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BTCUSD trade ideas

Bitcoin Down to 3666?Bitcoin’s Bull Run: A Potential Correction Ahead Bitcoin has seen a remarkable bull run, but a correction to $3,666 may be imminent. Historical patterns show Bitcoin often retraces 70-90% after peaks (e.g., 2017-2018 and 2021-2022). Current overbought indicators, like RSI levels above 70, and declining buyer activity suggest cooling momentum. Affordability is also a concern, with high prices limiting participation by retail investors. Could Bitcoin Become the US Official Currency? With global trends like El Salvador adopting Bitcoin as legal tender, it's plausible the US could consider similar moves under specific leadership. Bitcoin's capped supply and decentralization align with economic policies that challenge traditional banking and inflationary pressures. Why Market Inclusivity Matters Most of Bitcoin’s wealth remains concentrated among early adopters and whales, mirroring the inequality seen in stock markets. Broader adoption by the general population is essential for Bitcoin’s long-term legitimacy and sustained bull runs. Be Prepared for Market Turbulence On-chain divergences (e.g., lower transaction volumes) and macroeconomic tightening hint at potential turbulence. Bitcoin corrections tend to be swift, often concluding within 1-2 years, as seen in past cycles. Observing these trends is vital for navigating the market ahead. A Word of Caution Average investors should be wary of opportunistic individuals or schemes promoting Bitcoin as a "guaranteed" investment at current levels. The market’s volatility could leave latecomers holding the bag during a downturn. Always conduct thorough research before investing.
CRYPTO:BTCUSD
by resurrector007
BTC SHORT TO $94,760Finally some clarity from BTC, well worth sitting on our hands for a short period. We created a short term down trend with multiple confirmations (SMA break and rejection, LL's & LH's etc) a retracement back to the golden ratio and a rejection from a major key level has resulted in some bearish momentum for BTC and all correlated markets. We'll se how this plays out as exhaustion will play some restriction in the momentum BTC can hold although i do think the target / 61.8% retracement level will be met of $94,760 Also currently waiting on BTC to produce a new LL on the 1H time frame so lets see how that pans out. I have moved stop to $11,065 to lock in 1.5% as we've been out the market for a few days. P.S, sorry slightly late on posting this idea
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by h77nry
1
December 17 Bitcoin Bybit chart analysisHello It's a Bitcoinguide. If you have a "follower" You can receive comment notifications on real-time travel routes and major sections. If my analysis is helpful, Please would like one booster button at the bottom. Here is the Bitcoin 30-minute chart. The Nasdaq indicator will be announced at 10:30 in a little while. Today, I made a strategy through a very fair vote. If the strategy fails, there is a possibility of sideways movement and additional adjustments after tomorrow, so please note. Today, I will start the strategy for a 5% probability vertical rise. *When the red finger moves Long position strategy 1. 106,891 dollars long position entry section / When the purple support line is broken or when section 1 is touched, stop loss price 2. 108,784.5 dollars long position 1st target -> Good 2nd -> Great 3rd 107,843.5 dollars in the middle is a textbook-like autonomous long position section If the purple parallel line support line is maintained until the daily candle is created Is it valid? Also, rather than proceeding aggressively today, all patterns were restored after the report was updated, and since the 15-minute Bollinger Band support line has not been touched even once, we tried to enter the rising pattern and decided the game. On the other hand, there is a possibility of a vertical decline in Tether Dominance. From the touch of the 1st section at the bottom, the short-term pattern is broken, and there is a possibility of additional adjustment after tomorrow, so if the strategy succeeds within the purple parallel line support line today, it is definitely good. The 2nd section at the very bottom is the 1+4 section, so if the strategy fails today, keep it open until 2. As explained in the video, when Bitcoin is in an upward trend, it will go together with the major altcoins, and after the adjustment, there is a high possibility of a cyclical pumping from the minor altcoins in the rebound. Since you have been spreading it hard, it is time to reap it now, right? Up to this point, I ask that you simply use my analysis for reference and use only. I hope that you will operate safely with the principle of trading and cut-off price. Thank you for reading.
BYBIT:BTCUSD.PLong
by BitCoinGuide
2
BTC , Mother candle Breakout BTC is in Bullish momentum , Even though last 26 days was in sideways range making it a flag . Monthly and weekly both are up. 5 Dec candle is significant in terms of volume and price is in the range of its high and low ( Daily). MACD is in positive zone , RSI is above 60 signify momentum. if it breaks out expecting target up to 114000. Open and Low of todays candle is same , only problem is volume, its less then average . View is my own and not an investment advice but for learning purpose only .
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by pushpc6
Daily Analysis of Bitcoin – Issue 233The analyst believes that the price of { BTCUSD } will decrease in the next 24 hours. This prediction is based on quantitative analysis of the price trend. Please note that the specified take-profit level does not imply a prediction that the price will reach that point. In this framework of analysis and trading, unlike the stop-loss, which is mandatory, setting a take-profit level is optional. Whether the price reaches the take-profit level or not is of no significance, as the results are calculated based on the start and end times. The take-profit level merely indicates the potential maximum price fluctuation within that time frame.
BINANCE:BTCUSDShort
by MoonriseTA
When Bears Gather: A Confluence of Warning Signs for BTCBitcoin’s current price action has led me to adopt a bearish short-term outlook, supported by several technical indicators and analysis methods. Here’s why I believe we’re at a critical turning point and entering a Wave 4 correction based on Elliott Wave Theory. Stochastic RSI: Bearish Crossover The Weekly Stochastic RSI has entered the overbought zone, and a bearish crossover has formed. Historically, this has been a reliable signal of a downside correction. I’ve highlighted previous instances where a bearish crossover in the overbought region led to significant price corrections, and we’re now seeing a similar setup. A single indicator isn’t enough to make a strong prediction, but several additional factors strengthen the bearish outlook: 1.618 Fibonacci Extension: Bitcoins price price aligns with the 1.618 Fibonacci level, often a key resistance point. Whilst it has broken support on the daily/weekly time frames it wouldn't surprise me if it retraces back to the 1.618 Fibonacci, creating a bearish candle where the 1.618 is now resistance by the close of December. Loss of Momentum: Candlestick patterns and momentum indicators all show weakening momentum, including a hanging man candle on the weekly chart. Daily and 4-Hour Stochastic RSI: Both timeframes have also turned bearish, signaling further downside. Elliott Wave Analysis: Top of Wave 3 In my previous Bitcoin analysis, I discussed how we’ve likely reached the top of Wave 3, and are now entering a Wave 4 retracement. If this is indeed Wave 4, Elliott Wave Theory suggests that 70% of corrections retrace between the 0.382 and 0.618 Fibonacci levels, which I have marked out above. Based on this range: In 2021 Wave 4 corrected 31%. If we did a similar correction this would take us down to 0.618 Fibonacci level, conveniently near $71,859.67, which also serves as close proximity to the previous all-time high. Final Thoughts As traders, we can only work with the charts and data in front of us. My current bias remains bearish, and I’ll continue monitoring key levels and confluence points to adjust my outlook as needed.
BINANCE:BTCUSDShort
by heywippa
Bitcoin: $73K Breakdown or $130K Breakout ? Your Thoughts !Post your thoughts and analysis in the comments and share your charts! I’ll respond and discuss your predictions. Let’s decode Bitcoin’s next big move together! Bitcoin is at a critical Gann crossroad where time and price meet—a setup that traders cannot ignore. 📉📈 Is BTC ready to blast off to $130K, or will it lose momentum and plunge to 73K? Understanding Market Cycles Through Gann's Principles- W.D. Gann, one of the most legendary traders, discovered that markets move in predictable cycles based on time, price, and natural law. Gann's philosophy states that markets are not chaotic; they follow repetitive patterns influenced by planetary cycles, angles, and geometry. These cycles allow traders to identify turning points in price with incredible accuracy. 1. Time Cycles: Gann emphasized that time is the most critical factor in forecasting market movements. He believed that history repeats itself, as cycles tend to recur after specific intervals. For example, key highs and lows often form at regular intervals (like 30 days, 90 days, or annual cycles). Gann connected these patterns with planetary cycles, such as the Saturn return (29.5 years), which often marks major shifts in financial markets. 2. Price and Geometry: Gann introduced the concept of geometric angles, where price moves in harmony with time. The Gann Fan, for instance, uses angles like 1x1, 2x1, and 4x1 to predict the support and resistance levels based on a balanced relationship between price and time. When a market breaks through a Gann angle, it signals a major trend change or continuation. This principle highlights how BTC could now be at a decisive point between 73K (downside Gann target) and $130K (upside Gann target). 3. Cycle Extremes and Reversals: Markets tend to hit extremes before reversing. Gann believed that natural time cycles, such as the seasonal year or 90-degree quarters, correspond to price extremes. For example, Bitcoin may currently be completing such a time cycle, aligning with a potential breakout or breakdown. Recognizing where we stand in this cycle allows us to anticipate the next big move. 4.The Law of Vibration: Gann’s Law of Vibration explains that every financial asset vibrates at a specific frequency. By identifying these vibrations through time and price charts, traders can forecast future price movements. BTC's current consolidation may be a result of price vibrating at a critical frequency before a decisive upward or downward move. Understanding market cycles through Gann’s time-tested principles is like decoding the market's hidden language. BTC’s current setup aligns perfectly with Gann's theories, signalling a potential major move. Is it a $130K breakout or a 73K crash? 👉 Share your thoughts and analysis. How do you see this market cycle unfolding? Let’s discuss! Bitcoin: 73K Collapse or $130K Explosion? What's Next? Share Your Analysis!
BINANCE:BTCUSD
by GannAstroTrader
1
Bitcoin Fed Can’t Hold Bitcoin, No Plans Yet To Change Law, Powell Says Jerome Powell says the Fed isn't allowed to own Bitcoin. He also says the bank cannot create a stockpile of digital assets. The market immediately reacted to Powell's statement, sending Bitcoin's price down by 5.7%.Bitcoin Decline Continues: Are Bulls Losing Control? Bitcoin price extended losses and traded below the $100,000 zone. BTC is struggling and might continue to move down toward the $92,000 support zone. Bitcoin started a fresh decline from the $102,000 resistance zone. There is a key bearish trend line forming with resistance at $98,500. Glassnode's Week on Chain report revealed the similarities between the current Bitcoin uptrend and previous cycles amid changing market conditions. Meanwhile, long-term investors began distributing their tokens at the $100K level, culminating in a new all-time high of $2.1 billion in realized profitsAccording to blockchain analytics firm Glassnode's weekly report, Bitcoin's current price performance has a striking resemblance with the 2015-2018 and 2018-2021 cycles despite the changing dynamics in its market structure. Like previous cycles, the selling pressure that accompanies sustained price increases has remained but at a much lower pace. The deepest drawdown in this cycle occurred on August 5, 2024, when prices dropped 32% below their peak
CRYPTO:BTCUSDShort
by KingForex078
Daily Analysis of Bitcoin – Issue 230The analyst believes that the price of { BTCUSD } will increase in the next 24 hours. This prediction is based on quantitative analysis of the price trend. Please note that the specified take-profit level does not imply a prediction that the price will reach that point. In this framework of analysis and trading, unlike the stop-loss, which is mandatory, setting a take-profit level is optional. Whether the price reaches the take-profit level or not is of no significance, as the results are calculated based on the start and end times. The take-profit level merely indicates the potential maximum price fluctuation within that time frame.
BINANCE:BTCUSDLong
by MoonriseTA
BTCUSD | Trade ideaBTCUSD is trading weak ahead of the US Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) data, having hit a low of $55,282 and currently hovering around $55,958. The number of large investors holding between 100 and 1,000 BTC has reached a one-month high of 16,120, indicating that whales are buying BTC at lower levels. BTC ETFs have experienced an outflow of $211 million, marking the seventh consecutive day of withdrawals. According to the CME FedWatch tool, the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut in September has dropped to 57% from 70% a week ago. US Markets: NASDAQ (negative correlation with BTC): Bearish but neutral for BTC, trading weak ahead of the NFP data. A close above 20,000 could push the index to 20,500. Technical Analysis: BTCUSD is trading below the short-term 34-EMA and 55-EMA, as well as the long-term 200-EMA on the 4-hour chart, indicating weakness. On the daily chart, BTC remains below both short- and long-term moving averages, confirming minor weakness. Support Levels: Minor support at $54,000. A break below could push BTC to $53,000/$50,000/$46,000. Bullish Scenario: Primary supply zone: $57,000. A break above this level could confirm intraday bullish momentum with potential targets of $60,000/$61,800/$63,000/$65,000/$67,000/$70,000. Secondary barrier: $70,000. A close above could target $75,000/$80,000.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by DynamicCapital-FX