NASDAQ_15MNasdaq Time 15 minutes analysis and signal Due to the failure of the upward trend line and keeping the important support number of 22000 today, we are an indicator buyer towards the target of 22180 and 22250.
US100 trade ideas
Price Retest Scenarios and Key Levels for Trend ConfirmationTechnical Analysis
The price has surged to a new historic high. It is now expected to retest 21900. A confirmed 4-hour candle close below 21900 will indicate a bearish move toward 21770.
On the other hand, if the price stabilizes above 22120 with a confirmed 1-hour candle close, it will support a bullish trend toward 22230.
Key Levels:
Pivot Point: 22120
Resistance Levels: 22230, 22400, 22510
Support Levels: 21900, 21770, 21620
Trend Outlook:
- Bearish Momentum with stability below 22120
- Bullish Momentum by stability above 22120
USNAS100 / Bullish Momentum...Technical Analysis
The price still trades at the bullish area, it seems to continue in the bullish area toward 22020 especially if it closes 1h candle above 21900.
So as long as trades above 21770 and 21900, it will be bullish to get 22020 and 22200.
Otherwise, it should break 21770 to be a bearish trend till 21630.
Key Levels:
Pivot Point: 21900
Resistance Levels: 22020, 22200, 22450
Support Levels: 21770, 21620, 21520
Trend Outlook:
- Consolidation between 21770 and 21900
- Bearish Momentum with stability below 21530
- Bullish Momentum by stability above 21900
NASDAQ begins possible 15% correction from topNQ has completed a rising wedge complete with the last-gasp over-through. A weekly sweeping reversal is not in place pending Friday's close. This correction might (MIGHT) be uglier than most bulls want to see. Time will tell.
NAS100 hello friends
Due to the severe fall and structural change that has been formed.
Now we are waiting for the pullback after it has been hit.
It can continue to fall until the specified areas.
Capital management should be followed.
Be successful and profitable.
US 100 Index – Fed to Bring Christmas Cheer or Fear?The US 100 has been on a roll over the last 2 weeks adding around 800 points or about 3.5% since its opening level of 20,950 on Monday December 2nd.
This week however, the US 100’s December rally faces a tough test on Wednesday in the form of the Federal Reserve Interest Rate Decision (1900 GMT) and the Press Conference led by Chairman Jerome Powell (1930 GMT).
Ahead of these events, it’s not so much the actual interest rate decision that stock index traders are nervous about, as the Fed are widely expected to cut rates another 25bps (0.25%) at this meeting.
Their concerns are focused on whether recent resilient US economic data, sticky inflation readings and Trump taking office are enough for Fed policymakers to feel the need to slow the pace of rate cuts as markets move into 2025.
Constituents of the US 100 index, often known as growth stocks, can be more sensitive to US interest rate changes, so this latest Fed meeting may have important implications for the US 100 index.
This could well determine if the Tech sector is to see Christmas cheer in the shape of a ‘Santa rally’, or if the Fed Grinch is set to install fear and uncertainty into traders during the final 2 weeks of 2024.
Technical Backdrop:
Of course, it has already been a strong advance since the August 5th spike low, but what are the levels we can monitor into and over the announcement?
Resistance Points to Watch
While it has been a positive pattern of higher highs and higher lows in price for the US 100 index, resistance has been found at the trendline connecting highs since August 1st, which continued to limit last week’s attempts at strength. This line starts the new week at 21833, and the daily closing defence of this level will be watched closely.
Successful closing breaks above this level, while not a guarantee of future price strength, may see a further phase of upside moves, once again pushing into uncharted territory of new all-time highs.
Fibonacci extension measurements of the November 11th to November 19th correction, offers a possible first resistance level after the trendline, marked by the 38.2% extension at 22151. This may prove to be a stumbling block to any future advance, but if breached price activity could possibly test 23010, the higher 61.8% level.
Support Levels
If corrective themes emerge either into, or after the Fed announcement, a first support level to focus on could be 21286, which is equal to the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of November 19th to December 13th strength. While this type of level has in the past limited price weakness, it may not again, but traders could be looking for this area to limit declines once more.
If this first retracement support is unsuccessful in holding any weakness in price, the uptrend connecting the lows since August 5th downside extremes, currently stands at 21111. In the past this level has been able to hold and reverse selling pressure, so daily closes below this level, may be a sign of further price weakness materialising.
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Bearish drop?NAS100 has reacted off the resistance level which is a pullback resistance and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 21,414.83
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Stop loss: 21,813.15
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Take profit: 20,774.05
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level that lines up with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
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us100 LONGus100 LONG
💎Please don't be greedy
ENTRY : yellow point
TP : blue lines
SL :
below red line for LONG position
above red line for SHORT position
⛔️INSTRUCTIONS 1:
Please respect the yellow entry point, otherwise you risk entering too early before my strategy or too far, thus reducing gains and aggravating losses in the event of a stop loss
⛔️INSTRUCTIONS 2:
For risk and money management:
5% of your wallet for LEV X ≤20
And
3% of your wallet for LEV X ≥ 20
US100 4HNasdaq analysis ( link here ):
Although we were only 100 points away from my target zone and it was a successful analysis, even this slight deviation is not acceptable in my evaluation—the exact predicted level must be reached.
The price reached 22,129, but it has yet to hit the zone starting at 22,230. Therefore, I cautiously maintain a bullish outlook and am closely watching the price reaction at the key levels of 21,000 support and 21,620 resistance for further insights into the Nasdaq's movement.
Nas fundamental idea, sell now 22033, target 21700Tomorrow we will have FOMC. So today US session can be pretty volatile, because of "repositioning". Be careful with opening new positions and especially with sizing. Personally Im expecting a pause in December and cut 0.25-0.50 in January. Contrary to market expecting 0.25 tomorrow. The reasons are two. Sticky inflation + Donald. Inflation is higher than in forecasts(also NFP, GDP are higher) and these alltogether giving FED "free hand" to get inflation under control by a pause. Second reason, Donald will push FED(however independent) to cut, cut, cut. So this is the last chance not to cut, because Joe really does not care nowadays. Donald wants american cars, products, tits not EU, CAD or Chinese. It means duty. Also wants lower taxes = higher consuption. All these steps are super inflatory. Sounds good for voters, bad for economy. These are the reasons Im expecting a pause. You can think about them but surely do your own plan to trade FOMC. This is mine.
How much higher could the Nasdaq 100 climb?The trend remains bullish above 21,920, and as the market approached the 20,000 mark this morning, buyers stepped in. The trend will remain upwards above 21,920, and the biggest concern now is that many traders are sitting on significant profits, and with the tax year nearing its end, they may need to close positions to cover taxes.
What’s your take? Will 21,920 hold and lead to a new all-time high before year-end, or is this the peak?
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NAS 100 USDNAS100USD Based on Technical Analysis
The NAS100USD chart shows a rejection from the resistance zone at 21,850, followed by a sharp sell-off,
signaling a potential continuation of the downtrend. Price has broken below a key support level (now resistance at 21,460),
indicating bearish momentum.
A short entry is viable below 21,350, with TP1 at 20,800 and TP2 at 20,315, as indicated on the chart.
Fundamental factors such as rising interest rate concerns or economic slowdown fears may further support this bearish scenario.
Ensure to place a stop loss above the recent resistance level to manage risk effectively.
Note: This analysis is for educational purposes and not trading advice. Consider market conditions and strategies.
Please do not forget the like button, Share it with your friends,thanks, and Trade safe.
NAS100 UPDATE - Severe Divergence20SMA - Blue
200SMA - Pink
Key Confluence Areas - Grey Lines
Market Structure Support/Resistance - Green/Red Dashed Lines
Dear Friends: (Away from charts)
It will be prudent to give your mind, body and soul a good rest, to recharge for the new upcoming exciting year!
How I see it:
Keep in mind NASDAQ is seriously diverted on all Time Frames!
"BAKED IN" Rate Cut Bets = Institutions Maximizing Profits
Strong bullish price action with no selling resistance
Bull Imbalances all the way!
How far can bulls drive it up, who knows?
All I know for a fact is that Nasdaq is in "SEVERE" overbought territory!
Keynote!
The 1HR TF gives me the best view of only the tip
of the iceberg of the scale of the 1st divergence level.
Please examine your RSI on all TF's, from 1Hour - 1Month closely
I deeply appreciate you taking the time to study my analysis and point of view.
NASDAQ Bearish Momentum Persists as Price Drops 2.7% in 24 HoursTechnical Analysis
The price has dropped more than 2.7% in the last 24 hours.
The bearish trend, as highlighted in the previous analysis, remains intact. The price is likely to stabilize within the bearish trend, targeting 20,670 and 20,550, as long as it trades below 20,990.
However, a bullish correction toward 20,860 or 20,990 is possible, particularly if the price stabilizes above 20,860.
Key Levels:
Pivot Point: 20860
Resistance Levels: 20990, 21080, 21210
Support Levels: 20780, 20670, 20550
Trend Outlook:
- Bearish Momentum with stability below 20990
- Bullish Momentum by stability above 20990
Previous idea:
NASDAQ / Price at Critical Levels Amid Rate Decision SpeculationTechnical Analysis
The price completed its correction to 21,900 and then pushed back up to the all-time high (ATH). Now, a drop toward 21,900 is possible, with a break below this level signaling a bearish zone. This movement will depend on Jerome Powell's speech and whether there is an indication of a rate decrease in the next meeting. A rate decrease would likely have a bullish impact on the indices.
Conversely, if the price stabilizes above 22,120 with a confirmed 1-hour candle close, it would support a bullish trend toward 22,290 and 22,410.
Key Levels:
Pivot Point: 22120
Resistance Levels: 22230, 22400, 22510
Support Levels: 21900, 21770, 21620
Trend Outlook:
- Bearish Momentum: Stability below 22,120
- Bullish Momentum: Stability above 22,120
NASDAQ been looking for sells all this time, nice entry i have a order block then a doji then price cam back to ssame area to take out liq then one last time to retest a order block
NAS100 NAS100 price is still in a strong uptrend, but we expect that in the short term, there is a chance that the price will correct in the 22195-22247 zone. If the price cannot break through the 22247 level, the price may decline. Consider selling in the red zone.
*Very Risky Trade
🔥Trading futures, forex, CFDs and stocks carries a risk of loss.
Please consider carefully whether such trading is suitable for you.
>>GooD Luck 😊
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TP REACHED ON NASDAQMinutes ago I posted to sell on NASDAQ and the market reached our TP, a small quick trade to start the day with.
Follow for more!
SELL NASDAQ UNTIL 11K AND WAIT FOR MORE BLOOD !!!Nasdaq going on a Down trend !!
Sell now and be Patient
PATIENCE IS THE KEY
TP on 11K and wait !!!
The key is whether it can be supported in the support zone
Hello, traders.
If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Please click "Boost" as well.
Have a nice day today.
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(NAS100USD 1D chart)
Support zone
1st: Left Fibonacci ratio 2.24 (21039.7) ~ 21348.0
2nd: 19582.6
However, when the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart is touched, whether it is supported or not is important.
The next volatility period is expected to be around December 26th.
If it is maintained above the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart, it is expected to eventually rise to the left Fibonacci ratio 2.618 (23557.7) ~ right Fibonacci ratio 1.27 (23962.1) and re-determine the trend.
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
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NAS100...Ever The Bullish Instrument Part 9A video version of this commentary is included in the youtube link in my tradingiew profile.
A new week of guaranteed trades awaits as we see NAS100 continuing on its historically bullish run.
Let me be the first to remind everyone that when I say the market is historically bullish, it does not mean that sells do not exist...All that means is that instead of selling, I am waiting for the market to complete it's largest HL and then I buy back to another ATH (HH).
What is my reason for this?
If the market is historically bullish, then it has to be trending HLs to HH's..so the largest HL will be terminated on a HH...Guaranteed!
So for this week, it is more of the same taking my largest HL's and buying to my HH's and then taking profit before waiting for a temporary sell to another HL where I do it all again.
As I have always said...
Any sells on the NAS100 are only temporary retracements to set up a larger HL...
They key is to be patient and wait for the HL to be completed before taking a buy...otherwise you will suffer significant drawdown before the price goes back in trend.
That is all I will be doing for this week...very boring but effective strategy...lol
Have a great week.
#oneauberstrategy
#auberstrategy
#aubersystem
#whywewait
#zigzagtheory
#patience
#masteryourcraft
NASDAQ 100 - kiss and say good byeAfter years of solid growth, the signs for distribution beetween bulls and bears has arrived.
Shares are changing the hand, from investors to speculants. And I suppose extreme speculatants. There are some players on market which are preparing an extreme short selling.
Technical side, there a enough signs to say good bye and change the river side, from long to short.
11 th of dec: open to short NDX @ 21715.87
Dan, 11th dec 2024
NASDAQ Before FOMC - New Chance For Bears?The NASDAQ has staged an impressive rally in recent weeks. We had pointed out bearish divergences in the volume, which the market ignored with a brilliant upward movement - this was not unexpected, as we remember from the aforementioned analysis. Nevertheless, these bearish divergences are still present and are now also clearly visible in the long-term cumulative volume delta chart.
With tomorrow's FED meeting and signs of weakness, the chances of a short-term correction to one of the various open gaps are not bad.
