Oil long short termShort move on oil making HH AND HL structure still in tact looking to enter at the 61 fib up to the first fib extention short term trendline brocken but structure still in tact buy opportunity
CL-OIL trade ideas
USOIL: Strong Bullish Bias! Buy!
Welcome to our daily USOL prediction!
We made our analysis today using SMC and ICT trading theories, which, combined with our trading experience all point to the upside. So we are locally bullish biased and the target for the long trade is 70.221
Wish you good luck in trading to you all!
MY TV COMPETITION WTICOUSD LONG IDEA 01/11/2024Direction: Long
SL: 66.862
Indicators:
1. MA (20,50,100,200)
2. Trendline - Algo
3. Support and Resistance
4. Fib Level
5. I also use MT5 - Tradingcentral tools
Technical:
1. MA 20 Yellow is below the MA 100 and 200 (Purple and Red) but looking for it to reverse and go up and above the 50,100, and 200.
2. Green Trendline was broken recently.
3. Price bounced off from a support zone.
4. FIB level at 0.382.
5. Tradingcentral tool signaling Rise on Time frames 15m,1h,and 4h but it is bearish and signaling DECLINE on daily time frame at the moment.
Fundamental and economic:
1. Geopolitical tension is adding some volatility to OIL prices.
2. I use Edgefinder tool which shows me a score of -3 "bearish" on USOIL but I think this trade idea is for short term and more of a "I predict that this might go to xyz based on the technical and fundamental insights".
3. We are in Q4 and usually there is alot of volatility mostly bearish but I'm going against it since we have US elections coming up.
Oil spikes on escalation fearsCrude oil continues to push up off the lows hit on Tuesday when front-month WTI broke below $67 per barrel for the first time since the beginning of October. Since then, oil has managed to build some upside momentum, although it’s far too early to tell if there’s a definitive change in direction. Nevertheless, things are looking better for the bulls, in some respects. The daily MACD has begun to turn higher, although it still remains in negative territory. Yesterday evening, prices suddenly surged higher in a move which took front-month WTI from $69 to $70.50 in less than an hour. The jump came after Israeli intelligence reported that Iran was planning to attack Isreal from its bases within Iraq. This should keep markets off balance as the weekend approaches. Traders will be on alert over the weekend. And beyond, in the absence of an attack. But it also means that yesterday’s rally is likely to unwind completely should any attack prove ineffectual. Despite this, it is potentially another step up in the escalation of hostilities which is starting to normalise direct military contact between Israel and Iran, rather than with Iran’s proxies.
US Oil might need to partially close this MEGA GAPHi Everyone!
I think that this mega gap short needs to be at least partially filled before going shorter. We are currently in nice profit and I have set a breakeven.
OIL: Three days breakout long on the marketHi everyone and welcome to my channel, please don’t forget to support all my work subscribing and liking my post, and for any question leave me a comment, I will be more than happy to help you!
“Trade setups, not movements”
1. DAY OF THE WEEK (Failed Breakout, False Break, Range Expansion)
Monday DAY 1 Opening Range
Tuesday DAY 2 Initial Balance
Wednesday DAY 3 (reset DAY 1) Mid Point Week
Thursday DAY 2
Friday DAY 3 Closing Range ✅
2. SIGNAL DAY
First Red Day
First Green Day
3 Days Long Breakout ✅
3 Days Short Breakout
Inside Day
3. WEEKLY TEMPLATE
Pump&Dump
Dump&Pump ✅
Frontside ✅
Backside
4. THESIS:
Long: that's my primary thesis, let's analyse the current market condition.
- Monday opened with a huge gap breaking through the previous low of week, establishing as well the high low of the new week (opening range).
- Tuesday, it almost consolidated the full day, not really interesting in terms of trading activity.
- Wednesday, the market performed the first breakout of the week, breaking the HOW, triggering long traders in the market and closing out of balance (an interesting signal)
- Thursday closed again out of balance, long traders are potentially driving this move.
- Today, Friday, the market has good chances to go reaching and targeting the closing price of last Friday, why ? because traders shorting the beginning of the week are still in profit and stops are placed above that level. After PMI 10am, if the market will setup for a buy low opportunity around the current level (yesterday HOD or London low), I will be willing to take this trade.
Short: at the moment not really into this scenario, but however, the market could retest the current high of day, failing for a reversal, day 3 longs in the market it can reverse for major move, but I repeat, the current setup is potentially long!
Please note that the purpose of my analysis is to help me and you hunting the best trade setup for the day, none of my technical aspects are a way to forecast any directional market movement.
Gianni
Trade Oil Like THIS: Price Action Training Live.Price data on oil markets can be very 'readable'.
Preferred prices become very visible and lead to higher levels of probability and of course profitability.
WTIIf the analysis aligns with the market's actual direction, and the currency pair moves in the anticipated direction (up for a buy trade or down for a sell trade), the trade will likely yield a profit. The magnitude of the profit will depend on the size of the price movement, position size, and leverage used.
USOil - LongUSOil has given a breakout and reversed the trend, there is bullish divergence too adding confluence. Therefore, going long on USOil.
USOILUSOIL price is near the resistance zone 71.48-71.92. If the price cannot break through the 71.92 level, it is expected that in the short term, there is a chance that the price will drop. Consider selling in the red zone.
🔥Trading futures, forex, CFDs and stocks carries a risk of loss.
Please consider carefully whether such trading is suitable for you.
>>GooD Luck 😊
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XTIUSD / CRUDE OIL @ 70.33: Bigger Picture 01-Nov-2024XTIUSD / CRUDE OIL @ 70.33
Resistances: 77.91/83.91/94.21/126.21
Support: 63.89
As long as 77.89 holds resistances, we can see 68.55/63.89/55/44.50.
Reversal from any of these levels, we will see big up move and first target would be 126.
Further targest 155/210+
WTI CRUDE OIL Final Resistance test before $77.50WTI Crude Oil hit today the 7 day Falling Resistance. A break above it will be bullish as that has been the case on 2 similar patterns previously.
We are ahead of a Golden Cross (1h), which on the 2 previous patterns, has confirmed the uptrend.
Trading Plan:
1. Buy if the Falling Resistance breaks.
Targets:
1. 77.50 (Resistance 1).
Tips:
1. The RSI (1h) is printing a pattern similar to the September run.
Please like, follow and comment!!
Oil ShortRound 2 for an oil short Looking to short once oil has closed the gap it made on Sunday.
For now oil is in a short term downtrend, if this gap is closed and broken past to the upside then we can expect a more bullish oil in the near future.
For now looking at a trendline bounce trade idea.
Entry- on the 61.8% Fibo at 70.4
Sl- 65 pips
TP- Targeting the 38% of the current fibo structure at 69.15.
Confluences:
Trendline 3rd touch
Key Level
61.8% fibo
H6 50EMA (Not strong confluence but its present)
Trade safe and catch you later traders ▲
USOIL Will Move Lower! Short!
Here is our detailed technical review for USOIL.
Time Frame: 9h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is approaching a key horizontal level 69.00.
Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 65.47.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Hellena | Oil (4H): Short to support area at 67 (Wave "3").Dear colleagues, I believe that at the moment we have a great opportunity to find an entry into a short position that will bring us many pips.
The fact is that the wave “2” of the middle order is completed, which means that the wave “3” of the higher order continues the downward movement in the wave “3” of the middle order.
I expect the price to rise a bit more to the 78 level, then I expect the price to drop to the 67 level. It will not be a quick drop, but we will be able to go short several times.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
Crude Oil (WTI) may rise to 69.90 - 70.65Pivot
67.85
Our preference
Long positions above 67.85 with targets at 69.90 & 70.65 in extension.
Alternative scenario
Below 67.85 look for further downside with 67.25 & 66.70 as targets.
Comment
The RSI is bullish and calls for further upside.
Supports and resistances
71.35
70.65
69.90
68.94 Last
67.85
67.25
66.70
Number of asterisks represents the strength of support and resistance levels.
CRUDE OIL (WTI): Time to Fill the Gap?!WTI Oil experienced a significant drop at the opening due to tensions between Israel and Iran.
Historically, there is a high probability that such gaps will be filled. This presents a potential opportunity for long positions.
The price has now reached a crucial daily support level and is consolidating within a narrow range on the 4-hour chart.
I have identified a confirmed breakout of a resistance zone within this range, indicating a potential upward movement. It is possible that the oil price will increase and reach levels around 70.00 - 71.00.
Bearish reversal off 50% Fibonacci resistance?USO/USD is rising towards the resistance level which is a pullback resistance which aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 70.14
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level which aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 72.32
Why we like it:
There is a an overlap resistance level that is slightly below the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 68.39
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
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WTI Bullish Momentum: Key Level to WatchHello,
The likelihood of a bullish continuation for BLACKBULL:WTI has increased following the recent test of support. Now, it just needs to cross and hold above the 1M pivot point to confirm an upside trend!
TradeWithTheTrend3344
Bearish reversal?WTI oil (XTI/USD) is rising towards the pivot which acts as a pullback resistance and could reverse to the pullback support level.
Pivot: 709.24
1st Support: 68.44
1st Resistance: 72.88
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Oil ShortLooking to short Oil. After the large gap from weekend news regarding the strikes on Iran being more about retaliation than targeting the manufacturing supplies there is some downside potential for Oil. Currently trading below the gap, I am looking to trade Oil lower before buying it back up. Buy's right now do not make sense for the strategy.
Confluences for the short:
-38% fibo
-Key Level
-Trendline break and retest
Entry is now
Stop loss is set around 69.64, any higher and the idea is inactive as Oil should begin to push higher after breaking the nearest resistance.
Targeting the next support and resistance at the lows created in September.
*Remember this is not financial advice I post on here more to give an idea of trading and how I look at the market.
Never the less, trade safe and catch you later traders ▲
Oil is looking to Trend lower to $40 If OIl breaks doesn't hold from the descending triangle, we may be looking at OIl going to previous resistance, which should now be support at $40
