this price action looks weirdWell on the first you should see that the trendline was broken and we has a short sell off but than we did make a move back up and now we are staying there.
It is a very weird price action at the moment.
MSF trade ideas
Microsoft In Depth Technical Analysis .Microsoft Corporation (NASDAQ: MSFT) continues to exhibit robust performance, defying market fluctuations and positioning itself as a standout amidst the turbulent tech sector. The current analysis delves deep into MSFT’s technical indicators, price action, and recent market news to provide a comprehensive view for traders and investors looking for the next significant move.
Microsoft’s recent headlines have been dominated by its continued growth in cloud services and AI integration. The company’s strong quarterly earnings have bolstered investor confidence, with Azure and AI products driving revenue increases. Furthermore, recent strategic partnerships and expansion into AI-powered business solutions are expected to contribute significantly to its growth trajectory.
MSFT’s recent candlestick formations are showcasing potential bullish reversal patterns after a short-term consolidation phase around the $400-$425 range. Notably, the latest candles are forming a possible bullish engulfing pattern, indicating a strong buying interest that could drive the stock higher.
Key Levels:
Support: The primary support levels are observed at $411.96 (Ichimoku Base Line) and $410, which aligns with the Fibonacci retracement level of 0.618, providing a robust floor for the stock.
Resistance: Major resistance is encountered at $435.72 (R1) and $456.30 (R2), according to pivot point analysis. These levels are crucial as they represent potential breakout points for further bullish movement.
Short-term EMA (10 and 20): Indicating a near-term bullish trend as the stock maintains its position above these averages.
Long-term SMA (50 and 100): The stock’s position above the 50-day and 100-day SMAs reaffirms its long-term bullish outlook.
EMA Crossovers: With the 10-day EMA at 421.28 and the 20-day EMA at 419.94, there is a potential bullish crossover that could signal further upward momentum.
RSI: The Relative Strength Index (14) is at 55.85, suggesting a neutral to slightly bullish momentum. It indicates room for the stock to move higher before reaching overbought territory.
Stochastic RSI: Positioned at 40.04, the Stochastic RSI hints at a possible entry point for long positions, as it rebounds from oversold levels.
MACD: The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator is currently slightly above its signal line, pointing to a potential bullish crossover, which could fuel further buying pressure.
The Ichimoku Cloud analysis indicates that MSFT is trading above the cloud, which is a bullish sign. The future cloud (Kumo) also shows signs of widening, suggesting that the bullish trend is likely to persist.
Utilizing Fibonacci retracement from the recent low to high movement, key levels such as 0.618 at $406.18 act as significant support, reinforcing the potential for a continued uptrend.
The On-Balance Volume (OBV) is trending upwards, indicating that buying pressure is accumulating. This is further supported by the Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) at 0.85, suggesting strong institutional buying interest. The Average Directional Index (ADX) is at 16.62, which, while not strong, indicates that the trend is stable and could strengthen if the price action moves convincingly.
Long Position:
Entry: Consider entering long around the $420-$425 range as it represents a consolidation zone with the potential for a breakout.
Target: Aiming for a short-term target of $456.30 (R2) and potentially $482.47, which aligns with the 1-year price target forecast.
Stop Loss: Place a stop loss slightly below the Ichimoku Base Line at $410 to protect against downside risk.
Short Position:
Entry: If MSFT fails to break above the $435.72 resistance level and shows signs of reversal, consider shorting below $420.
Target: Aiming for a target down to $411.96 and potentially $400 if bearish momentum strengthens.
Stop Loss: Set a stop loss above $435 to safeguard against unexpected bullish breakouts.
With its strong financial performance and bullish technical indicators, Microsoft presents a compelling opportunity for a long position, particularly if it continues to hover around the $420-$425 range. However, vigilant monitoring of the resistance levels and overall market sentiment is crucial to navigate potential pullbacks effectively. The next few trading sessions will be pivotal in determining whether MSFT can sustain its upward trajectory or face a temporary setback.
Microsoft Unveils New AI-Powered PCs with Qualcomm ChipsIn a strategic move to enhance AI integration and battery efficiency in Windows PCs, Microsoft unveiled a new lineup featuring Qualcomm's advanced AI-optimized processors. This announcement underscores Microsoft's commitment to propelling AI capabilities within its Windows ecosystem while maintaining optimal power usage.
Key Points:
Microsoft's new Surface devices and those from leading manufacturers like Dell, HP, and Lenovo will be equipped with Qualcomm's Snapdragon X Elite and X Plus processors, enabling efficient on-device AI processing for improved performance and privacy.
The integration of Microsoft's Copilot+ AI assistant offers features like audio translation, message response suggestions, and interactive content exploration.
T
his initiative signifies Microsoft's broader strategy to embed AI functionalities akin to ChatGPT across its products, potentially shaping the future of personal computing.
T
Industry analysts anticipate a significant rise in Arm-based Windows PC adoption due to the growing demand for local AI processing and extended battery life.
While Qualcomm's chips generate market excitement, Intel remains a major player with its own AI solutions. Real-world performance data will be crucial in determining the competitive landscape.
Overall, Microsoft's introduction of AI-powered PCs marks a pivotal step towards an AI-driven future for personal computing. The success of these devices will hinge on real-world performance and consumer adoption.
MSFT Short IdeaMSFT is near ATH, but looks fairly bearish to me. Two ascending wedges in a row, I would expect this to break to the downside soon and head back to previous lows. If not, it could be a great long if it is able to make a new ATH and sustain value up there.
$MSFT broken out of a long term channel, but unimpressive so farI try not to trade my personal biases, but I think NASDAQ:MSFT is well positioned for the future. That being said $337 keeps calling my name. I don't know if we ever get a chance to buy them, but I love that level.
That being said if we ever see that level, it will likely have been caused a bigger macro event.
Flat here, but alerts are on.
consolidation faze for Microsoft 🔭MSFT recently broke bullish trend support and entered consolidation faze 👀 now its time to wait and react instead of pulling trigger too early ✅
break below 310.88 and downside to 287-246 is likely 🐻
break past 341.44 and push to resistance zone/new all time highs is likely 🚀
last chart from me today, boost and follow for more! see you soon 😊🤍
Microsoft ventures into space-based data centre with LEOcloudMicrosoft Corp. is embarking on an innovative project to test a miniaturised data centre aboard the International Space Station (ISS). This initiative is part of a collaboration with startup LEOcloud, Sierra Space, Microsoft IT, and Red Hat. The objective is to establish a functioning cloud service infrastructure in space, a goal that Microsoft is already advancing through its existing space-based communications and computing services.
LEOcloud aims to deploy the small data centre to the ISS by the end of 2025 to evaluate its performance in supporting cloud services directly from space. This concept holds immense promise for applications such as Earth remote sensing (ERS), where data can be processed directly on satellites, and would significantly reduce the volume of data transmitted back to Earth, thereby enhancing the speed and efficiency of data delivery to end-users.
Assessing potential trading opportunities, let’s review the technical analysis of Microsoft Corp. (NASDAQ: MSFT):
On the Daily (D1) timeframe, Microsoft’s stock established a resistance level at 430.80 USD and support at 414.25 USD. Currently, a correction in the uptrend is noticeable. If a downtrend develops, the potential downside target could be 340.00 USD.
Conversely, if the uptrend resumes and the stock price breaks through the resistance at 430.80 USD, a short-term buying opportunity might arise with a target of 448.00 USD. If the upward trend continues, the price could ascend to 470.00 USD for a medium-term investment outlook.
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Ideas and other content presented on this page should not be considered as guidance for trading or an investment advice. RoboMarkets bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading opinions described in these analytical reviews.
The material presented and the information contained herein is for information purposes only and in no way should be considered as the provision of investment advice for the purposes of Investment Firms Law L. 87(I)/2017 of the Republic of Cyprus or any other form of personal advice or recommendation, which relates to certain types of transactions with certain types of financial instruments.
Risk Warning: CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 69.88% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
MSFT Shares Surge on Record Yearly VolumesMSFT Shares Surge on Record Yearly Volumes
On Friday, 31 May, almost 48 million Microsoft shares were traded on the NASDAQ – the highest number since the start of 2024. Meanwhile, the MSFT price chart formed a “hammer” candle:
→ trading opened at $416.75 per MSFT share;
→ mid-session, the price dropped below $406;
→ however, by the end of trading, the price had recovered to $415.13.
Fundamentally, it is difficult to pinpoint a single piece of news that served as the bullish driver. According to Barron's, a significant incentive for investing in MSFT shares should be considered the prospect of high dividend payouts.
From the perspective of MSFT chart technical analysis, the price action can be interpreted as evidence of demand absorbing all selling pressure:
→ the share price is within an ascending channel;
→ having dropped to the $406 level, the price pierced the $406.40 support from 8 May – this likely triggered mass activation of buyers' stop-losses and led to a shift in the balance of buyers and sellers;
→ in the pre-market today, the MSFT price is around the median – thus, it can be assumed that the market will consolidate at the beginning of the week. If Friday's bullish momentum continues, the price may encounter resistance around the bearish gap at $424 per MSFT share.
A crucial driver for the price of MSFT and other market leaders in the near future will be the upcoming Fed meeting on interest rates, scheduled for Wednesday, 12 June.
According to TipRanks, the average forecasted price of MSFT shares in 12 months is $491.90 (+18.49% from current levels).
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Microsoft: Bat Pattern Retracement and MoreFundamentals:
Microsoft has had a good three-year growth record, but its group is weak, which can drag the stock. Sales have been accelerating recently and earnings meet my criteria. It has good sponsorship. Earnings stability is very healthy.
Earnings is out in seven days.
Technicals:
Bat Pattern Retracement
2023 diagonal trendline
Clear higher highs and higher lows
Backside of a downward tl potential test
76% fib level confluence with all above
Price is testing the cloud
extreme indicators
exDiv1
Comment: I would wait for a green day, but I am already in at the current price.
Trend Target is 460, 550 and 730 by December 2024 (8 months from now).
MSFT Momentum Swinglong trade breakout setup
leg up
pull back a bit and have tight channel of consolidation
long the breakout from consolidation
Resistane SupportThe price of MSFT stock that is anticipated to be a significant point, both in terms of upward and downward movement, can be analyzed further.
MSFT Bullish Continuation out of a Cup and Handle LONGMSFT on the daily chart shows the price action in the bull run out of the Covid lows then a
cup and handle pattern is printed and finally bullish continuation above the level of the cup.
Since the cup has a height of $145 and the level of the lip of the cup is $345, the pattern
forecasts bullish continuation for $ 145 above the cup's lip at $ 345 and so targeting $ 480.
I will continue to add to my MSFT position while watching for pivot lows on the 120-240 minute
charts. MSFT is a major player in the AI space and could even launch its own semi-conductor
division to compete with NVDA and the others. It has a healthy balance sheet and free flowing
cash from which to grow without dependence on interest rates coming down. The RSI indicator
shows consistent strength without signs of being overbought.
Ressistance And RSI"Microsoft (MSFT) stock: Predicting the current candlestick's price for profit-taking analysis can be done by analyzing the price signals it sends."
$MSFT - Upwards & Onwards. #MAG7: 2024 OUTLOOK NASDAQ:MSFT : Upwards and Onwards. #MAG7
Longer-term time frame perspective. As you can see from the technicals, we have a cup-and-handle ☕, which indicates bullish momentum may continue into next year!
Support: $350
Resistance: $380
With a break above the resistance zone close, I expect the next green zone targets to be hit over time. This case would not be valid if we went below support.
The MAG7 performance this year has been outstanding due to the AI boom. That is set to continue into next year, but remember, Microsoft isn't the only one with a ChatGPT investment... There are many competitions, such as with GOOG and Gemini.
Something to keep in mind is the legal aspect of AI and how that will affect companies going forward. It's a wonderful development, but the legal aspect is equally important
Key Tip: “The goal of a successful trader is to make the best trades. Money is secondary." 🧠
The majority of those who want to embark on trading as a side investment or even as a career lack the mindset and want to get rich quick. By investing or trading in that manner, you will lose your capital.
Have an amazing year ahead,
🍾 Trade Journal | Empowering Your Trading Journey 🍾
MSFT: Rising Wedge ( Short Term)/ Date: 26.05.24Key Points: NASDAQ:MSFT
1. A raising wedge pattern is used to identify possible trend reversals.
2. It is considered a bearish pattern.
3. It signals that the buying momentum is slowing down.
Support/ Resistance:
4. Around 430 - may act as a resistance.
5. Around 416 - may act as a support
Notice :
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I am a day & swing trader, freelancer technical analyst & equity analyst. Now, I am looking for a job .
Skills: Chart analysis, Trend identification, Price pattern recognition, important support and resistance levels identification,
Set up trade idea ( long /short),
Set up entry and target price.
Valuation, making analysis report etc...
Experience: 5 years.
The trend is your friend
A commentary using NASDAQ:MSFT chart
A multi-timeframe momentum indicator of MSFT is shown. As the arcs demonstrate, each time the + and - angles diverge, a strong trend ensues, and lasts until the angles begin to converge. This method highlights the value of segregating price action into its sub components.
This momentum oscillator is created by aggregating the harmonic mean of multiple timeframes ranging from 1 day to 3 weeks. Smoothing is then applied to ensure the indicator gives clear smooth signals whilst minimizing lag.
"Flat" signals are ignored. As a rule, angle must be at least +/- 35 degress in the direction of the trade for an entry to be considered. Volume and cycle analysis (not shown) acts as secondary filters .
Based on experimentation and given the nuances of pinescript, overlaying the results on a 2 day chart gives the best visual representation.
What do you think about MSFTHello everyone
The biggest monster in the Nasdaq is tiered or it was just a correction and then it continues to its rally.
No one knows but it not important because Elliotticians can surf on the waves and we give enough time to MSFT to disclose this secret for us.
We Elliotticians have a key factor and it is the difference between Impulses and Correction. What is readily clear for now is that Microsoft investors are not yet interested to make a bearish impulse trend and this can be a clue that we are not in the end of a Bullish trend but as I said no one can know till the chart shows us the reality.
I recommend not to enter any position and just take time and count it to find it that we are in a bearish main correction or it will continue.
Thanks
$MSFT earnings? Could we see another drop to $370?NASDAQ:META had a negative reaction to earnings yesterday. I was originally thinking that MSFT's earning reaction would be positive but as I look at the chart and options flows, I'm starting to think we're going to see a negative reaction.
I think most likely outcome is that we drop from here to around the $370 level, if that level can hold there's potential for one more rally into May to the $454 level. Otherwise if it can't, we risk seeing more downside to the lower levels.
Let's see what happens after the market closes.
MSFT unstopableMSFT is still on tred, could break that white trend line for a healthy pull back.
Now wave 3 could have ended, but maybe could extend to fib extension 200%-261.8%. If not, then wave 5 will be an extension. if this is the case we have to wait the end of wave 4 to estimate the final target. However, I am keeping a target of 480.
MSFT, morning updateMy count has MSFT in wave 5 of (3) of ((5)). I'm looking for price to move towards, but not go above, 510.47. Once wave 5 is complete (which could be at any point now that MSFT has higher high on the monthly), I expect price to pull back towards 380 region for wave (4) of ((5)).
Microsoft unveils AI-powered Copilot+ PCs with Qualcomm chipsOn 20 May, Microsoft Corp. (MSFT) hosted a private product presentation , a precursor to the official Microsoft Build 2024 developer conference. The highlight of this event was the unveiling of the Copilot+ PCs, a new category of personal computers. These PCs are distinguished by their embedded neural processing units (NPUs), designed to enable artificial generative intelligence operations directly on the devices without an internet connection.
The performance specifications for the new Surface Laptop and Surface Pro, powered by Qualcomm chips, are particularly notable. Microsoft reports that the Surface Laptop is 23% more productive than the M3-based Apple MacBook Air under peak loads in multi-threaded tasks. Additionally, the Qualcomm chips render the Surface Laptop 58% faster in AI-driven tasks than its Apple counterpart.
Exploring investment opportunities, let's analyse the technical chart of Microsoft Corp. (NASDAQ: MSFT):
On the Daily (D1) timeframe, Microsoft's stock has recently broken through a resistance level at 424.00 USD, with new support forming at 418.00 USD. Following a recent corrective dip, the stock has entered an uptrend, suggesting room for further price increases. A downside target could be around 410.00 USD if there is a trend reversal.
A short-term buying target could be 448.00 USD if the uptrend persists. A medium-term investment price target could be 470.00 USD as the positive momentum continues.
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Ideas and other content presented on this page should not be considered as guidance for trading or an investment advice. RoboMarkets bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading opinions described in these analytical reviews.
The material presented and the information contained herein is for information purposes only and in no way should be considered as the provision of investment advice for the purposes of Investment Firms Law L. 87(I)/2017 of the Republic of Cyprus or any other form of personal advice or recommendation, which relates to certain types of transactions with certain types of financial instruments.
Risk Warning: CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 69.88% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
What Does FOMO Mean in Trading?What Does FOMO Mean in Trading?
FOMO, or the fear of missing out, is a common emotion that traders experience. It is more than just an internet slang term. This powerful phenomenon can have a negative impact on trading decisions, leading to impulsive actions and poor risk management. This FXOpen article explores the psychology of FOMO, discusses how to identify it in trading, and shares strategies you may use to overcome it.
FOMO: What Does It Mean?
FOMO meaning in trading can be explained as follows: it is the psychological need for validation and the fear of being left behind. It can stem from various feelings and emotions, including greed, jealousy, and impatience.
The Social Proof
When traders see others making quick profits or getting on the next big trend, they often feel compelled to jump in as well. From newsworthy events to something as simple as a conversation with another trader, there are many things that can kick off a bout of FOMO.
This phenomenon is closely tied to social proof, where people look to others for guidance, especially in uncertain situations. People tend to follow the actions of others to conform to social norms. Traders who give in to FOMO are essentially following the crowd without fully understanding the risks involved.
The Fear of Regret
The fear of regret is another force behind FOMO. Traders worry that if they miss out on a potentially profitable trade, they’ll regret it later. This fear can cloud their judgement and lead to hasty decisions. It can be amplified by social media and trading forums, where traders may see others boasting about their profits and feel pressure to keep up.
It’s important to remember that hindsight bias often magnifies the perception of missed opportunities, making the fear of regret an even more significant driving force behind impulsive trading actions.
Real-Life Examples
Emotions have influenced market behaviour in many real-life situations. FOMO in the stock market is very typical. For example, during the dot-com bubble of the late 1990s, investors rushed to buy stocks from the technology sector, driving up prices to unsustainable levels.
Similarly, during the GameStop short squeeze of 2021, retail traders on Reddit’s Wallstreetbets forum drove up the price of the stock. As a result of this situation, GameStop stock rose nearly 2,000% in less than a month. And then, it all came crashing down, leading to significant losses for some investors.
The cryptocurrency* market has witnessed countless FOMO-induced rallies when many invested in highly speculative assets without proper due diligence. A classic example is the sharp rise of Bitcoin in 2017. When the price soared, the fear of missing out on the benefits gripped many, leading to a buying frenzy, and shortly thereafter, prices plummeted.
Identifying FOMO in Trading
A FOMO trader’s experience looks like this:
A trader hears news of astounding profits or very attractive opportunities.
Greed and excitement encourage them to buy overpriced assets as much as possible.
When the prices fall, fear or even anxiety forces the trader to sell at a loss.
The trader becomes impatient, and the cycle repeats.
To avoid falling into this trap and losing money on ill-considered purchases and sales, it is essential to understand when FOMO appears in decision-making. This can be done by assessing the key features of behaviour associated with this emotion. Common signs include:
Making impulsive trades without proper analysis or risk management.
Following the crowd and making decisions based on what others are doing.
Feeling anxious or stressed about missing out on opportunities.
Overtrading or taking on too much risk in an attempt to catch up.
Self-awareness is key to recognising FOMO-driven actions. Traders take the time to reflect on their motivations before making any trading decisions. If you feel like you need to take a “now or never” action, have a break, write down the idea and emotion in a notebook, and try to use techniques to control your emotions. If, after that, the desire to buy or sell the asset remains and can be logically explained, do it.
Fear can appear in trading any asset; for example, there is FOMO in forex, in stock trading, FOMO in commodities, and more. It doesn’t apply to only one type of trading. To avoid it, you need to analyse the market thoroughly and plan your actions. This is where the TickTrader platform can help you. There, users can find the most advanced analysis tools and charts free of charge.
The Consequences of FOMO
Succumbing to FOMO can have significant negative consequences. Traders who act on FOMO may make decisions that are not based on sound analysis, leading to poor performance over time. Let’s consider the main consequences.
Traders who act on FOMO tend to make more trades than necessary, resulting in higher transaction costs and increased exposure to market risks.
FOMO often leads to neglecting risk management strategies. Traders may avoid setting stop-loss orders or ignore position sizing rules, which can amplify the impact of losses when they occur.
FOMO-driven decisions can lead to buying at inflated prices and selling at rock bottom, eroding capital and diminishing confidence.
How to Overcome FOMO
Now that you know FOMO meaning on the stock and forex market, let’s find out how to deal with it. To overcome FOMO, traders can:
Have a well-designed trading plan. Develop a clear and comprehensive trading plan that outlines your strategies, risk tolerance, and position sizing.
Avoid making impulsive trades based on social proof or fear of regret.
Practise self-awareness and reflect on emotions and motivations before making any trading decisions.
Use risk management techniques to limit losses. Set stop-loss orders and limit your position sizes to protect your capital.
It’s important to remember that FOMO affects traders of all levels and can be difficult to overcome. However, with practice and discipline, traders can learn to manage their emotions and make more rational decisions.
Final Thoughts
FOMO is a common emotion that traders experience, but it can have a negative impact on results. The consequences of FOMO emphasise the need for self-reflection. By using risk management techniques, traders can overcome FOMO and make more rational decisions. Remember, trading is a marathon, not a sprint, so you need time, discipline, and consistency.
With this knowledge, you can open an FXOpen account and start your journey. And if you want to learn more about the psychology of traders, study our blog. There, we’ve collected everything you need.
*At FXOpen UK and FXOpen AU, Cryptocurrency CFDs are only available for trading by those clients categorised as Professional clients under FCA Rules and Professional clients under ASIC Rules, respectively. They are not available for trading by Retail clients.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
