Tesla started on a descending channelFollowing up on the previous analysis, this update takes a more technical approach, focusing on a shorter timeframe. As observed last week, the stock has entered a descending channel. Significant resistance was encountered around the $420 price level.
Even though this resistance level was broken during the extended training hours, and may be a sign of things to come, during the regular trading hours, the support level was tested three separate times, with the stock rebounding each time.
Looking ahead to next week, it’s likely that some short positions may close as traders take profits, which could temporarily push the stock into the $440–$450 range. This would be a positive development for Tesla, as sustained trading near or above the $420 level improves the likelihood of consolidation, and the creation of a clearer future support line.
Considering implied volatility and option spreads, the expected trading range appears wide, with $380–$430 being a reasonable estimate. On the upside, a potential breakout could see the stock reaching back up to $473 as a temporary near-term peak. However, if the stock breaks downward from the channel, the next significant support level lies at $345.
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Previous analysis:
Current short time-frame update:
Note: This was republished as previously I had a link to a Youtube video.