Watch for the MVAs; price action likes to bounce off them. Feb-6: In hindsight, I was overzealous on the expected sell-off pressure to hit on Feb. 1; instead, it hit on Jan 31st. And it bounced off the 50-day MVA, but at a price target I was not expecting, but I also hadn't watched this one evolve.
Either way, it's not a bad theory to watch for the MVAs and the price action.