MSF trade ideas
MSFT Trade IdeaHigh likelyhood of a institutional rotation happening on the chart at the moment.
I drew some lines above and under the current rotation, that is my recommended entries. Be careful of fakeouts though!
MSFT projection 2024Microsoft MSFT, projection for 2024, must retest a channel to break the 400.
Possible retest between March and April 2024
MSFTMSFT currently is in upwards projectory unless it breaks below $350. A break above $386 would open the doors to sub $500 - $550.
Just my view.
🚀 Microsoft Analysis: Anticipated Upward Trajector 📈In my analysis of Microsoft, the recent attainment of a new All-Time High at $385 signifies the culmination of either Wave A or Wave (iii). Currently navigating a subordinate ABC correction, a Zigzag correction, we're on the verge of completing Wave (iv) within the 38.2% to 61.8% Fibonacci levels. Anticipating an overarching Wave 5, I foresee a significant rise to approximately $450. This sets the stage with a promising Chances-to-Risk ratio of 4.3. My conviction remains strong in the imminent downturn, followed by a subsequent upward trajectory, potentially shadowed by another sell-off. These projections extend into the future, likely until mid-2024. 🚀
When all support is lost...MSFTNASDAQ:MSFT Has bounced here one, three many times. Straddle would be a good strat here IMO. 360P 370C 2 weeks out. Pick your poison lol. Keep it simple. Support Resistance.
MSFT: Testing Multi-Year Bearish DivergenceNASDAQ:MSFT is currently testing a multi-year bearish divergence that has built-up on the RSI.
If price continues to decline from here, a failure to break above the RSI resistance will be confirmed. NASDAQ:MSFT is unlikely to make any meaningful momentum upwards until this resistance is broken.
We see similar divergences on other major tickers:
NASDAQ:AAPL :
NASDAQ:AMZN :
Could this be a warning sign for the broader markets as they near ATHs?
MSFT: Double-Top, or Bull Flag Breakout?NASDAQ:MSFT is showing a mixture of bullish and bearish signals; however, the most concerning of which is an active rug pull event which kicked off on March 16, 2023 at $265.20 via the 2D timeframe:
This coincides with a large RSI divergence event occurring on the larger timeframes; highlighting the potential for a double-top:
That being said, there appears to also be a major bull flag forming on the larger timeframes:
If we dive a bit deeper into the smaller timeframes and analyze the bull flag, we see another active rug pull at $345. This signals a high likelihood NASDAQ:MSFT will hit $345 in the near future:
With a high degree of both bullish and bearish signals, it can be hard to discern where NASDAQ:MSFT might be headed next.
We are keeping a very close eye on the AVWAP derived from the March 16 event as a guiding factor. Should the price significantly break below this level, we expect further drawdown to $265 will occur.
Why Microsoft?Reasons why I am buying Microsoft:
Fundamentals :
Three quarters of growth in earnings and sales y/y. Three year earnings per share growth is 22%. The outlook and forward guidance for 2024 and 2025 are positive.
Technicals :
wicked daddy pbs
TK cross flip Flop
1st pullback of new trend
Morning Star+Engulfing candle
38% Fib
large cup w/ handle pattern
uV1 volume
May add a little bit more October 25th, 2023 (tomorrow).
Calling the $MSFT top here. See you sub $200The popular narrative is that NASDAQ:MSFT is going to benefit from AI and if there's a downturn, the stock will hold up.
I have a different view. I think we've topped here and will only see lower prices going forward.
Over the next year, I anticipate NASDAQ:MSFT 's price dropping sub $200 to the support levels on the chart.
Only thing that would change my bias is a push above the resistance line and flipping it as support.
Let's see how it plays out.
MSFT Bullish at 4H TimeframeMSFT printing Double Bottom at 4H Timeframe
Candlesticks also printing Bullish Intersection
Risk Factor: Clear Divergence could not be identified / marked
MSFT headed previous swing highs?NASDAQ:MSFT pullback and consolidation seems to be over and breaking out to the upside. Targeting towards the previous swing highs around $385 area and possibly to a new all-time high after that? IF prices manage to breakthrough the previous swing highs. I'd say possibility is high.
These are my views and analysis and is only used for educational purposes. I am not a financial advisor.
Nothing in the information posted here is intended to be or should be interpreted as trading advice.
Possible scenario of FIB 50%.Here's one of many possible scenarios that could unfold. If the price creates a correction of a size similar to the current one, as marked by the blue rectangle, it will simultaneously be a FIB 50% retracement, a touch of the trend line, and perhaps even a dynamic support of the moving average cloud. Then, in turn, the opportunity to enter a LONG position will be quite nice.
Short on MSFTMSFT has created a double bottom be has yet to retest the neckline. MSFT is hard to tell with the hype of AI as well as making all time highs. Looking for advice from what others see
Microsoft Is About To Correct; Time To TrimMicrosoft is in a really weak technical position right now. After breaking out of it's previous flagging pattern, the stock's ADX has since topped out, and we're seeing the beginnings of a bear trend for shares in the stock.
While the stock has come in somewhat and is no longer as overbought as it was last Wednesday, we still think there's downside room:
It's true that the company continues to grow revenue and profit, but the company has stopped buying back shares in the open market, and the stock is trading at a relatively expensive valuation, now above 12x sales:
The company has room to the downside, especially when combined with a broader technical environment which looks to be a little too strong. We're not blind to the possibility of a further Santa rally, but it doesn't seem like MSFT has as much gas left in the tank as some of the laggards of 2023 which are still waiting to catch a bid, like NYSE:UNH and NYSE:HD
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Top 10 of S&P500Daily monitoring of the top 10 stocks of S&P 500 to find an undervalued stock entry point
$MSFT Buy Target 326NASDAQ:MSFT Buy Target 326
LOL… I meant to post this one last week when I was doing targets and so far so good… 😌
Buy Level = 326 - that is where 5year volatility takes it to… let’s go…
Shorting Opportunity for MSFT Based on Historical resistance Traders should consider watching MSFT for a trend reversal opportunity should historical resistance levels hold. Currently, trend reversal opportunity is indicated by Kalman filter crossover as MSFT hits a historical resistance level. Should resistance hold, we can expect MSFT to drop down to between 325 and 350 price targets.
MSFT trade ideas up to ATH or down to 375.50Check opening print and wait for a trend to develop, if long be careful at 383.64 as there are many sell orders to be filled and can stop the rise.
MSFT Making a Typical Bearish DivergenceMicrosoft ( NASDAQ:MSFT ) has been on a bull run since the AI hype started. Despite a correction that pulled it down all the way to $310, it has recovered well and continues to stay strong. However, after analysing its most recent bull run and using the RSI indicator, I have concluded that it has exhausted its bull run and is ready to take another correction.
As can be seen in the above image, the share price made a new Higher High on 28th November. A previous high of $376 was achieved on 16th November.
During this time, the RSI indicator made a lower high as can be seen in the above image.
What does this mean?
In the above case, the RSI does not make a new high when the stock price makes a new high. This shows that the momentum is weakening and trend riders may want to book their profits.
As a consequence, the share price stalls and with fewer buyers and more profit takers, the likely path for the share price is downwards .
Dark Cloud Cover
Moreover, the candlestick pattern formation shown in the figure below also shows bearish sentiments. The closing candle on 29th November confirmed the formation of 'dark cloud cover'.
Dark cloud cover shows a shift in momentum to the downside.
Together with the RSI divergence, it seems NASDAQ:MSFT is headed south.
What do you guys think about this?
MICROSOFT The 1D MA50 will be the buy opportunity for Xmas.Microsoft (MSFT) is trading inside a Double Channel Up pattern, with the longer term one (blue) starting on the January 06 bottom while the shorter term one (dotted) starting on the September 14 High. The latter Channel Up can be seen with the same structure earlier within the long-term Channel Up as well. It started after the stock pulled back and hit the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), which provided a strong rebound.
The same kind of 1D MA50 test took place on October 26, which initiated the current bullish leg (November). As the 1D RSI is posting a Bearish Divergence (Channel Down) simiarl to March 17 - April 12 and the 1D MACD completing a Bearish Cross, we expect one final pull-back towards the 1D MA50. That can be the ideal buy entry for the end-of-the-year rally. Our long-term target is always $460, representing a +43.50% rise from the 1D MA50 bounce (similar to March 13).
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