good position For buy AUDUSDgood position support zone For buy signal AUDUSD
now is risky
after break is low risk
AUDUSD trade ideas
Finally some relief for the Australian Dollar | FX ResearchUS CPI came in as expected on Wednesday, which has kept markets mostly confined to tighter consolidation. The data confirms expectations for another rate cut from the Fed next week. However, it also introduces the possibility that the Fed might be less accommodative in 2025.
Elsewhere, the Australian dollar has been benefiting from a strong wave of demand after sinking to a fresh yearly and multi-month low on Wednesday. Earlier today, Australian employment data came in much stronger than expected, leading to a less dovish repricing of RBA bets.
On Wednesday, the Bank of Canada proceeded with a 50 basis point rate cut. Interestingly, the Canadian dollar traded higher on the day, driven by the market's prior anticipation of the rate cut—classic "buy the rumor, sell the fact" behavior.
Key standouts on Thursday's calendar include the ECB policy decision, US producer prices, and US initial jobless claims.
AUDUSD - Short TradeAUDUSD is moving in Bearish trend.
No bullish divergence is formed.
Descending channel is also formed which is bearish continuation pattern.
AUDUSD ShortAUD/USD remains in a bearish trend, with recent price action aligning with technical and fundamental signals. Traders are watching US PPI data today for potential market-moving insights.
Technical Setup
Using Smart Money Concepts (SMC) and Fibonacci retracement, the 0.71–0.79 Fibonacci zone stands out as a key resistance level, supported by a Fair Value Gap (FVG) from the last swing high. Price is testing the 50% Fibonacci level, creating an opportunity for a short trade.
Trade Plan
Entry: 0.7120 (near the 0.75 Fibonacci level).
Stop Loss: 0.64729 (above the 0.79 Fibonacci level for risk protection).
Take Profit: 0.63378 (targeting below the Fair Value Gap for a clean exit).
Risk/Reward Insights
This setup offers a Risk/Reward Ratio of 1:3, with a risk of 64.7 pips to potentially gain 192.1 pips.
Disclaimer
Trading involves significant risk. Always trade with a clear plan, implement stop-loss orders, and never risk more than you can afford to lose. This analysis is not financial advice—trade responsibly and stay informed.
Follow for more actionable trading insights and strategies!
AUDUSD ShortAUD/USD remains in a bearish trend, with recent price action aligning with technical and fundamental signals. Traders are watching US PPI data today for potential market-moving insights.
Technical Setup
Using Smart Money Concepts (SMC) and Fibonacci retracement, the 0.71–0.79 Fibonacci zone stands out as a key resistance level, supported by a Fair Value Gap (FVG) from the last swing high. Price is testing the 50% Fibonacci level, creating an opportunity for a short trade.
Trade Plan
Entry: 0.7120 (near the 0.75 Fibonacci level).
Stop Loss: 0.64729 (above the 0.79 Fibonacci level for risk protection).
Take Profit: 0.63378 (targeting below the Fair Value Gap for a clean exit).
Risk/Reward Insights
This setup offers a Risk/Reward Ratio of 1:3, with a risk of 64.7 pips to potentially gain 192.1 pips.
Disclaimer
Trading involves significant risk. Always trade with a clear plan, implement stop-loss orders, and never risk more than you can afford to lose. This analysis is not financial advice—trade responsibly and stay informed.
Follow for more actionable trading insights and strategies!
AUDUSDAUDUSD is entring into bullish trend.
Bullish divergence also shown in RSI.
Market sentiment is also bullish.
We buy at CMP.
AUDUSD SELL DIRECTION Discuss About The AUDUSD Forecast as Pattern in seems in Sell I will Expected the price will moving in Bearish Trend so Traders it will be Good support zone.
Buy Rights now its neutral position right now so Put Position in sell side.
My 1st Support Zone 0.63300 and 2nd Support Zone 0.62700
You can see more details in the chart.
Keep fallow and like this idea For more insights Thanks Dear.
audusd sell tradeThe Relative Strength Index (RSI) is showing a downward trend, indicating weakening momentum. Additionally, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) is showing a bearish crossover, further supporting the potential for a downward move
AUDUSDScared money never makes money.I found my self thinking that, but back to what matters.I called the trade before ,waited for my checklist to fill ,then went in .
I am now being patient .
AUDUSD IS GOING UP, YOU'RE EARLY IS YOU ENTER NOWAudusd is now ready to move and it will be explosive. It has taken a year low and has been rejected from it, DXY is usually bearish the year BTC makes a move towards ATH and that has already started. It was delayed due to interest rate hike but the cuts has begun.
I can give you many more reasons but let me post so you enter on time. You can scale down to lower time frame and frame your trade but know that the overall trend is now turning bullish.
AUDUSDTRADE UPDATE
Price looking to continue with the trend . I am being patient . Fridays are usually slow. I am going to wait.
AUDUSD - Potential Short SetupMy main trading principle is that the price always moves from swept liquidity levels to untouched liquidity levels.
In particular case we clearly can see the following context: price swept 1D key liquidity level and left untouched level higher.
But to take more statistically more probable trades we should wait for some type of lower timeframe confirmation, and it this case we can notice sign of strength, so potentially there is a higher probability to see price higher.
Your success is determined solely by your ability to consistently follow the same principles.
AUDUSD - Long SetupMy main trading principle is that the price always moves from swept liquidity levels to untouched liquidity levels.
In particular case we clearly can see the following context: price swept 1D key liquidity level and left untouched level higher.
But to take more statistically more probable trades we should wait for some type of lower timeframe confirmation, and it this case we can notice sign of strength, so potentially there is a higher probability to see price higher
Your success is determined solely by your ability to consistently follow the same principles.
AUDUSD Potential DownsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring AUDUSD for a selling opportunity around 0.64400 zone, AUDUSD is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 0.64400 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
The RBA just made a small (but big) change to their statementThe RBA held rates at 4.35% as expected, but there were several changes to their December statement which warrant a closer look. I highlight the key differences to the November statement and provide my interpretation of what it means for the RBA's policy as we head into next year, then look at AUD/USD.
MS
AUDUSD made Bullish DivergenceEntry is planned using Buystop at 0.64724 with SL 0.63645 for a TP 0.65803
AUDUSD BUY ANALYSIS DOUBLE BOTTOM PATTERNHere on Ausdusd price has form a double bottom and is likely to move up so if line 0.64734 break then trader should go for long and expect profit target of 0.65110 and 0.65629 . Use money management
3R Trade AUDUSDJust expecting a small move here. Possible there is a large move up and DXY starts to drop again but the trend on the higher term time frame has not confirmed that so just a quick scalp setup here.
AUD/USD 4H Forecast: Targeting 0.63840 Amid RBA & Geopolitical RAUD/USD 4H Timeframe Analysis
Trend:
The price is currently in a downtrend and has broken through the key support level at 0.63900.
Price Action Expectation:
We expect the price to move upwards towards our liquidity zone, which could trigger stop losses from sellers. After this upward movement, we anticipate a reversal, breaking through a minor key support zone, ultimately reaching our Sell Stop order at 0.63840.
Trade Setup:
Sell Stop Order: Positioned at 0.63840, targeting further downside movement.
Stop Loss: Placed above the liquidity zone at 0.64220.
Take Profit (TP): Set below the next key support level at 0.62700.
Fundamental Outlook:
The Aussie Dollar (AUD) remains under pressure ahead of the RBA decision. The probability of an RBA rate cut in February has increased, though markets are not fully pricing in a cut until May.
Weak inflation data from China, Australia's largest export market, has added pressure on the Aussie Dollar.
Geopolitical Risks: The potential for punitive tariffs under the incoming Trump administration has caused additional caution among traders, influencing broader market sentiment and adding to the Aussie’s vulnerability.
AUDUSD long movePrice is currently dropping towards our demand level and any bullish reaction at this level cloud leads to bullish movement.
This is why AUD/USD bears need to watch USD/CNHBets are back on for the RBA to cut, with markets having now fully priced in three 25bp cuts beginning in April. Weak GDP was the culprit, which leaves the Aussie susceptible to further weakness should incoming data continue to deteriorate. However, Aussie bears may also need to factor the yuan into the equation.
Audusd AUD/USD rises to 0.6392, buoyed by weak US labor market reports. US Initial Jobless Claims hit a two-month high, fueling speculation of continued Fed policy easing. Australian employment exceeds expectations with 35.6K jobs added in November, unemployment dips to 3.9%The AUD/USD rose sharply and print a daily high of 0.6429 following Aussie’s data, but it has trimmed its gains, as strong US PPI figures, hint that the Federal Reserve would adopt a cautious approach on reducing interest rates.
Momentum turned slightly bullish in the near-term, but overall, the trend Is tilted to the downside as the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is bearish.
If AUD/USD buyers reclaim 0.6400, the next resistance would be the 0.6500 mark. A breach of the latter will expose the 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) of 0.6568.
Conversely, if sellers stepped in and drag prices below the December 11 daily close of 0.6336, the pair might drop to 0.6300, before aiming toward October 23, 2023 swing low of 0.6270
China headlines help AUD/USD hold critical support. The AUDUSD finished higher o/n at .6440 (+0.80%) boosted by reports that China will increase support for its economy.
We suspect yesterdays China headlines help the AUD/USD remain above critical multi month support at .6370/50 for now, despite the likelihood of a dovish pivot this afternoon from the RBA as outlined in the article ⬇️
The AUD/USD would need to rebound above resistance at .6550 to suggest that a stronger recovery can occur.
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