Bitcoin's Ugly WeekKey Observations:
Recent Price Action:
Last week’s candle was a large bearish engulfing candle, marking a significant rejection and pullback from the $108,000 zone.
Bitcoin has broken below the $99,860 support, which had previously acted as a key level during the rally. This level is now likely to serve as resistance.
Current price sits near $95,905, attempting to stabilize after the sharp sell-off.
RSI Analysis:
The RSI on the weekly timeframe is trending downward after reaching overbought levels (~80).
The RSI is currently sitting near 67, which is still bullish but indicates weakening momentum.
This decline in RSI aligns with the pullback in price, signaling a potential cooling-off period for Bitcoin's uptrend.
Volume:
Last week’s bearish candle was accompanied by high volume, confirming strong selling pressure.
This suggests that the pullback is not just a minor correction but a significant event that traders are actively responding to.
Support and Resistance Levels:
Support:
$89,000–$90,000: Key area and a psychological level where buyers might step in.
$73,835: Major breakout level from earlier in 2024, which remains a critical support zone in the event of further downside.
Resistance:
$99,860: Previously strong support, now flipped to resistance.
$108,000: Recent high and upper boundary for potential future attempts to reclaim bullish momentum.
Trend Structure:
The weekly structure remains bullish overall, with higher highs and higher lows intact.
However, the break below $99,860 signals a potential shift to short-term bearish momentum.
Key Considerations:
Last Week’s Candle:
The large bearish engulfing candle signals significant selling pressure at higher levels.
This type of candle often precedes further downside or at least a period of consolidation, especially when confirmed by strong volume.
Bearish Momentum:
The break below $99,860 combined with RSI dropping from overbought territory suggests a cooling-off phase in the uptrend.
Further downside to $89,000–$90,000 is likely before buyers step in to defend.
Long-Term Bullish Case:
Despite the short-term pullback, the macro trend remains bullish, with price still well above the 50-week SMA and prior breakout levels.
A retest of $89,000–$90,000 or even $73,835 would still align with a healthy correction in a long-term uptrend.
Bitcoin's weekly chart shows a significant pullback after a sharp rally, with RSI and volume confirming short-term bearish momentum. Immediate support lies at $89,000–$90,000, while $99,860 acts as key resistance. The broader trend remains bullish, but this correction could deepen before resuming the uptrend.
