MOMENT OF TRUTHEither BTC surprise everyone and hit 100k or it would become a dumpster next month. Everything is flashing red but we're still optimistic until prover otherwise. 100K is possible and 76k is inevitable. Thanks for your time
BTCUSD trade ideas
From Euphoria to Despair: Bitcoin's Path ForwardBitcoin prices pushed above the $100K mark, sparking euphoria across the world. However, that excitement quickly turned into despair as the euphoria marked a local top in prices. Yesterday, significant gains in altcoins were wiped out.
The reason is simple: the returns in altcoins have been phenomenal, and investors are eager to book profits. Additionally, funding fees were through the roof but have since come down sharply. Yesterday, we also saw liquidations of roughly $1.5 billion, according to data from Coinglass.
Looking at Bitcoin prices today, the type of decline we saw on December 5—roughly 11.64% from the all-time high—is normal. My main scenario now is for prices to remain sideways for a few more days before potentially pushing to the upside. The biggest issue, however, is the massive divergence on the RSI, as seen in the chart below. This divergence suggests we could experience a steeper slide in Bitcoin prices, especially since Bitcoin has not yet faced the larger blowouts seen in altcoins.
With that in mind, I see three possible scenarios. The first is consolidation followed by a bullish breakout, which would be my preferred outcome. The second scenario involves being bullish around the $93,000–$90,700 range. If that level doesn't hold, we could potentially see a larger slide toward $85,000, representing an 18% decline from the all-time high. Around that level, or possibly as low as $80,000, we are likely to see strong buying interest as traders look to "buy the dip" before pushing prices back to the upside.
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BTC up to $250K - Remarkably Accurate Projection 2022/25Initial projection from December 12, 2022, ➡️ ⬅️
When the price was at $17K, aimed to predict the bottom of the cycle, but primarily to predict Bitcoin's next all-time high and its timing.
This projection has been spot on!!!
The two-year forecast has proven to be exceptionally and remarkably accurate, demonstrating high credibility.
The analysis employed a multifaceted approach, including these key factors:
- Projected symmetrical parallel channel for price forecasting
- Volume Price Range (VPR) for identifying Points of Interest (POIs)
- Price range (PR) tool, to project the peak from the hypothetical bottom
- Measurement of days between halving events and peaks
- Measurement of days between peaks
- The symmetrical parallel channel , ( Green and Red lines ) derived from previous highs and lows, linking them enabled the projection of a clear symmetrical parallel channel into the future, this channel has proven to be highly predictive of price movements, whenever the price reached the channel's boundaries, it consistently signaled reversals or marked the cyclical highs and lows.
As shown by the three green arrows, the price consistently reversed direction upon reaching the lower boundary of the channel.
The orange arrow points to the most recent bottom, the initial analysis predicted that the bottom would be reached only in January 2023, with a price somewhere between $10K and $12K, which did not materialize, in fact, the bottom was reached in December 2022 a month early, with the price hitting a low of $15K, a slight deviation from the projection."
- Volume Price Range (VPR) ( Combined yellow and blue bar projection ) was employed to identify Points of Interest (POIs) by connecting reversal bottoms to peaks, then red rectangles were projected on the chart to align with these bottoms, indicating potential reversal zones for BTC.
Both projections (Red Rectangles ) accurately predicted a reversal in this zone, whatever in the recent bearish cycle, the exact reversal point was slightly higher than anticipated
VPR indicators remain a valuable tool for forecasting future price movements and identifying key areas of interest, and have proven to be reliable tools for identifying potential reversal zones.
- Price range (PR) tool ( Parallel channel with a white upward projection arrow ), was applied to projected from the December 2022 bottom until it intersected with the upper band ( Red line ) of the symmetrical channel, a level that historically coincided with cycle peaks.
- Measurement of days between halving events and peaks:
2nd Halving on July 2016 to Peak December 2017 +/- 500 days
3rd Halving on May 2020 to Peak November 2021 +/- 500 days
4th Halving on April 2024 to Peak October 2025 +/- 500 days ➡️ Projection ⬅️
The measurement of days between halving events and peaks for the 2nd and 3rd cycles was approximately 500 days, based on the results of the two previous cycles, we observe a potential temporal pattern and correlation between halving events and price peaks.
This correlation is reinforced by our projection, we forecast the peak of the 4th cycle to be around October 2025, occurring roughly 500 days after the halving (16-17 Months ).
Measurement of days between peaks we started by measuring from the December 2017 peak to the November 2021 peak and found that it took 47 months (approximately 1430 days) to reach a new peak, with a price increase of 250%
We then measured the duration from the latest BTC peak in November 2021 to October 2025 which was the month that coincided with our projection of a new peak.
Remarkably, we discovered that this period was identical to the previous cycle at exactly 47 months.
Intrigued and Astonished, we decided to copy and paste the measurements ( Blue Rectangle ) from the previous cycle and were stunned, the range was exactly the same 47 months and approximately 130 days.
And when we thought nothing could surprise us more, to our further amazement, the price increase was a striking 250% the same as before. This uncanny correlation is truly astonishing. What a heel, what is this?
CONCLUSION
The remarkable accuracy of the December 12, 2022 projection underscores the robustness and reliability of the multifaceted analytical approach employed. Multiple coinciding patterns and consistent correlations have converged to validate the forecast, enhancing its credibility significantly.
Symmetrical Parallel Channel: The use of green and red lines to establish a symmetrical parallel channel accurately anticipated price reversals at the channel boundaries. The consistent directional changes upon reaching these boundaries highlight the channel’s effectiveness in signaling cyclical highs and lows.
Volume Price Range (VPR): [ By identifying Points of Interest (POIs) through the combination of yellow and blue bars, the VPR method successfully pinpointed reversal zones. The alignment of red rectangles with these zones accurately forecasted price reversals, reinforcing the tool’s reliability in predicting key market movements.
Price Range (PR) Tool: The projection of the peak from the hypothetical bottom using the PR tool intersected precisely with the upper band of the symmetrical channel. This intersection historically aligns with cycle peaks, further validating the projection model.
Halving Events and Peak Correlation: The consistent interval of approximately 500 days between halving events and subsequent peaks across multiple cycles reveals a strong temporal pattern. Projecting this correlation forward suggests a peak around October 2025, maintaining the established 16-17 month post-halving window.
Measurement of Days Between Peaks: The identical duration of 47 months (approximately 1430 days) between consecutive peaks, along with a consistent 250% price increase, showcases a compelling cyclical pattern. The replication of these measurements in the current cycle with precise alignment adds to the projection’s accuracy.
The convergence of these diverse analytical methods each independently demonstrating high predictive accuracy creates a compelling case for the projection’s validity. The alignment of historical patterns, consistent temporal correlations, and the successful anticipation of recent market movements collectively inspire strong confidence in the forecast.
Projection: Given the synchronized alignment of these multiple indicators and patterns, it is highly plausible that Bitcoin (BTC) will reach approximately $250K by October 2025. This projection not only aligns with historical trends but also exemplifies the power of comprehensive, multifaceted analysis in accurately forecasting cryptocurrency market movements.
BTCUSD Correction may Continue Bitcoin briefly dipped below $94,000 earlier this week but recovered strongly, stabilizing around the $100,000 mark by Friday.
Despite these mixed sentiments this week, institutional demand remained strong, adding $1.72 billion until Thursday.
Bla bla bla!
The COO of Indian crypto exchange Giottustold FXstreet that the financial incentive for investors is to support adding Bitcoin to a company’s balance sheet.
Bitcoin (BTC) reclaimed the $100K level, trading near $100,100 on Friday after a recent decline earlier this week. The recent pullback in BTC was mostly due to high-leverage traders and some holders booking profits. Despite Microsoft’s rejection of adding Bitcoin to the company’s balance sheet, institutional demand remained strong, recording a total inflow of $1.72 billion until Thursday. Giottus COO Arjun Vijay highlighted the growing financial incentive for companies to adopt Bitcoin on their balance sheets.
Bitcoin reaction this week
BTC PIE CYCLE TOPHODLING myself accountable this cycle.
I believe this is how this cycle will play out with targeted top zone.
There will be dips, many dips, a lot of dips infact.
Simply buy.
Let's see how this plays out.
BTC is consolidating. Trading inside the channel Bitcoin maintains an upward market structure even after the shakeout. Buyers are aggressively protecting all risk areas that could panic the market.
On the daily timeframe, the price is holding steady above the local lows, forming a cascade indicating an uptrend
Scenario: Since bitcoin is trading inside the consolidation, we can take it as a fact that the most chaotic movements and traps will be inside the channel. Accordingly, trading is allowed only within the boundaries of such a channel. In our case, there are no signals to break the channel boundary, so we can trade a false breakout.
Since the support was tested earlier, the market is currently interested in liquidity beyond the 100K level
Idea: I am waiting for a sharp approach to resistance, a false breakout and a fall to support
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BTC - ChatGPT Analysis!Want to see something cool? I entered the above chart into ChatGPT with no further information. My lines are drawn, so it clearly identified those as key levels in its analysis, but I did not offer anything else.
Here’s a technical analysis of the Bitcoin (BTC/USD) daily chart provided:
Key Observations:
All-Time High Retest Zone:
The price has broken above significant resistance near $100,000, which was a key psychological level. This breakout signals strong bullish momentum.
Bitcoin is currently consolidating just above this zone, suggesting a potential retest of support at $99,860.
Trend Confirmation:
Bitcoin is in a strong uptrend, as indicated by the series of higher highs and higher lows. Both the 50-day SMA (blue) and the 200-day SMA (red) are sloping upwards, confirming bullish momentum.
The price is well above both moving averages, indicating strong support and an extended bullish structure.
Volume Analysis:
Volume increased significantly during the initial breakout above $100,000, validating the move.
Recent volume levels during consolidation are slightly lower, which is typical during a pause after a breakout.
Support and Resistance Levels:
Immediate Support: The key level to watch is $99,860, where prior resistance is now expected to act as support.
Major Support: The next critical support lies near $73,835, the previous breakout level.
Resistance: While Bitcoin is trading in uncharted territory, potential resistance could form near psychological levels such as $105,000 and $110,000.
Momentum Indicators:
Momentum remains strong, with no immediate signs of bearish divergence. The absence of a pullback after such a significant rally indicates sustained buying pressure.
Potential Scenarios:
Bullish Continuation:
A daily close above $100,000, followed by a retest and successful hold of this level, could lead to further upside.
Potential targets include $105,000 and $110,000 in the near term.
Consolidation:
Bitcoin may consolidate between $99,860 and $102,000, allowing the market to absorb gains before the next move higher.
This would allow the moving averages to catch up and provide additional support.
Bearish Reversal:
A failure to hold $99,860 could trigger a retracement toward the 50-day SMA (~$85,000) or even the major support level near $73,835.
Strategy Recommendations:
For Bullish Traders:
Look for confirmation of a breakout above $102,000 for long entries, targeting $105,000 and beyond.
Use $99,860 as a stop-loss level to manage downside risk (I disgree with this, I would put it lower below support, not on support!)
For Bearish Traders:
Consider short positions if Bitcoin closes below $99,860 with increasing volume, targeting the 50-day SMA or $73,835 for a pullback.
Neutral Traders:
Monitor the consolidation near $100,000. A breakout or breakdown will provide better clarity on the next major move.
Conclusion:
Bitcoin’s daily chart shows strong bullish momentum, with the price breaking above the key $100,000 level. As long as $99,860 holds as support, the uptrend remains intact, with potential for further upside to psychological levels like $105,000 and $110,000. However, a failure to maintain this level could lead to a retracement, offering opportunities for both bulls and bears depending on the direction of the next move.
Not bad, ChatGPT, not bad. Not exactly my analysis, but cool to see.
My expectations for BTCI think everything is clear in the picture;
Two equal movement sizes and its intersection with the trend line is the next price target before a deep correction (probably!)
My ideas are exclusive to myself only and is not regarded as an advice for traders or investors and are not more than personal thoughts which I just wanted to share with you all and I do hope they could help.
I am not selling any signals and I do not take money favour any trades recommendations. They are free of charge all lifelong but I keep the copy rights of them though to not be copied or shared or sold.
BITCOIN UPDATES The logarithmic is not a joke, I see a 10*3 rates on this prices. we might see 177k in the next 3-6 months, Number is pilling up since the halving and the banks are always buying. its a free trade for a long positions or just holding this coin.
Power of 3 supposed to be 177k. and this idea is insane? bitcoin has this word "scarcity" .
and most people are still denial on this idea.
not a financial advice.
THis is only my view. since last year. I Posted a logarithmic weekly.
now I conclude to myself, this idea is working with the power of 3.
Goodluck. we might see it the future of money is here already. ciao..
100k BTC appears to be in the LPSY stage of Wyckoff DistributionCompare the chart with the final stages of a Wyckoff distribution cycle chart and you can easily see with are in the final stages of the LPSY phase. I expect BTC to open to the upside during London open or NYSE open then crash quickly.
Trade carefully.
Might go down to $83300BTCUSD closed below its tenkan sen yesterday, so I think it could go down to the kijun sen at $83300.
The 50% zone between the tenkan sen and the kijun sen could be a first target = ($94596 - $83299)/2 + $83299 = $88947
Bitcoin fitting an upward wedge pattern, decreasing volatility.From what I understand, these usually break higher, but do correct me if I'm wrong.
btcBitcoin seems to be ready to rise, a suitable trade for this would be buy with a stop loss of 100,200 and an initial target of 103,400 and then break it down to 100,700.
$Bitcoin possibly one more time with a discountIt looks like we will see another dip with Bitcoin. I therefore expect that we will correct up to 50% fib at the latest.
After this the bounce? Then open up towards 106k.
B/$My direction is still down, I buy when it goes down and sell when it goes up.
I don't trade spot because for long positions I will pay swap
Warning! ⚠️ Warning! ⚠️
Avoid These Pitfalls to Succeed in Digital Currency Investment!
🚨 Costly Mistakes That Can Ruin Your Portfolio:
1. Chasing FOMO (Fear of Missing Out):
Jumping into hype-driven coins without proper analysis can lead to heavy losses when the market shifts.
2. Skipping Research:
Investing without fully understanding a project's fundamentals or goals can end in disaster.
3. Ignoring Risk Management:
Failing to set stop losses or diversify your portfolio exposes you to significant financial risks.
4. Falling for Scams:
Watch out for “too good to be true” opportunities, such as pump-and-dump schemes or fake tokens.
5. Overtrading:
Constantly reacting to short-term price changes can drain your profits and increase losses.
---
🔹 Protect Your Investments:
Conduct thorough research to understand each project.
Only invest what you can afford to lose.
Stay disciplined and avoid trading based on emotions.
💭 Your Thoughts:
What other common mistakes should investors watch out for? Share your insights below!
The last bullish chance of BITCOIN in short term!After this heavy drop, BITCOIN has now formed an ascending triangle in the 1-h time frame, which could be a sign of a bullish trend. Please note that this analysis is in the 1-h time frame.
Give me some energy !!
✨We spend hours finding potential opportunities and writing useful ideas, we would be happy if you support us.
Best regards CobraVanguard.💚
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✅Thank you, and for more ideas, hit ❤️Like❤️ and 🌟Follow🌟!
⚠️Things can change...
The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
BTCUSD SELLBitcoin (BTC) ends the working week hovering around $98,000 after a very volatile Thursday when it surpassed the $100K milestone and underwent a sharp correction. Strong institutional demand, whale accumulation, and the choice of a pro-crypto figure to lead the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) fueled the rally this weekHowever, traders should be cautious about a possible correction ahead as on-chain data shows holders booking profits at the top. Moreover, any moves from Mt.Gox funds and US government transfers could add to the selling pressureBitcoin surged past the $100K milestone on Thursday, reaching a peak of $104,088 before experiencing a sharp drop to $90,500. It ultimately recovered to close above $96,900. As of Friday, it is trading slightly above $98,000
Elliott Wave Analysis & Future Market Cap PredictionsThis detailed analysis leverages Elliott Wave Theory to project Bitcoin's future price movements and market capitalization milestones. Explore:
* Predicted bull market peaks and realistic market cap targets.
* Anticipated pullback levels and key support zones for future corrections.
* How Bitcoin's price aligns with Elliott Wave structures and Fibonacci retracement levels.
* This post offers a comprehensive outlook to help traders and investors navigate Bitcoin's next major cycles with confidence. Follow for updates and stay ahead of the curve! 🚀
posibility of uptrendConsidering the price behavior within the current support range, possible scenarios have been identified. There is a possibility of a continuation of the correction trend
