceptional profitability, boosted by its high-margin GPU business. Fundamental Rating: 9/10 NVIDIA is a market leader with strong growth potential, excellent profitability, and solid execution. Its valuation reflects these strengths but also leaves less room for margin of error. 2. Technical Analysis: Key Levels and Price Action Support and Resistance Levels: * Immediate Resistance: $152.87 (recent high and critical level for bullish continuation). * Key Support: $132.14 (recent pullback zone and liquidity area). * Major Support: $120.00 (historical demand zone and near the 200-day EMA). Indicators: * MACD: Bullish crossover in progress, but histogram suggests waning momentum. * Moving Averages: * 20-day EMA: Positioned at $138.50, providing short-term dynamic support. * 50-day EMA: Positioned at $130.75, reinforcing a critical support zone. Liquidity Zones & Order Blocks: * Liquidity Zone: $132.14 to $138.50, where prior consolidation suggests buyer interest. * Order Block: $125 to $132, highlighting a key accumulation area before the recent upward move. 3. Trading Plan: Playbook for Scalping and Swing Trades Scalping Setup: * Entry: Buy near $138.50 on pullbacks or on a breakout above $143 with strong volume. * Target: $147.50 to $152.87 (resistance zone). * Stop-Loss: $137 (below immediate support and 20-day EMA). Swing Trading Setup: * Entry: Accumulate near $132 for a longer-term play or wait for confirmation of a breakout above $152.87. * Target: $160 to $170 for medium-term gains. * Stop-Loss: Below $120 (key structural support). 4. Where NVDA Might Be Headed Next NVIDIA is currently trading within a consolidation zone, with bullish momentum gradually returning. A breakout above $152.87 could lead to a retest of $160, while a failure to sustain above $132 might lead to further consolidation. Given its fundamental strength, any pullbacks should be seen as opportunities for accumulation by swing traders and investors. Disclaimer This analysis is for informational purposes only and not financial advice. Always do your own research and consult a financial advisor before trading.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by BullBearInsights
Nvdia has a lot of selling pressure A straightforward summary of my observations: I’m focusing on the upper part of the green box, where buyers have consistently stepped in with strength. The most recent dip into this area occurred the day before Thanksgiving during a market sell-off. Here’s a simplified list of factors that I believe will contribute to Nvidia underperforming its Mag 7 peers: - Overstretched valuation, trading near all-time highs while competitors like AMD and Intel have seen significant declines. -Ongoing supply chain issues and tariff-related pressures. -Slowing growth in expansion and revenue. -Google emerging as a strong competitor in AI-training chips, challenging Nvidia's TSU ambitions. -A highly extended market overall, increasing the chances of profit-taking and weakened buyer momentum.
NASDAQ:NVDAShort
by LopezTradesss
2
NVIDIA Analysis - Personal viewNVIDIA remains a leader in AI-driven markets, benefiting from demand for GPUs in data centers, gaming, and AI development. Its AI and machine-learning capabilities are shaping industries like autonomous vehicles and healthcare. However, valuation concerns and risks tied to macroeconomic shifts or supply chain vulnerabilities may pressure the stock. Looking ahead to 2025, my personal target for NVIDIA lies between $200 and $250. This range reflects a cautious approach, factoring in potential earnings normalization, adjustments in investor sentiment, and the broader tech sector's resilience in an evolving economic environment. *This is not financial advice.
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by Charts_M7M
NVIDIA appears to be approaching the completion of the fifth NVIDIA (NVDA) Chart Analysis NVIDIA appears to be approaching the completion of the fifth subminuette wave within wave 3 (yellow). This aligns with a smaller impulsive wave structure, signaling a potential short-term peak in this cycle. Expected Movements: • Wave 4 Correction: After completing this fifth wave, a corrective wave 4 could emerge, retracing part of the recent bullish move. This correction would likely establish a base for the next rally. • Grand Supercycle Wave III (Red): Following the wave 4 pullback, NVIDIA may restart a new cyclical 5-wave bull pattern within the grand supercycle wave III. This structure represents long-term bullish potential. Key Levels to Monitor: • Support and resistance levels during wave 4. • The formation of wave 5 for potential continuation or divergence.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by ProeToroInvestor
NVDA - Bullish Inverse Head & ShouldersSummary: NVDA is forming a bullish inverse head & shoulders on the longer timeframes. This trade and target are largely based on the larger pattern (4hr time frame), however the 1 hour time frame gives us a high quality entry on the break of 143.3 in the middle of the right shoulder so we don’t need to wait for a break of 146 for entries. Stop loss invalidating the trade would be break below 141.3. P&L Assuming 143.3 Entry: Gain: $6 Loss: $2 Risk v Reward: 3:1 Possible Contracts: 145C for 1/3/2025 (currently $4.40) 150C for 1/17/2025 (currently $4.60)
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by brycat23
7
SMCI To Follow Nividias Path?Looking at the chart above, we can see on the right how Nvidia has been trading within a channel since its existence, until recently it seen a break above and a clear re-test and continuation from this level, setting new boundaries for their stock price as a result of AI developments. We can also see on the left SMCI, who's chart looks very similar, having just broken an retested that same upper channel resistance level before continuing higher. Lets have a look at why this may be the case: Super Micro Computer, Inc. (SMCI) Focus: SMCI specializes in manufacturing high-performance servers and storage systems, including AI-optimized servers critical for mounting AI chips from companies like NVIDIA and AMD. They do not manufacture chips but complement chipmakers by enabling AI infrastructure development. AI Expansion: SMCI has seen significant growth, with fiscal 2024 revenue reaching $14.94 billion (up 110% YoY). The company is leveraging partnerships with NVIDIA and AMD, tapping into the AI server market, which is projected to grow at an 18% CAGR until 2032. Market Position: SMCI holds approximately 10% of the AI server market and aims to expand this to 17% in three years, driven by increasing demand for AI-powered hardware and systems. Market Cap: Around $16 billion as of recent data. There’s significant growth potential as it rides the AI wave, potentially leading to valuations closer to NVIDIA’s over the long term, depending on market execution. NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) Focus: NVIDIA dominates the AI chip market with its GPUs, which power most AI applications, including training large language models. The company also ventures into software and data-center solutions. Recent Growth: NVIDIA reported $26 billion in Q1 2024 revenue, up 262% YoY, with EPS growth of 461%. Its dominant market position allows it to maintain pricing power and capitalize on increasing AI infrastructure investments. Market Cap: [/b ] NVIDIA’s market cap exceeds $1 trillion, reflecting its status as a cornerstone of the AI industry. Its control of the AI chip market gives it an edge in capturing future demand as global AI investments grow. Comparison and Growth Outlook Complementary Roles: SMCI and NVIDIA are not direct competitors but operate in synergistic niches—NVIDIA supplies the chips, and SMCI builds the servers to host them. Growth Potential: NVIDIA benefits from its unmatched dominance in AI chip technology, while SMCI has room to grow within the AI server market. Analysts predict SMCI will grow faster proportionally, given its smaller base and increasing market share ambitions. AI Opportunity: The AI hardware market, including servers and chips, is expected to surpass $84.9 billion by 2031. SMCI and NVIDIA are positioned to capture significant portions of this market. Future Market Cap Projections SMCI: If it scales its AI server market share and revenue effectively, its valuation could rise significantly, potentially exceeding $50 billion within a few years. NVIDIA: Sustained leadership in AI chips could push its market cap further, perhaps toward $2 trillion in a bullish AI adoption scenario. Both companies are critical to AI infrastructure development and are positioned to benefit from global AI investments, but NVIDIA's established dominance contrasts with SMCI's emerging growth trajectory. Each offers unique investment opportunities tailored to different risk and growth profiles
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by Who-Is-Caerus
Minsky Moment for NVDA? I have a related post in which I've done most of the heavy lifting and proof of concepts (showing the real time implementation of the model on the SMCI bust) for this. www.tradingview.com This post's main purpose is just to have a post to specifically track the failure of the setup in NVDA or to update on the different stages of the model through the decline is we end up making the classic butterfly top. The drop here would not only satisfy all the stages of the Minsky model, it would also complete the Elliot wave boom and bust posted at 500 in NVDA.
NASDAQ:NVDAShort
by holeyprofit
NVDA - finding an Exit on LongsIn this short piece, I present some visuals of my ideas on NASDAQ:NVDA targets. If the chart patterns play well then my intention is to exit at around $183 to $193 and then catch the wave (4) low ideally at $146 , for the final push up in this sequence in to $210 or slightly higher for a final exit. Viewed from the perspective of a weekly or monthly chart - NASDAQ:NVDA doesn't look complete at those higher levels, however, I suspect that the end in to the wave (5) around $210 will complete a multitude of larger wave degrees, thus start a much larger degree (wave 4) correction from that point. **NVDA may be a strong barometer for the market peak on an intermediate scale. I will certainly consider this strongly.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by investornomics
NVDA MAKES TEXTBOOK HEAD & SHOULDERS RETRACEAs the Q's bounce a bit today, NVDA has retraced from a break in the neckline (yesterday) of its current Head & shoulders pattern. The possibility of some float upwards still exists, with a what looks to me to be a likely break back down in the near future, so here are some interesting levels of confluence to consider. Note the correlations in support levels (both diagonal and horizontal), trend lines, a long term parallel channel, a fib retrace, and upper resistance levels. While I a greet that NVDA has a bright long-term future, apparent capital rotation, a decrease in demand (should inflation remain steady or increase), unchanged interest rates, and any economic slowdown may push NVDA's near/short term path downward.
NASDAQ:NVDAShort
by T8terTrader
Is NVIDIA Ready to Break Out or Break Down?Good morning, trading family! How’s everyone feeling today? Got your coffee? Charts ready? It’s time to dive in and see what the market has in store for us. Here’s the vibe: NVIDIA’s setting up for something big—are we aiming for $142 or sliding to $119? It’s like a game of tug-of-war, and the market’s holding the rope. Quick Tip: Remember, trading is about patience and discipline. If you’re feeling stuck, step away, take a breath, and come back with a clear head. The market’s not going anywhere. If you want a closer look at these setups or other ideas I’m watching, feel free to check out my profile or send me a DM—I’m always happy to share insights or answer questions. Let’s make it a great day! Kris /Mindbloome Exchange Trade What You See
NASDAQ:NVDA
by Mindbloome-Trading
Top 5 Weekly Trade Ideas #1 - NVDA Head and ShouldersThis is looking like an epic setup for NVDA, make or break here. Recently we had a shorter term inverse H&S that failed, but the longer term H&S remains valid for now. We have several things going on here, all of which looks pretty clean. To summarize: - Major support at $131.50 that was previous resistance from August. - Head and Shoulders with the neckline right at said support. - Ascending wedge starting at the August low, price just barely broke below and closed below. - Major pattern is still riding momentum off of the big triangle breakout, projected target of ~$170 has not been hit. - Recent weakness, I'd call it extreme weakness considering what the mag 7 and names like AVGO have done while NVDA continues to fall. So how do I intend to play it? The great thing about this setup is how clean everything is, should be fairly straightforward to trade. If the neckline/support at $131.50 doesn't hold, it's a short down to a retest of the triangle at minimum. If neither trendline from the triangle holds, next target is at $90. I'd call it good and reassess at that point, but eventually I expect $70 to hit and finally we'll see it move down to about $50 which will probably be near the major bottom. If $131.50 holds, then the dump will be delayed to a future date, will look for longs instead. If it can bounce and reclaim the trendline from the August low, I'd look for longs on a retest there or any decent dips really. We may end up making a new ATH and hitting that $170 target from the triangle breakout. Should be a big move either way, definitely worth watching as it will have a big impact on the broader market as well.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by AdvancedPlays
NVIDIA Breaks Key Support: H&S Pattern Targets $116.10NASDAQ:NVDA NVDA just broke the $131.80 support zone, acting as the neckline for a head and shoulders pattern . Default targets for this pattern are now projected at $116.10, aligning with the 200% Fibonacci extension level and a convergence cluster of Fibonacci levels. With the bearish butterfly pattern failing by just a few points, a further correction seems likely. As we approach the holiday season, watch for a potential upward trendline support below the convergence cluster—could this be the calm before a deeper dip? NVIDIA (NVDA) broke the $131.80 support zone. Default targets for this pattern are now projected at $116.10,. As we near the holiday season, watch for a possible ascending trendline support below the convergence cluster, which could signal a reversal or continued downside.
NASDAQ:NVDAShort
by Andre_Cardoso