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BA: A cautionary Tale Lol, BA. What a nightmare stock. But I still love it. But let it be a cautionary tale to everyone, myself included. Never forget fundamentals. They matter. I am a hardcore BA stan. As a rule, I am never bearish on this stock. However, traditionally that has screwed me. Now the inverse has happened. I am an ex BA-investor. I bailed just before the crash because BA had under-performed dramatically through 2021/2022. My plan was to re-invest when it dropped to the low 100s. But then, according to TA, I figured I would wait till the double digits. Because it was supported by math, and TA and everyone else was saying it. So despite me having an urge to load up on BA shares at 114, I was like "Nah nah, let's wait till the double digits". And this is what happened. And so, BA serves as the ultimate cautionary tale. Don't forget, there is more to stocks than TA. Fundamentals really do matter. BA recognized that its stock was under-performing and actually kicked up its game, hosting investor meetings and sessions and delivering plans on how it was going to get its S$IT together and stop under-performing as a company. Since then, BA has been on a rampage where its finally living up to its FMV and analyst projections. The question become whether BA ca deliver on these promises. And that is yet to be seen. But the moral of the story still stands. Me and everyone else shilling BA in the double digits have been slapped and put in our place. Because BA has sure shown us. And it kills me, because like I said, BA stan here. Like, BA to me is what TSLA is to those Elon stans. I own BA merch (My fav sweater is a BA logoed sweater and I even have a BA coffee mug in my actual work office). Prior to me selling, I owned roughly 520 BA shares (which I bought on the COVID crash on an avg of 102). I love the company. Not so much the CEO, but the company and have high hopes for it. And now, I am in a really terrible place because I am not invested in a company I truly believe in, and right now the stock is like doubled my initial investment before I sold. Its quite the moral dilemma and I am really kicking myself for this huge mistake of life. Will it come back down? Maybe..... it depends on what I mentioned before. Whether BA can actually deliver on its promises to investors. I have hope this will still tank. I will not make the same mistake twice. I see BA 120. I buy. I see BA come down more to 110? I buy a ton. BA finally makes it to the double digits? I re-mortgage and buy my house worth of BA stock. :-). But let's talk about what's right in front of us and what to expect next week. Analysis: BA remains in this uptrend that it has established since September of last year. Pearson correlation on this trend as plotted in SPSS is 0.966 on the hourly. My initial suspicion I discussed in my last BA idea was correct. This was indeed a break up pattern. :( We are approaching the top of the up-trend. The mean currently is at 205. We closed at around 213 and BA continued to sink a bit in after-hours to around 212. BA is also at the top of its monthly predicted range. You may see that yellow line and be like "Oh! 99% target?" And no. Unfortunately its not. BA has a rocky trading history and I have not been able to establish a 99% target on it like I have on SPY, QQQ, DIA, etc. I have, however, been able to establish a 99% target on the weekly. But we won't know that until Monday. I do have a 76% target over the next 2 days. That target is 213. Meaning we porbably will see 213 again before any tanking. If we open above 213, then it would likely be a short. So what to expect this week? We really should see BA pullback to 205. According to its uptrend, anything over 213 is technically a short on the weekly and anything below 200/199 is a long. BA is hit and miss in its momentum. So if we see some good momentum come in this week, we may get some good plays on the day. EDIT There is potential for some major pullback down to the bottom of the range. If we see 199 broken, then I would suspect BA is going to re-test the bottom of its current uptrend. It really all depends on the momentum we see. Either way, currently, I think its a short to at least 205 for a cool-down. My thoughts, not advice! Safe trades everyone!
NYSE:BA
by Steversteves
10
BA earnings 1/25BA December 2022 Q4 earnings are on Wednesday 1/25 at 7:30am. Boeing (BA) reported Q3 September 2022 earnings loss of $6.18 per share on revenue of $16 billion. The consensus estimate was a loss of $0.01 per share on revenue of $18.9 billion. Revenue grew 4.4% on a year-over-year basis. I'm posting this as a short because of the current technical setup entry point. BA is near S3 on SMA20 Triangular Trend Channel ATR(beta) and piRSI has been overbought for almost a month. All it would take is bad news overnight for BA to drop significantly in extended hours, plus there's little upside reward left. Here's BA levels on the 1-day chart: Q4 December 2022 consensus: EPS = $0.39 Revenue = $19.61B SMA200 = $156 SMA20 Triangular Trend Channel ATR(beta): top = $216 R3 = $207 R2 = $198 R1 = $189 pivot = $180 S1 = $171 S2 = $162 S3 = $153 bottom = $144 Do your own due diligence, your risk is 100% your responsibility. This is for educational and entertainment purposes only. You win some or you learn some. Consider being charitable with some of your profit to help humankind. Good luck and happy trading friends... *3x lucky 7s of trading* 7pt Trading compass: Price action, entry/exit Volume average/direction Trend, patterns, momentum Newsworthy current events Revenue Earnings Balance sheet 7 Common mistakes: +5% portfolio trades, capital risk management Beware of analyst's motives Emotions & Opinions FOMO : bad timing, the market is ruthless, be shrewd Lack of planning & discipline Forgetting restraint Obdurate repetitive errors, no adaptation 7 Important tools: Trading View app!, Brokerage UI Accurate indicators & settings Wide screen monitor/s Trading log (pencil & graph paper) Big, organized desk Reading books, playing chess Sorted watch-list Checkout my indicators: Fibonacci VIP - volume Fibonacci MA7 - price pi RSI - trend momentum BBMC - bollinger bands TTC - trend channel AlertiT - notification tickerTracker - MFI Oscillator www.tradingview.com
NYSE:BAShort
by Options360
3
BA: Mixed Kicking off the new year with an analysis on my fav stock. BA! New years resolution is to just trade this more. Because its actually so much less dramatic than the rest of the market. So let's get into it: Recap: I did trade this last week, if you followed that idea. My initial TP was 192 and then 196/197. We kind of got halted at 192 and that was the extent of it. The market was quite heavy/range bound last week and that kind of translated over to BA. Not incredibly upset with the trade because no loss was incurred. But kind of disappointed about the lack of momentum. BA is in a really unstable uptrend channel: On the daily you can really see it kind of looks like a wedge type setup. Its interesting, BA formed what would traditionally be a bullish chart setup, but it failed to realize the "break up" move that would be anticipated with this kind of chart pattern. Instead its just sort of grinding higher and higher which makes me suspect it could tank. The pattern I am referring to is here: This is generally a BA specific chart pattern I have observed, but generally the defining characteristic is sort of a wicky type wedge, followed by a break up, a consolidation phase and then a move higher. I have observed this setup quite a few times with BA and so that is what I am eyeing. We also see that, despite the fact BA is succumbing to the market heaviness, it still hasn't managed to break down from its regression uptrend. Analysis: (EDIT ALERT: I used the wrong calculator to calculate the targets (I used SPY's model and not BA's specific model), the revised targets are listed in the analysis but just know that the targets displayed in the actual chart (the purple and yellow lines) are not accurate to the cents. Those targets are listed below in this analysis section). So what am I targeting for next week? Well, the 99% target within the next 2 days is 191.02. If BA opens Tuesday below this target, I would be inclined to long, looking for it to hold at or above 188.06 If BA opens above that on Tuesday, I would be inclined to short it down to this level, and look for it reject at or below 193.98. Probabilities on the momentum side are pretty 50/50. On an individual basis (looking at each technical probability in isolation and calculating the cumulative probability), there is a favoring of upside. However, in totality (looking at identical setups historically), it is really 50:50. Thus, I wouldn't necessarily be afraid to short, or long this, depending on the setup that presents itself. My reference point going into Tuesday is that 191 target. We will also have the weekly 99% target on open on Tuesday as well as the swing ranges (the ranges you see in the chart from the indicator BA Swing Model). BA is reverting back to its slow moving ways, which makes it a great candidate as a set it and forget it type trade, waiting for the target to be realized within the next 1 to 2 days. My thoughts as of now! As always, trade safe and leave your questions/comments below!
NYSE:BA
by Steversteves
8
BOEING - BULLISH SCENARIOOver the last year, a good number of insiders have significantly increased their holdings in The Boeing Company. The biggest single purchase by an insider was when President David Calhoun bought US$4.0m worth of shares at a price of US$160 per share. This is encouraging because it indicates that insiders are more optimistic about the company's prospects. Also, BA is expected to deliver year-over-year earnings growth of 131.72% to $2.78/share in 2023. Revenues are projected to increase by 24.34% to $81.66 billion. The next resistance located at 0.618 Fibbo or $ 215 Risk Disclosure: Trading Foreign Exchange (Forex) and Contracts of Difference (CFD's) carries a high level of risk. By registering and signing up, any client affirms their understanding of their own personal accountability for all transactions performed within their account and recognizes the risks associated with trading on such markets and on such sites. Furthermore, one understands that the company carries zero influence over transactions, markets, and trading signals, therefore, cannot be held liable nor guarantee any profits or losses.
NYSE:BALong
by legacyFXofficial
BA: Hello again Old FriendI have been sort of ignoring BA for a while. But in looking through charts this evening and seeing if anything would be worth swinging this upcoming week, BA sure topped the charts. So let me get into what I am seeing and what I will potentially be swinging this upcoming week. BA has established a fairly strong uptrend on the hourly and daily. Plotting this uptrend out mathmatically gives us the following price targets for next week: 197 (when plotted on the hourly) 196 (when plotted on the daily) Probability model on BA gives 196 TP for next week. The third monthly bull target is just over 197. A lot of 196s/197s showing up here. Technicals: BA has been increasingly seeing higher highs and has been conssitently jumping off its DSL 75 line: You can also see on the Buyer to Seller Volume indicator, that buyers are very much still in control and, so far, maintaining on and/or above the volume SMA (yellow line). Plan: To probably swing this long if the conditions are met. Conditions: If this uptrend is going to be respected, we should see the following: - Buyers maintain above sellers on the hourly chart on Tuesday - BA should make a move to 191/192 on Tuesday - BA must not break out or below the channel or below the 75 DSL line on the hourly on Tuesday If those conditions are met, then I will feel better about swinging this. Otherwise, I will be eyeing it as a day trade for a potential move to 192. My thoughts! Safe trades everyone! And if you are sitting out this week, have great holidays!
NYSE:BA
by Steversteves
15