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NVDA trade ideas

NVDA SHORT TRADE IDEA>Technical Direction: Daily Downtrend (2 Consecutive LHs) >We have a Rally-Base-Drop(RBD) Weekly Supply Zone coverage for the RBD Daily Supply Zone >We have a high quality Leg-out(Imbalance) from Weekly TF and a Gap+Explosive leg-out from Daily Supply *Stochastic RSI confirmation (This is not a Timing tool, We always follow the Law of Supply and Demand): Stoch RSI is at Overvalued Zone, meaning price is looking for a Supply Zone to Drop the price. Entry, Stop Loss(Entry zone plus -33%), Target(2R) is shown on the chart via Fib Retracement Trade Safe
NASDAQ:NVDAShort
by TradersPod
2
Is NVDA ending a Wave (B) or are we starting the last Wave (5)?Let’s first define what Wave 5 is to assess whether we’re still in one. Personality Wave 5 is generally less dynamic than Wave 3 in terms of breadth. As Wave 5 progresses, optimism runs extremely high despite the narrowing of participation. The retail public becomes increasingly interested, fueling this final leg higher. Signs of an optimistic herd mentality are everywhere. The price action in Wave 5 tends to be more sluggish than in Wave 3, and there may be divergence patterns between the two waves, often highlighted by indicators like the Awesome Oscillator (AO), Stochastic, and Relative Strength Index (RSI). Commercials and institutions typically enter early, during Waves 1 and 3, while the retail public jumps in later, during the Wave 5 phase. At this point, there’s no one left to push prices higher. Key points to remember: Wave 5 of an impulse consists of 5 sub-waves, which follow the same rules and guidelines as it is part of a fractal structure. Divergences between volume and price are a reliable clue in the fifth wave. Volume should increase and remain fairly well-maintained, with little additional price progress, signaling a potential reversal. Rules Impulse • Wave 5 always subdivides into an impulse or an ending diagonal. • Waves 1, 3, and 5 are never all extended simultaneously. Diagonal • Wave 5 can form an ending diagonal. • Wave 5 always ends beyond the end of Wave 3 in a leading diagonal. • Wave 5 is always shorter than Wave 3 in a contracting diagonal. • Wave 5 is always longer than Wave 3 in an expanding diagonal. • Wave 5 always ends beyond the end of Wave 3 in an expanding diagonal. Guidelines Impulse • Wave 5 sometimes doesn’t surpass the end of Wave 3 (this is called truncation). • Wave 5 is the second most common extended wave, particularly in commodities markets on daily and weekly charts. • Wave 5 tends to equal Wave 1 when Wave 3 is extended. • When Wave 5 is extended, it is often in Fibonacci proportion to the net travel of Waves 1 and 3, typically 161.8%. • If Wave 3 is not extended, Wave 5 is unlikely to form an ending diagonal. Diagonals • Wave 5 of a leading diagonal usually subdivides into zigzags but may also appear as an impulse, along with Waves 1 and 3. • When Wave 5 follows a triangle, it is typically either a brief, rapid move or an exceptionally long extension. • Wave 5 usually ends at or slightly beyond a line connecting the ends of Waves 1 and 3 (this extended move is known as a throw-over in a contracting diagonal). • In an expanding diagonal, Wave 5 typically ends just before reaching the line connecting the ends of Waves 1 and 3. Channels • Use a deceleration channel to identify when Wave 5 is in progress. Extended Waves If both Waves 1 and 3 were regular, it’s likely that Wave 5 will extend. An irregular correction is often seen at the end of an extended Wave 5, which is prone to what’s known as double retracement. If Wave 4 was an irregular correction, you can be fairly certain that Wave 5 will extend. While it’s rare for two sub-waves to extend, it is common for both Waves 3 and 5 to extend when they are of Cycle or SuperCycle degree and occur within a fifth wave of a higher degree. Fibonacci Ratios • Wave 5 is often 0.618 times the length of Wave 1. • Wave 5 is often equal to Wave 1. • Wave 5 is often 127.2% of Wave 4. • Note that the orthodox end of Wave 4 can differ from the extreme of Wave 4. Conclusion: We’re clearly in a herding phase, but it’s been that way for several months. There’s significant insider selling in NVDA, and it seems investors are starting to realize that AI’s impact on the market isn’t as strong as the narrative suggested. Personally, it’s hard for me to determine whether we’re in Wave B or Wave 5—the next few weeks should clarify the situation. I prefer to wait for confirmation before making a safe short bet. As for going long, I’ll stay away for now—prices are just too high.
NASDAQ:NVDAShort
by integer256
2
NVDA- Will the tides change?In the 4-hour chart, I’ve labeled key Wyckoff phases that suggest NVIDIA is currently undergoing a redistribution process. They will be explained in this idea. The chart also highlights the presence of unrecovered green vector candles, which often represent market makers' or institutional shorts that they may want to recover. This analysis is not taking into consideration any news or earnings info. This is based off what I see in the chart, and my knowledge as an Astrologer. Let’s dive into the details: Wyckoff Analysis Preliminary Supply (PSY): The initial area where selling pressure began to emerge, halting the previous uptrend. This suggests that larger players started to distribute their holdings. Selling Climax (SCLX): Following the PSY, this phase marked a sharp decline as selling pressure intensified, leading to a temporary bottom where selling reached its peak. Automatic Reaction (AR): After the selling climax, the price experienced a brief rally, marking the upper boundary of the distribution range as buyers temporarily gained control. Secondary Test (ST): The price returned to test the levels near the SCLX, confirming the distribution phase as supply continued to outweigh demand. Upthrust After Distribution (UTAD): This final push upwards likely trapped late buyers before supply completely overwhelmed demand, causing the price to start moving downward again. This is often a strong indicator that the distribution phase is nearing its end. Current Situation NVDA is currently near the top of the distribution range, where the UTAD has formed. The consistent rejection at the Supply Line reinforces the likelihood of further downside. It seems that buy volume has been gradually decreasing, while price has been rising, signaling a divergence. Additionally, the presence of unrecovered lime green vector candles below indicates potential targets where market makers or institutions might look to recover their shorts, typically areas of interest for price action to revisit. Key Level to Watch Before considering the more distant price targets, the first and most critical level to focus on is the 50% retracement of this up move ($111). If NVDA reaches this level and breaks below it with strong momentum, it would confirm a bearish scenario and suggest further downside. However, if the price bounces off this level, it could indicate a potential recovery and move higher, challenging the bearish outlook. Future Path The speculative path drawn on the chart suggests the following: NVDA may break below the current range and head towards the Demand Line or the support levels below. The price could go find the Preliminary Support levels around $75-$65 before any significant movement occurs. Price may range between these levels and $90 for some time. The lower levels of support, particularly around $65-$75, are crucial as they represent areas where significant buying might re-emerge. Mercury Retrograde Influence It’s worth noting that we are currently in a period of Mercury retrograde, which began on August 5th and ends on August 28th. While this might seem unorthodox, my research has shown that certain stocks, including NVIDIA, have a tendency to experience trend reversals following the conclusion of Mercury retrograde periods. As the retrograde ends on August 28th, I expect to see a reversal in NVIDIA’s price action shortly thereafter, which aligns with the potential end of the redistribution phase.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by OnlyProfits888
3 Pro Tips for Managing Losing Trades,Risk, Emotions & StrategyManaging losing trades is an essential part of trading, whether you're involved in stocks, forex, or any other financial market, we have all heard traders say I haven't ever taken a loss before my strategy has 100% win rate blah blah ok really, even the best traders in the world take losses, as humans we naturally don't like to lose but in trading its a part of doing business. Here are three in-depth tips to help manage losing trades effectively: ### 1. ** Develop and Stick to a Risk Management Plan ** A risk management plan is your primary defence against significant losses. The key components include position sizing, setting stop-losses, and managing risk-reward ratios. - ** Position Sizing **: Always ensure that you're not risking too much of your capital on a single trade. A common rule is to risk no more than 1-2% of your trading capital on any given trade. This way, even if you hit a streak of losses, your account can recover. - ** Set Stop-Loss Orders **: A stop-loss is a predetermined point where you exit a trade to prevent further losses. This should be set based on your analysis and not emotions. Many traders use technical levels like support and resistance or a percentage-based rule (e.g., 2-5% below the entry price). However, it’s essential to place the stop at a level that aligns with market conditions, rather than placing it arbitrarily. - ** Risk-Reward Ratio **: Aim for a risk-reward ratio that makes sense in the long term (e.g., 1:2 or 1:3), meaning that for every dollar you risk, you aim to gain two or three. This ensures that even with a lower win rate, your winning trades can outweigh your losses. ### 2. ** Detach from Emotional Biases ** Emotions like fear, greed, and frustration can cloud judgment, leading to poor decision-making during losing trades. Psychological discipline is crucial to protect against these common pitfalls. - ** Avoid Chasing Losses **: After a losing trade, many traders try to "win back" what they lost quickly, often leading to overtrading or taking high-risk trades. This is called "revenge trading" and can exacerbate losses. Take a step back, assess the situation, and only enter new trades that meet your criteria. - ** Accept Losses as Part of the Process **: Losing trades are inevitable. Successful traders view losses as an expense or cost of doing business. They understand that even the best trading strategies have losing streaks. Accepting this reality helps you avoid emotionally driven decisions. - ** Maintain a Trading Journal **: Keeping track of both winning and losing trades can help you identify emotional patterns. Record why you took the trade, the results, and how you felt during the trade. This reflection can provide insight into emotional triggers and help you make more rational decisions in the future. ### 3. ** Adjust Your Strategy Based on Market Conditions ** Markets are dynamic and constantly changing. What works in one market environment may not work in another. Regularly review and adapt your trading strategy to current market conditions, particularly after losing trades. - ** Assess Trade Context **: After each losing trade, conduct a post-trade analysis. Did the trade fail due to poor market conditions, execution errors, or a flaw in your strategy? Recognising these patterns can help you tweak your approach and avoid repeating the same mistakes. - ** Diversify Your Strategy **: Relying too heavily on one trading approach or asset class can increase the likelihood of losses during unfavourable conditions. Consider diversifying your strategies (trend following, mean reversion, etc.) and the assets you trade. This spreads risk and can stabilise performance during market volatility. - ** Cut Losses Early When Conditions Change **: If the market conditions that supported your trade change significantly, don’t hesitate to exit the trade, even before hitting your stop-loss. For example, news events or shifts in sentiment can render your trade idea invalid. Being flexible and willing to exit early when your initial reasoning no longer holds is essential. By applying a robust risk management plan, controlling emotional biases, and regularly adapting your strategy to current market conditions, you can navigate and limit the damage of losing trades.
NASDAQ:NVDAEducation
by Costy13
2
NVIDIA's Four-Hour Dip: A Macro Correction or Bigger Shift UPGood afternoon or evening, traders! What a rollercoaster of a day! The market followed our expectations—correcting, then taking a dive. But wow, did anyone expect that explosive breakout at 9:30 am? That’s the thrill of the open! In this video, I'm staying neutral, but here’s what we need to watch: a breakout above 119-120 opens the door to 140 and beyond—a very real possibility. On the flip side, a dip below current levels could see us exploring the 90 range. Something to keep in mind! Thanks for watching, and apologies if I sound a bit tired—it’s been an intense day. Happy trading, and let’s keep riding those waves! MB Trader
NASDAQ:NVDA
by Mindbloome-Trading
3
NVDA: The main reversal points - D & W charts.Daily Chart: The price has retraced to the 50% Fibonacci retracement area around $115, showing a potential area of temporary support near the 21-day EMA. This is often viewed as a significant retracement level where price can consolidate before deciding its next move. Resistance is clearly visible around $120.79, which aligns with both the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and a recent high, making this a critical level to watch for any potential upward continuation. The 21-day EMA (blue line) is sloping downward, which signals that the price is still under some downward pressure. For any significant bullish momentum to continue, the price needs to break above the 61.8% Fibonacci level ($120.79). If the price fails to hold the 50% level and drops lower, the next key support is around the 38.2% Fibonacci level at $112, followed by the recent low near $100. Weekly Chart: On the weekly chart, the price is trading within an ascending channel, and the price action remains within this bullish structure. A notable pattern, "Above the Stomach," has formed, which is generally considered a bullish reversal signal. This pattern indicates that buyers stepped in after a significant sell-off, pushing the price higher within the week. The long-term trend remains intact as the price is still above the 21-week EMA, which continues to slope upwards. As long as the price remains within the ascending channel, the overall bias will likely remain positive. However, the price may face resistance at $120.79, which aligns with both the daily resistance and the high of the above the stomachh candlestick pattern. Conclusion: The key level to watch on the upside is $120.79, which, if broken, could lead to further bullish momentum. On the downside, holding the 50% retracement level ($115) is critical. If the price fails to hold here, further retracement toward $112 or even $100 could be expected. The long-term structure still supports a bullish outlook, but confirmation of strength is needed for the next move higher. For more detailed technical analyses and insights like this, be sure to follow my account. Your support helps me continue providing valuable content to help you make informed trading decisions. Remember, real trading is reactive, not predictive, so let's stay focused on the key points described above and only trade when there is confirmation. “To anticipate the market is to gamble. To be patient and react only when the market gives the signal is to speculate.” — Jesse Lauriston Livermore All the best, Nathan.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by Nathan_The_Finance_Hydra
NVDA MICRO ANALYSIS TO LOOK FOR ON WHERE WE ARE GOING Good evening traders, It's super late here; however, I wanted to inform you of some levels with this video to give you the information needed to make a better trade. Based on what I see, we can do the following: -Correct up to the middle pitchfork area and head back down. -Correct up to the 50%, 61.8%, or 78.2% fib line and back down. -Break all those levels up and keep going to 145. Let me know what you think of the video: questions, comments, what you liked, didn't like—let me know in the comments below. Happy hunting, MB Trader
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by Mindbloome-Trading
NVDA continues to show more selling aheadNVDA has clearly finished its brief rally failing to reach long term resistance level. A new downtrend has commenced first broke under its upward trend and failed to regain new downward trend formed, attempted to break above but failed and sold off volume has increased as the sell off continues solidifying the downward trend RSI validate the sell off by also steadily trending down as the price moves lower We should expect NVDA to continue with its sell off
NASDAQ:NVDAShort
by ratchet-mint