SPY puts going to average into spy put today and tmr ($577 12/6) looking to profit off another not as good NVDA report and the same new month selloff we have had the last 4 months
SPY trade ideas
Tops In Part 2 Short SPXL 181.50 NVDA 148.62 long SOXS 18.96This video will explain why we go lower and it wont be that simple
dropping they will test highs at some point, at the end day we go lower in time
$SPY November 19, 2024AMEX:SPY November 19, 2024
15 Minutes
for the rise 574 to 600 it retraced back 61.8% to 584 levels.
For the fall 595 to 583 it retrace 61.8% levels to 589.5 yesterday.
The range give earlier buy above 583 for 589 590 is done.
For the last rise 583.86 to 589.48 AMEX:SPY retraced 50% to 587 levels.
So, holding 586 we will have a target 589-592 levels now.
In 15 minutes 9,21,50 all is consolidated so I expect a move Upwards to 590 levels.
Also 588.5 is 200 averages in 5 minutes.
SPY Long From Support! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
SPY is trading in a strong
Uptrend an the index is
Already making a bullish
Rebound from the local
Horizontal support below
At 584$ which reinforces
Our bullish bias and makes
Us expect a further move up
Buy!
Like, comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade Video for 11-18: No INTERNET IssueMorning guys.
Something odd happened today after I created a great 45-minute morning video.
TradingView reported an Internet Issue even though my internet was working perfectly???
So, I DOWNLOADED the video so I have a record of it and posted it up elsewhere.
I don't know what to say - except check my profile on TradingView.
I was not going to try to replicate my 45 minute recording after experiencing this issue.
Get Some.
S&P Weekly Recap: Rally Falters Amid Lack of ConvictionLast week’s market action delivered a reversal in sentiment, highlighting the fragility of the rally that had persisted since the so-called "Trump rally." The week began slowly, with the market testing buyers’ conviction to push prices higher. After confirming a lack of such conviction, sellers stepped in, driving prices sharply lower. As suggested in my previous recap, 585 (VAH) provided temporary support, and the week closed near this critical level.
Interestingly, most major sectors participated in the downward move, aligning with the broader market trend. However, XLF (Financials) stood out as the exception, managing to post gains despite the sell-off. This divergence suggests that there is still buying interest, with money continuing to flow selectively into the market.
The immediate objective for the bulls is to hold 585 and attempt to fill Friday’s gap. Failure to do so, with the price returning to the 568-585 range , would indicate that the rally is nearing exhaustion. While this would not immediately signal a transition into a bear market, it would mark a notable shift in sentiment. The 568 level remains critical for buyers; as long as it holds, the broader uptrend stays intact, and bulls maintain the upper hand. Meaning that I keep "bullish" outlook.
This week, the market’s attention will be on NVIDIA's earnings on Wednesday. While the previous report didn’t cause much volatility, traders will be closely watching for any surprises that could influence market momentum.
A strategic pathway for SPY: preparing for a potential rebound nRecent Performance: The SPY (S&P 500 ETF) recently closed at $585.75, which
represents a significant decline from a previous closing price of $593.30.
Over the past week, it has faced a bearish trend despite trading above
crucial moving averages. The market highlights volatility with various
support levels testing resilience amidst price fluctuations.
- Key Insights: The SPY is at a crucial support level around $585. If this level
holds, a rebound could take the SPY to near $590. However, if support fails,
it could test lower support levels at around $580 to $575. Market players
should keep an eye on short-term movements, as further declines could lead
investors to redraw their strategies.
- Expert Analysis: Experts express a mixed sentiment toward the SPY with a
leaning toward a potential rebound. While the broader market trends suggest
positivity over the week, concerns about immediate volatility create two
potential paths forward. Analysts are keeping an eye on critical support
levels and the possibility of a bounce back, citing an estimated 85%
likelihood of an upward move within the next two trading sessions.
- Price Targets: Based on the wisdom of all professional traders, the next week
targets for SPY are:
- Next week targets:
- Target 1: $588
- Target 2: $590
- Stop levels:
- Stop 1: $584
- Stop 2: $580
- Longer-term targets:
- Longer-term target projected at $610, anticipated within the next few
weeks if bullish conditions hold.
- News Impact: Key recent news includes comments from Federal Reserve Chair
Jerome Powell, suggesting a steadiness in monetary policy without immediate
rate cuts, impacting overall market sentiment. Investors are expected to
watch these developments and their correlations with SPY's performance
closely. Additionally, broader economic indicators will further shape
investor outlooks leading into the new week.
You know what the deal isI am feeling this week we go to at least 600. Nice Doji candle holding up on the 4hr 50ma. 💯
SPY: Reversal or Continuation? Nov. 18, 2024SPY) is rebounding after a sharp sell-off, with price approaching critical resistance levels. With strong volume near recent lows, it’s a crucial moment for traders to watch for breakout or rejection opportunities. Here’s a detailed trading plan for scalping and swing setups.
Technical Overview:
Market Structure:
Trend: SPY remains in a short-term downtrend, but the current bounce from the lows indicates potential bullish momentum.
EMA Levels: The 9 EMA (purple) and 21 EMA (blue) are converging, creating a dynamic resistance zone near $590.
Key Levels:
Resistance Zones:
$594.50 – Immediate resistance aligned with EMA confluence.
$601.00 – Psychological resistance and key supply zone.
Support Zones:
$583.00 – Current support zone where buyers stepped in.
$580.00 – Critical demand zone and psychological support.
Supply and Demand Zones:
Demand Zone: $580.00–$583.00, where buyers have shown strong interest.
Supply Zone: $594.50–$601.00, where sellers have consistently stepped in.
Indicators:
MACD: Shows bullish divergence, with momentum building on the histogram.
Volume: Increased green volume bars indicate growing buyer interest near $583.00.
Pattern:
Potential inverted head and shoulders forming, signaling a possible reversal if $594.50 breaks.
Game Plan:
Scalping Plan (1-Min and 5-Min Timeframe):
Entry for Long:
Buy if price breaks above $594.50 with strong volume.
Target 1: $598.00 (scalp to mid-resistance).
Target 2: $601.00 (supply zone).
Entry for Short:
Sell if price rejects $594.50 or breaks below $583.00.
Target 1: $580.50 (psychological support).
Target 2: $580.00 (demand zone test).
Stop Loss:
Long: Below $593.00.
Short: Above $595.50.
Swing Trade Plan:
Bullish Scenario:
Buy if price holds above $583.00 and breaks $594.50.
Target 1: $601.00 (supply zone).
Extended Target: $610.00 (potential breakout level).
Stop Loss: Below $580.00.
Bearish Scenario:
Sell if price fails to hold $583.00 and breaks below $580.00.
Target 1: $570.00 (next demand zone).
Extended Target: $560.00 (potential lower low).
Stop Loss: Above $584.50.
My Thoughts:
For Scalping: Watch for a breakout or rejection at $594.50 for momentum trades. The volume profile near $583.00 suggests strong buyer interest, so tight risk management is key for shorts.
For Swing Trades: Price above $594.50 could signal a bullish reversal, while failure to hold $583.00 opens the door for further downside.
Directional Bias:
Short-term: Neutral-to-bullish if $594.50 breaks with strong momentum.
Mid-term: Slightly bearish unless SPY reclaims $601.00.
Actionable Suggestions:
Use the $594.50 resistance and $583.00 support as key levels for entries.
Focus on volume and price action at these levels for scalping and swing setups.
Avoid trading within the $583.00–$594.50 range to reduce noise and increase risk/reward.
Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Always use proper risk management when trading.
SPY LOVERS, BE READY ! This week, I decided to remove some objects I had in the chart history as references, which we’ve been analyzing, to make some space and clean up the chart a bit.
After reaching all-time highs, the price has naturally begun a retracement.
But what’s new in technical analysis?
Let’s analyze the price together:
In this case, I added an ascending channel where the price follows an upward sequence, bouncing between support and resistance.
Here’s the million-dollar question: How much further can the price drop?
If we look at the chart, I marked a very important line in red or maroon color at $575.12, which aligns with a resistance pivot and two indecisive candlesticks with identical volumetric bodies.
Often, indecisive levels are key to how the market makes sudden decisions after an indecisive candle. In this case, if we pay closer attention, the indecisive level marked in maroon color is positioned exactly at the support of the ascending channel. This suggests how far the price might fall, and we could potentially see a rebound. For me, this would be the primary scenario.
But...
If the price breaks through this level, my second scenario would be a drop to the order block. Since this level has acted as both support and resistance in the past, I can validate it as my secondary inflection zone or "Inflection Block."
You might wonder: What on earth is an inflection zone?
As I’ve mentioned multiple times and explained in some of my analysis, inflection zones—or points of inflection—represent moments where there’s a significant change in the price’s direction within a trend, whether in a market, an asset, or an economy.
On a trading chart, an inflection point is the spot where the chart changes direction or marks an important decision.
An inflection zone can also be a historical area on a chart. As we can see, my order block is already being considered an inflection zone because the price has historically made key moves within it. and i called it "Inflection Block" (See the white arrows).
Thank you for supporting my analysis.
TRADE SAFE
Best regards!
SpyThis post here analysis is more about the longer term picture (Months)..
It's been awhile, so here we go.
Lets start with TVC:NYA
This represents 3000 stocks and gives a better picture of the market then S&P which is heavily weight tech.
Weekly chart -
We are at the top of a 15year resistance. Price slightly broke above it but was slammed back inside last week.
As you can see the structure is a wedge and I believe that over the next weeks and months NYA will correct back to wedge support or 17,500
This drop will be 8-10% and weigh heavily on the broader market and cylicals
Next up Is Dow jones or DJI
Weekly chart is pretty much identical to NYA so the analysis is the same
Daily chart
My correction target is 38,000
Or 10% drop
AMEX:IWM
Surprised? Similar chart as DJI and NYA. Only difference was that parabolic move I circled that happen late Nov on the presidential election of 2020. Otherwise this 15yr trendline resistance has stayed resilient. We tagged resistance near ATH and I think we will get one more push back up to 236-239 before it's goodnight.
Daily chart AMEX:IWM
My pullback target will be trendline support or 208/210 price action which would represent a 14$ drop from ATH
IXIC (Nasdaq)
I'm charting the Nasdaq instead of QQQ/NDX because QQQ only covers the top 100 tech names while IXIC covers all tech
Weekly chart
Closed up near top of resistance of Weekly channel. I circled the fake breakouts and break downs.
What was really bad about this week was the Dark cloud cover candle on the weekly .. This candle is pretty rare to see on the indexes; for reference I had to scroll back almost 10yrs and here's what I saw
July 20, 2015
My target for the nasdaq will between 17,500 - 17,800
Which would represent a 10% drop from ATH.
These are weekly charts and weekly forecast which means these corrections may take anywhere from 45-60 days to play out but I think it will happen before the election.. it's important to trade the time frame you are using.
For example, you don't want to take this analysis and just start 0dte puts or buying weeklies.. like I said this may take 2months to play out.
Also this is just the weekly, the hourly has now been severely oversold as a result of 3days of chop and 2 days of and I think the market will rally back up near ATH before the sell begins so don't go chasing shorts early.. imagine last week's leg down as the center line in a double top. I think early this week we'll rally up to make the right top.
Afterwards we should chop for thanks giving and drop afterwards like so
AMEX:SPY is 14% extended from its weekly 50sma. Last three times this happened spy corrected
8-10% within 30-50 days
My correction target for the Spy is 540 or 200sma which would represent a 10% pullback from ATH
So a summary of this post is, I expect a push to the upside early this week and then if the sell does not happen by Thursday then it won't happen till after Thanksgiving
SPY: Bulls Will Push Higher
Looking at the chart of SPY right now we are seeing some interesting price action on the lower timeframes. Thus a local move up seems to be quite likely.
❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️
ALL ROADS LEAD TO $PYI am feeling Bullish Monday for SPY. After the heavy selling on Friday.
The 4-hour chart shows a DOJI well stablished by a small green candle that start to show momentum. On the smaller time frame, it is rebounding on the support line at that level.
Supporting actions in relation to prediction:
1. Downtrace was not able to push lower than 50% in the FVG.
2. The lowest point once the great FVP was established was 585.43 and was not successfully broken at market close. Instead, it closed with the candle sitting above.
3. NVDA just rebounded at the small trendline created.
4. TSLA just rebounded at my last prediction price of 301 up, creating a sustainable support in that area to uptrend.
5. APPL is respecting a minor trendline within the 195 to 219 and starting to create a cross between 50 and 200 MA.
This indication seems that the companies will push the SPY level up next week.
If the SPY rejects this analysis I would wait until it reaches the 575/578 area for a push up.
(If it goes below of 568 may the market gods be with us.)
$SPY November 16, 2024AMEX:SPY November 16, 2024
For a change target came without much of drama.
Could not short the previous day. So had no trade.
For the week:
5 Minutes:
We had multiple LL and managed to close HL HH pattern.
Oscillator divergence can be seen.
9,21, 50 averages converged.
So, expecting a bounce to 589 - 592 levels being 100 and 200 averages.
200 averages in 5 minutes could be a good level to short.
SL 592.75 being 23.6% retracement for the rise 567.86 to 600.17.
15 Minutes:
We can see a consolidation going on last 15 bars or so.
Downtrend intact as below 50,100 and 20 averages.
Again 590 to 593 represents 50 to 200 average range in 15 minutes too.
60 Minutes.
Took support at 200 averages.
For the fall 600.17 to 583.86 593-594 is a good level to short. it represents 61.8% of retracement for the fall.
Daily:
Took support of 21 average in daily.
Holding 580 is important to continue uptrend taking the last rise into consideration from 567.89 to 600.17.
If 580 is broke next support is 575-576 levels.
It also represents 23.6% retracement for the rise 539.44 to 600.17.
So next week range is
Go long with SL 583.5 for 590-592 as target.
or go short below 580 for 576+ as target SL 581.5
Spy Short 580ish target by next fridayFed not in a hurry to reduce rates send market back for needed liquidity, riding puts down to 580 area, before next friday..
SPY going up after the electionEven though the DAILY indicators have not changed, the 30 minute, the 1 hour and even the 2 hour indicators are shifting to indicate an upward movement. The rest of the hourly and daily indicators will soon follow. (I will post these 30 minute and the 1 hour indicators soon)
I am using the Heikin Ashi candlestick as I find you see more of a definite trend on the candlesticks itself. Typically, you would wait to enter the trade until you see 2 green candlesticks. But I am a little bit of a rebel and I already entered today, which will probably come back to bite me in the ass soon! LOL! ;-)
I use the MacD, DMI and the Stochastic RSI as my indicators.
The SPY will move about 34 points which was the average upward move of the previous months and that hits the fib line of 1.618. I use the fib tool to get a general approximation of the target. So I estimate the target of the SPY at around 602. It will reach that target around November 21st or approximately a 14 day upward move, which has been the average upward move in the previous months.
Around November 12th, the market will pause a little before heading back up to reach the target I have laid out as 602.
Happy trading everyone!
$SPY approaching intraday support.We'll call it $585.65. I would watch for a bottoming pattern there. Also, it's the almost the jolliest time of the year, so why short? 🍗🎅
SPY pullback from $600MODs have suggested that I provide more detail about the picks I make.
Sorry. I'm not as verbose as y'all, and I don't like things to be complicated.
My trading plan is very simple.
I buy or sell at top & bottom of parallel channels.
I confirm when price hits Fibonacci levels.
So...
Here's why I'm picking this symbol to do the thing.
Buying calls on SPXU
Buying Puts on SPY
Price at or approaching top of channels (period 100 52 39 & 26)
Stochastic Momentum Index (SMI) at overbought level
VBSM spiked positive
Price near 4.618 Fibonacci level
Buying SPXU or SPY puts when SPY tags $600
Target is $587 or channel bottom
NO STOP LOSS
Will hold to year end or until target reached
SPY Gaps - & UpdateAMEX:SPY #SPY #GapTrading #DailyGap what's going to happen with this break of the pennant?
BEAR-TRAP : GAP Reversal May Lead To Larger EPP FlaggingPay attention to the dual Excess Phase Peak (EPP) patterns in the SPY this morning and how the current GAP Reversal pattern may resolve as a base/bottom in the markets in early trading.
I believe the markets will shift from this early breakdown into a moderate upward (Flagging) trend.
Learning to anticipate these types of shifts in the market can help you plan and prepare for future price trend rotations.
Knowing the SPY is likely to attempt to base/bottom from a broader EPP pattern (moving into the sideways Flagging stage #2) suggests traders may attempt to prepare for a 0.75% to 1.25% upward price swing over the next 2 to 4+ days.
This aggressive downward selling aligned perfectly with my SPY Cycle Patterns. Now, this low may be the Base/Bottom I'm expecting to shift into the FLAGGING phase of the larger EPP pattern (#2).
Buckle up. This should be fun.
Looks like a BEAR TRAP in the making.
Get some.
#trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
$SPY Analysis, Key Levels & TargetsOK, so we opened right at the bottom of the implied move here 589. So I’m gonna be looking at 5:88 587 Boese spreads here. I’m gonna give it a little bit more time but that feels like a good spot with the 30 minute two moving average Underneath us.
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 11-15: GAP-Reversal Counter-TrendToday's Pattern suggests the SPY will GAP downward at the open and attempt to identify a base/bottom throughout the day.
I belive this move may represent a pause in the downward trend, shifting into a FLAGGING pattern as part of a broader Excess Phase Peak pattern.
If I'm correct, we are going to move into a moderate BUYing opportunity for the SPY/QQQ lasting into Tuesday/Wednesday of next week.
Gold and Silver appear to be setting up a base/bottom off a very deep Phase #5 (Ultimate Low) of a current Excess Phase Peak pattern. This means, if we continue to get confirmation, that Gold and Silver will attempt to move higher and attempt to move into the Phase #3 of the Excess Phase Peak pattern (a move into a consolidation phase).
BTCUSD is current exhibiting a dual type of Excess Phase Peak pattern that suggests a broader breakdown is in the works. Possibly back down to 78-82k. This could be a very big contraction event for BTCUSD.
Buckle up.
Happy Friday.
Get some.
#trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
$SPY November 15, 2024AMEX:SPY November 15, 2024
15 Minutes.
Box broke yester at close.
I did not take the short.
Expecting 586-587 initially.
For the fall 599.23 to 592.65 if I get a retracement 596 levels I will short.
I don't think its happening.
