TSLAA short can be considered in wave C, which is completing the larger triangle, but only if we take into account that wave E of the triangle hasn’t already ended earlier
TSLA trade ideas
Tesla Stock Slips as Deliveries Miss ExpectationsTesla (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:TSLA ) saw a notable decline of 5% in early trading Wednesday following the release of its Q3 2024 delivery and production numbers. While the electric vehicle (EV) giant reported 462,890 deliveries—slightly above analysts' predictions—investors had anticipated higher performance, leading to a sell-off. This drop brings NASDAQ:TSLA down to $244.86, reflecting the ongoing battle between Tesla’s robust market presence and increasing competition from global automakers.
Q3 Delivery Report: Falling Short of the Hype
Tesla (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:TSLA ) delivered just under 463,000 vehicles in Q3 2024, surpassing the 461,000 estimate, but investor sentiment seemed to have set loftier expectations. The production numbers were similarly positive, with Tesla (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:TSLA ) producing 469,796 vehicles, up from the 430,488 vehicles produced a year ago. Despite this growth, the stock slipped as the market had expected a more substantial increase to sustain the company’s valuation, which had already jumped 32% in the previous quarter.
Analysts from Wedbush described the report as "a step in the right direction" but also noted that some investors may have been looking beyond these delivery figures, anticipating the October 23 earnings report and the unveiling of Tesla’s much-discussed "robotaxi." Still, Tesla faces ongoing headwinds, especially in the competitive EV landscape.
Competition Heats Up
Tesla’s dominant position in the EV market is increasingly challenged, especially by Chinese automakers like BYD and Geely, as well as emerging rivals Li Auto and Nio. In the U.S., Rivian, Ford, and General Motors are all making headway into the EV space, with GM recently reporting a 60% year-over-year increase in EV sales. Even with Tesla maintaining a significant lead in the U.S. market, these rising competitors are placing pressure on its growth trajectory.
Tesla’s lack of specific delivery guidance for 2024 raises additional concerns. Although the company’s sales are growing, its ability to maintain such momentum amid fierce competition is in question. Analysts will be closely watching Tesla’s October 23 earnings report, with a particular focus on profit margins and how Tesla navigates the balance between maintaining its market share and controlling production costs.
Technical Analysis: The Chart Speaks Volumes
On the technical side, NASDAQ:TSLA ’s stock is showing signs of weakness. As of the time of writing, the stock has dropped 3.57%, with a Relative Strength Index (RSI) of 57.43—an indicator that the stock is losing its buying momentum and moving closer to a neutral or selling zone. While Tesla (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:TSLA ) remains above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages, suggesting underlying strength, the dip in RSI indicates potential volatility.
Tesla’s ability to stay above key moving averages amidst such market pressure will be critical in determining its next moves. Investors should keep an eye on whether the stock can sustain levels above its moving averages or if further selling pressure will drag it down into a correction territory. As the market awaits the earnings report later in the month, these technical patterns could provide a roadmap for short-term traders.
Tesla’s Future: More than Just Deliveries
Tesla’s long-term growth story remains intact, bolstered by innovations like self-driving technology and upcoming projects like the robotaxi. However, the EV maker must continue to outpace competitors and reassure investors that it can meet growing demand without sacrificing profitability. As the global EV market matures and competition ramps up, Tesla’s ability to innovate while maintaining healthy margins will be the key to its future success.
In conclusion, while Tesla’s Q3 delivery numbers met expectations, they fell short of the hype, leading to a sell-off. The stock remains technically strong, but investors should be cautious as it approaches critical RSI and moving average levels. With earnings just around the corner and Tesla’s next big product reveal on the horizon, the coming weeks will be pivotal for the company’s stock performance.
TSLA Approaching Key Breakout: Targeting $410Tesla (TSLA) is approaching a critical technical juncture, nearing a multi-year resistance trendline that has capped previous rallies. With strong momentum and improving fundamentals, a breakout above this level could signal a significant upside move, positioning TSLA for a potential rally toward $410. The company's continued innovation in EV technology and expanding energy division offer further growth catalysts, making it an attractive opportunity for bullish investors. A clean break of this resistance would confirm the bullish trend and open the door to new highs.
Disclaimer: These are my personal thoughts and not financial advice. Please do your own research before making any investment decisions.
buy tesla @ 245. target 6000Tesla at on eof the strongest buy in decade .
best buy @ 248-255.
target 600. 3 year target 2000.
a perfect cup and handle on 1 year chart .
$TSLA Trade IdeaCalls Over $264
Target $267.48, $271.35, $276.60
Puts under $248.53
Target $246.19, $243, $238.83
Oil gold Tesla10 2 24 I started with crude oil looks like it might go higher and might be what some people would call a spike trade which will drive the market much higher. I listen to the video before I uploaded it and I made a mistake regarding Spike trades which look for the market to double the range of the Spike... not triple the range. gold is in a Range box and in this example I have two different size range boxes and I completely cleaned the chart and Drew it using the tools that I look at and then I discussed the details and then you can decide if using range boxes and ABCD patterns Etc work for you. I think the gold market has an ambivalent set up and that the market might go higher or lower.... and that's not bad because it tells me I don't know what the true advantages for me at this point...so if I was not in the market I wouldn't make a decision to trade it at this point. if I were already long in this market it is conceivable that I would say to myself to take the money if I were already profitable and wait but that is a personal decision based on personality as much as anything. my experience is that if you use the tools that I'm using and there will be times when you're not sure about a trade but you will find great setups that you're pretty well certain are good trades and that's usually when markets have been moving higher and they come back to a support area and now you're seeing a two-bar reversal going higher........but if you can be patient with bullish markets that are making new highs and you can wait for the buyers to give up on the market.... these are very good trades as well but they're tougher to trade.
Tesla - Breakout After Almost 4 Years!Tesla ( NASDAQ:TSLA ) is finally breaking out of the triangle pattern:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
After a 4 year consolidation, Tesla is finally attempting to break out of the long term bullish triangle pattern. The monthly candle still needs to close but everything is pointing towards a major move higher, with the first target being the previous all time high from 2022.
Levels to watch: $250, $370
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
SEEMS TO BE HEADED TO THE BOX, Reversal from multiple topAs resistance has been a solid wall that has yet to be broken on numerous attempts, it seems to have broken down again after selling pressure.
Tesla are we going to 268 or 272 which one is IT???? Good morning Traders
Grab some coffee or a tea and lets get into it
First I do a little bit of wave counting to get you up to speed on where we are going and why
Second I do some four hour projections and 30 minute to figure out our levels going up
Third add in a little spice and throw that pitchfork in to wrap it up all nice
Enjoy the video, if you want more videos or different types of videos please let me know in the comments section.
My ultimate goal is give you the audience what you need and the skills to become a more profitable and better trader so you too can hit your trading and lifestyle goals
Happy hunting for those trades
MB Trader
Tesla Trades That Hit The Mark: 75% and 30% Gains Explained!
Two successful Tesla trading ideas, one from April and one from August.
April entry would now be around 75% up, and August entry around 30%.
Both ideas show how technical analysis can accurately time the market and generate returns.
Future resistance levels could indicate potential price consolidation.
This year, I shared two ideas about Tesla:
The first idea in April.
The second idea in early August.
If you bought Tesla stock in April and still hold it, you should be up about 75%. If you entered in August, your position should be up around 30%.
Both ideas played out exactly as predicted, proving once again that technical analysis helps to time the market and put your money to work as quickly as possible. While fundamental analysis tells what should happen, technical analysis shows what actually happens.
April Idea Criteria:
Strong area, confirmed by powerful candles in late 2022 and early 2023.
Mid-round number of $150.
Small liquidity zone around $150.
Smooth descending price movement into the zone I shared.
August Idea Criteria:
Break above $200 with a powerful candle.
Break above a long-term trendline, again with a strong candle.
Price pulled back to the breakout area: 3.1 Retest of $200, now acting as support. 3.2 Trendline retest. 3.3 Historically strong area around $200 – several rejections before.
What’s Next?
If you are still holding, the next target could be around $280–$300. This is the next strong resistance level. As you can see from the chart, this area has multiple rejections in the past. It might be a good idea to take some profits, as the price could get stuck here for a while, and it’s uncertain how and when it will break through.
Summary:
This is a great example of how technical analysis can guide you to better price entries, potentially leading to higher returns in the future. It does take some experience, but these criteria are not hard to spot once you know what to look for. It’s definitely not rocket science to master the basics.
All the best,
Vaido
TSLA for tomorrow Oct. 1, 2024Current Price Action
TSLA is currently in an ascending wedge pattern, which is typically a bearish reversal signal. However, it’s important to confirm if the breakout is to the upside or downside.
Price is hovering around $261.98, nearing a key resistance level at the top of the wedge, which could signal either a breakout or a rejection.
Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Levels:
$262.66 - $264.87: This zone is significant resistance, as the price has previously struggled to break through it. A confirmed breakout here could lead to further upside.
$270.00 - $276.00: Should TSLA break above $264.87, the next target would be psychological resistance at $270 and further up to $276.
Support Levels:
$260.46: This is the immediate support, just below the current price, providing short-term strength.
$251.54 - $249.89: Strong support zone where buyers have previously stepped in. A break below this could signal further downside pressure.
$242.51: The last significant support level visible on the chart, marking the lower boundary for potential bearish moves.
Entry and Exit Points
Bullish Entry:
Look for a clean breakout above $264.87 on high volume, which would indicate strength and momentum to the upside. A confirmation here could offer a long entry with a target of $270 or $276.
Bearish Entry:
A rejection around $262.66 - $264.87 would provide a potential shorting opportunity. If the price breaks back down below $260.46, it would confirm the bearish case with a target of $251.54 or $249.89.
A breakdown from the ascending wedge pattern to the downside would further confirm the bearish sentiment, aiming for $242.51.
Exit Points:
Bullish traders can take profits around $270 - $276, but keep an eye on volume and momentum for a continued move higher.
Bearish traders should look to take profits around $251.54 - $249.89, with a more extended target near $242.51 if downward pressure continues.
Suggested Direction
Bullish Case: If Tesla manages to break through the resistance at $264.87, it would suggest bullish momentum, potentially targeting $270 and beyond. Look for strong buying volume to confirm this move.
Bearish Case: A failure to break through the $262.66 - $264.87 resistance zone and a subsequent breakdown below $260.46 would signal a potential reversal, confirming the bearish wedge pattern. A downside move could lead the stock to test support levels at $251.54 or lower.
Still short tesla daily viewOnce again I get a lot of flack when I post shorting cult stocks but I called that last rejection. I am enjoying staying short here as a big tech market hedge as well. There is a chance value stocks start to take over, and crypto. On the daily chart TSLA is printing the same long legged doji rejection candle as last time signaling a double top. This is in alignment with the golden momentum fib which means sellers are likely to take control here if they cant push through here with a squeeze.
My position is small but the upside is large on my TSLL puts
TSLA: Buy ideaBuy idea on TSLA as you can see on the chart if only if we have the breakout with force the resistance line by a big green candle follow by a large green volume.
TSLA💹
Outlook: TSLA has been breaking bullish and accumulating nicely. Price made a bigger re-accumulation the last 2-3 hours but we are still inside this 5hr bullish impulse range. I will be looking for longs on TSLA if they present themselves/
NY session bias: Bullish/ re-accumulating looking for longs NY stock exchange open.
Is Tesla's Robotaxi the Future of Urban Mobility?Tesla, the electric vehicle pioneer, is poised to disrupt the automotive industry once again with its highly anticipated Robotaxi. As the company prepares to unveil this groundbreaking innovation, the world is abuzz with excitement and anticipation. But can Tesla truly revolutionize urban mobility, or will the challenges of autonomous driving prove too insurmountable?
The Robotaxi industry is still in its infancy, with companies like Waymo and Baidu taking early strides. However, Tesla's entry into this space could have a profound impact, given its strong brand recognition and loyal customer base. The company's advanced Full Self-Driving technology, coupled with its expertise in electric vehicles, positions Tesla as a formidable competitor.
Yet, the road ahead is fraught with challenges. Regulatory hurdles, safety concerns, and intense competition will test Tesla's mettle. The company must navigate a complex regulatory landscape, ensure the safety of its passengers and pedestrians, and develop suitable infrastructure to support the widespread adoption of Robotaxis.
Perhaps Tesla's greatest advantage lies in its existing customer base. Tesla owners are known for their early adoption of new technologies, which could give the company a leg up in gaining acceptance for its Robotaxi service. However, public trust and acceptance will be essential for the success of this revolutionary concept.
As Tesla prepares to unveil its Robotaxi, the world watches with bated breath. The future of urban mobility hangs in the balance. Can Tesla overcome the challenges and usher in a new era of transportation? Only time will tell.
Possible down move, but need to test ST first...OK I'll try again... down we go?
So if you saw my other post(s), after we cleared 235 I realised I got where we were wrong in the pattern - I got out when it hit 235 and have just been waiting on the side lines for my next move, but I'm back in as of next week.
It looks like we are hitting this 260-270 range, and we should be looking to go short really soon.
We're about to hit 0.618 on the fib extension + number of resistance areas + triggers coming up in following trading days.
I think 220 range ideally (hitting 0.5 fib) for this move down (230 would be a safe one though).
Here's an example of some previous uptrends, and you can see the similarities in the structure we're currently looking at.
It can push a little longer along the white resistance line (like at the red arrow + channel example), so this could see it keep trickle up, but we're in the right area at this point IMO, and it could be something coming up on this weeks calendar.
We’ve also got on multiple VWAP anchor periods, we’re firmly in resistance on pretty much every level - If we don’t start dropping out Monday, Tuesday almost undoubtedly? But let’s not focus on time scales.
Whatever the case, there's too much going on around this 260-270 range for it not to ping down, even if for a quick play - could be totally wrong on all this, but I'll do some more updates in the coming week.
Let me know your thoughts.
Tesla: “We, Robot” Taxi of the FutureTesla has been in the spotlight in the U.S. stock market, driven by its remarkable performance in 2024 and its ability to adapt to changing market conditions. Tesla shares have shown recent growth of 2.45%, remaining a key player in the technology sector, even as the market's focus has begun to diversify beyond tech giants. Looking at last year's earnings progression in December versus this year's performance, Q1 2023 vs. 2024 earnings performance was clearly lower in the current year, Q2 2023 vs. 2024 was more positive than last year. The main catalyst for the company is the impending release of Q3 delivery figures, which are expected to be announced on October 2. Analysts anticipate that Tesla will report approximately 462,000 deliveries, which would represent a 6% increase compared to the same period last year. This growth is largely due to increasing demand in key markets, such as China, where government subsidies have helped boost sales.
In addition to deliveries, Tesla is preparing to unveil its Robotaxi on October 10, at an event that promises to revolutionize the future of autonomous vehicles. Elon Musk has raised expectations by describing this launch as the most important since the unveiling of the Model 3. While Tesla has been a pioneer in the electric vehicle market, in the field of robotaxis it has lagged behind competitors such as Waymo, the Alphabet subsidiary, which currently leads the industry in the U.S. with more than 100,000 weekly trips in cities such as Los Angeles, San Francisco and Phoenix. Despite the enthusiasm, many analysts suggest tempering expectations, as mass adoption of robotaxis is likely to take at least a decade due to regulatory hurdles and safety concerns. According to experts, Tesla must demonstrate concrete technological advances and provide a clear vision for the scalability of its robotaxis in the U.S. market. Meanwhile, other companies, such as Baidu in China and Cruise in the U.S., are also making progress in developing autonomous driving. Although the road to a large-scale robotaxi market is long, this sector is expected to grow significantly in the coming years, with Tesla and Waymo as key players.
In terms of its financial performance, Tesla has a solid “financial health score” of 3.0 out of 5.0, according to AI-backed model evaluations. This highlights its robust fundamentals and dominant position in the electric vehicle sector. However, the company also faces pressure from inflation and a challenging economic environment, which could affect consumer spending. The next few weeks will be crucial for Tesla. Investors will be watching for third quarter financial results and how the company responds to increasing competition and market conditions. Tesla's success depends not only on its ability to innovate, but also on its ability to navigate a rapidly evolving landscape in both electric vehicles and autonomous driving.
Looking at the technical side, currently the RSI at 67.67% slightly overbought may extend above the channel its move in the direction of $275-$300 per share, recovering prices from June last year. I feel this a cyclical company it is possible that we may see a sharp correction subsequent to $185 if results do not match expectations which should match those of the previous quarter, according to prior years data.
In summary, Tesla is at a crossroads where its ability to grow in the future will depend on how it adapts to market challenges and its ability to maintain its status as a leader in the electric vehicle industry.
Ion Jauregui - ActivTrades Analyst
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Tesla (TSLA) 9/30 Technical Analysis1. Price Action Overview:
Uptrend Channel: TSLA appears to be in an upward channel, with higher highs and higher lows over the past few sessions. The price is currently near the upper mid-range of this channel, suggesting that bullish momentum is present, but it’s important to watch for potential resistance as the price approaches the top of the channel.
Heikin Ashi Candles: The candles show that the most recent price action has been bullish, with green candles forming and volume gradually picking up. The trend is intact, and there’s no sign of strong reversal pressure yet.
2. Key Levels:
Support:
251.54: This is a significant support level. If TSLA retraces, this area may act as the first major level to watch for a potential bounce.
249.89: This is a stronger support level that could provide a safety net if the price drops below 251.54. Below this zone, the selling pressure could intensify.
Resistance:
262.66 - 262.68: This area represents the immediate resistance. TSLA may face difficulty pushing above this zone in the short term, as it's near the top of the ascending channel.
279.77: This is a more distant resistance level. If TSLA breaks out of the channel and sustains momentum, this could become a future target, but it requires a strong continuation of the current trend.
3. Potential Entry/Exit Points:
Bullish Scenario:
Entry: Consider going long if TSLA holds support around 260.93 - 261.18 (current price region). If it bounces from this zone and continues upward, it may target the resistance near 262.66 and potentially push higher.
Exit: First profit-taking target could be 262.66, followed by 279.77 if the bullish momentum continues.
Stop Loss: Place a stop below 251.54 or 249.89 depending on your risk tolerance. A break below these levels could invalidate the bullish scenario.
Bearish Scenario:
Entry: A short position could be considered if TSLA rejects the resistance at 262.66 and shows signs of reversal, or if it breaks below 251.54 support.
Exit: Target 249.89 first and then 245.00 (the next psychological level) if the selling pressure intensifies.
Stop Loss: Place a stop above the 262.66 resistance level to limit risk in case TSLA breaks out of the channel.
4. Indicators and Volume Analysis:
Trendlines: The price action suggests TSLA is following a well-defined uptrend channel. However, the key to confirming continuation will be how the price reacts near the channel’s upper boundary around 262.68.
Volume: The increasing volume on upward moves indicates healthy buying activity. A sharp increase in volume near resistance may suggest either a breakout or rejection, so it’s crucial to monitor volume closely at these levels.
5. Overall Sentiment:
Bullish Bias: With TSLA trending upward within the channel and Heikin Ashi candles showing green with rising volume, the bias is currently bullish. If TSLA holds 261.18 or breaks above 262.68, it could continue to rally.
Bearish Potential: A rejection at the upper boundary near 262.68 or a breakdown below 251.54 could trigger a short-term pullback, making the trade more bearish.
Suggestion:
Watch the 262.66 level closely. If TSLA breaks above with strong volume, the uptrend could accelerate. However, if it fails to break or starts reversing, a pullback toward 251.54 is possible.
TSLA SHORT TRADE IDEA**STOCKS VS USD & TREASURY BONDS - Currently Oversold signaling a bearish sentiment. Price would need a reason to for a bearish move and could take the highlighted Supply Zone.
Supply and Demand Analysis:
>Price could take the the daily Supply Zone and the PRICE GAP within the supply zone could get filled.
>Price could fill the Gap before a bearish move and go to the highlighted opposing Demand Zone
***As always, trade safe and make sure to do your due diligence when analyzing the charts.***
Tesla UpdateIt has been a long time since I have done a long-term Tesla update. I wanted to make sure y'all aren't losing sight of the forest for the trees though. There are quite a few points that I want to make though, so this will likely be a longer read than y'all are used to from me.
First off, I want to explain the significance of all the different colors on the chart as it has the rainbow. The turquoise and yellow fibs are tracking the possible ALT pattern. The white/red, blue, orange, & green fibs are tracking the primary count. Next, I want to bring your attention to the complexity of this pattern off of the $299.29 high. As you can see, it has carved out sub-division after sub-division. This is a hall mark of corrective counts. The main question when it comes to the larger/long-term chart; are these sub-divisions over? With the initial strength that our pattern showed off of the recent April low, it presented as a bullish count. I'm not so sure of that now given the proceeding structure we have been presented with. In all honesty though, I can come up with several reasons supporting the wave ((2)) being over already.
Reason #1 for wave ((2)) being completed; MACD. On the 4hr chart, MACD made its low on 23 Oct 23'. This is normally what we would see during the largest A wave of any corrective pattern. Afterwards, we carved out the (B) wave retrace, followed by a new low made on positive divergence on 22 April 24'. Then, reason #2, on 05 July 24', MACD made a new high above that of the wave ((1)). This is typically what we would expect from the beginning of wave ((3)). Reason #3 is that price hit a bottom in between the 0.618-0.786 retracement fibs and below the 1.382 extension fib of the (A)-(B) pattern. All very standard and what one should expect to see.
Where things start to get tricky, is the top made on 11 July 24. I was expecting a deep wave 4 due to the shallowness of wave 2. This was to be followed by a new high on neg div for wave 5 of (1) of ((3)). However, we didn't get that, and instead, price dropped almost 33% in total value or almost 70% of the prior gains before consolidating higher again. This is a huge part that made me ask the question; is this all another sub-division of wave ((2)) in the form of a larger degree ((B)) wave???
When looking at this from a bearish stance / continuation of the prior corrective pattern, things start to look very fishy. The top of the recent pattern in July looks incomplete. Is this because it isn't in fact a bullish structure at all, and instead, is an abc pattern completing primary wave ((B))? MACD made a new local low on 25 July 24', but it did stay above the low made from our 23 Oct 23' low. This MACD reading is just something that gives me pause as it wasn't expected. One thing causing me to struggle with this, is it would mean that ((A)) lasted 200 DAYS longer than ((B)). Although nothing in regard to EWT governs timeframes; it just seems a little off they would have that big of a time difference between each other.
Either way, rather we're still in wave ((2)) or have officially started wave ((3)) already, I am completely convinced that price is in an immediate bearish/corrective pattern at this time. This last move looks clearly corrective to me as there is much chop/overlapping in price action. We have hit the orange 1.5 extension fib which governs the miniscule ABC pattern. Price has also breached the green 1.0 that governs the subminuette abc pattern. Not to mention we have already breached the 0.854 retracement fib governing this move lower off the $271 high. For all tense and purposes, we have hit ALL the minimum requirements for price to move lower again. IMHO, the top is either already in, or extremely imminent.
Once price moves lower, we need to be looking very closely for clues that dictate if this is intermediate wave (2), or primary wave ((2)). Wave (2) targets $182-$167, while wave ((2)) targets $138-$102. My gut is telling me that we're still in wave ((2)), but we cannot know for sure without the ensuing price action as I explained above. I can find reasons to dispute and support each differing count. For now, I will wait patiently for clues and maintain self-discipline/control.
Tesla Full Analysis Weekly to 30 minute Must Watch Good afternoon everyone
In this video I give you in full detail a full analysis of Tesla where it is going and why and the tools I use to see everything in between.
If you have any questions or comments I am an open book and want to make the best videos I can for everyone.
MB Trader
Happy Hunting
TESLA WILL WE REACH 272 & Why Good afternoon traders
Todays video is on wave counting for Tesla how high will it go making our wave 3 268-272 is the gauge that I currently see. Enjoy the video
Any questions let me know
MB Trader
Happy Hunting
Tesla updateTesla brakes trendline support n Come Bek for retest,according to my view Tesla is doing very well, targeting 300k you can drop comment below if you have something to say thanks.
