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INVESCO QQQ TRUST

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QQQ trade ideas

GEX Analysis for QQQ-Dec. 13,2024Current Price: $529.39 IVR: 5.7 IVx Average: 15.5 Options Sentiment: Neutral-to-bearish with 18.4% in Puts. Key Levels: Resistance: $531.00: 2nd CALL Wall (Key resistance level). $533.00: 3rd CALL Wall and potential breakout target. $534.00: Extended resistance zone (requires strong volume for continuation). Support: $528.00: HVL (1DTE Level and key support for the day). $526.00: Highest Negative NETGEX / PUT Wall (Important bearish target). $525.00: 2nd PUT Wall, critical support zone. Sentiment & Projection: QQQ is currently facing resistance near $531.00. A breakout above this level could drive prices toward $533.00. If the price fails to hold $528.00, bearish momentum might test $526.00 and $525.00. Trading Strategies: Bullish: Entry Above: $531.50 (Confirmation of breakout). Target: $533.00, $534.00. Stop Loss: $530.00. Bearish: Entry Below: $528.00. Target: $526.00, $525.00. Stop Loss: $529.50. Reminder: Always verify IVR and IVx for live updates before entering trades. Adjust your strategy to account for the latest market conditions. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. Always perform your own research before trading.
NASDAQ:QQQ
by BullBearInsights
QQQ Analysis: Navigating Key Levels w/ GEX Insights for Dec. 12Overview of GEX Levels * Resistance Levels: * $530: Highest positive NETGEX, indicating a critical resistance level for tomorrow's trading. Price is expected to face selling pressure here if approached. * $533: GEX9, representing a medium-term resistance zone. * Support Levels: * $528: GEX8, providing a notable support level for intraday pullbacks. * $526: HVL (Highest Volume Level), a strong support zone based on high trading activity. Holding above this level will maintain bullish sentiment. Options Oscillator Indicator Insights * IVR (Implied Volatility Rank): 4 (low volatility rank). * Indicates a relatively low implied volatility environment, suggesting limited price movement. Suitable for range-bound strategies. * IVx Avg: 15.6. * Implies current implied volatility is near its average, favoring delta-neutral or conservative strategies. * Put$/Call$ Ratio: 12.6% skewed towards calls. * Demonstrates bullish sentiment with stronger call positioning, aligning with a potential upward move. Technical Setup * The price action is near the critical resistance zone at $530, with significant support at $526. A breakout above $530 could trigger bullish momentum toward $533. However, failure to hold $526 may lead to retesting lower GEX levels like $524. Options Trading Strategy * Bullish Play: * Buy QQQ Dec 15, 2024, $530 Calls if price breaks and holds above $530. Target: $533; Stop: $528. * Neutral Play: * Sell QQQ Dec 15, 2024, $530 Calls and buy $535 Calls (credit spread) if price consolidates below $530. This strategy takes advantage of time decay while anticipating limited movement. * Bearish Play: * Buy QQQ Dec 15, 2024, $526 Puts if price falls below $526 with volume. Target: $524; Stop: $528. Conclusion
QQQ is positioned for a critical test of $530, with clear levels outlined by GEX and options sentiment. Traders should watch for breakout or rejection at resistance, as well as strong support at $526 for intraday setups. Utilize options strategies to align with market direction and volatility. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only.
NASDAQ:QQQ
by BullBearInsights
Some loading points you might be interested inThe red lines are from the monthly that show QQQ in a tight channel since 1/23. The white lines show some recent support and resistance levels. It broke resistance on the second attempt and resistance has now become support. I think $517 is a crucial level and will probably be revisited seeing how overbought my indicators show. It's 50% of wave 3 and I think a good loading level (plus a gap close) with the previous resistance level serving as a stop loss and short entry. If I'm correct I am expecting a 15 point gain from $517 in approximately 3 weeks (give or take a few trading days). Let me know how you see it, would love added perspectives
NASDAQ:QQQLong
by Needlez33
QQQ Trade AnalysisThis chart represents the daily timeframe for QQQ, showcasing a mix of technical indicators like pivot points (S1, S2, R1, etc.), exponential moving averages (EMAs), trendlines, dark pool levels, and volume. The chart indicates a recent pullback in a long-term uptrend, with price sitting near a key support zone. Key Observations: 1. Trend Analysis: Long-Term Trend: The green ascending trendline suggests a consistent long-term bullish trend. The price is still well above this trendline, indicating the broader trend remains intact. Recent Pullback: Price recently tested the R2 pivot (534.52), indicating an overbought condition, and has since pulled back. It is now consolidating near the S1 pivot (490.80) and the 21 EMA, which are critical short-term support levels. 2. Support and Resistance: Resistance Levels: R1 (522.13) and R2 (534.52) are the immediate resistance zones. Price rejection at these levels confirms sellers’ presence. R3 (553.45) is the long-term target if the bullish trend resumes. Support Levels: S1 (490.80): Current support level and pivot zone. S2 (471.87): A deeper support zone near the green trendline, likely to act as a strong barrier. Dark Pool Levels: 508.70 (recent activity) may serve as minor resistance. 496.39 and 480.70 indicate institutional interest zones that could provide support. 3. Volume Analysis: Recent volume spike on the pullback indicates increased participation, potentially signaling a shift in momentum. Red candles with high volume often signal distribution, but if price stabilizes near support, this could indicate accumulation by institutions. 4. Moving Averages: Price has fallen below the 8 EMA, signaling short-term bearish momentum. However, the 21 EMA near 490.80 acts as a critical level. A rebound from this area could indicate a resumption of the uptrend. Trade Setup: Scenario 1: Bullish Reversal from S1 (490.80) Trigger: A bounce off the S1 pivot and reclaim of the 8 EMA (~508.70) would signal a bullish continuation. Profit Targets: 508.70: Dark pool resistance and 8 EMA level. 522.13 (R1): Swing high and key resistance zone. 534.52 (R2): Longer-term resistance. Stop-Loss: Below 486, as a break below this level would invalidate the bullish thesis. Scenario 2: Bearish Breakdown Below S1 (490.80) Trigger: A strong close below the S1 pivot with increasing volume would confirm bearish momentum. Profit Targets: 480.70: Dark pool support. 471.87 (S2): Pivot support and intersection with the green trendline. 459.48 (S3): Deeper downside target. Stop-Loss: Above 500, as this would indicate a reversal back above key support. Scenario 3: Long-Term Reversal Near Trendline Support If price continues lower, the green trendline near 471.87 offers a high-probability buying opportunity, especially if accompanied by lower volume on the decline. Final Thoughts: Short-Term Outlook: Consolidation near S1 (490.80) requires confirmation of direction. A breakout above the 8 EMA would favor bulls, while a breakdown below S1 opens the door for further downside. Long-Term Outlook: The green trendline and dark pool levels suggest strong institutional support on deeper pullbacks, keeping the broader bullish trend intact.
NASDAQ:QQQLong
by thedarkpooltrader
QQQ correction end 2024 - more strong than SPYAs we can see, there has been a correction since the presentation of the FOMC meeting, with a break in the bullish structure we had in the indices. QQQ broke bullish structures in 2-hour timeframes, but for now, it shows a more bullish movement than SPY. We should recover the 4-hour channel to maintain an upward movement in the 4-hour and daily timeframes. Como podemos ver tenemos una correccion desde la presentacion de la reunion de la FOMC, con una ruptura de las estructura alcista que teniamos en los indices, QQQ rompio estructuras alcista en temporalidades de 2horas, pero por el momento tenemos un movimiento mas alcista que el SPY y deberiamos recuperar el canal de 4HS para mantener un movimento alcista en la temporalidad de 4hs y diaria.
NASDAQ:QQQ
by alexpv73
QQQ Sell to $497-501 Weekly Resistance for Buying opportunity A 52 week high was made on Monday, December 16 at $539 on QQQ . The fed Powell released the news he’s cutting rates by a quarter of a percent which caused the market to plummet ,Banks also manipulating the market to get into these buying opportunities. We are currently failing to break above 520 , also struggling to fully break below 515 . We will continue to sell down once we pass 515 . Looking at my chart on the weekly timeframe appears is 501-497 is the actual resistance that we are heading to now. It may look like 515 is the resistance, but in all actuality, it does not appear to be a Stronger demand zone than 500 to 497. Once we get here, look for buying opportunities at the new year will bring in New yearly, highs, and new yearly lows. For now, we should be in puts to $500.
NASDAQ:QQQ
by MuggaMatrix
(GET READY) QQQ's Expected move for FOMCAll right so we are right at the 35 EMA you could see that we’ve had a pretty strong rally along that level since the beginning of December we did drop underneath that for two trading days but then we got back above it with CPI and continue to rally so 35 EMA huge level right in the middle of our trading range. The implied move for today is between 530 and 542 for tomorrow. It’s 528 to 543 and four the 30 day average 527 to 545 and that 35 EMA is the big level in our trading range underneath that we do have that up gap from Monday up and then consolidated back to the 35 EMA for FOMC. Five 3915 is where we have previous all-time highs. That is a little more than halfway up our implied move then 542 is the top of the implied move today 543 tomorrow underneath us that gap the bottom of that gap is 530. That is also the bottom of our implied move 528 is the bottom of the implied move tomorrow on Thursday and we have that 30 minute underneath all of that and we also do have that gap from last Friday that is sitting right on top of that 30 minute 200 moving average as well Sorry that this is just one lot run-on sentence today. I’m used to making the videos and just speaking it out and this is speech to text. Hope y’all can make out what I’m saying. Lol
NASDAQ:QQQ
by SPYder_QQQueen_Trading
QQQ: Technical Analysis (TA) & GEX Insights for Dec. 181. Daily Chart (1D) * Trend: QQQ continues its uptrend within a rising channel. The price has broken through upper resistance and is testing the top of the channel. * Support/Resistance: * Immediate Support: 525.60 * Major Support: 513.30 * Resistance Zone: 539.15 (current high) * Indicators: * MACD: Bullish momentum but signs of flattening, suggesting a possible slowdown. * Volume: Decreasing slightly as price rises, which may indicate weaker buying pressure. Outlook (Daily): * Bullish Scenario: If QQQ holds above 535, a retest of 539-540 is possible. * Bearish Scenario: A break below 535 could see a retracement to 525. 2. Hourly Chart (1H) * Trend: Short-term weakening with signs of rejection near 539. The price is currently pulling back to test the mid-channel support. * Support/Resistance: * Support: 533.10 (current area), followed by 530.00 * Resistance: 538.80, 539.15 * Indicators: * MACD: Bearish crossover forming, indicating momentum shift to downside. * Volume: Increased selling pressure near resistance zones. Outlook (Hourly): * A pullback to 533 is likely, with potential for further downside to 530 if support breaks. 3. GEX Analysis * Gamma Walls: * 535: Highest negative NETGEX (PUT Support Zone). Breaking below this could accelerate selling pressure. * 539: Small resistance wall. * 529: Positive Gamma Call Wall indicating strong support. * Options Oscillator : * IVR: 16.6 – Low implied volatility. * GEX: Mixed bias with PUTS at 21.3% dominance. * Interpretation: * Market makers are hedging around 535. A break below could trigger larger put-side moves to 532 or 529. Trade Outlook: * Scalping: * Bullish Setup: Long at 533 with stop-loss at 530 and target 538. * Bearish Setup: Short below 533 targeting 530 or 529. * Swing Trade: Watch for confirmed rejection at 539 or strong support at 533 for trend continuation setups. Conclusion: QQQ is showing short-term weakness while remaining within a broader uptrend. Key levels to watch are 535 for support and 539 as resistance. Traders should monitor Gamma exposure around 535 for directional bias. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk appropriately.
NASDAQ:QQQ
by BullBearInsights
Maximize Your Gains: QQQ Looks Strong for Next WeekRecent Performance: The Invesco QQQ Trust has shown remarkable bullish momentum, recently hitting an all-time high while other indices like the Dow and Russell have struggled. In contrast, the S&P 500 has moved sideways, highlighting QQQ's dominance, primarily powered by robust technology sector performance. - Key Insights: Maintaining support above 526.72 is critical for QQQ's potential gains next week. The market sentiment leans positive, especially with anticipated rebounds in small-cap stocks and ongoing strength in tech stocks. Investors should focus on the broader patterns in the tech sector as well as relevant economic indicators that could impact performance. - Expert Analysis: Market experts emphasize the importance of QQQ staying above its support levels, particularly the significant level of 526.72. They anticipate that if QQQ holds this level, it could pave the way for additional upside, correlating positively with small-cap stocks as they potentially rebound. The resilience in leading technology stocks reinforces a bullish sentiment for QQQ going forward. - Price Targets: For next week, targets and stops are outlined as follows: - Next week targets: T1: 533.36, T2: 538.70 - Stop levels: S1: 526.72, S2: 524.04 - News Impact: Recent earnings reports from major tech players like Broadcom have contributed to the bullish momentum in QQQ, underlining the index's sensitivity to sector-specific news. The broader economic landscape also remains relevant, with macroeconomic indicators influencing market sentiment. As QQQ continues to capitalize on positive developments within the tech sector, investors should stay alert to both stock-specific performance and overall market trends.
NASDAQ:QQQLong
by CrowdWisdomTrading
QQQ Analysis: Tech Giants' Sentiment and Potential MovesPrice Action Breakdown: * Today's Performance: QQQ opened lower but found support near $520.65, with a minor recovery toward $522. * Support and Resistance Levels: * Resistance: $527.63, with $530 acting as a psychological level. * Support: $520.65, followed by stronger support near $514.39. Indicators: * MACD: MACD shows bearish momentum, with the signal line crossing below the MACD line and declining histogram bars. * Moving Averages: * The 50-period moving average is providing minor resistance near $524. * The price remains above the 200-period moving average, indicating a long-term uptrend. Trendlines and Channels: * Uptrend Channel: QQQ is trading within an ascending channel, though the lower trendline is under pressure. A breakdown could lead to further bearish movement. Liquidity Zones and Order Blocks: * Liquidity Zone: Significant activity near $520 suggests buyers are stepping in to support the price. Scenarios: 1. Bullish Scenario: * If QQQ breaks above $524, it could test $527.63 and $530 next. 2. Bearish Scenario: * A break below $520.65 could lead to a test of $514.39, with further downside potential. Trading Plan Scalping Strategy: * Entry Points: * Long: Above $524 with targets at $527 and $530. * Short: Below $520 with a target of $514. * Stop Loss: * Use a $1.50 stop loss for scalping trades. Swing Trading Strategy: * Bullish Outlook: If QQQ remains above $520, consider accumulating with a target of $530. * Bearish Outlook: If QQQ breaks below $520, wait for confirmation to short toward $514 or lower. Risk Management: * Keep risk-reward at a minimum of 1:3. * Monitor volume at key levels for confirmation. Disclaimer This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always perform your due diligence before making trading decisions.
NASDAQ:QQQ
by BullBearInsights
QQQ The Target Is DOWN! SELL! My dear subscribers, QQQ looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details: The market is trading on 526.54 pivot level. Bias - Bearish Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation. Target - 515.69 About Used Indicators: The average true range (ATR) plays an important role in 'Supertrend' as the indicator uses ATR to calculate its value. The ATR indicator signals the degree of price volatility. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
NASDAQ:QQQShort
by AnabelSignals
2
Macroeconomic History Tells Us Rough Times Are AheadIn 2023, I did a write up on TradingView about how there is a positive correlation between interest rates and equities, meaning that equites tend to decrease when interest rates decrease. However, correlation does not equal causation. The real correlation is between poor economic data and the stock market, where the poor economic data spurs interest rate cuts and causes a fall in equities. The recent surprisingly bad July jobs report jolted the markets, and reasonably so. The Fed decided to hold interest rates steady in July, causing some to think that they may be behind the curve. Not to mention the Sahm Rule flashed positive; an economic observation that has never been wrong in being a precursor to a recession. fred.stlouisfed.org I am of the party that the Fed is behind the curve In the past, Jerome Powell has stated that he doesn't expect a "severe" recession, and that there could be a "softish" landing, hinting at the difficulties that the Fed faced in preventing a recession altogether. I believe that the stock market will continue to fall, mixed with large rallies (which will make buying the bottom difficult), and I think this will play out for many months. So what's my plan? I sold my LEAPS before the poor jobs market data was released, saving my bacon to be honest. I sold my HOOD profits as well, as I had made a 100% return. I then took both and dumped the funds into QQQ. I do not hold cash in case I am wrong. I would rather be wrong and invested than wrong and sitting on cash. I plan on waiting until the Q's drop another 20% or so before buying LEAPS. Typically, I advise only to put 10% into LEAPS, but this could be a rare opportunity where risk on could pay of in a big way. When I do decide to jump in, I will buy LEAPS with expirations two years out. I want to give them the longest time frame possible because I know I won't be able to time the bottom perfectly. The real risk is waiting too long Wait too long, and I miss a big opportunity. However, being exposed to equities, I'll still ride the wave up. If I'm wrong altogether, I'm still invested in equities and will ride the wave up. I will still be somewhat hesitant to invest into LEAPS through this rate cutting cycle considering history warns against leveraging into QE. Thank you for coming to my Ted Talk. InTheMoney
NASDAQ:QQQShort
by InTheMoneyAdam
2
Calling the Macro Blow-off Top: 2.5x returns in only 4 years?Today I see the QQQ struggling to break another ATh on it's winning streak. Like many investors, I have no reason industrially to believe that the entire information technology sector is worth 2.5x what it was worth in 2020 spring. It was overvalued then, and now, well, goldilocks is about to meet the bears and say - well, I want it that way (pointing to the cold bowl of oatmeal). Listen. When a blow-off-top manifests, it's easy to buy in. Just like the head and shoulders doesn't seem like a head when you are standing on the head. But srsly - we are standing on the head, and boyo jack is going to cut htis beanstock now, and either the giant falling down is going to crush us, or we'll make off with the golden goos. My current allocations: 58% Treasuries earning north of 5% in the "BIL" etf (a much better hedge than bonds, now that correlation has resumed between bonds and stocks), and 42% Value Equities, with no holding having a P/E above 30, and with all holdings having positive Earnings, Positive Growth, and ROE above 20%. That is what fundamental investing is, folks. I own companies that earn money and project to earn money. I don't own hope. Anyone owning hope is in delusion. Own fundamentals. And join me on the side with all your potfolio in AMEX:BIL , and laugh at the next 10 years of consolidation. I estimate nearly 0% overall growth in the tech sector over the next 5 years, and AI will create as many problems as it solves - a net loss, in my opinion.
NASDAQ:QQQShort
by MikaelZg
1