TERR LUNA CLASSIC LOOKING BAD SHORT TERM! PAGODA EFFECT!LUNA looks like it has completed the head and shoulders pattern I spoke about in my last chart and has broken below the neckline of this massive pagoda. This is not good and it can bring Luna down hard to possible lower lows if the drop is extended. I am seeing a correction to at least the .00012 area on a measured move of the cup and handle on the lower degree of trend. The higher degree of trend head and shoulders where the Pagoda was completed and is now trading below would give a measured move of about .00003 which is a real ball buster and I hope it does not play out. The thing with the pagodas is that if the lower degree of trend head and shoulders that form within the pagoda all play out and complete, the chances of the larger degree of trend head and shoulders to play out is lowered. Still possible but lowered.
So here is something else I found. Bitcoin back in February/March of 2020 had this exact pattern almost and I saw the pagoda forming but thought that because the other smaller head and shoulders played out that we wouldn't see the huge drop. I was wrong and Bitcoin went from almost $9000 down to $3700, which was an even greater correction than the measured move. The measured move was only down to about $5000. The measured move is at least where its going, most times measured moves are extended when fear and uncertainty is high, which is exactly what we have now. So LUNA could possibly go to lower lows on this drop if the larger degree of trend head and shoulders plays out. The break has already happened below the neckline, and we are failing miserably trying to get back above it. It looks like its going for one more touch now and if it cant break the neckline resistance then I will be selling, and putting a buy order in around .00013 for the bounce and determine from there whether we are headed lower or if we are recovering. I also want to say that if we do drop significantly, we will probably have a super fast recovery, probably V shaped, kinda like Bitcoin did in 2020.
INVALIDATION: If Luna can rally and close about .00033 on at least a 1 hour preferably a 4 hour then I believe that the correction wont be as steep and a target of about .00014 could be the bottom of the current correction, before moving back up.
Also today there was an arrest warrant put out for Do Kwon, this is confirmed by multiple reputable news sources. This shouldn't be bearish for Luna classic but it causes fear and people sell. Most haven't seen this news yet also it just came out a little while ago from posting this chart, just saying. This is just my perspective and my opinion, this is not financial or trading advice. Thank you all for the support and hit that like and follow me for constant updates.
I will be posting a chart right after this one comparing Bitcoin's Pagoda AKA Rona Dump, in Feb/March 2020 to this one. The fractal is very similar almost exact. Im not getting shook out of LUNA, I am selling now and then re-buying at lower levels and doubling my holdings.
