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BEARUSD trade ideas

Bitcoin's road to 150,000 Bitcoin Halving 2024: A New Era The fourth Bitcoin halving, expected on April 15, 2024, will cut the block reward to 3.125 BTC, increasing scarcity and reinforcing its deflationary nature. Historically, halving cycles drive three phases: a bullish uptrend in the first 70,000 blocks, a bearish retracement in the next 70,000, and sideways consolidation before the next halving. This cycle points to a potential peak of $150,000, supported by historical trends, logarithmic regression, and metrics like the MVRV ratio. Current Market Position Bitcoin has emerged from the sideways phase of the third halving era (2020–2024) and is poised for a bullish run. The MVRV ratio, currently at 2.24, signals fair value, with room for growth. Historical patterns show Bitcoin dominance surges above 70% during bullish phases, supporting price appreciation. Halving Cycles and Projections Bitcoin's logarithmic regression model aligns with these price phases: Bullish Phase (0–70,000 blocks): Exponential growth; projected high of $150,000. Bearish Phase (70,000–140,000 blocks): Retracement of 80%, with lows around $55,000. Sideways Phase (140,000–210,000 blocks): Consolidation before the next cycle. MVRV Ratio Insights The MVRV ratio (Market Value to Realized Value) serves as a key valuation tool: MVRV > 3.7: Overbought, market tops. MVRV < 1: Undervalued, market bottoms. The current reading of 2.24 reflects equilibrium, signaling potential upside. Timeline Overview April 2024 (Halving): Demand rises, supply tightens, sparking bullish momentum. 2025–2026: Peak at $150,000 as the bullish phase matures. Post-Bullish Phase: Retracement to $55,000, consistent with historical patterns. Conclusion Bitcoin’s cyclical dynamics, driven by halving mechanisms, position it uniquely in financial markets. Historical data and on-chain metrics suggest a bullish trajectory to $150,000, with an 80% drawdown to $55,000 post-peak. While short-term volatility remains, Bitcoin’s long-term appeal as a store of value persists. Disclaimer: This analysis is educational and not financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are volatile, and past performance does not predict future results. Sources Coin Metrics CryptoQuant TradingView Data Analysis
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Theperfectionist
1
BTC possible 30% correction before real bull run in early 2025.BTC is looking quite ready for a correction down to previous ATH. A possible $69-72k wick down, I expect $75-79k to be the actual bottom once the bottom is in, there will be serious buy pressure at these ranges. Until the rising wedge breaks down, this is NOT confirmed, I personally don't want to see this for the holiday season. Would much rather see Green candles, BTC sideways and ALT's flying! Monitoring closely for a short. (Hedge)
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by Villy90
2
BTC/USD Bull Run Continuation My analysis is pretty simple. Using moving averages, volatility, and momentum indicators, I predict a sizeable move to the upside on a daily time frame. price action has consolidated around the yellow 21 EMA and is now officially bouncing off of the 5 EMA. The last time this happened was last month in the beginning of November after we broke the all time highs within the 70K range. Momentum itself has also shifted to the upside along with volatility rising. That's pretty much it. Have a great holiday season everyone.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by kuzonthereaper
1
New update Bitcoin Bitcoin hit a record high of $106,533, fueled by speculation about a U.S. bitcoin reserve. It has surged over 50% since November 5, with a market cap surpassing $3.8 trillion and a 136% rise in 2024. Bitcoin reached a record high above $107,000. MicroStrategy purchased 15,350 BTC, now holding 439,000 BTC valued over $46 billion. Riot acquired 667 BTC, raising its total to 17,149 BTC. Bitcoin reached $106,500, now at $104,500, with a market cap of $2.07 trillion, accounting for 54% of the market. Analysts aim for $130,000, highlighting the need for support above $100,000
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by Chartino
1
2024-12-16 - priceactiontds - daily update - bitcoinGood Evening and I hope you are well. comment: Clear channel upwards and we will likely hit 110k over the next days. The channel is wide enough to trade in both directions. Once market breaks below the closes bull trend line and the 4h 20ema, a short is the much bitter trade from a r:r perspective. current market cycle: Still a bull trend as long as above 94000. key levels: 94000 - 110.000 bull case: Bulls got another strong move up that began last Tuesday. It’s pointing to my measured move target 110k and I highly doubt bulls can get it much above that. But I also have a tendency to underestimate these bubbles. We can clearly see two legs up already and a third could get us there. Invalidation is below 94000. bear case: Bears see the broad bull channel and selling new highs was profitable over the past 4 weeks. They see the next bull wedge which can break down over the next 2-3 days and they hope for another deep pullback to 98k or lower. Invalidation is above 110.000. short term: Bulls are in control but I have no interest in buying this. Once the bull wedge breaks down and we trade below the 4h 20ema, I will think about shorts for 98k-100k. medium-long term - Update from 2024-12-15: Will write a new outlook for 2025 over the weekend. current swing trade : Nope trade of the day: Shorting above 101k continues to be profitable.
CRYPTO:BTCUSD
by priceactiontds
1
How Cryptocurrencies Are Becoming Everyday Asset?Hello, Traders! Bitcoin continues to trend upward! Do you know Satoshi Nakamoto's original idea for the leading crypto? It is a fact that Bitcoin was first referred to as “electronic cash,” highlighting its purpose as a means of everyday payment. When BTC first appeared in 2009, its creator, Satoshi Nakamoto, had a clear goal: to create a digital currency that anyone could use to make payments without relying on banks or governments. It was meant to be fast, borderless, and simple – a way to take control of your money. Over time, Bitcoin, and other cryptocurrencies have become powerful trading and investing assets. However, using crypto for daily spending is still more challenging than Satoshi had imagined. Let’s discuss how crypto is moving closer to everyday money and the remaining challenges 👇🏻 Cryptocurrencies Were Meant to Be… Yes, Bitcoin was originally designed to function as digital cash. Its peer-to-peer nature allowed users to send value globally with speed and relatively low fees. However, several practical limitations emerged as adoption grew, making it less ideal for everyday payments. ⚫ One of the primary challenges is BTC's transaction scalability. The limited block size and network throughput result in longer confirmation times and higher fees during periods of network congestion, which is impractical for minor or routine transactions. ⚫ Additionally, BTC's volatility in value introduces uncertainty in its usability as a stable payment method. For daily purchases, consumers, and merchants often prefer assets with stable value to avoid fluctuations that can occur even within minutes. ⚫ Another significant barrier is the lack of universal regulation around crypto. Bitcoin and other digital assets are not legally recognized as payment methods in many regions, limiting their usability in retail and everyday transactions. Merchants may hesitate to accept cryptocurrencies due to unclear tax policies, legal restrictions, or the absence of a consistent framework governing their use. Because of these limitations, stablecoins like USDT (Tether) and USDC (USD Coin) have gained popularity as payment tools in the cryptocurrency ecosystem. These assets offer the same advantages of blockchain-based transactions—speed, security, and borderless functionality—while addressing Bitcoin's volatility and high transaction costs. The transaction fees on networks such as Tron (for USDT) are generally much lower, making them more cost-effective for everyday payments. So, this has created a shift: while Bitcoin remains a store of value and investment asset, stablecoins have become the go-to choice for routine transactions, offering practicality without compromising the benefits of cryptocurrency. A Growing Trend For newcomers, paying online with cryptocurrencies can feel 🤏🏻 overwhelming. It requires a solid understanding of blockchain transactions, choosing the correct network, and accounting for native transaction fees. In contrast, transactions within exchanges are significantly simpler. When sending funds between accounts on the same platform, the process is typically automated, eliminating the need to calculate transaction fees manually. This ease of use has made exchanges a preferred environment for many crypto users, particularly those still learning the technical side of blockchain. A growing trend in the market recently has been exchange-issued crypto cards, which are designed to simplify payments and reduce fees. With these cards, users can seamlessly pay using cryptocurrency without technical expertise. Many crypto cards go beyond just simplifying payments—they also offer attractive perks, such as cashback in cryptocurrency. For instance, some cards reward users with digital assets for their spending. One of the options worth noting is the WhiteBIT Nova , designed to provide a streamlined experience for both newcomers and seasoned crypto users. Unlike many standard offerings, this card combines simplicity with tangible benefits: no opening or service fees, customizable cashback, and convenient integration – ideal for those already using an exchange account, it bridges the gap between trading and real-world purchases effortlessly. Conclusion Cryptocurrency is increasingly becoming part of our everyday lives. Whether it’s for trading, investing, or simple payments, the tools available today are making digital assets more accessible than ever. It’s up to you to decide how best to use them—what currencies to hold, what payment methods suit your lifestyle, and how to manage transfers effectively. As the crypto market continues to grow and evolve, its influence is reshaping how we think about money, payments, and even financial independence. Staying informed and adapting to these changes is essential to keeping up with the times in this fast-moving, innovative space.
WHITEBIT:BTCUSD
by WhiteBIT
Bitcoin - Broader Structure and The $32K Breakdown TargetLast time, I posted an idea about Bitcoin's shorter term structure. I was scaling into a short position, and ultimately decided to close when I noticed strong support continuing to hold. This ended up being a good move, since price pushed higher towards $108k. There's a lot of resistance here in the low $100K range. While a notable milestone, it's a hefty price. More and more, Bitcoin is being seen as a tool for exploitation and wealth concentration for the wealthy, rather than something for the masses. Although good for price, this is not in keeping with the original intention behind the technology, or so we are led to believe. I tend to generally post short ideas now because I do not support buying Bitcoin, which serves only to enrichen a select few, and no longer benefits the little guy. Sure, it could benefit ME in the future, but that feeds further into greed and selfishness, which are the human flaws at the root of many market inequities, fallacies, and injustices. For more on why I changed my perspective on crypto, there are tons of ideas I've posted over the years to pull from. It essentially boils down to this: When I was young and naive, I believed crypto could be an escape from the established financial system. In many ways it is, if you like gambling on memes and adrenaline coursing through your veins. But on a broader level, it's been co-opted by the same forces that control our traditional markets, institutions, and to an extent, our wellbeing. More and more, crypto seems to fit into a neo-feudalist dystopia, rather than a free-flowing renaissance utopia. Earlier this year, I closed my original short positions when it seemed likely for Bitcoin to surpass its previous all time high. Now that price has hit a major milestone, altcoins have gone up 500-1000%, and gloating is abounds, it's time for me to re-enter my short. Now, I'm not looking to profit massively from this. It's a small position. But, I am of the belief that there is a non-negligible probability that Bitcoin will enter a longer term bearish trend. Whether it's now or at $160k, who knows? If this trendline can break decisively (it's held very well so far, even when price drops below), the next stop seems to be around $89k. From there, a bounce would be bullish. My green arrow shows the possibility of rally resumption if that level holds as strong support. On the bearish side, the previous all-time high is the next major level, followed by $32k if the entire support structure falls apart. Markets are starting to wake up and understand that inflation isn't going away quickly, and monetary policy won't be as easy as it was. A lot of fluff needs to get weeded out. Unfortunately, crypto doesn't have much SUBSTANCE to it (meaning goods, resources, and services) attached to it. As always this is meant for speculation and entertainment only! Thanks for reading. -Victor Cobra
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by VictorCobra
1
BTC BULLKey Observations: Uptrend Confirmation: Bitcoin has maintained a clear bullish structure, printing consecutive higher highs and higher lows since the start of 2023. The parabolic move from the $49,000 breakout has led to a sharp rally toward $106,869 (current level). Key Support and Resistance Levels: Support: $100,000 - Key psychological support $73,835: This is the previous major resistance that has now flipped into support. If BTC pulls back, this level will be critical for maintaining the bullish structure. Resistance: No significant overhead resistance exists as BTC is in price discovery. Key psychological levels like $120,000 and $130,000 could act as magnets for price. Volume: Volume has been increasing alongside the rally, confirming that this move has strong participation and is not purely speculative. Sustained volume at higher prices is a bullish sign that the breakout has conviction. RSI Analysis: The RSI is currently in the overbought territory (above 70), sitting near 80. Historically, in bull markets, weekly RSI staying elevated for an extended period is common, so overbought conditions don’t necessarily mean an immediate reversal. Moving Averages: 50-Week SMA: Trending sharply upward and currently around $73,000, reinforcing it as a key support level. 200-Week SMA: Sits far below around $49,000, marking the long-term bull/bear cycle boundary. Key Thoughts: Parabolic Move and Healthy Pullback: Bitcoin’s sharp rally suggests we are entering the euphoric stage of the bull market, where strong upward moves can happen in a short period. However, parabolic moves often lead to steep pullbacks for reaccumulation. A retest of the $73,835 support zone would be healthy and expected. 4-Year Cycle Alignment: This move aligns with the Bitcoin 4-year halving cycle. Historically, BTC experiences significant upward momentum in the year leading up to and after the halving. If the pattern holds, Bitcoin could target new highs over the next 6–12 months. Price Discovery Mode: With BTC breaking above all historical levels, there is no technical resistance to cap price movement. Psychological levels such as $120,000 and $150,000 could act as round-number resistance targets. Bitcoin remains firmly bullish on the weekly chart, with price discovery underway and no historical resistance. While short-term overbought conditions suggest caution, the macro uptrend remains intact as long as BTC holds above $73,835. Dips into key support zones should be viewed as buying opportunities. Long-term targets include $120,000–$150,000 if the 4-year cycle continues to play out.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by ScottMelker
1
Bitcoin BEARISH - BTC Strong Resistance On Weekly TFBitcoin has reached strong resistance on the weekly TF. The resistance line goes the whole way back to 2017. So it's very reliable. A strong move downwards is very likely! Based on previous times this line was tested, Bitcoin could fall 50% or more. However, the 74000-75000 level looks like a good support level. This would be about a 30% drop which is still very significant. I expect profit taking very soon and short sellers to come in. There could possibly even be global headline news to cause this drop. Be very careful in buying near the tops. Trade with your brain and not emotions. This is only an idea and anything can happen, but it's a weekly chart and seems very reliable.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by EACoders
1
Lessons from the Hawk Tuah Meme Coin SagaThe recent collapse of the Hawk Tuah meme coin offers several valuable lessons for crypto investors, particularly regarding the risks associated with celebrity-backed tokens and meme coins. Here's a comprehensive look at the event and its implications: What Happened? Haliey Welch, a viral internet personality known as the “Hawk Tuah Girl,” launched her cryptocurrency, HAWK, on the Solana blockchain. Initially, the token skyrocketed in value, reaching a market cap of nearly $490 million within hours. However, the excitement was short-lived as the coin's value plummeted by over 90% shortly after its peak, resulting in massive losses for investors. Investigations revealed suspicious activity, including a small group of wallets controlling 80-90% of the token's supply. These entities quickly sold their holdings after the price surged, a tactic commonly referred to as a Rug- Pull . Welch has faced accusations of orchestrating the scheme, although she denies any wrongdoing​ Key Takeaways for Investors 1. Avoid Hype-Driven Investments Meme coins often rely on hype rather than fundamentals. The initial surge in HAWK’s value was fueled by Welch’s popularity and aggressive promotion, which masked its lack of intrinsic value. 2. Beware of Celebrity Endorsements Celebrities frequently endorse or launch crypto projects, but their involvement doesn't guarantee legitimacy. Past incidents with figures like Kim Kardashian and Floyd Mayweather highlight a recurring pattern of failed celebrity-endorsed tokens​ 3. Understand the Token’s Structure The dominance of a few wallets in HAWK’s ecosystem made the token vulnerable to manipulation. Always investigate the tokenomics of a project , including the distribution and control of its supply. Recognize the Signs of a Rug Pull - Rapid price surges followed by sharp declines - Concentrated ownership by insiders or “snipers” - Lack of a clear use case or roadmap - Exercise Caution with New Tokens *Newly launched coins are highly volatile and prone to exploitation. In the case of HAWK, the lack of regulatory oversight compounded the risks​ Lessons for Regulators The Hawk Tuah incident underscores the need for stricter oversight of crypto markets, especially celebrity-backed projects. While decentralized finance (DeFi) promotes inclusivity, its openness can be exploited. Regulators like the SEC are already investigating such cases, which may lead to stricter rules on token launches and promotions​ Conclusion The collapse of the Hawk Tuah coin serves as a cautionary tale about the dangers of speculative investments in unregulated markets. While the allure of quick profits can be tempting, due diligence, skepticism of promotional tactics, and an understanding of market mechanics are crucial for navigating the crypto space. Investors should remember: if something sounds too good to be true, it probably is . For long-term success in crypto, focus on projects with robust fundamentals, transparency, and proven utility.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDEducation
by Mihai_Iacob
28
BTCUSD Trading Opportunity! BUY! My dear friends, Please, find my technical outlook for EUR/USD below: The price is coiling around a solid key level - 97265 Bias - Bullish Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Low anticipates a potential price reversal. Super trend shows a clear buy, giving a perfect indicators' convergence. Goal - 10074 About Used Indicators: The pivot point itself is simply the average of the high, low and closing prices from the previous trading day. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by AnabelSignals
3
Bitcoin Breakdown, Pi Cycle Top Projections, and USDT.D UpdateIn this video I break down what I'm seeing with Bitcoin and the possibility for an even deeper correction into the Green Buy-Block zones. I also revsit my Fibonacci projections for this cycle, with initial targets of up to $150k and ulitmately a $200k high target based on the 3.618 Fib retracement projection. There's confluence with these targets using the measured moves from the recent Bull Flag breakout as well. The BIG question is, where do we go from here? Here we check out the Pi Cycle Top indicator, and I make some potential projections... And propose the idea of a dual-cycle top, like we saw in 2013. It makes sense, that we see a Jan / February pump to new highs, followed by a recessionary bust in Q2 (March) into the summer and potentially into Q3. But then rally strongly up from there in Q4 as Oct, November and December are typically very bullish in a 4 year cycle. Either way, I think $200k is the cycle top, if we can get there. The USDT.D study has also been updated, to show 'sticky' support here on the lower trendline, allowing BTC to push higher again above $100k and even rally higher per above. But then we'll likely see a reversion to the mean, with the USDT.D and Total Market Cap / Bitcoin prices. Check out the video, and share some love with a Like, Comment, and Share. Best to luck to everyone! - Brett
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by BrettFogle
1
Bitcoin Ascending Bullflag Breakout Target 140kI am still expecting significant resistance in the 120-130k range so to see this having a full target of 140k is pretty wild to me. Perhaps we have. Correction before reaching its full breakout target, or perhaps price sends a large wick above the resistance up there to hit this target before that resistance rejects price for a significant correction. Either way I do anticipate we rise to at least 120k on this next move up. *not financial advice*
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by DrDovetail
2
Bullish Patterns and Bitcoin: A Roadmap to $125KAs anticipated by many, following Trump’s election, Bitcoin experienced a significant surge. On November 14th, it encountered its first notable correction during this upward momentum. In early December, Bitcoin crossed the critical 100k milestone for the first time. However, this achievement was followed by a swift pullback. Since then, dips have consistently been met with strong buying activity, and as of now, the price has stabilized comfortably above this key psychological level. The price action since mid-November reveals the formation of an ascending channel, a technical pattern that historically suggests a 70% probability of continuation to the upside. A decisive breakout above 107k could confirm this bullish scenario, with a measured target for the next leg up around 125k if the pattern fulfills its statistical expectation.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Mihai_Iacob
BTCUSD TECHNICAL ANALYSIS (READ CAPTION)hello my fellow traders! what do you think about this chart. comment on my analysis and provide your feedbacks. current price: 100100 currently market is working above its supporting area 99500 and now market is about to hit a new high. market's retracement momentum was over, but because of news impact btc dropped. now btcusd market is trying to stabilize itself and will be trying reach the position 108000 soon. key points: supporting area: 99500, 102000 resistance area: 105000, 107000 Note: first target: 105000 second target: 108000 stop loss: 98500 kindly like, comment, and follow for more updates on btcusd. thanks for support!
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by Ibrahim_Gold_Traders
1
BITCOIN 1month RSI showing the Bull Cycle is far from over.Bitcoin / BTCUSD has had a pull back this week but that shouldn't cloud your long term outlook. That remains bullish and even more so on the 1month chart where the RSI turning flat is a sign that the parabolic rally has only just begun. The 1month RSI is trading inside a Channel Down since the very first trading day and with this week's sideways turning, it remains under the 0.786 Fibonacci level. This suggests that relative to past Cycles, we may be on a similar stage as February 2017 and January 2013. Both took 10 months until their Cycles topped. This shows that we can stay bullish until at least September 2025 or if the RSI hits the top of the Channel Down first. Take all the above into consideration and start taking profits in September the latest. Follow us, like the idea and leave a comment below!!
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by TheCryptagon
1
BTC's Nice BounceBitcoin had a bad day. So did everything else. This was one of the worst days in recent memory for stocks, the Dow Jones is on a historic downturn and volatility rose dramatically. And Bitcoin is still $102,000. Think about that. From a technical perspective, Bitcoin looks great. We now have more potential hidden bullish divergence with RSI, price bounced RIGHT at support and closed back above $100K. Nothing here scares me, and the market’s first reaction to the FOMC or other news is usually wrong.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by ScottMelker
1