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Comcast Web CastA web of potential zones of influence and 3 curves that might act as support and/or resistance. Looking for consolidations at the elements, breaks, and perhaps one important inflection point at one of them. The main scenario follows the path of the rectangles, but hopefully they are designed well enough so that if the path of the stock price deviates into anything else, we might see a pivot or other developments (: bounce) at the most important of them all which can be either of them depending on the evolutions.
NASDAQ:CMCSA
by nen
Streaming Wars | Who’s Winning, Losing, and Sharing Passwords ?Netflix Is Laughing, Cable Is Crying, and Amazon Is Sneaking Up Highlights for Today - Trends and Market Share - Disney: Streaming Profits on the Rise - Comcast: Cable Restructuring Underway - Warner Bros : Box Office Challenges - Paramount: Streaming Growth Amidst Challenges In the Battle for Loyalty, One Fact Stands Out: Netflix vs the Rest 1. Trends and Market Share Platforms like YouTube Premium, Amazon Prime, and Apple TV+ do not report quarterly numbers. Additionally, Disney+ Hotstar is excluded due to its planned merger with Reliance in 2025. Streaming continues to replace traditional linear TV, benefiting all players. Nielsen reports streaming comprised 41% of US TV time in September 2024, a 3.5-point increase year-over-year, primarily at Cable’s expense. Key Trends to Watch -Password-Sharing Crackdown: Following Netflix’s success, Disney introduced paid sharing in the US in late September, with effects expected to emerge in Q4. Max is also gearing up for this initiative. -Amazon Prime’s Growing Presence:CEO Andy Jassy revealed that Prime Video attracts over 200 million global viewers monthly. Combining exclusive content, live sports, and e-commerce integration, Amazon’s ecosystem presents a credible challenge to Netflix. -YouTube’s Dominance in Living Rooms: YouTube accounts for over 25% of US streaming TV time (excluding YouTube TV) and continues to grow. Alphabet disclosed that YouTube’s ads and subscriptions brought in $50 billion in revenue over the last 12 months, surpassing Netflix’s $38 billion. -Subscriber Trends: Tentpole events, like the Olympics for Peacock or hit series like House of the Dragon for Max, drove sign-ups. However, retention remains a challenge for all but Netflix. 2. Disney: Streaming Profits Rise Disney’s fiscal year ends in September, with Q3 FY24 covering the June quarter. -Streaming Profits:Disney’s direct2consumer (DTC) segment, which includes Disney+, Hulu, and ESPN+, posted its second consecutive profitable quarter, generating $321 million in operating income. Core Disney+ subscribers rose by 4.4 million, reaching 123 million, driven by ad-supported tiers. -Box Office Wins: Hits like Inside Out 2 and Deadpool & Wolverine powered $316 million in studio profits. Disney became the first studio to surpass $4 billion in global box office revenue in 2024. - Challenges in Parks: Parks and Experiences revenue dropped 6% to $1.7 billion, impacted by hurricanes, rising costs, and competition from the Paris Olympics. Domestic attendance held steady, while international parks struggled. - Linear TV Decline: Revenue fell 6%, with profits plunging 38% to $498 million as cord-cutting and reduced ad sales weighed heavily. Disney plans to integrate streaming and linear TV rather than divest assets. - Optimistic Outlook: Disney expects earnings growth in FY25 (high single digits) and double digits in FY26 and FY27. Blockbusters like Moana2 and Mufasa:The Lion King are anticipated to maintain momentum. Takeaway: Disney’s Q4 highlighted strides in its streaming turnaround, buoyed by box office wins. However, the decline in linear TV underscores the challenges of transitioning in a shifting media landscape. Strong content and a focus on profitability position Disney for success under Bob Iger’s leadership. 3.Comcast: Cable Restructuring -Olympics Drive Growth:The Paris Olympics boosted NBCUniversal’s revenue by 37%, generating $1.2 billion in advertising and adding 3 million Peacock subscribers, which now total 36 million. -Streaming Expansion: Peacock’s revenue rose 82% year-over-year to $1.5 billion, with losses narrowing to $436 million from $565 million last year. -Cable Struggles: Cord-cutting led to a loss of 365,000 cable TV subscribers, with video segment revenue down 6.2%. Comcast is exploring a spinoff of cable networks like Bravo and CNBC to prioritize growth areas. -Theme Parks Slow: Theme park revenue dipped 5% to $2.3 billion as domestic attendance normalized post-COVID. -Broadband Trends:Despite losing 87,000 broadband customers, revenue increased 3%, with higher average revenue per user. Takeaway:Comcast’s Q3 reflected both opportunities and challenges. While the Olympics showcased its media strength, declines in cable TV and theme parks persist. Streamlining through a cable spinoff could sharpen its focus, but sustaining growth in Peacock and broadband remains critical. 4.Warner Bruh : Box Office Challenges -Streaming Growth:Max gained 7.2 million subscribers, reaching 110.5 million globally, supported by international expansion and hits like *House of the Dragon*. Streaming revenue rose 9%, marking Warner’s first profit since 2022. -Box Office Struggles:Studio revenue declined 17%, with theatrical revenue falling 40% due to a weaker film slate (*Beetlejuice Beetlejuice* and *Twisters* compared to last year’s *Barbie*). Video game revenue dropped 31%. -Mixed Network Results:Network revenue grew 3% from the Olympics and *Shark Week*, but advertising revenue fell 13%. The $9.1 billion NBA impairment from Q2 continues to loom. -Debt and Cash Flow Issues:** Free cash flow dropped 69% to $632 million, with $41 billion in debt. Warner renewed its Charter Communications deal to bolster stability. -CEO’s Confidence:David Zaslav emphasized Max’s momentum, projecting $1 billion in streaming profits by 2025 and hinting at password-sharing monetization. Takeaway:Warner’s Q3 highlighted streaming success but underscored its dependence on Max as traditional film and TV segments falter. Balancing debt, declining cash flow, and expanding streaming profitability will be key to its stability. 5.Paramount: Streaming Growth -Streaming Success:Paramount+ gained 3.5 million subscribers, reaching 72 million, thanks to sports like the NFL and UEFA and shows like *Tulsa King*. The streaming unit achieved a $49 million operating income, its second consecutive profitable quarter. -TV and Film Challenges:TV revenue fell 6% due to lower ad sales and declining cable subscribers. The film division saw revenue plummet 34%, with theatrical revenue dropping 71%. -Merger Progress:Paramount’s merger with Skydance Media is on track for early 2025, following the exploration of 12 potential bidders. -Cost-Cutting:Paramount has completed 90% of its $500 million cost reduction initiative, resulting in layoffs and asset write-downs. -Strategic Shift:Paramount is seeking a streaming joint-venture partner to better compete with Netflix and Disney while managing cable TV’s decline. Takeaway: Paramount’s streaming gains are encouraging, but traditional TV and film struggles persist. The Skydance merger offers a potential transformation, though stabilizing legacy businesses remains a significant hurdle.
NASDAQ:CMCSAEducation
by moonypto
15
Comcast Corporation Analysis 10/15/24Disclosure: As of 10/15 I am long Comcast Corporation NYSE: NASDAQ:CMCSA Comcast is a media and telecom company. They have several business divisions including news, movies, and telecom services. Looking at their business they own several well known brands like MSNBC, Sky News, Xfinity, and Universal Studios. Fundamentals: Looking at the fundamentals of the business it is very stable with return on equity in the teens for multiple economic cycles. Alongside stable margins, paying back shareholders through buybacks and dividends and the responsible usage of debt it appears management is doing a good job running the business. This can be seen in the earnings and revenue growth over the years. Data going back to 2017 is remarkably stable in both revenue and earnings growth. Valuations: Looking at the valuations at a P/E of 10 and a dividend/buyback yield of 4% that gives me the minimum 15% return I am looking for in a long term hold. This does not account for future growth. Calculating for growth I would be happy to earn 18% annual on an investment at current prices. Of course this is just an estimate of the fair value for the company. But I would be still buying at any price below $50/share. Conclusion: As with most mature companies this investment should be thought of in a very long term compounding model for determining present value. Similar to in my NASDAQ:TROW analysis a holding period for mature companies should be as long as possible assuming the business is growing and doing well. This allows the earnings to compound and grow into perpetuity. If you found this article useful follow for my previous research and new research coming out regularly.
NASDAQ:CMCSALong
by sihen999
Comcast (CMCSA) Is a Strategic Buy for Discerning InvestorsIn today's rapidly evolving media and technology landscape, Comcast Corporation (NASDAQ: CMCSA) presents a compelling investment opportunity for those who prioritize both value and growth. Applying the sophisticated principles of DiamondTradingOfficial, Comcast emerges as an undervalued stock with substantial upside potential, driven by its diversified business model, strong financial health, and strategic positioning. Robust Business Model and Diversification Comcast’s strength lies in its diversified business model, which spans cable television, broadband internet, and content creation through NBCUniversal and Sky Group. This vertical integration allows Comcast to capitalize on multiple revenue streams, providing a cushion against market volatility. In an era where streaming services are on the rise, Comcast's strategic investments in broadband and content creation have positioned it as a key player in both connectivity and entertainment. The company’s broadband segment has shown consistent growth, driven by the increasing demand for high-speed internet. As more consumers shift towards streaming and remote work, Comcast’s broadband services are expected to continue expanding, further enhancing its revenue base. Meanwhile, NBCUniversal and Sky contribute to a rich portfolio of content, ensuring that Comcast remains competitive in the global media landscape. Undervaluation and Growth Potential Despite its strong market position, Comcast is currently trading at a significant discount relative to its intrinsic value. With a Price-to-Earnings (P/E) ratio well below the industry average, the stock is undervalued when considering its robust earnings and cash flow. This undervaluation is a key signal for value investors, who can capitalize on the disparity between the market price and the company’s true worth. A thorough discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis reveals that the market has not fully priced in Comcast’s future earnings potential. With a fair value upside of over 39%, as identified by industry analysts, the stock presents a substantial margin of safety, a principle at the core of value investing. This gap between market perception and intrinsic value makes Comcast an attractive buy for those seeking long-term capital appreciation. Technical Indicators and Institutional Sentiment From a technical standpoint, Comcast has shown resilience, with strong support levels indicating that the stock is poised for a rebound. Technical indicators such as the Relative Strength Index (RSI) suggest that the stock is currently oversold, providing an attractive entry point for investors. Additionally, institutional sentiment towards Comcast has been increasingly positive, with large funds recognizing the stock’s undervaluation and accumulating shares. Conclusion Comcast Corporation represents a unique opportunity for strategic investors who apply the principles of value investing and advanced market analysis. The company’s diversified business model, strong financials, and significant market undervaluation make it a standout pick in the current market environment. By incorporating the advanced methodologies of DiamondTradingOfficial, investors can confidently add CMCSA to their portfolios, knowing that they are buying into a company with both stability and growth potential. For those who adhere to value investing principles and seek undervalued gems in the market, Comcast is not just a good stock to buy—it is a strategic imperative in today’s media and technology sectors
NASDAQ:CMCSALong
by DiamondTradingOfficial
Risking a bottom reboundStrong bullish rebound at 36.29-37.64 support zone was relatively a strong signal for bottoming. Though larger trend from 15 Aug 2023 looks distributive, we are gunning for one more short-term upside towards 41.00, 43.08 and 46.00 tp prices. First, the piercing line rebounded after a bearish gap down the day before, signaling bearish exhaustion. Though prices has yet to clear the resistance at 39.03, the consolidative narrow range is likely to be a bullish continuation for the shorter-term period. Hence, I maintain my buy.
NASDAQ:CMCSA
by William-trading
1
Comcast's Stellar Q4 Performance: Peacock Takes Flight Comcast Corporation ( NASDAQ:CMCSA ) has delivered a standout performance in its fourth-quarter earnings, exceeding analyst expectations and showcasing robust growth in key segments. The company's net income of $3.26 billion or 81 cents per diluted share surpassed consensus estimates, driven by the stellar performance of its Peacock streaming services and a remarkable 12.2% increase in theme park revenue. We delve into the key factors that contributed to Comcast's success and explore the implications for investors. Peacock's Soaring Success: One of the standout stars in Comcast's ( NASDAQ:CMCSA ) Q4 report is its Peacock streaming platform, which reported quarterly revenue surpassing $1 billion for the first time. The platform added a substantial 3 million subscribers during the quarter, underlining its growing popularity among consumers. This achievement not only solidifies Peacock's position in the highly competitive streaming landscape but also bodes well for Comcast's ( NASDAQ:CMCSA ) digital future. The company's strategic focus on content creation and distribution is evidently paying off, as evidenced by Peacock's stellar performance. Theme Park Triumph: Comcast's ( NASDAQ:CMCSA ) theme parks experienced a remarkable surge in revenue, climbing 12.2% year-over-year. A significant contributor to this success was the opening of Super Nintendo World in Hollywood, drawing in crowds and boosting overall park attendance. The theme park business, often sensitive to economic fluctuations, showcased resilience in the face of challenges, proving to be a valuable revenue driver for Comcast ( NASDAQ:CMCSA ). Investors are likely to be pleased with the sustained growth in this segment, as it adds a layer of diversification to Comcast's ( NASDAQ:CMCSA ) revenue streams. Dividend Hike and Share Repurchase Program: Adding to the positive news, Comcast ( NASDAQ:CMCSA ) announced a dividend increase of $0.08, marking a 6.9% year-over-year growth to $1.24 per share on an annualized basis for 2024. This move reflects the company's confidence in its financial health and outlook. Shareholders are set to benefit from the increased dividend, potentially attracting income-oriented investors. Furthermore, Comcast's ( NASDAQ:CMCSA ) Board of Directors approved a new share repurchase program authorization of $15 billion, effective from January 26, 2024. This sizable authorization underscores the company's commitment to returning value to shareholders and its confidence in its future cash flow generation. Share buybacks can be seen as a positive signal, often indicating that the company's leadership believes its stock is undervalued. Conclusion: Comcast's ( NASDAQ:CMCSA ) robust Q4 performance, buoyed by the success of Peacock and theme parks, positions the company favorably in the media and entertainment landscape. The dividend hike and the substantial share repurchase program further underscore Comcast's commitment to shareholder value. As the company continues to navigate the evolving digital landscape and leverage its content creation capabilities, investors may find Comcast ( NASDAQ:CMCSA ) to be an attractive proposition for both growth and income in the coming quarters.
NASDAQ:CMCSALong
by DEXWireNews
EOY Review $CMCSA inside year, momo hammer quarterNASDAQ:CMCSA that momo hammer on the quarter looks promising, but these type of candles can easily reverse and when it does, it typically drops back quickly the inside year tells me to wait for further clues first before taking trades hence, no long or short (bias) for me on this one yet obviously, when that hammer high on the quarter gets taken out and price continues to move up, the overall picture improves, with the '23 and '22 highs as important pivots
NASDAQ:CMCSA
by RobinsOptions
COMCAST Pullback ain't over yet. See where to buy.Despite the impressive six day rally after its Earnings gap down, Comcast has been rejected on the LH trendline without managing to cross over the 1D MA50. With the 1D MACD on a Bullish Cross though and the 1D technical outlook slightly bearish (RSI = 44.968, MACD = -0.620, ADX = 24.974), we expect a 0.618 Fibonacci pullback in a similar manner as November 3rd 2022 and March 24th 2023. Our medium term target is R1 (TP = 47.35). See how well our prior idea has worked: ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
NASDAQ:CMCSA
by InvestingScope
COMCAST shares continues to outperform Netflix and DisneyThe positive performance of Comcast's shares coincided with a buoyant stock market, as the S&P 500 Index and the Dow Jones Industrial Average closed at 4,358.24 and 33,739.30 respectively on Tuesday. Despite trading volume for Comcast being reported at 15.4 million, below its 50-day average of 17.2 million, the company's stock outperformed several key competitors in the sector. Netflix Inc. (NASDAQ:NFLX), for instance, saw its shares drop by 3.27% to $373.32 on Tuesday. Meanwhile, Charter Communications Inc.'s (NASDAQ:CHTR) stock rose by 0.52% to $444.72, matching Comcast's positive trajectory. However, Comcast slightly surpassed Walt Disney Co.'s (NYSE:NYSE:DIS) performance, which saw a lesser increase of 0.34% to close at $84.99. The continued rise in Comcast's shares suggests that investors are responding positively to the company's recent performance and prospects, despite trading volumes being below average over the past week.
NASDAQ:CMCSALong
by DEXWireNews
COMCAST Hit our long-term target. Expecting a pull-back.It has been a worthwhile wait on our previous COMCAST (CMCSA) buy signal (see chart below) that we gave on April 28, but it finally hit the $44.00 target today: The trend is unchanged within the Channel Up pattern since the October 13 2022 bottom, but as the 1D RSI turned extremely overbought (above 70.00), it gives a sell signal since every overbought break-out delivered a pull-back towards the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) at least. The 1D MA50 is currently on the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level (from the ATH) and moving parallel to the bottom (Higher Lows trend-line) of the Channel Up. We project the pull-back to be within 43.50-42.50. After that, our buy target will be Resistance 1 at 48.50. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
NASDAQ:CMCSAShort
by TradingShot
1