Well, we’re past 105k. What next people? Let’s discuss ideas. I expect a short increase then a sharp dip, but it’s Bitcoin so do the opposite and you’ll do great.
BTCUSD.P trade ideas
Key Levels Overview for the Week 12.2024(16-20)🔲Key Levels Overview for the Week🔳
12.2024(16-20)
Dynamic Supports🔀
105313
101500
100500
99000
98000
Dynamic Resistance🔀
105313
106363
112400
115700
119300
Mid Pivot (🫎bull&bear🐻 zone ch trend)
123292
111511
99737
range of supply and demand
115243
107672
100100
Bitcoin trackingIt is just a matter of having patience so that everything fits in each analysis. Next stop 110k? We'll see...
btcUSD channel , no position m just observing whether it breaks This is the latest channel BTC is in . Watching to see if we reject from resistance or we break through.
"The Target Matrix"Traders, new targets are in sight! Bear in mind, I’ll be constantly evaluating to ensure these targets are hit. With deeper research into smart money’s potential next moves, I’m now comparing these targets using more advanced market dynamics. The market may appear ready to collapse, but I’m not letting go that easily. A big wave is coming — I can’t say exactly when, but it’s on the horizon.
Will I cancel this idea before the targets are reached? Absolutely, without hesitation. Markets evolve by the hour, and one thing we must learn is that Technical Analysis updates constantly. But I’m not justifying myself with that; my confidence comes from the precision of ATR volatility, enhanced whale movement analysis, and several other robust methodologies.
Current Trade Setup:
• Using an ATR with RSI scanner, my long position has a stop loss at $87,840 and a profit target at $113,329.
• Additionally, I’ve identified two key ATR levels and will soon provide short positions to outline potential downside targets if a downtrend emerges.
• As for the $80K zone — that’s the least of my concern, as there’s no meaningful signal pointing to that level.
Strategy Insights:
My zig-zag strategy is in play, reinforced with Fibonacci calculations, high and low labels, and whale enhancements. As prices move, I’ll compare these levels and issue bullish printouts when signals show pending opportunities. Two smart money contractions and true value lines are mapped out, indicating where prices are likely to drop. When a descent begins, I’ll measure a short position ATR to ensure the downturn doesn’t catch you off guard.
And for the Alts:
Good news is on the way. Stay tuned and be ready.
Bitcoin Market Update: Why I’m Still Not Buying the Hype🚀 Bitcoin’s Short-Lived Breakout? Bitcoin is showing upward momentum, but I believe this is a short squeeze and not a sustainable breakout.
📉 Caution Is Advised: I’m sticking to my guns—I don’t trust the current upward action and predict significant downward movement soon.
🛑 Wait Before Buying: No altcoin I’ve reviewed is displaying convincingly bullish signals, reinforcing my cautious stance.
🕵️♂️ Cross-Market Analysis: Charts across the crypto market, including Bitcoin and altcoins, suggest indecision and potential fakeouts.
💡 Key Levels to Watch: Downward action could present excellent buying opportunities—stay vigilant for potential entries.
⚠️ Not Investment Advice: This is my personal analysis—trade responsibly and be prepared for sudden market moves.
CRYPTO:BTCUSD
COINBASE:NEONUSD
COINBASE:ARBUSD
COINBASE:SPELLUSD
COINBASE:SHPINGUSD
COINBASE:SUKUUSD
COINBASE:CTXUSD
COINBASE:HONEYUSD
COINBASE:RAREUSD
COINBASE:ALGOUSD
COINBASE:NEARUSD
The RED LINE returns!BTC has finally broken through this moving resistance line. In the short term prices need to hold above 103.8k to continue bullish parabola. Otherwise it could be months before bull market resumes.
$BTC 4Hr Analyzing the CRYPTOCAP:BTC coin chart on the 4-hour timeframe:
- **Symmetrical Triangle**: A well-structured symmetrical triangle is visible, with equal angles on both sides, indicating potential for an imminent breakout. The price is currently below the upper resistance line, suggesting a possible upward movement soon. A target around $113k has been discussed based on the pole of this pattern.
- **Bullish Divergence**: There have been instances of bullish divergence with RSI on the 4-hour chart, particularly noted in May and July 2024, where the RSI was not confirming the price lows, suggesting underlying strength.
- **Bearish Divergence**: Conversely, bearish divergences have also been observed, especially when the RSI was overbought, indicating potential short-term pullbacks or corrections. This was notably seen in November 2024, signaling a possible reset before further upward moves.
- **Resistance and Support Levels**:
- **Resistance**: Key resistance levels were noted around the psychological barrier of $100,000, with movements above this level suggesting strong bullish momentum.
- **Support**: The price has found support at various levels, with significant attention being paid to where the 50 EMA and other moving averages lie, particularly after the price drops.
- **Trendline Analysis**: The 4-hour chart often shows Bitcoin testing its trendlines, both as support and resistance. A bullish move is often confirmed when the price breaks and holds above these trendlines.
- **Volume and Market Sentiment**: There's been discussion about distribution and HODL-ing behavior, with the Long/Short-Term Holder Supply Ratio dropping, suggesting less long-term holding and potentially more active trading or distribution.
- **Price Targets**: Based on various analyses, especially around breakout scenarios from patterns like the symmetrical triangle, targets have been suggested around $113k, with some posts on X indicating this could be reached quickly in a lower timeframe setting.
- **Current Sentiment**: The sentiment from X posts shows a mix of optimism for continued upward trends with cautions for potential corrections. The recent activity around $100,000 has sparked discussions on whether Bitcoin will continue its bullish run or face a significant correction.
In summary, the 4-hour chart for CRYPTOCAP:BTC shows a battle between bullish and bearish forces, with technical patterns like symmetrical triangles indicating potential for significant price moves. The emphasis on divergences, especially with RSI, gives clues on momentum, while the community on X watches for breakouts from key levels to confirm trend directions. Always consider that crypto markets can be influenced by broader market sentiment, macroeconomic news, and regulatory changes, which can alter technical predictions.
Next BTCUSD buy ZoneI am going to assume that the US dollar is increasing in value until we get to the debt ceiling decision. I am expecting a move up to and perhaps beyond the $103-$104 area.
If this happens I have to assume that the BTCUSD will come tumbling down into my next buy zone. If we don't take out the next weekly level, this will be a great buying opportunity. But some sort of confirmation will be needed.
BTCUSD Wyckoff Accumulation Phase completedLets assume that the strength in the US dollar wont last for too much longer, as Central Banks try and work out how many more trillions are needed in the system.
The BTCUSD had been in a trading range for some time and this week we convincingly left it, with a big dose of Bullish price action.
Will it last? IDK. I am long BTCUSD so I am fundamentally in the Bitcoin 🚀 camp so I am also talking up my own book.
However, if we look to Wyckoff and transpose his teachings on the stages of the accumulation phase, we get quite a convincing outlook to the upside.
It could all be down to the fact that we see what we want to see, or it could be a run on the banks to the crypto-sphere.
Bitcoin: New Profit Objectives Greater Risk.Bitcoin is poised to push the 104K high after breaking the previous inside bar (buy signal). While this is exciting and a newsworthy event for the casual observer, it is important to recognize some potential turning points from here. While there is no precision to this, it does offer a way to measure profit objectives and compare them to the growing RISK. Once again I will emphasize that swing trades and day trades are the most effective way to contain the large magnitude of RISK that is often overlooked by many.
The blue arrow on the chart points to the 104K all time high. The thing to avoid here is shorting it with the thinking that it will "double top" ect. At this time there are no signs of weakness. The outside bar that developed a week ago has been bought up, along with any minor pullback thereafter. With the trend structure clearly in place, shorts still pose a high risk, especially on swing trade time frames. There are situations where risk on both sides of the market can be high and these are usually good times to be small or be out.
As far as profit objectives: measuring Wave 1 and projecting from the Wave 2 bottom, I see inflection points in the 105K and 113K areas (see horizontal lines). We can use these to anticipate selling activity and prepare to lock in profits, etc. Can price can further? ANYTHING is possible, but as I will ALWAYS say at highs, the probability is lower. The fact that we are in the vicinity of a Wave 5 of 5 of a broader 3 is what clues me into the limited potential.
The initial retrace from the current high (see illustration) or these anticipated profit objectives will serve as a short term buying opportunity (swing trade). As of now, UNTIL the 90K support is broken, I would not be bearish. Look for supports to hold and confirmations to buy on smaller time frames.
It is important to REALIZE that markets move in CYCLES. At some point this bullish cycle will complete and the next corrective cycle will begin. It may be hard to believe at the present time because news and general sentiment is continuously bullish. What will catch most people off guard is when the next cycle begins, it will seem like a normal pullback only this time will it not be followed by new highs. This is when the typical trader/investor gets married to the market because they refuse to adjust to the changing structure. And like over half of the marriages today, it will be costly.
For me, the 90K break will confirm that the broader corrective cycle is in play.
Thank toy for considering my analysis and perspective.
October 2025 I need to be out of my Crypto holdingsA note to myself to hold the BTC etc, until October 2025 and then get out!
There is definitely a time to Buy and Hold and having HODL'd all through the previous bear market, I could do with using the money in a more proactive manner and investment.
I will never have life-changing amounts of crypto unless I get lucky with an alt coin, but I can double my money on a few occasions. It is those occasions I want to be ready for. Having your $'s locked up in a depreciating asset or sideways consolidation is just annoying.
My current plan is to keep investing the profits that I am making across at least 5 coins. Current coins include, BTC, ETH, SOL, LINK, SUI. XRP, ADA and a couple of others are on the watch list.
BTCUSD is very technical, which means predicting a low is getting easier for me. I have demonstrated to myself that after a decent sell-off I can spot a low. And I know how to trade the markets higher. I have no interest in shorting these markets or using options or any other derivatives. Leverage is also a major problem when we witness 30% drawdowns.
#202450 - priceactiontds - weekly update - bitcoinGood Evening and I hope you are well.
tl;dr
bitcoin: Neutral. Market went nowhere last week. It’s testing and trying above 103k and it could not close a daily bar above it for now. I have a measured move at 110k but that’s about it for me. Obviously bears are not doing anything, so either don’t trade or look for long scalps. Bears need a daily close below 94k to begin having arguments again.
Quote from last week:
comment: Market did it and pulled back 11%. What do you think happens on the next try when bulls get above 102k/103k again? Upside potential is very limited and once we trade below 90k, I do think the selling will accelerate. Previous ath in BTC were heavily sold and I don’t expect that to change now. We have a clear channel that’s pretty shallow and once other markets show signs of profit taking, I do think this one will too. I would be very surprised if we close 2024 above 100k.
comment : I still doubt we can close this above 100k for 2024. Bears are obviously not doing anything for now. Does that mean this is a decent long? Hell no. Last target I have is 110k but I don’t care about this market until we see a daily close below 90k.
current market cycle: Bull trend with a blow-off top. We are at the very end of it. It will turn soon.
key levels: 90000 - 110000
bull case: I have one measured move that leads to 110k but that’s about it. The 11% pullback was already too strong to expect this to go much further. As long as bulls keep it above the daily ema, they remain in control. Did not change a word since last week because nothing has changed for the market.
Invalidation is below 90000.
bear case: Bears not doing enough. Won’t waste brain resources making up stuff here. Daily close below 90k, then we can talk.
Invalidation is above 110000.
outlook last week:
short term: Neutral again between 90k and 104k. Clear invalidation levels given, now it’s about patience. I highly doubt bulls can get another leg up.
→ Last Sunday we traded around 100k and now we are at 103k. Nothing changed since market stayed inside the range. Good outlook.
short term: Neutral again between 90k and 104k. Clear invalidation levels given, now it’s about patience. I highly doubt bulls can get another leg up. Same outlook was last week.
medium-long term - Update from 2024-12-15: Will write a new outlook for 2025 next week.
current swing trade : None
chart update: Nothing
Bitcoin Breaks Through 102k Liquidity Zone, Girls Late to PartyBitcoin broke through the 102k liquidity zone acting as resistance for the past week. But it did so with low volume signaling some bearish divergence.
Key Considerations:
1. Weak Commitment: Lower volume suggests that there may not be enough buyer commitment to sustain the breakout.
Think of it like showing up to a party with a single girl and as soon as she realizes she's being ogled by a room full of broke bulls, she's gonna be the first one out of the door.
2. Potential Fakeout: A breakout with low volume increases the likelihood of a false breakout, where the price could fall back below the liquidity zone.
3. Lack of Conviction: The price holding above the liquidity zone on lower volume might indicate hesitation.
What to Watch For:
Price Action on Retest: If the price retests the liquidity zone and holds (even with moderate volume), it may still confirm support, but the next move up might be slower or weaker. This is bullish.
Volume Spike: Look for a volume increase in subsequent candles. If volume starts to pick up, it can validate the breakout. A couple more girls arrive to the party just before everyone leaves.
Divergences: Check for divergences in momentum indicators like RSI or MACD, which could signal a potential reversal. We have has a moderate amount at time of posting.
How to Approach It:
Cautious Optimism: Treat the breakout as tentatively bullish but remain cautious until stronger confirmation (e.g., a second retest or a breakout above the next resistance level with higher volume). Holden swears more girls are on the way
B/$ 2024 Analysis of 2024 and continuation in 2025
I don't think there will be such steep trends next year, I think it will be more in the range
