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BTC/US30 Quick Analysis | BTC 📉 Although BTC may be considered as a 'new safe heaven', 'digital gold' and etc., it is actually one of the least safe investments. Whereas, 30 year US bond yields tend to be on the safest side in comparison to all financial assets. By analyzing financial assets against commodities or safe financial assets you take away fiat currency fluctuations. Which are generally dependent on government policies, balance of trade and sensitive to supply/demand shocks. Thereby, I believe pairing a financial asset of interest against these more stable, less volatile assets (e.g, gold, bonds) may be beneficial for analysis. This makes trading Cryptocurrencies a little clearer/easier
CRYPTOCAP:BTC
by Sanzhar_m
MARKET CAP BTC MARKET CAP ANALYSIS: I introduce with this new type of analysis on market capitalization an important concept to study about the behavior of the blockchain as part of the future economy. Soon we will compare the capitalization of Bitcoin with that of the Crypto market in general. Introducing a new indicator through the RSI and the MACD, new concepts such as oscillation energy and market pressure, directly related through mathematical tools to price and volume action. -------------------------------------------------------- Introduzco con este nuevo tipo de análisis sobre la capitalización de mercado un concepto importante a estudiar sobre el comportamiento de la blockchain como parte de la economía futura. Proximamente compararemos la capitalización de Bitcoin con la del mercado Crypto en general. Introduciendo un nuevo indicador mediante el RSI y el MACD nuevos conceptos como energía de oscilación y presión de mercado, relacionadas directamente mediante herramientas matemáticas a la acción del precio y volumen.
CRYPTOCAP:BTC
by AVNGL01
4hr_& a look @using ETH/BTC Dominance & other "PURE" indicators://i started using the crypto market it self as my indicators. its all i use anymore (besides a sneak peak at some other indicators here and there) THis is it and all u need in this market. Maybe through in some DeFi market cap and dominance charts among other quick looks but for a day in day out indicator u really cant beat this if you can give your self time to really watch this market and its alien tides of money pushing and pulling through the narrow exit and on ramps at a fire hose pace. ETH dominance combined with BTC dominance is really the bread and butter. build your own indicator and learn to watch this market, the correlation between these indicators and your favorite alts. or even fav block chain and how she interacts all as one eco system. _ ://the first arrow teals us that eth dominance (fat green line) trumps btc dominance (fat gold yellow line) or possible uptrend/money entering the market. with ALT coins (purple skinny line), eth (green skinny line) and then btc (burnt orange) following this eth load up as money enters the market we then see, alts/eth/btc, level off and show signs of a down trend. at the same time u can see ETh dominance spike (but this time BTC dominance has a sharper correlation) as ETH/ALTs/BTC ie the crypto market downtrends and money leaves the market. the reason we see the ETH dom spike is due to the limited number of on and off ramps into this crypto eco system. So to enter, esp in larger amounts, you need to pass through the "ETHERUM Gate/Road/Whatever" that and most alts are on the ETHERUM block chain or ETH alts. It is worth mentioning that we have watched alts bleed into other block chains in significant liquidity so it may be worth watching these other metrics, esp in a pure up trend or down trend ie stable or more consistent market conditions. Like if you day trade esp alts. I also use a DeFi market cap and dominance indicator lines in addition n to what you see now... but again thats more when im playing the ALT market etc like i just mentioned above Happy 4th to my fellow US homies out there. HGM 0Ut_ s33bel0w set buy orders for stink bids BTC 19500 n down to 16000ish with heavy orders in that 1800s to maybe hi 1700s but this is a more wait n see as it happens situation (same or eth) set buy orders for stink bids ETH 965 n down to 6500 ish but concentrate at 900s to 800s here and for me and mine WILL BE our heaviest position. I would use 30% of available funds for initial btc n eth positions and cost average in or buy heavy once uptrend confirmed with maybe a small feeler in an alt or two maybe 3 but i mean small and more a place holder.
CRYPTOCAP:BTCLong
by HustleGrindMomentum
4hr_& a look @using ETH/BTC Dominance & other "PURE" indicators://i started using the crypto market it self as my indicators. its all i use anymore (besides a sneak peak at some other indicators here and there) THis is it and all u need in this market. Maybe through in some DeFi market cap and dominance charts among other quick looks but for a day in day out indicator u really cant beat this if you can give your self time to really watch this market and its alien tides of money pushing and pulling through the narrow exit and on ramps at a fire hose pace. ETH dominance combined with BTC dominance is really the bread and butter. build your own indicator and learn to watch this market, the correlation between these indicators and your favorite alts. or even fav block chain and how she interacts all as one eco system. _ ://the first arrow teals us that eth dominance (fat green line) trumps btc dominance (fat gold yellow line) or possible uptrend/money entering the market. with ALT coins (purple skinny line), eth (green skinny line) and then btc (burnt orange) following this eth load up as money enters the market we then see, alts/eth/btc, level off and show signs of a down trend. at the same time u can see ETh dominance spike (but this time BTC dominance has a sharper correlation) as ETH/ALTs/BTC ie the crypto market downtrends and money leaves the market. the reason we see the ETH dom spike is due to the limited number of on and off ramps into this crypto eco system. So to enter, esp in larger amounts, you need to pass through the "ETHERUM Gate/Road/Whatever" that and most alts are on the ETHERUM block chain or ETH alts. It is worth mentioning that we have watched alts bleed into other block chains in significant liquidity so it may be worth watching these other metrics, esp in a pure up trend or down trend ie stable or more consistent market conditions. Like if you day trade esp alts. I also use a DeFi market cap and dominance indicator lines in addition n to what you see now... but again thats more when im playing the ALT market etc like i just mentioned above Happy 4th to my fellow US homies out there. HGM 0Ut_ set buy orders for stink bids BTC 19500 n down to 16000ish with heavy orders in that 1800s to maybe hi 1700s but this is a more wait n see as it happens situation (same or eth) set buy orders for stink bids ETH 965 n down to 6500 ish but concentrate at 900s to 800s here and for me and mine WILL BE our heaviest position. I would use 30% of available funds for initial btc n eth positions and cost average in or buy heavy once uptrend confirmed with maybe a small feeler in an alt or two maybe 3 but i mean small and more a place holder.
CRYPTOCAP:BTCLong
by HustleGrindMomentum
Full Fundamental & Technical Analysis - BTC We are living in arguably the most interesting time for all financial markets. Some economists, politicians, and business entities know the saying: “when America sneezes, the world catches a cold.” Now, no matter how you interpret this statement the U.S accounted for over 20% of the expansion in world RGDP during the past two decades. Moreover, U.S' correlation coefficient for Economic Growth compared with the rest of the world is over 0.8 (impying great significance). Thereby, I will use U.S bonds throughout my analysis to explain price changes in BTC. Bitcoin and other Cryptocurrencies are classified as high risk and volatile trading assets, and therefore the value/price of these digital assets is greatly exposed to exterior influences (news, Elon Musk's Tweets, and etc...). The chart above shows the Log(BTC): - Breaking-out it's long-term channel - Successfully retesting it's old support line (or new resistance) - Starting a new Bearish trend For Retest Zone 1: Global Investors' confidence has been decreasing. For maximisation of relevant content I have only attached Investor Confidence Index as proof. www.statestreet.com Macro analysis may potentially explain these changes: *** Short-term bond yield reflects Fed's Monetary Policy changes *** Long-term bond yield mirrors Inflation *** The Spread is the difference between the yield rate in the two bonds (10-2)yr From above we may derive: - Inflation's impact on Fed's interest rate policy - 4 cycles of an economy - Some use for predicting recessions Looking at the chart we are at risk of going into a recession. This analysis stresses the extent to which Macroeconomic indicators are important in explaining, evaluating, and predicting Investors' confidence. “Historically, a US recession tends to follow a year after the curve inverts, though the variance is large and there are occasional false positives,” said Priya Misra, head of global rates strategy at TD Securities. (Financial Times, APRIL 6 2022) Evidence of impact on BTC: (using average volume as an indicator of investors' confidence) When BTC's average volume started gradually decreasing - the 10-2 Year Treasury Yield Spread reversed direction, and started heading down to 0 (Figure 1). BTC dropped by almost 75% (from ATH) at the same time the spread dropped with great momentum (Figure 2). Figure 1: Figure 2: This is my first TradingView Idea, I'd really appreciate some feedback :) I enjoyed making this post and plan to conduct further analyses on retest 2 shown on the charts above (current retest). Thanks for your time! Stay safe
CRYPTOCAP:BTC
by Sanzhar_m
2
Biil Williams Aligator Indicator Explanation on BTC MarketCapHello Friends. Today we will explain Aligator indicator on BTC Marketcap Chart. this post has 2 purpose: 1)BTC marketcap analyze 2)Learn how Bill Williams Aligator indicator works First lets see how this indicator works: The Alligator indicator is composed of three smoothed moving averages. It is named ‘alligator’ because it mimics the feeding habit of the animal and can help traders pick out the best times to ‘feed’ on the pips available in a trending market. Here are the lines that constitute the Alligator indicator: Alligator’s Jaw This is a 13-period smoothed moving average.This line is typically visualised in blue. Alligator’s Jaw = SMMA (median price, 13, 8) Alligator’s Teeth This is an 8-period smoothed moving average. This line is typically visualised in red. Alligator’s Teeth = SMMA (median price, 8, 5) Alligator’s Lips This is a 5-period smoothed moving average. This line is typically visualised in green. Alligator’s Lips = SMMA (median price, 5, 3) Trading Rules: When the lines are intertwined or converging, it implies that the market is ranging (the ‘alligator’ is sleeping). The longer the alligator sleeps, the hungrier it will wake up; prolonged consolidation will imply a massive breakout. The alligator’s lip will be the first to move (crossing above or below the jaw) when it is waking up, which denotes the Begining of a new trend. An upward movement implies an uptrend might be forming, whereas a downward movement implies that a potential downtrend is starting. A trend will be confirmed when the alligator’s teeth cut through the lips. This will be the signal to buy in a confirmed uptrend or to sell in a confirmed downtrend. The signal to take profits will come when the lines start to converge again, which will mean that the alligator is now about to repeat the sleep cycle. Now lets see what happened in BTC marketcap According to this Strategy: We can see awakening of aligator from 9 march 2020 untill 12 april 2021. it shows a strong uptrend and aligator lines divergence. I show it with a Green Ellipse in chart. after that aligator go to sleep for a while from 12 april 2021 to 18 jan 2022. so we can see a Range in price and aligator lines converging. I show that with a Yellow Ellipse in chart. after that we see aligator lips and teeth breaks jaw and aligator awake in a downward trend so we approch a bearish market and i show that with a Red Ellipse. no one know how much this cycle last. after this section i think aligator go to sleep again and after that awake upward. please protect your capital and know about market cycles. we could see new bottoms so we must manage our risk. after that when diffrent conditions confirm uptrend we can buy again. Remember: Buy expensive but confident !!!NOTE!!! MY POSTS ARE NOT TRADING AND INVESTING ADVISE. SO DO ON YOUR OWN OPINION AND CONSIDER MARKET RISKS. Thank you all for reading this article hope that be useful for you. share me your opinion in comment please.
CRYPTOCAP:BTCEducation
by TraderAmin-KZ
BTC - Bitcoin MarketCapAnother 13-26% before any rebound is in store. Indicated it was "done" for now. Asia always manages to move Price through Key Price Levels. Oops, Brittany, they did it again, _____________________________________________________ BTC will move far lower than most are anticipating. We'll watch the reaction levels =meet their Fills and enter the Futures (BRR - BTC x 5). BTC Support, like every other Derivative - looks incredibly unstable. Instability was our warning back in February... It has been delivered in spades. _______________________________________________________ $710 Billion in Cap is the Key Support. Given Margin Calls are due this week and the following - it's going to turn nasty. HODLers were sh_t mixed, conned, and powned by the like of Mikey, Cathi and Eron. It will be interesting to see If further lawsuits abound in plenty... they will. When this mess unwinds, it will be a rather large buy as we see 135K as possible on the upside in a Tulip Panic, that too many has already occurred., It has not even begun.
CRYPTOCAP:BTC
by HK_L61
BTC vs BTFNX LONGS, STABLECOIN DOMINANCESame behaviour to May 2021 dump, and many subsequent lower lows and shakouts, seems to me that market is expecting a rebound. In contrast to March 2020, where we saw the same increase in stable dominance during a flight to safety - but longs were aggressively closed as price decreased instead of loading up. Seems to be a serious loading up of risk for a short term move, when longs start selling off very aggressively during a bear market bounce I'll start to get a lot more bearish.
CRYPTOCAP:BTC
by ivanajackson
BTC to GOLD ratio shows bottom could be close !This ratio has proven to be effective at least 4 times since the secular Bitcoin bull market has started: JAN 2015 - AUG 2015 - DEC 2018 - MAR 2020 Will it show the way in JUN 2022 ? Odds favour it might be so ! Either the ratio touched the 7 year ascending trendline (JAN 2015 - AUG 2015 - MAR 2020) Or the RSI of the ratio reached deeply oversold levels (DEC 2018) In JUN 2022 we will have both (ratio touting the trendline AND RSI reaching very oversold levels) ! Moreover the ratio will touch the previous ATH of DEC 2017 (indicated by the light blue horizontal line). This had already happened in AUG 2016 when the ATH in the ratio functioned as support. Please note the light blue arrow !! So now we have 3 indicators converging !! In JUN 2022 we will have ratio support line, RSI at around 30 and the previous ATH giving support ! PERSONALLY I think we will hold these levels ! * Shout out to Christopher Aron for showing me the important BTC GOLD ratio 7 year trendline !!
CRYPTOCAP:BTCLong
by Dangermousebanana
2