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US100 trade ideas

USNAS100 - Bullish Momentum and Potential Reversal LevelsTechnically: The price experienced upward momentum on Friday and maintains its bullish trajectory, with stability observed above the critical level of 20,860. Bearish Scenario: A sustained break below 20,860 could trigger further declines, with potential targets at 20,730 and 20,600. Bullish Scenario: As long as the price remains above 20,860, the bullish outlook remains intact, paving the way toward 20,990. A breakout above this level may propel the price to an all-time high of 21,230. Notably, a retest of the 20,860 level from the current price is a plausible scenario. Key Levels: Pivot Point: 20860 Resistance Levels: 20990, 21080, 21230 Support Levels: 20730, 20660, 20550
OANDA:NAS100USDLong
by SroshMayi
Nasdaq Modest Gains Amid Mixed Data and Rising OptimismNasdaq Modest Gains Amid Mixed Data and Rising Optimism The market’s performance reflects ongoing digestion of mixed US economic data, supportive seasonality, and cautious optimism among investors. US Economic Data Highlights Recent economic data provided a mixed picture of the US economy, driving market fluctuations: - **Chicago Fed National Activity Index (Oct):** Fell to -0.40, below the expected -0.2. - **Dallas Fed Manufacturing Index (Nov):** Came in at -2.7, worse than the forecast of -2.4. - **New Home Sales (Oct):** Declined to 0.61M, significantly missing expectations of 0.73M. - **Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index (Nov):** Plunged to -14, below the forecast of -10. - **Durable Goods Orders (Oct):** Increased by just 0.2%, underperforming the 0.5% forecast. - **Initial Jobless Claims (Nov 23):** Reported at 213K, slightly better than expected (216K), but still pointing to a resilient labor market. - **Chicago PMI (Nov):** Dropped to 40.2, well below the anticipated 44, highlighting weakness in manufacturing. Market Sentiment and Seasonality Seasonality continues to work in favor of the Nasdaq, as historical trends during this time of year often support equities. The **Fear & Greed Index**, currently at **66 points**, indicates moderate optimism and a "Greed" sentiment, encouraging risk-on behavior among investors. Rate Cut Expectations Markets remain focused on the Federal Reserve’s upcoming meeting on **December 18th**, with a **62,2%% probability** currently priced in for a **25 basis-point rate cut**. Such a move could provide additional support for equities by easing financial conditions, though its long-term impact remains uncertain. Geopolitical Risks Despite today’s recovery, geopolitical risks linger in the background. The ongoing war in Ukraine remains a significant concern, with potential implications for global energy prices, supply chains, and economic stability. Long-Term Trend Intact, but Volatility May Persist The Nasdaq’s long-term upward trend remains intact, supported by strong fundamentals, favorable seasonality, and investor optimism. However, the current environment of mixed economic data and rising policy uncertainty suggests that short-term volatility may persist. Broader Context Recent data highlights a steady but moderating US economy, while forward-looking risks remain: - **Global Economic Outlook:** The S&P Global forecast projects global GDP growth of approximately 3% by 2025, with US growth slowing to below 2% next year and China toward 4%. - **US Policy Risks:** Potential policy changes under the new administration could elevate inflation pressures and tighten financial conditions, introducing further uncertainty for equity markets. Implications for Nasdaq Supportive seasonality and the potential for a December rate cut may provide short-term stability. However, investors should remain cautious as geopolitical risks and economic uncertainties could lead to continued market volatility. What’s your outlook for the Nasdaq after today’s recovery? Can the index build on these gains, or will headwinds from economic data and global risks limit its upside? Share your thoughts in the comments!
CAPITALCOM:US100Long
by InvestMate
Tradingdaq | NAS100 Market Daily Technical AnalysisStock exchanges were closed last Thursday, reopening for a half-day on Friday, all in a celebratory spirit following Thanksgiving. The stock indexes wrapped up the week and month on a strong positive note, buoyed by the optimism surrounding Trump’s presidency. The Nasdaq surged 0.8% in the shortened session, sealing the week and month with a 1.1% gain, and it achieved an impressive 6.2% growth for the entire month of November. This marks the index's best month since May. With three out of the last four months ending on a high note, the Nasdaq has soared 28% since the start of the year. If the price increases and a bullish candle closes above 20870, my target will be 21040.
CAPITALCOM:US100Long
by iamtradingdon
Strengthening Your NASDAQ Strategy: Key Insights for Next WeekRecent Performance: The NASDAQ index has recently displayed underperformance against major indices like the S&P 500 and Dow Jones, with choppy price action and high volatility reflecting investor uncertainty. Despite other indices reaching new heights, the NASDAQ's struggle amid a generally bullish market suggests potential caution ahead. - Key Insights: Investors should be mindful of the NASDAQ's current struggles as disappointing tech earnings have dampened sentiment, indicating possible risks for new entrants. Close attention to key support and resistance levels will be crucial for making informed trading decisions. - Expert Analysis: Experts regard the NASDAQ as being at a critical turning point, with the underperformance largely attributed to the tech sector's challenges. While the overall market maintains an optimistic outlook, the NASDAQ remains vulnerable to volatility. A careful approach is recommended given the mixed signals emerging from its performance in relation to other key indices. - Sentiment Analysis: Current sentiment: 0; Last week: -40.0; Change: 40.0; Total mentions: 203. This significant sentiment shift highlights increasing optimism among market participants but continued caution is essential given recent volatility. - Price Targets: Next week targets: T1: 21,200, T2: 21,500. Stop levels: S1: 20,000, S2: 19,700. These targets align with current market sentiment and volatility, providing realistic expectations for short-term price movements. - News Impact: The planned stock listing of Palantir on the NASDAQ is expected to bolster visibility and attract institutional investment, providing a positive catalyst for the index. Continued optimism in the tech and fintech sectors hinges on upcoming earnings and broader economic indicators, which will significantly impact market direction. Keeping abreast of these developments is crucial for making informed trading decisions in the NASDAQ landscape.
NASDAQ:NDXLong
by CrowdWisdomTrading
NAS100 - Nasdaq will welcome Santa Rally?!The index is above the EMA200 and EMA50 in the 4H timeframe and is trading in its ascending channel. In case of a valid failure of the bottom of the ascending channel, you can look for positions to sell Nasdaq to the 20500 target. Nasdaq buying positions will be after breaking the resistance and maintaining the ascending channel. Following the extended Thanksgiving weekend, financial markets had an opportunity to process a wide array of data and developments. Donald Trump’s victory in the U.S. presidential election earlier this month boosted the markets, as investors anticipated that his promises to cut taxes and ease regulations would enhance corporate profitability. However, Trump’s proposals to impose tariffs on key trading partners were largely overlooked by stock market traders, although certain sectors, such as the automotive industry, experienced adverse effects. Susannah Streeter, Head of Money Markets at Hargreaves Lansdown, stated, “There is still considerable volatility, and I think this stems from the belief that the potentially damaging impact of Trump’s tariffs may not materialize.” For equity investors, 2024 has been unexpectedly favorable, with the S&P 500 on track for one of its best annual performances in history. Both the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 have risen by more than 20%, while Nvidia’s stock has tripled in value. The ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) last month dropped to its lowest level in a year and has indicated contraction for nearly two consecutive years. Despite the discouraging outlook it provides for the manufacturing sector, optimism remains regarding future economic activity, especially with the beginning of an easing cycle and the continued reduction in interest rates and borrowing costs. In contrast, the ISM Services Index for October reached 56.0, marking the strongest growth since the summer of 2022 Within this index, the employment component rose by nearly five points to 53.0. Steady consumer demand has been a key driver supporting the services sector. This week, the release of ISM Services PMI data will be closely monitored to determine whether persistent consumer demand and favorable labor market conditions can further stabilize and sustain growth in this sector. Additionally, the impacts of hurricanes Helen and Milton, along with widespread strikes, led to a modest increase of just 12,000 jobs in the Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) report for October. This report was cautiously interpreted as a clear sign of gradual cooling and weakening in the labor market. Beyond the NFP data, other indicators such as the unemployment rate, labor force participation rate, and average hourly earnings will also be critical. Together, these data points could guide the Federal Reserve’s decision on a potential interest rate cut in December. While the labor market remains relatively stable, evident signs of gradual declines in employment and wage growth are becoming increasingly apparent.
CAPITALCOM:US100
by Ali_PSND
US100: Another Push Higher or a Long-Overdue Pullback?US100: Another Push Higher or a Long-Overdue Pullback? The US100 has recently experienced a strong rally, igniting speculation among traders that a significant retracement is just around the corner. But is it really time for a pullback? Not necessarily. While market corrections are inevitable, the current momentum suggests that the uptrend is far from exhausted—at least until the market says otherwise. Here’s my take: Trend Dynamics The rally across major indices has been fueled by strong sentiment, robust tech sector performance, and resilient economic data. The all-time high now seems within reach, and the market might aim for that psychological level before considering a substantial pullback. Cautious Long Bias I’m keeping a long bias on the US100, as the upward trajectory still looks intact. However, I acknowledge that any signs of weakness or resistance at key levels could quickly shift the narrative. Flexibility is Key While I lean bullish, I remain open to short opportunities if the market shows clear signs of reversal. The key is to stay adaptable and let the price action guide the way. Fundamental Backdrop The bullish case is supported by resilient corporate earnings, cooling inflation, and optimism surrounding the tech-driven economy. However, potential headwinds, like interest rate concerns or geopolitical risks, could trigger sudden volatility. Trade Idea Watching for Longs: I currently don’t have a specific entry point in mind but am closely monitoring price action for buy opportunities. Open to Shorts: If the market begins to show signs of exhaustion at key resistance levels, I won’t hesitate to explore short setups. Flexibility is crucial in these conditions. Perspective, Not a Trade Recommendation This analysis provides a perspective on the US100’s current rally and potential setups—it is not a trade recommendation. Conduct your own analysis and always practice sound risk management.
CAPITALCOM:US100Long
by UpstreamTraders
NAS100...Ever The Bullish Instrument Part 7Be sure to check my tradingview profile for the latest analysis video for the upcoming week. Last week we saw the completion of the monthly candle, the weekly candle and all other candles below. This brings us to an interesting period of the trading year...the last sprint... I continue to note that the NAS100 is eternally bullish and is still maintaining structure on the largest timeframe...the Monthly. The market is clearly signaling its every move and all I have to do is to trade smartly and capitalize on it. Please note that I am currently not in a buy as I took profits on Friday and I am currently waiting for my next HL... The fact that I say the market is bullish, does not mean that you must just jump in a buy automatically...you must wait for your confirmed setups before trading... Please use your demo accounts if you are not confident in the strategy or your abilities as a trader. What does that mean for this week? 1. Continue to remain consistent and trade the trend 2. TP if the market continues to consolidate on the upper levels by exiting on my LH's 3. Continue to exercise patience as I work on perfecting my entries and exits. Since the market finished at a high point on some of the medium timeframes, I must wait for Low points to enter the market and as such the HL's created will be critical. This week will be loaded with opportunities for trades as long as I keep trading the trend. I hope it will be a successful one for you as well. Have a blessed and successful week. #oneauberstrategy #auberstrategy #aubersystem #whywewait #patience #zigzagtheory
OANDA:NAS100USDLong
by Auberstrategy
NAS100...Ever The Bullish Instrument Thanksgiving EditionSo this week is the thanksgiving holidays in United States and we have a lot to be grateful for. However the trades never stop... This week will be more of the same...Bullish momentum...HL's to HH's from the largest timeframes. Last week we saw a bit of consolidation in favor of the bulls and I expect that trend to continue... We will get some help this week from the FOMC minutes if the H23 has not signaled a type of High by Wednesday. As you know by now...I do not trade news as the news only creates volatility within market structure and so I only wait for my entry zones and points. With that being said...you can always get a detailed summary by clicking on the link in my profile to see this weeks video. Have a great week. #oneauberstrategy #aubersystem #auberstrategy #whywewait #patience #zigzagtheory
OANDA:NAS100USDLong
by Auberstrategy
Nasdaq Modest Gains Amid Mixed Data and Rising OptimismNasdaq Modest Gains Amid Mixed Data and Rising Optimism The market’s performance reflects ongoing digestion of mixed US economic data, supportive seasonality, and cautious optimism among investors. US Economic Data Highlights Recent economic data provided a mixed picture of the US economy, driving market fluctuations: - **Chicago Fed National Activity Index (Oct):** Fell to -0.40, below the expected -0.2. - **Dallas Fed Manufacturing Index (Nov):** Came in at -2.7, worse than the forecast of -2.4. - **New Home Sales (Oct):** Declined to 0.61M, significantly missing expectations of 0.73M. - **Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index (Nov):** Plunged to -14, below the forecast of -10. - **Durable Goods Orders (Oct):** Increased by just 0.2%, underperforming the 0.5% forecast. - **Initial Jobless Claims (Nov 23):** Reported at 213K, slightly better than expected (216K), but still pointing to a resilient labor market. - **Chicago PMI (Nov):** Dropped to 40.2, well below the anticipated 44, highlighting weakness in manufacturing. Market Sentiment and Seasonality Seasonality continues to work in favor of the Nasdaq, as historical trends during this time of year often support equities. The **Fear & Greed Index**, currently at **64 points**, indicates moderate optimism and a "Greed" sentiment, encouraging risk-on behavior among investors. Rate Cut Expectations Markets remain focused on the Federal Reserve’s upcoming meeting on **December 18th**, with a **66,3%% probability** currently priced in for a **25 basis-point rate cut**. Such a move could provide additional support for equities by easing financial conditions, though its long-term impact remains uncertain. Geopolitical Risks Despite today’s recovery, geopolitical risks linger in the background. The ongoing war in Ukraine remains a significant concern, with potential implications for global energy prices, supply chains, and economic stability. Long-Term Trend Intact, but Volatility May Persist The Nasdaq’s long-term upward trend remains intact, supported by strong fundamentals, favorable seasonality, and investor optimism. However, the current environment of mixed economic data and rising policy uncertainty suggests that short-term volatility may persist. Broader Context Recent data highlights a steady but moderating US economy, while forward-looking risks remain: - **Global Economic Outlook:** The S&P Global forecast projects global GDP growth of approximately 3% by 2025, with US growth slowing to below 2% next year and China toward 4%. - **US Policy Risks:** Potential policy changes under the new administration could elevate inflation pressures and tighten financial conditions, introducing further uncertainty for equity markets. Implications for Nasdaq Supportive seasonality and the potential for a December rate cut may provide short-term stability. However, investors should remain cautious as geopolitical risks and economic uncertainties could lead to continued market volatility. What’s your outlook for the Nasdaq after today’s recovery? Can the index build on these gains, or will headwinds from economic data and global risks limit its upside? Share your thoughts in the comments!*
CAPITALCOM:US100Long
by InvestMate
NAS100 I Potential pullback and more growth Welcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments! ** NAS100 Analysis - Listen to video! We recommend that you keep this pair on your watchlist and enter when the entry criteria of your strategy is met. Please support this idea with a LIKE and COMMENT if you find it useful and Click "Follow" on our profile if you'd like these trade ideas delivered straight to your email in the future. Thanks for your continued support!Welcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
BLACKBULL:NAS100Long
by BKTradingAcademy