Have ever noticed this pattern in BTC trendProjecting ATHs of BTC on a logarithmic scale tells us that BTC hit its second high and we must expect a downtrend movement for it
BITCOIN trade ideas
BTC Approaching Support at 91-93KAs can be seen in the BTC USD weekly chart, BTC is approaching support at 91-93K. If this support is respected, it might bounce and continue the uptrend from here.
Bearish Head & Shoulders Pattern Looms On BTCThe price of bitcoin is dangerously close to the neckline of the head and shoulders pattern.
Will it find support and work its' way higher? It's already trading below the 20 and 50 day moving averages, and the 200 day is a long way away, so it won't find support there.
Or will it continue down through the neckline and set up an new base below this one?
I have no idea, and anyone telling you that they do is a liar. But if you're buying here be careful.
NVDA recently had a very similar set-up. I bought it as it turned back up, after I believed it had found support below the 20 and the 50 day. So far that trade has worked out for me, but that doesn't mean that BTC will do the same.
bounceshort term scalp trade I think bails out trapped buyers at 100k traps some more buyers before inauguration then dump dump dump
BTC Needs to Test $80kThe key levels are marked on the chart to identify potential support and resistance zones. The price seems to be hovering around the 0.382 retracement level (~92,695), with a potential move downward. The price has broken below the cloud, which could be interpreted as bearish.
The downward trend is targeting the region around the 0.786 retracement level. This area could act as a potential support zone.
BTC at a Critical Juncture: Should You Top Up Your Long Position🚨 BTC at a Critical Juncture: Should You Top Up Your Long Position? 🚨
Bitcoin's price action looks fragile as we enter the year's final days. With BTC hovering near the $92,000 - $87,000 support zone , traders are closely watching whether this key area will hold — or if a break below $90,000 will open the floodgates for further downside.
The Setup: What's Happening Now?
BTC is trading at $93,070 , testing major support.
Failing to hold $92,000-$87,000 could invalidate bullish setups and signal a bearish reversal.
The market is thin due to the holiday season, increasing the risk of snap volatility and liquidity sweeps .
Key Factors to Watch
1. Critical Support Zone:
The $92,000 - $87,000 range is where buyers have historically stepped in to push BTC higher.
A break below $90,000 would be a bad sign for BTC and may lead to downside targets of nearly $80,000 .
2. Indicators:
Momentum Reversal Indicator (MRI): No strong bullish reversal signal yet. Look for a Green Setup progression or daily price flip confirmation.
RSI: If RSI approaches oversold levels (~30), it could signal an opportunity to DCA or add to your long position.
3. Macro Risks:
Upcoming unemployment data may inject volatility into an already illiquid market .
The broader risk-asset sentiment remains cautious, with global liquidity conditions weighing on bulls.
Trading Decision: Should You Add to Longs?
Yes, IF:
BTC successfully tests and rebounds from $92,000 - $87,000 .
Look for supporting signals like a Green Setup progression or bullish divergence on RSI.
No, IF:
BTC breaks below $90,000 on high volume.
This would invalidate the current support zone, signaling more downside potential.
Risk Management Tips
Stop-Loss: Place it just below $87,000 to minimize risk.
Take-Profit: Target $95,000 - $100,000 , but scale-out gradually if resistance strengthens.
Leverage: Use 2x leverage cautiously , ensuring proper risk control.
Closing Thoughts
BTC is at a make-or-break moment. The $92,000 - $87,000 support zone could be a solid entry point for long positions if it holds — but a breakdown would bring downside targets like $80,000 into play.
What's your take on BTC's price action this week? Are you adding to your long position or waiting for confirmation? Let's discuss this in the comments below! 👇
BTC HEAD&SHOULDER Key Observations
1. Head and Shoulders Pattern:
A clear head and shoulders formation is identified, with the left shoulder, head, and right shoulder well-defined.
The neckline is slightly sloping and serves as a key support level. A breakdown below this line would confirm the bearish pattern.
2. Measured Move:
The measured move is calculated by taking the distance between the head and the neckline and projecting it downward. This aligns with a major support zone below the neckline and suggests further downside if confirmed.
3. Indicators:
RSI: Currently below the midline, indicating weakening bullish momentum and leaning bearish.
OBV (On-Balance Volume): Trending downward, signaling reduced accumulation and fading buying pressure.
Volume: No significant spikes near the neckline yet, meaning confirmation of a breakdown is still pending.
4. Fibonacci Levels:
The retracement levels suggest key support zones below the measured move target. A deeper correction could align with these levels if momentum accelerates.
Scenarios
Bullish:
A strong rebound from the neckline and a breakout above the nearest resistance level (right shoulder region) would invalidate the head and shoulders, paving the way for a continuation of the prior uptrend.
Bearish:
A confirmed breakdown below the neckline triggers the measured move, with price potentially heading toward the calculated target. A further breakdown beyond this level could align with deeper retracement zones.
Recommendation
Monitor the neckline closely for a breakout or breakdown.
Look for volume confirmation to validate the move. Lack of volume could indicate a false breakout/breakdown.
Use the measured move target for planning potential entries/exits and manage risk accordingly.
BTC Eyes New Highs: A Momentum Reversal Indicator PerspectiveAs we step into the final days of the year, all eyes are on the flagship cryptocurrency, Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSD ). December has historically been a pivotal month for BTC, often setting the tone for the new year's crypto trends.
Let’s explore if Bitcoin is primed for a bullish breakout, consolidation, or a reversal as we close out 2024! 🚀
Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSD ) is gearing up for another potential surge, with the TD Sequential indicator flashing bullish signals across multiple timeframes. This analysis dives deep into the monthly, weekly, and daily charts to pinpoint high-probability entry points and profit targets for swing traders.
The Bullish Convergence
When we examine the long-term picture, a compelling narrative unfolds. The monthly chart shows a clear transition from red (bearish) to green (bullish) setups, culminating in Green Setup 3 — developing an uptrend with room to run before exhaustion sets in.
Zooming into the weekly timeframe, we see a recent Green Setup 3 followed by a brief pullback (Red Setup 1) and a renewed push higher (Green Setup 1). When the Green Setup 1 holds, it confirms the bullish bias and offers an early entry opportunity for swing traders.
Finally, the daily chart reveals a decisive shift in momentum. A Red Setup 6, signaling potential downside exhaustion, has given way to a Green Setup 2, confirming the nascent uptrend.
Pinpointing Entry and Targets
With the bullish backdrop established, let's identify precise entry points and profit targets.
Entry : Ideal entry points occur on price flips (e.g., Green 2 closing above Green 1) or breakouts above resistance levels, preferably with Green Setup 2 or 3 on the daily chart for confirmation.
Stop-Loss : Place your stop-loss below the nearest support level. This could be the TI Setup Trend Support line on the monthly chart, the recent swing low on the weekly chart, or the Green Setup 1 low on the daily chart.
Take-Profit : Aim for Fibonacci retracement levels and resistance lines. On the monthly chart, the target resistance is near Green 8 or Green 9. On the weekly chart, look for prices approaching swing highs or Fibonacci extensions (e.g., 161.8%). Utilize shorter-term resistance levels on the daily chart for partial profit booking.
Confirmation is Key
While the TD Sequential provides a robust framework, it's prudent to incorporate other indicators for confirmation.
RSI : Ensure no overbought conditions exist on the higher timeframes. Bullish divergence on the lower timeframes strengthens the trade setup.
Moving Averages : Crossovers like the Golden Cross (50-day MA crossing above the 200-day MA) support a bullish trend.
Trendlines : Breakouts from consolidation patterns aligned with TD Sequential signals offer high-probability entry points.
The Bold Prediction
Bitcoin appears poised for a significant rally based on this confluence of factors.
3-Month Projection : BTC will likely approach or exceed the resistance level corresponding to a Green 8 or 9 on the monthly chart.
6-Month Projection : If the bullish momentum persists, expect substantial upside, with BTC breaking prior resistance levels and testing higher Fibonacci extensions. Potential gains of 15-25% from the current price could unfold.
Disclaimer : This article is intended for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Conduct your own research and manage your risk responsibly before making trading decisions.
Possible Head and Shoulders on BTC suggests drop to80k incomingHi Traders,
I remain bullish on Bitcoin, though the short-term charts are showing some bearish signs. A clear head-and-shoulders pattern has emerged on the chart. While the target could potentially reach 80K, I wouldn’t be surprised if it reverses sharply before hitting that level.
That said, I’m hopeful this scenario plays out, as it would provide a great opportunity for a reset and a chance to buy the dip. Keep an eye on this setup, and I’ll see you next year!
$btcusdlooks like HnS on the daily. might not get the traction and go higher everyone is expecting here.
BTCUSD.market target 95600entry point 94400 stop loss 93700Here's a summary of your updated trade plan for BTC/USD:
Trade Plan
1. _Target_: $95,600
2. _Entry Point_: $94,400
3. _Stop Loss_: $93,700
Your plan indicates a bullish outlook, expecting the Bitcoin price to rise from the entry point to the target.
Key Considerations
1. _Risk Management_: Ensure you're managing risk with proper position sizing.
2. _Market Conditions_: Monitor market conditions, including economic indicators, regulatory updates, and technical analysis.
3. _Trade Adjustment_: Be prepared to adjust your trade plan if market conditions change.
Would you like me to provide current BTC/USD market data, analysis, or insights?
BITCOIN // daily countertrendAfter reaching the weekly target fibo 323.6 , the market broke the structure on the weekly chart (closed below the weekly impulse base).
This impulse looks nice on the H4 chart as well, and a long countertrend of this counter-impulse has been formed.
This minor long trend (the countertrend of the countertrend) is breaking at the short trigger zone (red).
If this happens, the correction fibo 38.2, and later even the 50 can become target in the valid countertrend.
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Orange lines represent impulse bases on major timeframes, signaling the direction and validity of the prevailing trend by acting as key levels where significant momentum originated.
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We may not know what will happen, but we can prepare ourselves to respond effectively to whatever unfolds.
Stay grounded, stay present. 🏄🏼♂️
Your comments and support are appreciated! 👊🏼
Bitcoin Cycle Chart showing times and topsChart showing ideal historic sell zones and timings from tops to bottoms with estimates for the end of this cycle. Have we already hit the top? Thoughts?
BTCUSD-SELL strategy weekly chartIt's crypto negative period I feel. We have attempted (rather the whales attempted) to remain above the $ 100k mark, but failed as it is very overbought, and still is. we require a good correction before we will come at a rest point. For now I see low $ 80k 's as a possibility.
Strategy SELL $ 95-100 K area and take profit at $ 81.5 k for now.
BTC will react here in a way that isnt parallel to the past.BTC's patterns are gorgeous but beyond new territory imo.
DXY is staged for a shoebag to the down, yet BTC still has liq ~104k zone as do stocks have more room for growth via a strong Q1.
Especially if Japanese YIN is able to keep news about their rates aside and work it out, the US dollar will hold more value this presidential cycle. Stabilizing the range for IF A DUMP OCCURS on Bitcoin, Wallstreet liq will keep a solid >60k btc. Imo 50's wont happen again, and it might get a little bit unpredictable for the second half of this 10yr cycle going into 2025-2030. Both ways- bull AND OR bear.
Unless we have a reset; which I doubt will ever happen because the entire human race depends on the dollars stability.
Short term tho; RSI said to exit 100k BTC.
Long term tho; This is going to be an interesting 4 years of a Post-Biden America. I see health, but am concerned deep down for some reason.
NFA DYOR IDK F*K ABOUT SH*T
Important Bitcoin crossings to look out for todayWe all know bitcoin has the power to affect this entire market at large, and right now on the daily chart bitcoin is going to go one way or another with gusto very soon… And I gotta say the potential for a big sell off is certainly there - The daily chart does not look great to me. But that could change...If Bitcoin is going to go up, it needs to do it very soon. I believe we are at an inflection point right now. Here are some important lines to watch for some solid closes above or below in order to predict Bitcoin's next relatively large move.
BTC 2025 Update Road to 120K
Key Observations:
Resistance Zones:
A significant resistance area is marked near the previous ATH BTC (All-Time High) and within the labeled "MicroStrategy" zone, indicating a strong selling region.
Fibonacci retracement levels (0.236, 0.382, 0.5, 0.618, 0.786) align with these resistance levels, showing potential rejection points.
Support Levels:
The demand zone near $91,239.77 is highlighted as a key support area.
The chart shows Fibonacci retracement support near $94,546.74 and $92,918.26, where buy orders have been triggered.
Black Swan Dump Warning:
A significant downside warning labeled as "Black Swan Dump Incoming" is noted. This suggests anticipation of a sharp sell-off, potentially targeting the lower Fibonacci retracement zones or even breaking the demand area.
Breakout or Fakeout?:
The annotation suggests market indecision around $104,089.07, where the price may either break higher or face rejection.
Current Price Action:
The current price hovers near $94,978.74, slightly above the Fibonacci 0.786 retracement level. This indicates a precarious position, where a bounce or further drop could occur.
Bearish Bias:
Several labels such as "BTC Crash Alert", "The Bears are out", and "Black Swan Dump Incoming" indicate a strong bearish sentiment.
Potential Scenarios:
Bearish Scenario:
If the price fails to hold the $94,546.74 level, it could target the demand zone near $91,239.77 or even break lower toward the 0.618 Fibonacci extension ($90,682.18).
Bullish Scenario:
A breakout above $104,089.07 could invalidate the bearish sentiment and lead to a rally toward $105,715.06 or the ATH supply zone.
Strategy Recommendations:
Short Trades:
Consider short positions near resistance levels ($98,901.95, $101,452.76) with a tight stop-loss above $105,715.06.
Long Trades:
Look for buying opportunities near the demand zone ($91,239.77) or if a clear breakout above $104,089.07 occurs.
BTCUSD SELL ANALYSIS BEARISH PENNANT PATTERNHere on Btcusd price form a bearish pennant pattern and is likely to fall as line 95451.48 has broken so trader should go for short with expect profit target of 93682.51 and 91584.43 . Use money managment
BTCUSD BUY ANALYSIS TRIANGLE PATTERN Here on btcusd price form a triangle pattern and now try to go up so as line 94789.33 has broken then trader need to go for long and expect profit target of 101270.29 and 107492.02 . Use money management
BTCUSD - Possible Correction
Dear Friends,
How I see it:
Possible correction.
Strong 3W Rejection "Pin Bar ", closed below 100k.
I deeply appreciate you taking the time to study my analysis and point of view.
BTCUSD | Long ideaI will be waiting for bitcoin to drop in the yellow box once more before it will take of towards the $100.000 mark.
What is your outlook on bitcoin's price? Let me know!
Bitcoin Battles Between Key Support and Resistance – What’s NextBitcoin is currently trading near $94,500, resting on a strong confluence of support. The price is testing the 100 EMA on the 12-hour chart, which aligns with a critical horizontal support zone around $93,000. At the same time, a descending trendline is acting as resistance, keeping the price under pressure.
A breakdown below the marked support zone could trigger a sharp decline toward the next significant level around $88,000. On the other hand, if BTC holds this support and breaks above the descending trendline, it could signal a bullish reversal, pushing the price back toward $98,000 and potentially higher.
