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BTCUSDT.3S trade ideas

Strategy 2025. BTC Airless Scenario Below $100'000 Choking PointThe crypto market is flashing a worrying outlook for 2025, since a disappointing Santa Claus rally this year could deepen issues. This is especially important if BTC will not be able to finish the year 2024 firmly above $100'000 per coin. The financial market has had a tough week, but it might also be in store for a tough year in 2025. The market is on track for its worst weeks over years after the Federal Reserve gave a hawkish forecast for interest rate cuts in 2025. But looking at the market's internals, it's clear that damage had been inflicted well before the Fed's Wednesday meeting—and the signal is a historic indicator of tough times ahead. The number of stocks in Top Stock Club S&P 500 that are declining outpaced advancing stocks for 14 consecutive days on Thursday. The advancing/declining data helps measure underlying participation in market moves, and the recent weakness signals that even though the S&P 500 is only off 4% from its record high, there's damage under the hood of the benchmark index. This is evidenced by the equal-weighted S&P 500 index being off 7% from its record high. According to Ed Clissold, chief US strategist at Ned Davis Research, the 14-day losing streak for the S&P 500's advance-decline line is the worst since October 15, 1978. Clissold said 10-day losing streaks or more in advancing stocks relative to declining stocks can be a bad omen for future stock market returns. While this scenario has only been triggered six times since 1972, it shows lackluster forward returns for the S&P 500. The index has printed an average six-month forward return of 0.1% after these 10-day breadth losing streaks flashed, compared to the typical 4.5% average gain seen during all periods. "Studies with six cases hardly make for a strategy. But market tops have to start somewhere, and many begin with breadth divergences, or popular averages posting gains with few stocks participating," Clissold said. Perhaps more telling for the stock market is whether it can stage a recovery as it heads into one of the most bullish seasonal periods of the year: the Santa Claus trading window. If it can't, that would be telling, according to Clissold. "A lack of a Santa Claus Rally would be concerning not only from a seasonal perspective, but it would allow breadth divergences to deepen," the strategist said. Also concerning to Clissold is investor sentiment, which has flashed signs of extreme optimism since September. According to the research firm's internal crowd sentiment poll, it is in the seventh-longest stretch in the excessive optimism zone, based on data since 1995. "Several surveys have reached what could be unsustainable levels," Clissold said, warning that any reversal in sentiment could be a warning sign for future market returns. Ultimately, continued stock market weakness, especially in the internals, would suggest to Clissold that 2025 won't be as easy as 2024 for investors. "If the stock market cannot rectify recent breadth divergences in the next few weeks, it would suggest our concerns about a more difficult 2025 could come to fruition," the strategist said. Moreover, Dow Jones index has printed recently The Three Black Crows Bearish candlestick pattern, on weekly basis. This is especially important, since mentioned above pattern is massively unwinding from Dow's all the history highs. Previously this pattern has already appeared in TVC:DJI in November 2021 and lead to 20 percent decline in 2022 for Dow Jones Index and to more than 70 percent decline in BTC. The Three Black Crows Bearish candlestick pattern also has appeared in Dow Jones Index in September, 2018 (lead to 18% decline) and in July, 2007 (lead to more than 50% decline). The main technical graph represents a Choking Strategy for BTC in 2025, i.e. BTC airless scenario below $100'000 choking point. The epic 52-week SMA breakthrough in BTC will definitely accelerate a decline at all.
by Pandorra
bitcoinPrice Action Analysis: Parallel Channel: The chart is framed within an ascending parallel channel, which suggests an overall bullish trend. The price appears to respect the channel boundaries with multiple touches on the upper resistance and lower support lines. The channel shows a clear Elliott Wave structure labeled with (A), (B), and (C) corrections. Elliott Wave Pattern: The internal structure of the price action is marked with corrective wave patterns (A)-(B)-(C), reflecting consolidation phases within the uptrend. The current movement indicates a potential rebound near the lower boundary of the channel, suggesting the price might aim for a recovery towards the midline or upper boundary. Support and Resistance Levels: Support: The lower boundary of the channel acts as a key support zone. A recent bounce suggests this support is intact. Resistance: The upper boundary of the channel is a significant resistance. Breaking above this level may lead to a continuation of the bullish trend. Indicators: MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence): The histogram shows diminishing red bars, indicating weakening bearish momentum. A potential bullish crossover is forming between the MACD and signal lines, which may support upward movement. RSI (Relative Strength Index): RSI is hovering around 42.78, indicating the market is neither overbought nor oversold. A potential uptrend in RSI could signal bullish momentum in the near term. Projection: Based on the structure: If the price respects the channel and completes the current (A)-(B)-(C) wave, the next likely target could be near the midline or upper boundary. A breakout above the upper resistance may push the price towards new highs. A breakdown below the lower support of the channel could invalidate the bullish scenario and signal a trend reversal. Conclusion: The chart suggests a bullish bias as long as the price remains within the ascending channel. Traders may watch for confirmations of support at the lower boundary or a breakout above the midline for further upward movement. Indicators like MACD and RSI provide early signs of bullish momentum but require further confirmation.
Long
by Shervin_Hunter
BTCUSDT: likely to retest after hitting channel top!!Join our community and start your crypto journey today for: In-depth market analysis Accurate trade setups Early access to trending altcoins Life-changing profit potential Let's analyze BTCUSDT : Bitcoin (BTCUSDT) is currently trading within an ascending channel. After recently touching the channel's upper line, it has pulled back to the immediate support zone. A crucial support area lies within the blue box, where a potential bounce could occur. Currently, Bitcoin is testing the $103,000 support level. If this level breaks, the next significant support zone is at $98,400, which also coincides with the lower channel line. A strong bounce is likely from this level. Key Support Levels: $103,000 $98,500 $91,100 Key Resistance Level: $108,400 If you find this analysis helpful, please hit the like button to support my content! Share your thoughts in the comments and feel free to request any specific chart analysis you’d like to see. Happy Trading!!
by persis10t
Bitcoin Breakout: Pullback and Bullish Continuation ExpectedBitcoin has recently broken above its previous trendline of highs, signaling a potential bullish momentum. The price is expected to pull back to retest the trendline as support, around the 92,000 level, before continuing its upward trajectory. If the pullback holds above this support, it could act as a confirmation of the breakout, with a potential target set around the 200,000 level. This aligns with classical technical analysis principles, where a successful retest of a broken trendline often leads to significant upward movement. Key Levels to Watch: Trendline Support: ~92,000 Target Level: ~200,000
Long
by Ara_Swing_Watcher
Long Signal for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT)📈 Long Signal for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) ✅ Suggestion: I’ve opened a buy position from the marked zone and anticipate growth for Bitcoin. 🎯 Key Insight: This is Bitcoin’s final support level, and despite the high risk, I’m willing to take the chance. 🚀 💬 To manage this signal effectively and explore more opportunities: 1️⃣ Follow my TradingView page 📊 2️⃣ Send me a private message for personalized guidance. 💎 Let’s trade strategically and aim for big profits! 💰
Long
by DAVID_SNIPERRR
10% dump in Bitcoin Are you Ready?🚀 BTC is heading back to retest 100K, and this time, it's not just hype—it’s supported by the day range structure. But here’s the twist: 💥 A 10% dump is brewing before the next leg up. The question is—are you prepared for the volatility? 📊 What to Watch for: 1️⃣ Support Zones: Key levels to hold before we see that sweet bounce back to six figures. 2️⃣ 10% Correction: The market may be setting up for a healthy shakeout—weak hands out, strong hands in. 3️⃣ Momentum Shift: The daily range alignment suggests that after this dump, bulls could gain control to push prices higher. 💡 Pro Tip: Use this correction wisely—plan your entries, manage your risk, and don’t let the noise shake you.
by ashwani500
Bitcoin (BTC): Price Need To Secure The $100K Support Properly!On a 4H timeframe, bitcoin has broken out of the major resistance zone and somewhat retested it but... This re-test seems rather weak, which also left a smaller CME gap with it near the zone. We expect to see the re-test of that 100K zone, which would give us a proper understanding of whether we will go and expand further to new ATHs or we will go and take all the $ 13 billion of liquidity that is lying near $94-93K. Swallow Team
Short
by SwallowAcademy
BTC/USDT: Rising Channel Pattern | Critical Support TestBINANCE:BTC/USDT - 4H TIMEFRAME 🎯 CURRENT ANALYSIS: ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ ✦ CURRENT PRICE: $95,921.70 (-1.21%) ✦ CHANNEL SUPPORT: ~$92,500 ✦ CHANNEL RESISTANCE: ~$114,000 ✦ KEY TIMEFRAME: 4H TECHNICAL STRUCTURE: ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 1. CHANNEL FORMATION: • Price trading within ascending channel • Strong support at lower channel boundary • Upper boundary showing resistance 2. PRICE ACTION FORECAST: • Potential volatility increase ahead • Projected movement (white line): - Initial bounce to $105,000 - Further rise to $114,000 - Possible reversal back to support 3. CRITICAL LEVELS: • Major Support: $92,500-$95,000 • Key Resistance: $107,000-$108,000 • Channel Top: ~$116,000 TRADING IMPLICATIONS: ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ SHORT-TERM OUTLOOK: • Channel boundaries providing clear trading ranges • Current price testing support zone • Volatility expected to increase RISK FACTORS: • Break below channel support (~$92,000) • Increased selling pressure at resistance • Market sentiment shifts KEY OBSERVATIONS: ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ • Price currently testing critical support • Channel structure remains intact • Projected movement suggests volatility ahead • Trading volume will be crucial for confirmation RISK DISCLOSURE: ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ This technical analysis is for educational purposes only. Always manage risk appropriately and never trade more than you can afford to lose. #Bitcoin #BTC #TechnicalAnalysis #CryptoTrading #TradingView Tags: @TradingView
Long
by Supachai-Taechapisit