BTC Bear Flag ContinuationBTC has broken out of its upwards channel and is looking to make further downsides with a bear flag in play now it seems COINBASE:BTCUSD
BEARUSD trade ideas
%20 Correction on Bitcoin?With usdt dominance looking like it's bottoming, i expect one more all time high before a %20-25 dump on bitcoin, eventual targets are still higher at 127-155k range.
BTC Broken the down trend??It kind of looks like it has broken this looong downtrend. Its broken the high that's made this latest low. Its weird like, $VIX is high some banks are crashing, this is going up. Keep an eye on this. $COIN, $TSLA, $ABNB. Look for it to stablize here then its either going to continually rise or reject it and go lower. Sure you can make gains and losses looking at 5min charts, this is more of a longterm view. See what it does here and put your cash in here if it takes the up direction.
BITCOIN LOSING ITS MOMENTUM? SHORT TERM BEARISH SETUP.I have been noticing the price exhaustion of Bitcoin on the Daily price graph. If you notice the momentum to the highs are very limited compared to its recent momentum. And notice the big divergence on the RSI. On its previous correction it took only two big down candles for correction as compared to to its previous pullbacks. I have ha feeling prices needs to breath lower before it can make a big push higher so I'm betting a correction to its previous structure lows.
Let me know what u think
Indicators on chart are
Daily 200sma bollinger band
RSI with 100sma bollinger band
Set up BTC Still Holding Buy PositionCoach Joel Live Trade Via Session with my Student
Disclaimer: The content shared here reflects my personal profits and losses as a local trader. It is intended for informational and educational purposes only. My experiences do not constitute trading advice. Always do your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
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Unpack your bags - we ain't done.Higher highs, higher lows. This is a classic mid-wave correction to scare of unseasoned investors.
Bitcoin Breaks Parallel Channel🚨 **Bitcoin Breaks Parallel Channel – Liquidity Drains!** 🚨
📉 BTC breaks its **parallel channel**, triggering a **liquidity exit** from markets. Traders brace for **volatility** as capital flows out, signaling potential **trend shifts** ahead.
⚡ **What’s Next?** Watch for key support/resistance tests and volume spikes!
Drop your predictions below! 👇
#Bitcoin #BTCBreakout #CryptoMarkets #LiquidityShift
Two potential paths to 130kPath 1: Running Continuation
Path 2: Full 20% correction, like January 2024
Short Bitcoin (BTC) (For Study Purpose Only)Short Recommendation
Entry Level: Below $94,000
Stop Loss (SL): $111,111
This surge has been largely attributed to President-elect Donald Trump's pro-cryptocurrency stance, including promises of deregulation and the establishment of a national strategic Bitcoin reserve.
However, concerns are emerging regarding Bitcoin's current valuation. Analysts warn that the market may be overheating, with some predicting a potential correction of up to 35%.
COINTELEGRAPH
Additionally, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell has stated that the U.S. central bank cannot hold Bitcoin, which has introduced uncertainty into the market.
This analysis is for educational purposes only. Always consult your financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Cryptocurrency trading involves significant risk, including the potential loss of capital. Ensure to evaluate your risk tolerance and conduct thorough research.
BTC BULLISH CORRECTION Correction BTC Christmas party. Dio for buyers, hope Trump make crypto to the moon.
BTC BEARSHzone bearish TO BTC BY BTC.D
Bitcoin will enter the correction phase, and at this stage, it can have a correction capacity of up to 95000 in the first scenario and up to8700 % END 6500 in the next scenario. The analysis will be sent in the next posts.
aminm75//@version=5
indicator("MACD + ADX + RSI Strategy", overlay=true)
// MACD settings
= ta.macd(close, 12, 26, 9)
macdHist = macdLine - signalLine
// ADX settings
adxValue = ta.adx(14)
// RSI settings
rsiValue = ta.rsi(close, 14)
// Conditions of purchase and sale
buySignal = (macdLine > signalLine) and (adxValue > 20) and (rsiValue < 30)
sellSignal = (macdLine < signalLine) and (adxValue > 20) and (rsiValue > 70)
// Draw the signals on the graph
plotshape(buySignal, style=shape.labelup, location=location.belowbar, color=color.green, size=size.small, title="Buy Signal", text="BUY")
plotshape(sellSignal, style=shape.labeldown, location=location.abovebar, color=color.red, size=size.small, title="Sell Signal", text="SELL")
// Display the values of the indicators in a separate panel
hline(20, "ADX Threshold", color=color.gray)
plot(adxValue, title="ADX", color=color.blue)
hline(30, "RSI Oversold", color=color.green)
hline(70, "RSI Overbought", color=color.red)
plot(rsiValue, title="RSI", color=color.orange)
Bitcoin repeating??Almost identical from about a month ago. Tomorrow maybe an indecision day then onward &upwards? (identical daily candles)
$100,000 remains the key reference for bitcoinLike gold, bitcoin retraced lower around the Fed’s latest meeting, which is a normal reaction as the outlook for monetary policy becomes less dovish. Bitcoin is arguably a bit less vulnerable than gold to higher rates because there are various ways for holders of transferable bitcoins, especially now that many coins are at or close to all-time highs. Participants in crypto markets view the likely policies of the incoming Republican government positively.
Bitcoin’s momentum has been lower in December which makes sense as the price approached the critical and long-awaited area of $100,000. Volume has also decreased somewhat compared to the peak around the middle of last month and there’s no longer such a strong overbought signal as there had been for most of November. The latest retracement from the 100% weekly Fibonacci extension was also expected since this was the stretch target since the middle of last month.
Given current strong sentiment, a move back below $90,000 seems unfavourable in the near future, but $100,000 could remain an important battleground. Now that the uptrend is clearly mature and participants seem inclined to buy more quickly during even relatively modest retracements, a retest of $108,000 seems likely in the next few weeks. However, traders should prepare for higher volatility during upcoming holidays.
This is my personal opinion which does not represent the opinion of Exness. This is not a recommendation to trade.
BTC CRASH ALERT UPDATEKey Levels and Observations
Previous All-Time High (ATH):
Clearly marked and seems to have acted as both resistance and psychological reference point.
Price briefly tested this level before consolidating below.
Resistance Zones:
Highlighted in Red: These zones indicate where selling pressure is concentrated. The recent move upwards has struggled near the $106,000 zone (1.618 Fibonacci extension) and the resistance cluster below $108,000.
Red Circle near ATH: Indicates a critical rejection zone where bears might be stepping in to control the price.
Support Zones:
Fibonacci levels from $91,000 to $99,500 (0.618, 0.5, and 0.382 retracement levels) show clear support zones where buyers may accumulate.
The green lines below $92,000 show additional support extensions for deeper corrections.
Black Swan Warning ("Dump Incoming"):
Suggests the possibility of a sudden, sharp decline. This may be speculative but worth noting for risk management.
Red zone above $108,000 highlights extreme caution.
Trend Lines:
Dashed upward trendline indicates the broader uptrend still intact, but a breach below would signal a possible reversal.
Market Sentiment:
"BTC CRASH ALERT" emphasizes bearish caution.
"The Bears are out watchout" adds to the bearish sentiment as Bitcoin approaches resistance zones.
Fibonacci Analysis
Key Fibonacci Retracement Levels:
0.236 ($99,417): Currently holding as weak support.
0.382 ($100,793): Significant midpoint level currently in play.
0.5 ($101,905) and 0.618 ($103,017): Critical retracement levels to watch for continuation or reversal.
1.618 Extension ($106,436): Serves as an immediate resistance target.
Deep Retracement Zone:
0.618 ($95,308) to 1.0 ($92,918) retracement range indicates the strongest support for a larger correction.
Scenarios to Watch
Bullish Scenario (Breakout):
Price breaks and holds above $106,000 (1.618 Fibonacci).
Retests and holds $108,000, targeting new highs.
Bearish Scenario (Fakeout or Dump):
Price fails to sustain $104,000 or falls below $101,000 (0.382 retracement).
A sharp correction could target deeper support levels at $95,000–$92,000.
Neutral/Consolidation:
Price remains range-bound between $101,000 and $106,000, building momentum for a directional move.
Actionable Points
Shorting Resistance Zones: Monitor for price rejections near $106,000 and $108,000. Bearish candlestick patterns here could confirm a short trade.
Buying Support Levels: Look for bullish signals around $95,000–$92,000 or key Fibonacci levels.
Breakout Entries: If Bitcoin closes decisively above $106,000, a breakout trade could target $110,000 or higher.
Stop-Loss Management:
For longs: Place below $95,000.
For shorts: Place above $108,000.
Volume Break-out BTC The volume surge is similar to the beginning move of 7 November, 95k seems likely in present week.
Is BTC in a accumulation phase?Bitcoin is in an 7K (about 35%) range since 150 days now, and just broke to the downside.
Could this be the spring of an Wyckoff accumulation schematic?
It is no secret that price action has been choppy ever since it entered the trade range, has to shake most people out.
Of course, for this to be an spring we'd need big buyers stepping in, and defying all of the sell volume we've seen so far.
On the other hand, bulls already had absord a lot of BTC sell order and could therefore mean price is near a reversal.
Price could of course(inevitably in the bull case) retest the price range and fade of to fresh lows.
It is also no secret that BTC is highly correlated to traditional markets. It would therefore make sense for both markets to bottom at somewhat the same time.
But with everything we've seen, it could be possible for BTC to mark a bottom now and see price suppression while the DJI, NASDAQ and SPX mark their bottoms in.
It is also an great idea to keep in mind that price tend to move again the masses, and with the FTX/ALAMEDA illiquidity situation, everyone is scared and calling for lower lows.
This is only an gut feeling based on market sentiment right now and only support the unprobability that market would reverse(while everyone is bearish).
Next days/weeks are gonna determine the direction ahead for BTC.
BTC BEAR We do have lower targets and I have already rolled stops for the #btc #bear after TP1 was HIT...
This is the structure I have added for now & I will update as we GO... JUST LIKE MY #GOLD trade
Remember the current levels are BI-Directional for a reason... go look at my last idea on the bear and you will see why...
Good luck and I am sorry if I do not follow back... BUT its my policy.... and I don't break my rules.
BTC 94KBitcoin is traded in an ascending channel. The upper trend line has always regected.
At the same time, ther is a bearish divergence.
See you at 94k.
Our Short Positions are still open. LTC/ LINK / ETH / BNB.
All reached TP2 = 50% profit for each.
We need to wait for 110kThis channel is not providing individualized trading or investment advice, nor is it a banking service, brokerage service, trading service, investment service or money management
service.
It is just an educated guess.
Powell Shocks the Crypto Market: Bitcoin Slides BackwardThe cryptocurrency market suffered a notable drop after Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell stated that the Fed “cannot own Bitcoin or other cryptocurrencies.” These statements, made in the context of a financial stability conference, intensified the downward pressure in an environment already affected by recent monetary policy decisions.
Bitcoin and Ethereum on the Decline
Bitcoin, the leading cryptocurrency, lost more than 4% in the last 24 hours, falling below $25,000. Ethereum also experienced a similar decline, settling near $1,500. Both currencies face a challenging outlook amid regulatory uncertainty and risk aversion in global markets. The cryptocurrency is currently trading at the Sunday trading range on the 15th of this month, coinciding with the checkpoint (POC) at $101,711. For the time being, the value is holding and bullish pressure is once again picking up the market.
Powell and the role of the Fed
Powell stressed that while the Fed is interested in exploring the issuance of a central bank digital currency (CBDC), it does not see owning Bitcoin as consistent with its monetary policy or financial stability objectives. This comment reignited concerns about the future of cryptocurrencies in an environment where regulators are seeking greater control.
Market Outlook
Uncertainty over regulatory policies in the U.S., coupled with signs of a more restrictive Fed, continues to weigh on the cryptocurrency market. Investors are now closely watching any developments in digital asset legislation, as well as the impact of monetary policies on risk appetite.
Meanwhile, cryptocurrencies face an uncertain path, marked by the tension between their growing adoption and the increasingly strict oversight of global regulators.
Ion Jauregui - ActivTrades Analyst
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