Interesting chart!Square has been forming a bull horn pattern, some call it bullish megaphone. Now is a very good entry point! Good luck trading!
I am not a financial advisor, and this post is informational only. Trade at your own risk.
SQ trade ideas
End of Wave 5 consolidation. Could it bounce off Fib 0.62?Wave 5 retraced to Fib 0.62 $201 key support level. Previous low at $191. Strong support zone $191-$201. 3rd time it touched this zone.
$191-$201 could be a sweet spot to enter for long. Watch for MACD crossover and some nice bullish pattern before entering.
Profit target $240.
$SQ with a neutral outlook following its earnings #Stocks The PEAD projected a neutral outlook for $SQ following a negative under reaction after its earnings release placing the stock in drift D
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SQ Options Play1x 4 week call options with 255 strike price
1x weekly put options with a 175 strike price (Hedge)
Using MACD and RSI for guidance. 1hr timeframe long term and 15 min timeframe short term. Good luck!
Charts don't look good on these high flyersAgain, great disruptive companies but the charts are looking weak and escalators up is resulting in elevators down for some of these names. Again, the support levels where real buying may come in are wayyyy down below...
PUTS again? Deciding if price moves lower or reverses upThis is another tech stock that saw endless and thoughtless buying, and now look at that nosedive on the daily. But after such a selloff, how do you know to buy puts for more selling?
After choppy action and big price moves, I like to check the hourly for clarity. Here you see price was testing the 20sma on hourly, and after a doji candle it moved lower. Moving averages are trending down, and a 3rd move lower would create a common 5-wave pattern. Also note that RSI came up to test the 50 and then turned lower again. This is important for me, as I rely on RSI heavily.
If you are trying to day trade and/or earn a weekly income (as I am) then you have to make your trading decisions to fit those goals. On the hourly chart, you can see 205.50-205 is a mini-support based on Friday's move. This would be a first target to take profits. Can you identify lower targets? I would use 200 and 193.
You have to take profits though, because you know a reversal can happen, and you can see on the daily chart that price has moved far from the 10/20 averages. So those lower profit targets may not be reached in this one day. In this example, you can see the 10:30 candle closed back below the 10ema. Use the hourly chart for the idea and then go to the 5 or 15 min chart for the trade entry.
Would you buy weekly puts today and hold overnight? If price holds 205, then I would not. Price could gap lower the next day, but it could also start a move back up. So you could take profits on your puts, and if price breaks 205 before close you could buy a very small position to hold overnight, or you decide you are going to keep this on watch for the next day. You will be satisfied with your decisions if they support your goals. I suggest you set weekly goals, tasks, study items, and then each day you make trading and time-use decisions to achieve success.
square wave theory analysisExpecting square to hold between 210-225 while market is correcting, cut loss right under 190. If market recovers soon we could be seeing 320+ in the future
Square, could be a great sell opportunity After a 775% gain in less than 1 year, GANN top swing + Down volume phenomenon = BUY PUTS
I prefer not to share the target price , since it may sound crazy at this moment!
$SQ idea - potential for a move to $300 or $130This is not investment advice, do your own research. I'm playing with 2 scenarios for NYSE:SQ in the coming weeks.
Scenario A) Bull - Since SQ reclaimed the rising channel, and is oversold, so I could see it making a final push higher to around $300 which is the top of the rising channel.
Scenario B) Bear - SQ pops up to relieve some oversold pressure, forming a right shoulder over a couple days, then ultimately breaking down, taking it to around $130-150. These are level of support, and is the measured move of a H&S.
ST pain, LT gainsThe last time I thought SQ was a buy was back at $150 in late October. From there, it almost doubled in 3 months ($283 or 87%), but now it is only up a meager 44% from that point just a few weeks ago.
PREAMBLE: I'm a huge believer in what SQ is doing LT
- Lending and banking (and actually competing with banks) yes!! Remember when the stock plummeted when they announced they'd do this back in 2018, and then COVID hit and they were the only ones able to provide PPP to SMBs. Talk about validation of your concept
- Bitcoin, yes
- Trading to compete with Robinhood, yes
--> SQ is truly fulfilling their goal of making finances accessible.
FUNDAMENTALS: That said, SQ stock has some key issues:
- It's a "high flyer" that grew 8.7x from its COVID low and 3.25x from its just-before-COVID high.
- High flyers are out of favor for 2021... they won so much in 2020 after all (I'm certainly not complaining)
- Volatility. Pick your favorite, reason, Jack Dorsey, Bitcoin, or trying to disrupt Wall Street...
- Market cap. Back in July 2020 I did some analysis:
July 2020: SQ =56; PYPL = 210; JPM = 295; BAC = 208; V = 414; MA = 300.
March 2021: SQ: 98; PYPL = 280; JPM = 460; BAC = 319; V = 460; MA = 358.
I won't even attempt to explain the differences between them all, but in short, SQ doubled and the others didn't.
- Ratios, Multiples, and Traditional Valuation: Following from the market cap evaluation, can you imagine what the traditional valuation methods say about SQ right now? Yeah, it's not good. PE ratio >600 was a screaming signal for me to sell (as was TSLA > 1,200, but that's for a different post)
TECHNICALS: I'm not believing in the support around $200:
- We've had a great support channel from the COVID low. We just broke it
- We had *some* weekly consolidation in September and October in the $140s and $150s ($151 being the most recent weekly low that I'm watching)
- Weekly MACD is screaming SELL
- Weekly RSI is reasonable now at 53, but with the monthly still at 74, I think we're due for further correction
- MAYBE there is some support ~$200, but since we broke down to $191 on Friday (3/5) for a while, I'm not so confident
- FIB, the 0.5 is at $157 (from COVID low to ATH)
CONCLUSION:
- I'm going to start buying back in in the $150s because I believe in the LT prospects for SQ to disrupt Wall Street.
- This represents a ~30% downside which should bring us to where weekly RSI and MACD signal buying for LT positions.
- This represents a market cap of ~70B, which would bring it in-line with the other diverse financials listed above (in terms of growth (ratio) since July 2020)
- As for price target... well, history shows us that getting back to $280 is the near-term value. Beyond that, well, I believe we'll go much higher, but I won't speculate on that yet since I don't think it'll happen until at leas 2022 if not later.
Long SQ SQ is amazing company and the number of users are growing fast, they are mature now in terms of their existence, they have a powerful cashapp application, they are yet to expand allover the globe.
Compare it to banks, V and MA, they are clearly a buy
about time to buygreat growth potential in the long run. Hence, great opportunity to hold it now while the price is still low
History Repeating For SQ, Anticipate BounceSQ shares have always built back up from crashes like this. It's a strong company with room to grow. You see in the past three times where SQ has faced a major pullback, and each time they had a major reversal to counter it. That, combined with the double support level they are on, and the RSI support they are hitting, makes me EXTREMELY bullish for the short and long term. Could easily see 12% gains this week, and may even retest ATH's this month. Good Luck!
SQ Bearish Rising WedgeA bearish rising wedge has formed on SQ. You can see from the chart that as our 2 trendlines have converged and narrowed, price momentum has simultaneously fallen off and a bearish MACD crossover has just occurred. I will be watching price action for a break of support.
$SQCHART
Long wick hammer like candle
in Fib golden pocket (50-55%)
Trendline shakeout
Falling wedge?
Hidden Bullish Stoch Divergence
Fib 61.8% strong support
FUNDAMENTALS
EPS Rating 95
Group RS C
SMR Rating A
Acc/Dis Rating A
Composite rating 97
Timeliness Rating B
Growth rate 80% ******
2021 EPS est ^45% 2022 EPS est ^54%
Last Qtr EPS +39% / Sales +141%
Mgmt owns 2%
Funds increasing significantly
6 High quality funds!!!
NOTE
Finance / Tech / Crypto play all in one
Long AF (Core Portfolio)
SQ - opportunity to accumulate!It is likely that this just just a steep correction (not a protracted bear market) hence we need to look beyond the fear for opportunities that do not come so often!
SQ crashed 30% in just a little over 2 weeks. There is a strong support zone at 190-198, little would we expect that it will crash more than 10% today to test this zone before staging a strong rebound.
This support zone is a confluence of horiztonal supports, a trendline support as well as the 62% fib retracement of the AB swing up.
While it is already forming a bullish pin bar today, there is a chance the stock could retest the low near 190 over the next few days. As long as we do not breach 190, I would sit tight..
That said, pls trade carefully! Cut loss if trade did not work out so that we survive with enough cash for the next opportunity
Disclaimer: This is just my own analysis and opinion for discussion and is not a trade advice. Kindly do your own due diligence and trade according to your own risk tolerance. Thank you. Feel free to give me your thoughts ! :)
Tips For Buying DipsFirst of all, dips happen all the time. There are always pullbacks in price and they happen for various reasons. Here’s a checklist I quickly wrote down for myself. The chart here shows Square, mostly because it has been on an epic run! Congrats to those who have enjoyed it. I was once a proud owner of this name, but sold after it seemed to get a little "frothy." Feel free to share your thoughts in the comments after reading my tips for buying dips:
1. Always know why you’re buying now and not waiting patiently. Why is this the dip to buy and not another one? Take the time to do all the research you need.
2. You should do enough research to explain why now is the time to buy to anyone. And it should be understandable. Sometimes writing it down helps. Being able to explain it in a simple format is equally important.
3. Have a plan. Know where you will exit if it comes to that. Because that does happen. The old saying plan the trade before you make the trade. It's way too tempting to just rush in and buy without any regard for the necessary plan.
4. Sometimes a dip can turn into a correction or crash. Reminding yourself of this can slow down any impulsive actions. That's really the key here. Avoid impulsive buying. I have done this many times in my career and it has rarely ever worked well.
5. Find technical indicator that works well for you. Learn to love it. Study it. Understand why and what it does. It can be a handy tool to confirm your process or look for the conditions you want. On this chart I am having some fun with the open source script Moving Regression Prediction Bands . I like scripts like this because it's using statistical method to show price anomalies.
6. I also like using the Price Range tool to measure the percentage change in the dip. And compare it over time. I've listed three corrections on this chart. The key is to get a sense of where price has come from. Others might use fundamentals and wait for certain ratios to align, for example an attractive PE ratio or something like it. It’s up to you, but having a trusty tool can be of help.
7. Timing the markets is really hard. You can also view dips as a time to lower your cost basis in your favorite positions or as a potential way to swing trade. But once again, that's probably something you want to define *before* diving in.
8. The saying “Never risk money you can’t afford to lose” is especially true in dips and volatility. Additionally, if you are looking to buy a dip, there's no reason to buy all at once. Take your time. Wait... Wait...
9. Look at your account history and study your previous trades in similar times. Learn what's worked and what has not.
10. There are no easy answers to markets, but using the right tools and following some basic risk management principles can be of help. That's the key point to this post.
Hope you found it interesting. They are a few rules I have in mind. Please feel to share your own in the comments. Or even better, publish your own idea. I will try to do this again as well. There are some other topics I look forward to adding to this post.
