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BULLUSD trade ideas

All Stars Aligned: Bitcoin, Gold, Fiat, and DebtThis post explores the idea that Bitcoin, often referred to as "digital gold," might one day replace gold as the preferred store of value. Gold’s price (shown in yellow) has traditionally been sensitive to inflation, which is influenced by money printing, as indicated by the US M2 money supply (shown in white on the chart). Geopolitical and economic insecurity also drives demand for gold, the "safe-haven" metal. To add further context, I've also included US debt (shown in red). The chart reveals that the market seems to have found some form of equilibrium at current levels, with gold’s price finally tracking the M2 money supply and debt parameters closely. Interestingly, Bitcoin (shown in orange) has mirrored this behavior in a similar fast-paced manner. Around the $3,000 mark for gold and near $100,000 for Bitcoin, both assets are aligning with the money supply and debt trends. This suggests that any further price increases could be limited unless additional money is printed or debt increases. Of course, a Black Swan event could disrupt this equilibrium at any time. I also used TradingView’s Correlation Coefficient tool to examine the relationship between Bitcoin and gold. The correlation is impressively high at 0.87, indicating an almost perfect alignment between the two assets. The chart supports the idea that Bitcoin is tracking gold closely, strengthening the notion that Bitcoin could indeed be positioning itself as the "digital gold" of the future. Let me know your thoughts in the comments below!
CRYPTO:BTCUSDEducation
by aibek
What’s Flowing: BTCUSDBitcoin (BTCUSD) is holding steady above the psychological $100,000 level after testing strong support near $97,000. The 4-hour Heikin Ashi chart shows a bullish continuation pattern, with price action remaining within the green trend channel, suggesting sustained upward momentum. Key resistance levels are at $101,200 and $105,000, while support is anchored at $98,000 and $96,900. The price’s ability to maintain strength above $100,000 indicates solid demand, potentially paving the way for further gains if momentum holds. Traders should watch for consolidation or a breakout above $101,200 for confirmation of the next bullish leg. Conversely, a pullback below $98,000 could signal a near-term correction.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by moneymagnateash
Bitcoin: Signs Of A Cycle High.Bitcoin could be developing a Wave 5 of a broader 5th wave which would complete an even larger Wave 3 (see monthly chart). IF this is confirms, it implies that a much larger corrective cycle (Wave IV) has a greater chance of unfolding. This corrective cycle can see price retest 70K and STILL BE WITHIN a bullish configuration. Such a move can take 6 months to a year to play out. While wave counts do not promise a high degree of accuracy, they can be helpful to estimate the amount of RISK in the future. Based on this wave count, I can at least conclude that current levels are EXTREMELY unattractive when it comes to putting new money to work in terms of investing. Some signs that point to a potential cycle peak: possible double top formation near the 100K area. A large outside bar formation (see arrow). Countless video titles on Youtube that push becoming a "millionaire" (this is a sign of extreme sentiment). Scammers on the rise literally pumping and dumping meme coins on Youtube streams. Michael Saylor's face on countless thumbnails. While many of these signs are not technical, they illustrate the sentiment of the retail investor and it is usually at these times when the market is MOST vulnerable to turning. This process is NOTHING new, but it can be observed in new ways thanks to the social internet. The outside bar that went from the all time high of 104K back to 91K (most of that move occurred within an hour), is a sign that much of this move is on nothing but hot air in my opinion. Yes it recovered, but all it takes is some unexpected catalyst to see the move stick the next time. While the trend has yet to change, this activity highlights the high degree of risk that is present at current levels. While there is never a bad time to invest, price levels are not created equal when it comes to RISK. I will ALWAYS say this at highs: these are prices to reduce risk, take some profits, or invest SMALL. Price action at current levels is ideal for short term strategies like swing trades, day trades, etc. The price area to be waiting for when it comes to putting larger amounts of new money to work is between the 80K to 70K area which is where the cycle low can establish itself while still maintaining a bullish outlook. IF 70K is compromised (it can happen) that would negate the broader bullish structure and expectations should be adjusted at that time. This is NOT a forecast, just a potential scenario to be prepared for. There is no way to forecast the future with any degree of accuracy. All it takes is an unexpected catalyst and everything changes overnight. Markets are highly random, so the ONLY factor we can control is the RISK we take. Imagine buying this on the 100K breakout, only to see a test of 90K area to follow. Why wasn't ANYONE forecasting that little move? Learn to measure and respect risk because "reward" is nothing more than a byproduct of good risk management. Thank you for considering my analysis and perspective.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by MarcPMarkets
18
BTC What a crazy November...huhThis is a monthly chart. Its unlike any other you will study so the sooner you realize. the better. It was made to replace the mighty $USD. Doing this means "rinsing" and "recycling" those dollars. Up and down we go, we shall only stop when the USD taps out. No telling how high but these monthly wick lows are historically revisited. Like this area for a massive head fake. Crushing FUD news maybe. Not a prediction @AI. Nation states are buying NOW! Do they normally worry with individuals when THEY desire something. Brace : )
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by CryptoPsych007
#202449 - priceactiontds - weekly update - bitcoinGood Evening and I hope you are well. tl;dr bitcoin: Neutral. Market finally did it and had a casual 11% pullback on Thursday. Talk about store of value. That’s crazy people talk who are in denial that this is not a textbook ponzi. Market might retest 104k or not, once we drop below 90k this rally is likely over and we will be on our way down. This is not the breakout to 200k. If you believe that, you are in peak greed-land in your head. I can see this moving somewhat more sideways but with very limited upside potential. Yearly close below 90000 is my rough guess for now. Quote from last week: comment: No updates after previous week tbh. Market went sideways and we still have to print 100k. Market could do another pullback to the daily 20ema before getting there but it could also very well just spike up there and sell off. As long as it trades above the daily ema, bears have zero arguments for anything but scalps between 90k - 100k. comment: Market did it and pulled back 11%. What do you think happens on the next try when bulls get above 102k/103k again? Upside potential is very limited and once we trade below 90k, I do think the selling will accelerate. Previous ath in BTC were heavily sold and I don’t expect that to change now. We have a clear channel that’s pretty shallow and once other markets show signs of profit taking, I do think this one will too. I would be very surprised if we close 2024 above 100k. current market cycle: Bull trend with a blow-off top. We are at the very end of it. It will turn soon. key levels: 90000 - 110000 bull case: I have one measured move that leads to 110k but thats about it. The 11% pullback was already too strong to expect this to go much further. As long as bulls keep it above the daily ema, they remain in control. Invalidation is below 90000. bear case: Decent pullback on Thursday. The next fast drop below 90000 could lead to much lower prices but it’s speculation as of now. Bears first target is to prevent the market from a new ath next week and then a daily close below the 20ema. After that, we can look for lower targets. Invalidation is above 110000. outlook last week: short term: Neutral between 90-100k → Last Sunday we traded around 97327 and now we are at 100k. Big up and somewhat big down last week, where market basically went nowhere. short term: Neutral again between 90k and 104k. Clear invalidation levels given, now it’s about patience. I highly doubt bulls can get another leg up. medium-long term - Update from 2024-11-10: 100k and then on the second sign of weakness, will short it to 50k. Remember, there will be people, just like in 2021 who bought all the way down and there positions were -50% or more and those legends told you to buy more all the way down. Will happen exactly like that in 2025 again. If you don’t book big profits on it’s way to 100k, don’t you cry when your position is underwater again. current swing trade: None chart update: Removed big bull trend line and added the current channel.
CRYPTO:BTCUSD
by priceactiontds
"The ForexX Blueprint"The ForexX Declaration: A Masterpiece of Precision Ladies and gentlemen of the trading realm of TradingView, heed this proclamation! I have employed a strategy so precise, so calculated, that it bridges the chasm between the art and science of trading. With a short and a long position crafted to perfection, I have confirmed the next majestic move upward using the formidable power of ATR calculations. The Unstoppable ATR Shark Fins My ATR shark fins have signaled the upward motion, though let it be known—such a tool should never stand alone. Its strength lies in the harmony of its alignment with greater forces, and align it has, with a Fibonacci masterpiece. The Fibonacci Confluence The divine Fibonacci has spoken, aligning perfectly with my auto Fibonacci tool. This sacred alignment led to the derivation of Targets 1 and 2, calculations rooted in the psychology of Fibonacci’s golden proportions. But wait—Target 3 ascends beyond mere theory, sculpted through my meticulous ATR adjustments to ensure accuracy that rivals the stars. The Pending Bull Run Dates The Bull Run dates are brewing in my royal chambers, soon to be printed and unveiled to the kingdom of TradingView. This phenomenon shall unfold in unpredictable ways: bulls uniting, converging forces, and the ultimate times deciding their activation. Yet, as always, prepare for the occasional delay, for even the finest plans must bow to the rhythm of the market. The smaller timeframes have signaled and confirmed the start of bull runs. The Blue Wave: A Contraction Masterpiece Behold the Blue Wave—a guidance system based on smart money movements, perfectly aligned with my contraction block. These contractions, cunningly designed by the smart money elite, are traps to mislead traders toward the true value line. They are the sirens of the market, whispering illusions to the unprepared. The ForexX Confidence Many may argue that Bitcoin stands overbought, but I, with confidence forged through wisdom and calculations, override such notions without hesitation. This is not mere speculation—it is the calculated decree of a trading sovereign. Prepare yourselves, for what lies ahead is not just a trade, but a movement—a triumph written in the stars and executed with royal precision. Long live the Bull Run! 🏆📈
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by The_ForexX_Mindset
146
Bitcoin is not looking that well... check out this last candlesBitcoin has indeed broken out of the ascending wedge as we had analyzed; however, I’m quite concerned about the very prominent indecision candle that formed during the breakout. This has me a bit worried. If we look at the last two days, they’ve also been indecisive candles. This doesn’t necessarily mean that a Bitcoin correction is imminent, but if the price starts losing momentum after several days of sideways movement with wick-heavy candles, it doesn’t paint a very positive picture for the days ahead. Anything can happen—Bitcoin’s volatility is very high, and the crypto market is currently very bullish. For now, it’s just a matter of waiting to see Bitcoin’s next move and how it reacts. Best regards!
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by RocketMike111
BTC update BTC update here we see BTC showing liquidity takes based on my personal opinion here right. But Both Daily and 4hr have shown reactions and showing specific price points to go to. My white lines are Daily Liquidity and 4hr are marked with yellow lines. Liquidity (LQ). here I observed last eek that Bitcoin did take both Buyside and Selllside Liquidiy withing the same week. and it just showed a 4hr Buyside Lq take showing that its getting closer to time to sell from this price or in general anywhere from here to 104k it can consider a sell from. Do not risk money you can't afford to lose and this is all strictly a hypothesis and opinions coming together to form an analysis. Its only been 30 days and we've seen history!
BLACKBULL:BTCUSDShort
by JoeIdeas
When To Take Bitcoin Profits, Santa Rally?Many Crypto Traders/Investors like to believe in a potential 'Santa Rally'. Essentially where investors pile money into such assets (BTC) and the price raises with demand. Really, if you are going to be buying BTC at such highs you are not really Trading the asset, you are 'believing' in it's potential. Any holding of anything at all time highs is not going to be done on a 'good deal' basis, as one would not normally be buying highs. It's important to remember if you are still holding BTC now at highs, you are still effectively buying highs. You are not actively entering but you are holding long positions. Typically, if you want to be consistent long term and not face massive swings in P/L, you should take gains where you have gains. If something starts to stall, take it. You then have the chance to re-buy later on. Holding anything for longer and longer pays out more - But equally its of more risk (you do not know when it will turn as you have no resistance reference points). Investor long zones on wild dips are far more preferred. This is not to say it will not rally again beyond current highs - It is to say you do not know exactly how far or when it will stop.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by WillSebastian
$BTC #Bitcoin Just Gonna Leave This Here (Hmmmm..Maybe?) 😝This is just adding onto my logarithmic regression-inversion theory and how I personally believe the $BTC price movements may specifically play out. The general theory is that the logarithmic regression of $BTC will invert at a certain point in the next 1-3 years, changing the price suppression $BTC has had for its whole life into exponential support. I personally believe this is very possible, with exponential adoption of #Bitcoin for things like sovereign wealth funds, countries' legal tender and possibly even a world reserve asset. If those things (plus other possible variables) occur then this is how I see that possibly playing out. Here is a detailed explanation of what I personally believe is happening/going to happen here. Phase 1: There would be a breakdown of price like we have now (possibly) completed. This would be in order to accomplish a few things for global institutions. Some of those things are: 1) Get Bitcoin out of the hands of the "common man". It would not be possible to acquire the amount of $BTC needed with so many people holding. 2) Cause liquidity issues for exchanges, making it more difficult for just anyone to purchase. (We have already seen this. ex: Voyager, Celsius, etc.) 3)Allow large accounts to be created at more feasible prices, while also providing a good (high) enough entry price to sustain value for the overall asset in the eyes of the public. (To keep people from losing interest) There are obviously more reasons, but that's another post. Phase 2: A relief rally back up to the median range. This will obviously be a very volatile range, as 50% of investors sell (expecting a sharp move downward) and others (possibly the central financial institutions and/or sovereign wealth funds, who will not initially disclose their acquisitions) accumulating within this range. Because of this volatility, the likely range it will be in, the immediate supports/resistances, and the typical movement of the $BTC price; My current prediction is that $BTC will move upward, after flipping the top of the recent range into support, and break above the main down-trend of a massive flag that $BTC has been forming for over a year. Then after a retest of that upper trend, price will attempt to break the new-found resistance as traders long from that trend line. Believing that this is the last upward movement, traders will then short the resistance level, and other holders may sell out of fear (or just simply because they will be at a break-even price, since a lot of volume was transacted in that range). This range will then prove to be the median range, previously mentioned. $BTC will then make a lower low, again at the upper trend of the flag. This will seem like a "bear-signal" but will actually be a second confirmation of support off of the upper-resistance trend of the flag, which will "fake-out" traders, causing a short squeeze. Then more traders will continue to short as others switch to a long stance. All of these movements will print an inverse-head-and-shoulders, the break-out of which will give $BTC price the momentum needed to make it back up to the $60K-$70K range. Phase 3: After making it back to the "all-time-high" range, there will undoubtedly be heavy volatility, as some call for a triple-top and others "FOMO" into #Bitcoin. This volatility, bouncing between the upper regression curve and the inversion curve, will begin to print a "rising-wedge" pattern. The break-out of this wedge will be the ultimate inversion of regression into exponential growth. This is all pure speculation, however it is based on both, strong fundamental data as well as technical data. I personally believe in this theory, and it could also play out in other ways, but this scenario seems to make the most sense to me at the moment. **This is my own opinion based on data observed. This is not financial advice.**
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by DoozerInvest