Daily Analysis of Bitcoin – Issue 225A analyst predicts that the price of Bitcoin will decrease in the next 24 hours. This forecast is based on a quantitative analysis of recent price trends.Shortby MoonriseTA0
is a flat forming?As I mentioned in the last update, Bit finished its first leg(a) under 100k, and now it's time to rest for a while(until January 18-20) as b(like a flat maybe). Then, 135-140k will be accessible!Longby MiladJUpdated 1
Bitcoin: the $100K reached, what`s next?The long awaited $100K target came finally during the previous week. This is another significant milestone for BTC and the crypto market. Although BTC was struggling during the first half of the week to push the price toward the higher grounds, still, news regarding a new SEC leadership pushed the price above the $100K target for the first time in the history of BTC. News was released that Paul Atkins would lead the SEC under the Trump administration. As Atkins is a proponent of digital assets and the industry around it, the market reaction was positive. The RSI slowed down a bit, but it is still moving within the overbought territory, which is quite “normal” under current circumstances in which BTC is traded. The MA 50 continues to strongly diverge from MA200, without any indication that some change in trend might come anytime soon. The $100K target is reached, so the current question is, what is next for BTC?. It should not be any surprise if BTC decides to slow down a bit in the coming period. This assumption is not based on technical analysis, because BTC is currently moving in an uncharted territory, but on a simple demand-supply economics. As the end of year approaches, and holidays around it, it could be expected that the markets will slow down during the last two weeks of the year. Positive news in a post-election period drawed a significant portion of funds into BTC, and there is a lower probability that investors will make any kind of positioning during the last two weeks of December. In this sense, the expectation is that BTC might slow down, but any kind of significant drop in value should not be expected. by XBTFX12
BTCUSD Smart Money Concepts (SMC)In modern trading, especially within the Smart Money Concepts (SMC) methodology, terms such as Order Blocks, Imbalances, Breaker Blocks, and Inverted FVG (Fair Value Gaps) are widely used. Below is a detailed explanation of each: --- 1. Order Blocks An Order Block is a zone on the chart where large institutional investors have left "traces" of their operations, meaning a place where there was a concentration of buying or selling activity. It is typically the last candle before a significant price movement. Bullish Order Block: The last bearish candle before a strong upward movement. Bearish Order Block: The last bullish candle before a strong downward movement. How to use: Price often returns to order blocks before continuing the trend. Order blocks are used as potential entry or exit zones. Example: If the market is falling and a sharp reversal upwards begins, the last red candle before this rise is the bullish order block. --- 2. Imbalances An Imbalance is a zone on the chart where demand and supply were sharply uneven, creating "gaps" in the market structure. These zones are often referred to as FVG (Fair Value Gaps)—an area between the wicks of the first and last candles of three consecutive candles, where the middle candle does not overlap with the first or third. It is believed that the market tends to fill these gaps, meaning the price often returns to these zones before continuing its movement. How to use: Imbalances can serve as a reference for identifying potential retracement zones. Enter a position when the gap is filled. Example: In an uptrend, if the price rises sharply, creating a gap between the wicks of candles, traders can expect the price to return to this area. --- 3. Breaker Blocks A Breaker Block is a zone that forms when the market breaks a key support or resistance level and begins moving in the opposite direction. They appear where an order block was "broken." Breaker Blocks indicate that the previously dominant trend has been broken, and the market is preparing for a new movement. They can also be used to filter valid order blocks. How to use: After an order block is broken, the former support/resistance zone can serve as an entry point after a retest. Used to identify trend reversals. Example: In an uptrend, if the price breaks below the previous bullish order block, it becomes a bearish breaker block. --- 4. Inverted FVG (Inverted Fair Value Gap) An Inverted FVG is a zone where the market provides excessive liquidity in the opposite direction, creating an opportunity for "smart money" to trap traders in the wrong movement. An Inverted FVG occurs when the market "absorbs" liquidity, making traders believe the trend is continuing, but it is actually a manipulation before a reversal. It is used to analyze price manipulation and find entry points against the "trap." How to use: Enter after the price has covered the FVG zone and confirmed a reversal. Inverted FVGs often appear in zones that collect stop losses. Example: In an uptrend, the price sharply breaks a resistance zone (creating an FVG) but then reverses back and moves downward. --- Conclusion Order Blocks and Breaker Blocks help identify zones where large players may enter the market. Imbalances highlight areas where the price might return to balance demand and supply. Inverted FVGs help traders avoid traps set by large players and enter the market more strategically. These elements are especially useful for traders following SMC principles, as they provide a deeper understanding of the actions of major market participants.by Tonksovave1
December 6 Bitcoin Bybit chart analysisHello It's a Bitcoinguide. If you have a "follower" You can receive comment notifications on real-time travel routes and major sections. If my analysis is helpful, Please would like one booster button at the bottom. Bitcoin 30-minute chart. Nasdaq indicators will be announced at 10:30 in a little while. It is currently in the 12 + daily pattern section. It touched the upper side first, and the 6-hour chart MACD dead cross pressure is in progress. *Blue finger Two-way neutral Long->Short->Long switching strategy. 1. 97,065 dollars long position entry section / When the purple support line is completely broken or when the 2nd section is touched, stop loss price 2. 101,511.5 dollars long position 1st target -> Top 2nd -> Good 3rd target The 1st section at the top is a short position entry point, but there is also a possibility of a breakthrough, and since the 6-hour chart MACD dead cross is in progress on the Nasdaq, I started with a safe long wait. (Proceed from short->long->short->long to long->short->long.) If the strategy is successful, the first section is the section to re-enter the long position. I think you can trade autonomously. The orange resistance line 1 / green support line 2 convergence section is a sideways market From the bottom to 89.1K It is a major rebound section until today. (Bollinger Band daily chart support line) If you drag up and down, You can check the major sections and prices. Please use my analysis up to this point as a reference only I hope you operate safely with principle trading and stop loss prices. Thank you for your hard work this week. by BitCoinGuideUpdated 5
BTC’s chilling near $98,356—will it bounce back or take a dive? The market right now is looking a bit shaky, with prices moving downward but showing signs of stabilization near key support levels. BTC is currently trading at $98,773, which is slightly above the EMA 200 ($98,356), a crucial level to watch. If it holds, there’s a chance for a bounce, but if it breaks, we could see more selling pressure. The MACD is deep in negative territory, showing that bears are still in control. The RSI is sitting at 42, not quite oversold yet, but it’s worth keeping an eye on—if it dips below 30, we might get a buying opportunity. Volatility is high (ATR at 703), so expect sharp movements. Right now, it looks like BTC is stuck between two key zones: Support: $98,356 (EMA 200 and recent low). Resistance: $99,311 (EMA 7). How to Approach It Option 1: Play the Range Buy near $98,356 and aim for a quick sell around $99,000-$99,311 if the price rebounds. But if it starts slipping below support, cut losses quickly. Option 2: Wait for a Breakout If the price breaks above $99,173 with strong volume, that could be a signal to go long, targeting $100,000 or higher. On the flip side, if it drops below $98,462, it’s likely heading toward $98,000 or even lower. Big Picture The market feels uncertain, so keep your trades small and focus on managing risk. Watch for confirmation signals like a MACD crossover or a bounce on RSI before jumping in. This isn’t the time to be overly aggressive—play it smart and let the market show its hand.by Putireachly0
Bitcoin - Bitcoin finally reached 6 digits!Bitcoin is above the EMA50 and EMA200 in the 4H timeframe and is trading in its ascending channel. risk ON sntiment in the US stock market or investing in Bitcoin ETF funds will lead to its continued upward movement. which will cause the failure of the resistance zone. After the authentic failure of this area, we will see Bitcoin reach the ceiling of the channel. Capital withdrawals from Bitcoin ETFs or risk OFF sentiment in the US stock market will pave the way for Bitcoin to decline. The target of this downward movement will be the level of 90 thousand dollars. It should be noted that there is a possibility of heavy fluctuations and shadows due to the movement of whales in the market and compliance with capital management in the cryptocurrency market will be more important. Last week, Donald Trump appointed Paul Atkins as the new chairman of the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), a decision that sparked mixed reactions. Hester Peirce, popularly known as the “Crypto Mom,” expressed her strong support for Atkins to replace the current SEC chairman, Gary Gensler. She stated, “Based on my previous experience working with him in this organization, I can’t imagine a better candidate for this position.” Meanwhile, Caroline Crenshaw, a current member of the SEC, has been nominated for another term and now awaits Senate confirmation. If approved, she will serve on the commission until 2029. During her tenure, Crenshaw has taken a notably strict stance on cryptocurrencies, earning a reputation for being even tougher than Gary Gensler. One key point of contention is her opposition to approving Bitcoin Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs). In a letter dated January 2024, she cited concerns such as investor protection and market manipulation as reasons for her dissent. These views have led some to label her as the primary adversary of the crypto industry. Bitcoin Spot ETFs now hold over one million bitcoins, surpassing the holdings of Bitcoin’s anonymous creator, Satoshi Nakamoto. Within less than a year, these funds have become the largest bitcoin holders in the world. Lawrence Summers, a former U.S. Treasury Secretary, told Bloomberg that the idea of establishing strategic bitcoin reserves is “ridiculous.” However, he welcomed efforts to regulate the crypto space and foster financial innovation. Summers also expressed skepticism about reducing government spending through the Productivity Department, calling it a challenging path. The performance and weekly and annual returns of major Layer 1 cryptocurrencies are shown in the accompanying chart. Meanwhile, Pavel Durov, the founder of Telegram, appeared in a Paris court to face charges of facilitating illegal activities through his messaging app. Durov, who was temporarily detained on August 24, was released after posting a $6 million bail but has been barred from leaving France until March 2025. French prosecutors have accused him of running a platform that aids illicit activities. If convicted, Durov could face up to 10 years in prison and a fine of €500,000. This case has raised concerns about privacy-focused technologies in the Web3 space. At the same time, the number of cryptocurrency wallets with non-zero balances has reached 400 million. Michael Saylor, the CEO of Microstrategy, recently shared his proposed bitcoin purchasing strategy with crypto enthusiasts. He reiterated that bitcoin should be considered a long-term asset and advocated for using a Dollar-Cost Averaging (DCA) strategy for sustainable growth. Saylor, one of bitcoin’s most prominent supporters, stated that for the past four years, he has consistently advised investors to “buy bitcoin and never sell.” He emphasized that bitcoin should be held as a long-term capital asset rather than a short-term profit tool. Saylor recommended that investors enter the market every three months using funds they do not need and hold the investment for at least ten years. He also stressed that investors should not worry about short-term volatility and should avoid stress by adhering to this strategy. The trading volume of spot cryptocurrencies reached $2.7 trillion last month, marking the highest level since May 2021. A new survey revealed that over 80% of cryptocurrency holders admitted that their investment decisions were influenced by emotions like Fear of Missing Out (FOMO) and Fear, Uncertainty, and Doubt (FUD). The survey, which included 1,248 participants, showed that 84% invested due to FOMO and 81% due to FUD. Kraken Exchange commented that the findings suggest many investors trade based on emotions and fears rather than logical strategies. These emotions often stem from misunderstandings or mistrust about the future of specific cryptocurrencies. The survey also revealed that FOMO drives investors to chase rising prices, while only 17% focus on buying opportunities during price drops. Interestingly, 63% of cryptocurrency holders acknowledgedby Ali_PSND1
BTCUSDT - Banterbubbles Price Prediction for the New YearAccording to my current Bitcoin price prediction, the price of Bitcoin is predicted to rise by 24.21% and reach $ 135,943.00 by January 1, 2025. I have submitted my price prediction on Banterbubbles to stand a chance to win. Longby AndreKlynsmith0
BTCCRYPTOCAP:BTC I see a lot of tweets calling tops and people think a large pullback is around the corner. Everything is possible of course. In the past though the 200 ema and the 200 ma on the 4H timeframe has always held the first big pullback of 25 to 30% and touched it barely due to the distance price was away from it. at this moment it lays only 8.35% down. This would mean we would have to nuke through it and price would be trading way below it in the first pullback. Highly unlikely imo. A touch is definitely possible, but i don’t see any bearish signs to assume we would lose it already when the rsi on the weekly has not even touched the 80 zone yet #Bitcoin #Cryptoby Jetze111
PULLBACK ZONE & FUTURE TARGET BY END 2026BTC is expected for a pullback below 90K USD, which is represented by my grey BUY ZONE AREA. And they gain buyers momentum to have another until my target zone above 113K USD This isn't a short term analysis, most likely expected to happen by the end of 2026Shortby massiveDiamond60602111
By the end of this year, Bitcoin will grow only slightly more.Bitcoin is at the end of a two-year uptrend and the $110,000 range is the end of this trend. The impact of Trump's election on Bitcoin's growth will be before he enters the White House. After that, we will have a 3-4 month downtrend. The current price of Bitcoin is around $100,600 I will post an analysis of the downtrend after reaching the $110K range. @JalilRafieefard December 07, 2024Longby JalilRafieefardUpdated 3320
All Stars Aligned: Bitcoin, Gold, Fiat, and DebtThis post explores the idea that Bitcoin, often referred to as "digital gold," might one day replace gold as the preferred store of value. Gold’s price (shown in yellow) has traditionally been sensitive to inflation, which is influenced by money printing, as indicated by the US M2 money supply (shown in white on the chart). Geopolitical and economic insecurity also drives demand for gold, the "safe-haven" metal. To add further context, I've also included US debt (shown in red). The chart reveals that the market seems to have found some form of equilibrium at current levels, with gold’s price finally tracking the M2 money supply and debt parameters closely. Interestingly, Bitcoin (shown in orange) has mirrored this behavior in a similar fast-paced manner. Around the $3,000 mark for gold and near $100,000 for Bitcoin, both assets are aligning with the money supply and debt trends. This suggests that any further price increases could be limited unless additional money is printed or debt increases. Of course, a Black Swan event could disrupt this equilibrium at any time. I also used TradingView’s Correlation Coefficient tool to examine the relationship between Bitcoin and gold. The correlation is impressively high at 0.87, indicating an almost perfect alignment between the two assets. The chart supports the idea that Bitcoin is tracking gold closely, strengthening the notion that Bitcoin could indeed be positioning itself as the "digital gold" of the future. Let me know your thoughts in the comments below!Educationby aibek0
#btc #btcusd #elliottwave long buy setup wave 3 9Dec24This count is based on my assumptions so anything can happen not a trading or financial advice just for educational purposes only kindly do your own ta thanks trade with care good luck.Longby alibadshah88114
It's all a matter of perspectiveSo many people have tried to short this bull run its appalling use Alt + i It helps to see things in a way that's beneficial. Psychologically it also helps.by HorseyTimUpdated 115
Bitcoin (BTC): Price Moved From $105K to $90K / Possible Drop??On a daily timeframe, we are looking to see today's candle close at least below $99K, which would give us a possibility to form another candle with aggressive pressure from sellers, where then we will be looking to see the bigger move that we have been looking for. What is interesting there is the candle that was formed on the 5th of December, where after touching the new ATH zone of $104,500 we had a quick dip to $90K, which showed the need for liquidity grab. So we took it as a first sign of weakness and possible target zone to be reached for many buyers who been waiting for $100K. Now it is time to see some proper corrections so all eyes on BTC!!! Swallow Team Shortby SwallowAcademy337
B/$here is the scenario for today bear enthusiasm is running out but i still have limit orders up to 93k let's hope they are strong enough to trigger themLongby Goliam_Praz0
Liquididty Indicators leading abilityLiquidity Indicators leading ability Just a short video update of how the Liquidity indicator is performing in the 4 hour and 2 hour periods02:51by brucegibbs1
What’s Flowing: BTCUSDBitcoin (BTCUSD) is holding steady above the psychological $100,000 level after testing strong support near $97,000. The 4-hour Heikin Ashi chart shows a bullish continuation pattern, with price action remaining within the green trend channel, suggesting sustained upward momentum. Key resistance levels are at $101,200 and $105,000, while support is anchored at $98,000 and $96,900. The price’s ability to maintain strength above $100,000 indicates solid demand, potentially paving the way for further gains if momentum holds. Traders should watch for consolidation or a breakout above $101,200 for confirmation of the next bullish leg. Conversely, a pullback below $98,000 could signal a near-term correction.01:10by moneymagnateash0
BTC is still bullish but its losing its shineThe market is getting exhausted on the mid term, short term is not looking as good either, I think we will start seeing some selling around this levels, 90k is a strong point of support and I expect a bounce off the 90k, we will see how the price action reacts to the 90k and if still don't see much interest at that level then I will say a retry to the 73k might be necessary for whales and MMs to reload. Shortby GoldHatTrader1
Bitcoin Resistance Turned SupportCurrently bitcoin is looking to break down in a small manner to find support on this dashed line trend which has been previously seen as resistance (red circle) This is a resistance > Support flip chart Daily timeframeby Bixley7
Optimistic BTC TargetThis is my completely bull impression for BTC Reaching a trendline between two previous ATH's 230K as an optimist Weekly chartby Bixley1
BTCThis is an interesting idea. I'm sure it means nothing though. Bitcoin heading to $300kby BeefStew2