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US100 trade ideas

Critical NASDAQ Breakdown: Major Reversal or Fakeout Ahead?Current Market Structure Overview Key Swing Highs & Lows: The price has formed a weak high around the 21,245.7 level, which indicates potential liquidity above this zone. The recent low at 20,309.1 is protected, suggesting that the market may seek support in this area if downward momentum prevails. Consolidation Phase: The price is currently in a balanced range, with accumulation near the 20,700 region and resistance around 21,138.9. Volume Profile Insights: High-volume nodes (POC - Point of Control) around 21,138.9 and 20,700 provide significant areas for price reaction. A break above or below these areas will guide future direction. Bullish Case 📈 Initial Targets: If price moves above 21,138.9, the weak high at 21,245.7 becomes a primary target for a liquidity grab. Beyond this, any sustained push could result in a bullish breakout toward 21,428.5. Support Levels: Key support lies at 20,700, which aligns with prior accumulation and a possible re-test zone. Failure to break below this zone will likely keep bulls in control for further upward movement. Buy-Side Scenarios: Look for a pullback into 20,700 with strong rejection or bullish momentum signals. A reversal here may trigger buying opportunities targeting 21,138.9 and beyond. Bearish Case 📉 Break of Support: A breakdown below 20,700 could trigger further downside into 20,309.1, where key liquidity resides. Target Zones: If 20,309.1 fails, the next immediate area of interest is the 50% retracement level at 19,772.5. The ultimate bearish target for the week is near 19,500, aligning with broader liquidity and demand zones. Sell-Side Scenarios: A rejection from the resistance zone at 21,138.9 or a failure to sustain above 21,245.7 could offer short-selling opportunities targeting 20,700 and below. Key Management Points Risk Control: Trade with tight stop-loss placements, especially when entering near high-probability zones like 20,700 or 21,138.9. Limit risk to 1-2% per trade. Position Scaling: Scale into trades gradually, especially when price consolidates around significant levels (e.g., 20,700). Avoid over-leveraging in choppy or unclear zones. Patience is Key: Allow the price to react to key levels like 21,138.9 and 20,700. Wait for confirmation candles (rejections, breakouts, or significant volume) before committing to any trades.
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100Short
by spaceangel
10
US100 Is Bullish! Long! Please, check our technical outlook for US100. Time Frame: 1D Current Trend: Bullish Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bullish The market is testing a major horizontal structure 20,793.1. Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 21,500.9 level soon. P.S The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce. Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
CAPITALCOM:US100Long
by SignalProvider
1
Liquidity Engineering and Buying Opportunities on NAS100USDGreetings Traders! Current Outlook📊: Despite the bullish trend on NAS100USD, the market has been consolidating throughout the day. We need to analyze the price action carefully to make an informed decision moving forward. Key Observations👀: Consolidation Range: Price is holding above the 50% Fibonacci level and near the extreme high of 20,842.4. Liquidity Engineering: The market is consolidating in a premium price zone, suggesting that liquidity is being engineered. Retail patterns like trendlines and support/resistance may mislead traders into expecting price to respect these levels. In reality, this is often a manipulation tactic by smart money to trigger stops and gather liquidity. Trading Plan🎯: Focus: Rather than selling at resistance, look for buying opportunities targeting liquidity pools above the current consolidation zone. Target: Liquidity areas where smart money is likely to enter, above the identified resistance. Feel free to share your analysis, discuss insights, or ask questions below in the comments. Let’s learn and grow together! Best Regards, The_Architect
OANDA:NAS100USDLong
by The_Archi-tect
Nasdaq: Gains Driven by Data, Eyes on Key Events Next Week Nasdaq: Gains Driven by Data, Eyes on Key Events Next Week The Nasdaq ended the week on a positive note, buoyed by strong economic data, robust corporate earnings, and supportive seasonality. However, investors are shifting their focus to critical upcoming events: the FOMC meeting on Tuesday and the PCE inflation report on Wednesday. These events have the potential to set the tone for the markets for the remainder of the year. Mixed Economic Data The past week brought a blend of economic data, with some encouraging signals and a few disappointments: - Initial Jobless Claims (Nov. 16): At 213K, the result came in better than the 220K consensus, underscoring the resilience of the labor market and reducing recession fears. - Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index (Nov.): Disappointed at -5.5 against expectations of 8, reflecting continued weakness in the manufacturing sector. - Michigan Consumer Sentiment Final (Nov.): Came in at 71.8, below the 73.7 forecast, indicating a slight dip in consumer confidence. - S&P Global Services PMI Flash (Nov.): Surprised to the upside with a reading of 57.0, exceeding the expected 55.2, highlighting the strength of the services sector. Nvidia Shines Bright Corporate earnings added to the bullish sentiment, led by Nvidia's impressive Q3 results. The company reported revenue of 35.08 billion dollars, significantly above the consensus estimate of 33.17 billion dollars. As a leader in AI-related technology and semiconductors, Nvidia's results lifted the broader tech sector and contributed to Nasdaq's gains. Market Sentiment and Seasonality The Fear & Greed Index currently stands at 61, in the "Greed" zone, indicating a risk-on environment as investors show confidence in equities. Seasonality also plays a crucial role. Historically, Nasdaq benefits from end-of-year trends, especially in an election year, when policymakers often aim to maintain market stability. Challenges Ahead While the current momentum is positive, the market faces significant tests next week with two major events: 1. FOMC Meeting (Tuesday): The Federal Reserve’s policy decisions and commentary will be in the spotlight. Investors will look for signals on whether the Fed plans to pause or keep the door open for further rate hikes in 2024. 2. PCE Inflation Report (Wednesday): The core PCE inflation data, the Fed's preferred measure of price pressures, could shape expectations for monetary policy. A higher-than-expected reading might increase concerns about further tightening, while a lower figure would reinforce the soft landing narrative. Lingering Risks In addition to the upcoming macroeconomic events, investors remain wary of: - Trade Policy: Former President Donald Trump’s proposed tariffs on imported goods could stoke inflation and weigh on economic growth. - Geopolitics: The ongoing risk of escalation in the Ukraine conflict continues to loom over global markets. Soft Landing: The Baseline Scenario Looking at the current data, the Nasdaq appears to be on the path to a soft landing, supported by a strong labor market and robust technology sector performance. Favorable seasonality—both year-end trends and election-year dynamics—further bolsters the case for continued gains, which remains the baseline scenario for now. Conclusion The Nasdaq has shown strength, but next week’s FOMC meeting and PCE inflation report could reshape market dynamics. The key question is whether the data will support the soft landing narrative or signal a need for further monetary tightening. What are your thoughts on the Nasdaq’s outlook given the upcoming Fed meeting and inflation data? Will the index sustain its rally, or are we in for increased volatility? Share your insights in the comments.
CAPITALCOM:US100Long
by InvestMate
NAS100 afternoon updateBearish case for NAS100. From ATH of 21247.5, proposed impulse wave down (red ellipse) and corrective wave up (green ellipse). Price action in the context of proposed ending diagonal wave ((5)) (wedge) and failure of price to tag median line (red line) of pitchfork. Bottom of wedge has held as support for price in proposed wave (2) (red ellipse). If count is correct, first sign would be impulsive price action (wave (3)) to break below wedge and head towards target of 18297.4. If this is the market top, price will likely go much lower, back towards October 2022 lows.
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100Short
by discobiscuit
1
Unlocking the Myth of Price Action: A Strategic PerspectiveThe Market’s Telltale Signs: History shows that when markets experience sharp moves—either a dramatic drop or an explosive rally—pullbacks often follow. These pullbacks are driven by strong follow-through candles that signal renewed interest and participation from market players. Such formations act as the market’s way of hinting at a potential reversal or retracement. The Current Scenario: Right now, the price action is falling short of these historical signals. The market has yet to produce the kind of decisive, bullish candle that would suggest a meaningful reversal. The recent candles lack strength, structure, and conviction, leaving the prevailing trend intact. Why It Matters: In trading, patience is a superpower. Jumping into the market without confirmation from strong signals can be costly. At this point, staying on the bearish side is the smarter move. Let the market speak—wait for that bold, unmistakable bullish candle to confirm the tide is turning before considering a shift in strategy. On the Flip Side: However, if the bulls do take charge, we could witness a substantial upside movement. A strong, decisive bullish move would signal a shift in momentum, potentially leading to a significant rally. This could present an excellent opportunity for those ready to ride the bullish wave when it materializes. The Bottom Line: Stay aligned with the bearish trend for now, but remain vigilant. A strong bullish candle could unlock a major upside, so keep an eye on the market for any signs of a shift. The key is to let the price action confirm the next move before committing to a new direction!
FX:NAS100
by shazfit
NAS100USD / UNDER DOWNWARD PRESSURE / 4HNAS100USD / 4H TIME FRAME HELLO TRADERS Current Price Action: The price is currently close to the ATH at 21,250,As long as it remains below this level, it is expected to decline further. Expected Decline: If the price does not break above the ATH, it may drop towards a “Fair Value Gap” (FVG) between 20,482 and 20,324, which may represent a target or support zone. Upward Scenario: If the price breaks above the ATH, specifically by closing a 4-hour (4H) candle above 21,250, it could indicate a bullish momentum, potentially leading to a new ATH around 21,381. Overall Sentiment: The overall outlook is bearish if the price remains below the ATH, suggesting that trading pressure is downward until there’s a clear breakout.
OANDA:NAS100USDShort
by ArinaKarayi
1
Potential bullish rise?USTEC has reacted off the pivot and could rise to the 1st resistance level which has been identified as a pullback resistance. Pivot: 20,578.80 1st Support: 20,330.46 1st Resistance: 21,019.83 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
ICMARKETS:USTECLong
by ICmarkets