TMP In BTC 1day Chart :D + ascending channel patternBtc Moving in a ascending channel pattern + there is a TPM =Track price manipulation.
BTCUSDT.3S trade ideas
BTC Breaks Crucial 101,000 BarrierA green candle has closed above the crucial 101,000 price level, as established by Fib levels.
This comes after a minor pullback that was rejected from the 97,000 with a bullish engulfing candle. This means that there's enough buying power for the price to be rejected at this range, and continue trend upwards.
The Stochastic RSI is also signalling a strong bullish trend.
What to expect from Bitcoin next week and recommendations1. General analysis of the current trend
Moving Averages (SMA) :
The price is trading above all major moving averages (fast, medium, slow), confirming the presence of an upward trend. The widening gap between the moving averages indicates that the trend is currently strong.
Conclusion : The uptrend remains intact, but a temporary correction or false breakout is possible.
ADX (Average Directional Index) :
ADX = 16.64, indicating weak trend strength. A rise in the ADX above 20 would confirm a stronger continuation of the trend.
Conclusion : The trend is weak but could strengthen or experience strong volatility.
RSI (Relative Strength Index) :
RSI = 62.42. This value is in a neutral to bullish range and not yet in overbought territory (above 70). In an uptrend, the RSI often lingers in the 60-80 range without signaling a reversal. However, the current level indicates the possibility of a mild pullback.
Conclusion : The RSI does not indicate a reversal yet, but a further move towards 70 or a divergence may signal a weakening momentum.
ATR (Average True Range) :
ATR = 1.1, indicating low volatility. Such conditions often precede a strong move in either direction.
Conclusion : Be prepared for a sudden increase in volatility that could result in a sharp price movement.
Volume :
Trading volume has decreased, a common sign of trend exhaustion or consolidation. If volume spikes during a breakout, it will be crucial to assess whether the breakout is sustainable or fading.
Conclusion : Weak volume suggests that any breakout may be temporary unless confirmed by increased trading activity.
2. Key levels to watch
Resistance :
102,500-103,000 USDT is a critical zone where many stop losses from short sellers and buy stop orders are likely to be concentrated.
Support :
99,500 USDT is the next support level for a potential pullback.
97,000 USDT is a stronger support zone that could attract buying interest.
Critical support :
95,000 USDT is a key level. A break below it could signal a trend reversal.
3. Possible scenarios
Scenario 1: Continuation of the bullish trend (30% probability)
Conditions:
Price breaks through resistance at 102,500-103,000 USDT with increased volume.
ADX rises above 20, confirming the strength of the trend.
RSI moves into the 70-75 range without showing divergence.
Target: 105,000-107,000 USDT.
Scenario 2: Correction (40% probability)
Conditions:
Price fails to hold above resistance at 102,500 USDT and volume remains low.
RSI fails to break through 70 and begins to fall towards 50.
Price retreats to support levels at 99,500 or 97,000 USDT for liquidity accumulation.
Target: 99,500-97,000 USDT.
Scenario 3: Liquidity accumulation above resistance followed by a decline (20% probability)
Conditions:
The price briefly surges above resistance at 102,500-103,000 USDT, triggering stop-loss and buy-stop orders.
After gathering liquidity above resistance, the price quickly reverses back below 102,500, confirming a false breakout.
Volume spikes during the breakout, but quickly diminishes, signaling a lack of follow-through from buyers.
RSI shows divergence (price makes a new high, but RSI fails to follow).
Expected movement:
First leg up: The price rises to 103,500-104,000 USDT to gather liquidity.
Second leg down: Price falls back to 99,500 or 97,000 USDT.
Scenario 4: Trend reversal (10% probability)
Conditions:
Price breaks below key support at 95,000 USDT, accompanied by a volume spike.
The RSI drops below 40 and the ADX signals a strong bearish impulse.
The structure shifts to "lower highs and lower lows".
Target: 90,000-85,000 USDT.
5. Recommendations
For those holding positions :
Protect your profits by placing a stop loss just below 99,500 USDT.
If the price breaks through resistance at 102,500, monitor whether it holds above this level. A failure to hold could signal a liquidity grab.
For those looking to enter :
For long positions: wait for a pullback to 99,500 or 97,000 USDT and look for confirmation (e.g. bullish candlestick patterns, increased volume).
6. Additional factors for analysis
Candlestick patterns :
The current candlestick patterns do not indicate a clear reversal.
At the 102,500 resistance level, look for doji, shooting star, or hammer patterns that could signal a reversal or correction.
Near the 99,500 support level, look for bullish patterns such as Engulfing or Morning Star, which could indicate a bounce.
Fundamental Factors :
News and macroeconomic events: Monitor updates related to BTC (e.g., ETF approvals, regulatory changes) or macroeconomic events such as Federal Reserve interest rate decisions (Dec. 17-18) and inflation data, as these can impact market sentiment.
Liquidity Reports: Track BTC liquidity on exchanges. For example: if whales or institutional players withdraw significant amounts of BTC from exchanges, it could reduce supply and drive up the price. Conversely, increased deposits on exchanges could indicate selling pressure.
Conclusion
The most likely scenario is a pullback to the 99,500–97,000 USDT levels, providing liquidity for a continuation of the uptrend. However, a liquidity grab above resistance (Scenario 3) could also occur, where the price briefly spikes above 102,500–103,000 USDT before reversing sharply to lower levels. A full trend reversal remains unlikely unless the support at 95,000 USDT is breached.
2024 Overview - Whats Looking Big for 2025The crypto market is maturing to the point of clear winners and losers within the application space. The chain level has proven in 2024 not to be decided with the consistent growth of SOL Within the different chains though we have still seen winners seperately themselves from the losers.
The winning applications? Usually theyve been in three fields. Validating. Swapping. Lending. Now there are emerging winners appearing in the fields of RWA. Yield. Whatever Ethena is. These fields are distancing themselves from the losers. The zombie fields. The seed investment fields. The metaverses. The gaming. The NFTs.
The losing fields might have volatile token performance and they could definitely see strength start in 2025.. but those applications were big losers in 2024. Surprise, surprise... their token performance wasnt great. It may have something to do with the fact no one uses the application.
2025 I believe we will see those that were leading applications and leading token performers in 2024 continue to be the leaders of 2025.
EDIT - I forgot to mention in the video my favourite growth chain of SUI. SUI has been a relative leader both technically and fundamentally.
Bitcoin Potential to DumpWe can see potential dump because
1. Double top
2. Divergence with RSI
With this reason i can say we maybe will see Bitcoin dump to under 100k again and flush all long position in before XMas event
Bitcoin Overall--still consolidating, approaching end thereofAs mentioned in my last "Bitcoin Overall", I believe price will turn bullish again in a week or two. I expect one more move down from current levels to somewhere above the trend. There may be a (risky since against overall trend) short near current levels.
A break above this level, and BTC will moon even harderbasically waiting for BTC to break this wedge and stay above it. i think it will happen once we got some liquidations covered. Both eth and btc look ok, BTC also has an inversed head and shoulder on the 4h chart.
We are going up now! Bullish FlagI am seeing a huge bullish flag and i am long from 54363.
what do you guys think? tell me in the comments.
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Is BTC Correction About to Push ETH Below $3KThe crypto market is buzzing with speculation. Looking at Bitcoin’s current chart patterns, it seems like a major correction is on the horizon. And if that happens, Ethereum might not escape the heat either.
If BTC breaks its key support level, ETH dipping below $3K seems almost inevitable. The big question is – will this correction turn out to be an opportunity to buy the dip, or is it a sign of a longer downturn?
What’s your take on this? Are you holding, selling, or waiting to buy? Let’s discuss!
Will Bitcoin’s Rally Continue, or Is It Time for Altcoins?Will Bitcoin Continue Its Short-Term Rally or Yield the Stage to Altcoins?
The current market phase is particularly fascinating. Bitcoin (BTC) has maintained a consistent upward trajectory for several weeks, rising from $61,000 to $102,000. However, after this strong rally, BTC is now moving sideways within a wide range around $120,000. This range presents significant risks for traders, as stop-losses can easily be triggered in both long and short positions.
Overall Analysis:
BTC remains in a robust upward structure on larger timeframes such as the 3-month or 1-month cycles. However, on shorter timeframes like D1 and below, BTC is showing a lack of clear trend, either declining or moving sideways.
In the short term, BTC is expected to make a push toward $105,000 before pulling back to $88,000. After this correction, it is likely to resume its growth in alignment with its larger cycle structure.
BTC.D and Market Capitalization Outlook:
Looking at BTC Dominance (BTC.D), it is expected to return to the 52%-53% range on the W timeframe. However, it’s important to note that total market capitalization (Total) continues to show positive growth signals. Currently at $3.57 trillion, the total market cap is anticipated to reach $4 trillion in the near future. This implies that a decrease in BTC.D might not significantly impact BTC’s price.
At the same time, Total 3 (Altcoin Market Cap) is also on an upward trajectory. From its current level of $1.07 trillion, Total 3 is expected to hit $1.5 trillion soon. This strengthens the possibility of an Altcoin Season, as funds start flowing from BTC to altcoins.
Proposed Strategy:
In this context, when BTC undergoes a correction, investors should seize the opportunity to filter their portfolios, accumulate promising altcoins, and prepare to take profits as altcoins reach their peaks. This could be the golden moment to maximize gains from the market.
Reaching $110,000 By the Year End Is Important for BTCUSD-Why?BTC's dominance is rising again, while the inclusion of MicroStratergy is expected to have a wider adoption, inviting more buying pressure. Meanwhile, the recent BTC price movements show that psychologically, people are finding it difficult to buy the token at $100,000. A strong squeeze on the BTC chart indicates the weakness of the buyers and validates the above claim. Therefore, the price is believed to chop around the levels for a while before going higher before the end of the year.
What if the BTC price closes below $100K by the end of the year, how will the markets begin the 2025 trade?
The short-term price action of BTC suggests the bulls are trying hard to keep up the bullish trend, mainly utilising all their strength to keep the price over $100K. The rally trading within the symmetrical triangle displays both bullish and bearish possibilities while the volume remains within a decent range. The price hovers in and out of the 50-day MA in the short term which has been a strong support at the moment. On the other hand, the RSI remains consolidated within a parallel channel since the start of the month. Therefore, the price is expected to maintain an ascending consolidation and reach the apex in the coming week.
Besides, the bulls are exhibiting some more power compared to the bears which suggests the selling pressure may not hinder the progress of the rally. Therefore, the price is expected to test the ATH in the next 4 to 5 days which could also test the stability of the bulls. If they manage to withstand the bearish pressure at these levels, then a breakout from the pattern may enable the token to rise above $105K and eventually push the price above $108K to $110K by the end of the year.
If the bulls fail to do so, then a similar drag below $98,000 may be expected. As long as the RSI remains within the range and the 50-day MA acts as strong support, then the possibility of a new ATH remains evident. Otherwise, a bearish start for 2025 could slightly delay the formation of new highs but cannot refrain as 2025 is expected to be a bullish year for the entire crypto space.
BTC Range Breakout
BTC Current Consolidation is in a 8.6% price range and about to breakout in upwards direction.
There are multiple demand zones within this range and price is making higher lows, while tapping the supply and soon to break this sell wall.
We may soon see a short squeeze playing out.
BTC is holding the 90k level tightly.
Avoid high leverage positions while trading in this high volatile range.
Use risk management and your own analysis as well.
Bullish Breakouts on 4hour Swing Range
All 3 pairs BTC / BNB / SOL could have had the last dip , before breaking out of this 4hour range .
Strong Bull structure on Daily+4H and even 15mins except BNB that broke it .
If we fail to breakout, and break 4hour range lows, then we might see bearish rallies.
Disclaimer This is only an idea and part of trades that I am doing myself and in no way you should follow this blindly. Use risk management in futures trading.
BTC ready for next leg up BTC is up in the air with no overhead resistance while currently in this 4hour range.
Using low leverage < 5x and building positions in this trend is my strategy and taking profits at golden fibs levels.
long BTC SMC + PATT
LONG BTC SPOT
Classic Bitcoin Analysis Shows Future State
I did an analysis using hidden trend, smart money method and technical analysis method
BTC 1h updateAt 9 AM on December 13, the market established a balance. I'm anticipating the price to approach the resistance level at 100,480. At this point, we might experience either a false breakout or a genuine breakout. If a reliable upthrust occurs, it could present a favorable entry opportunity on the 5-minute chart. It's important to note that a spring pattern formed at the support level at 9 AM. Additionally, selling volume has been slightly lower than buying volume, and the approach to resistance has shown moderate strength. Let's remain patient and observe how the situation unfolds.
BTC LONG in short termwhat we have :
bullish ascending triangle (7days accumilation.)
buying : stoplimit at 94.1k , or you can buy now .
target : 105k (10% profit) 100k(7% profit).
stoploss : 4h clossing bellow 88.7k
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD COINBASE:BTCUSD BINANCE:BTCUSDT BYBIT:BTCUSDT INDEX:BTCUSD
BITCOIN ON ITS WAY TO 90,000$ Bitcoin has Broken its bullish structure and is on reversal mode to take off its lows furthermore there is too much liquidity to be taken out till 70,000$ Range
BTCUSDT: Correction in Progress, Uptrend Likely to ResumeBitcoin has completed a five-wave structure to the upside, showcasing bullish momentum. Currently, the market is in a corrective phase. However, this correction appears too shallow to me. Ideally, I expect the price to retrace further to key levels around 98,500 or 97,500 before resuming its upward trajectory.
These levels align with deeper Fibonacci retracements, offering a more robust base for the next impulsive wave. Traders should keep a close eye on these zones for potential reversal signals, as they could present favorable opportunities for long positions.
Bitcoin Update
We are currently rejected on white resistance keylevel at 101.7k now price is clearly making a correction our waiting game panda fam at 95196 - 94678 panda fam. 📈
Worst case scenario if PBr1 Keylevel support gets invalidated we will having a major correction on bitcoin at HTF.
